Printer Friendly

The Texas economy: financing availability.

Recovery from the 1986 downturn in the Texas economy has been slow and arduous by any economic measure. A variety of factors has contributed to the seemingly imperceptible slow pace with which much of the state is returning to prosperity: sagging oil prices (prior to the Kuwait crisis), the real estate glut, unprecedented financial institution failures, and a regulatory environment that has handicapped the lending ability of the banking and thrift industries. Entering the 1990s, 55 percent of Texas banks, representing 81 percent of Texas banking industry loans and 77 percent of Texas banking industry assets, were lending impaired.()

In an attempt to assess both the borrowers' and the lenders' perspectives, a survey of Texas businesses and lending institutions was undertaken during the summer of 1990. The results provide some important insights.

The Borrowers' Perspective

Surveys were mailed to all manufacturers and wholesalers (approximately 5,000) employing twenty-five or more persons and reporting sales or revenue amounts to the Bureau of Business Research for publication in the Directory of Texas Manufacturers and the Directory of Texas Wholesalers. Approximately 30 percent of the respondents (6 percent of those surveyed) showed revenues in excess of $10 million, and 80 percent had been in business more than ten years.

Surveyed about the availability of commercial bank financing, borrowers were asked to indicate the number of both loan applications and loan approvals in the last twelve months. Respondents making application to Texas banks experienced an 81 percent approval rate as compared to the 70 percent approval rate for applicants to non-Texas banks. Not surprisingly, the most frequent applications and the highest rates of acceptance were for working capital and equipment financing loans.

Borrowers were asked why loans were rejected, and an attempt was made to segment the reasons by credit factors and lender policy factors. Among credit factors, lack of equity, poor earnings record, and excessive existing leverage were cited as the major reasons for loan denial. The most prevalent lender policy rejection reason was that the loan type was not handled by the lender.

Many respondents not only completed the survey but also provided additional comments. Three themes emerged. First, borrowers were dismayed at the collateral-to-loan ratio required by lenders. A recent Fortune article echoed this point, noting that for a $4 million loan you needed to guarantee $2 million personally and put up a $2 million certificate of deposit as collateral for the rest."(2) A second concern was the apparent disregard for past credit history. One man, in business thirty years, wrote that he had "sought secured loans from fourteen banks unsuccessfully." Third, borrowers resented what they consider to be a "change in the rules" by the banking industry. Most comments on this point blame overly zealous regulators.

The Lenders' Perspective

Members of the Texas Bankers Association and the Texas Savings and Loan League were surveyed concerning loan approval rates today compared to two years ago, the relative importance of factors affecting credit evaluation, expectations concerning the level of economic activity during the 1991-1995 period, and the impact of government regulation of banks. Ninety percent of the respondents (6 percent of those surveyed) had assets of less than $250 million. (Lender responses are skewed toward smaller banks, hence their comments may not reflect the experience of the overall Texas banking community.)

In recent years the state of the Texas economy and a restrictive regulatory environment for Texas banks have resulted in substantial changes in the ability and willingness of Texas banks to make loans. Compared to two years ago, current approval rates for real estate, working capital, and equipment loans showed substantial decreases. In the case of entrepreneur and vehicle loans and letters of credit, a complete retreat from the market was noted for some lenders. When asked to indicate the importance of various factors affecting credit evaluation today versus two years ago, bankers responded that cash flow, equity, and the level of existing debt are more important today; collateral and credit history, less important.

Lenders were generally optimistic about the level of economic activity expected in the short term (1991-1995). Only 18 percent anticipated unusually low economic activity for this period. (When borrowers were asked the same question, 11 percent anticipated unusually low levels of activity for the 1991-1995 period, indicating that borrowers, relative to lenders, are more optimiistic for the short term.) Even less encouraging is the response of lenders as to how these expectations will influence their lending opportunities. Twenty-six percent expected a decrease in lending opportunities and 35 percent expected no change.

In addition to completing the survey, many respondents shared their thoughts on the current state of the Texas banking industry. Dominating the comments was dissatisfaction with the heavy-handed way in which regulators were overseeing Texas lenders.

Conclusion

Few of the results presented here are surprising to anyone who has observed the erosion of the Texas credit environment over the past few years. It is important to note the consistency of the borrower and lender responses. Both are keenly aware of the adverse impact of changing and inconsistent regulatory policies. Small to medium Texas businesses have traditionally looked to small to medium Texas banks for credit, and the changing regulatory environment has affected their ability to conduct business. Perhaps the feelings of both the business and banking communities are best captured in the comments of a bank respondent: "Congress needs to realize that our southwestern economy has been beset by all manner of economic setbacks and that a banker needs to be there for his customer in the bad times as well as the good times."

Under the present regulatory structure, the banking system is severely constrained and, at the same time, insulated from the discipline of the market. Much of the regulatory structure was designed for a less sophisticated financial environment. The risk, inherent in the banking business, cannot be adequately addressed by regulation. A complete review. of deposit insurance, capital requirements, and regulatory supervision needs to be undertaken. The objectives should be to strengthen the banking system through simplification of regulation and to assess risk by increasing exposure to market discipline.

-- Beverly L. Hadaway Associate Professor of Finance University of Texas at Austin

Notes

1. Harvey Rosenblum, "The Texas Credit Crunch," The Southwest Economy (September 1990).

2. John Davidson, "Brother, Can You Spare A Loan?" Fortune (August 27, 1990): 65.
 Analysis of Business Respondent
Loan Application Status
 Panel A: All respondents
 Number of Approved
Category applications (percentage)
Applied to Texas bank 270 81
Applied to Texas thrift 14 64
Applied to non-Texas bank 53 70
Applied to non-Texas thrift nm nm
 Panel B: Respondents in business 10 years or less
 Number of Approved
Category applications (percentage)
Applied to Texas bank 59 78
Applied to Texas thrift nm nm
Applied to non-Texas bank 19 89
Applied to non-Texas thrift nm nm
 Panel C: Respondents in business more than 10
years
 Number of Approved
Category applications (percentage)
Applied to Texas bank 211 82
Applied to Texas thrift nm nm
Applied to non-Texas bank 34 59
Applied to non-Texas thrift nm nm
nm: not meaningful.
 Approval Rates by Loan Type
(percentage)
Loan type* Approval rate
Working capital 70
Equipment financing 71
Vehicle financing 59
Real estate financing 51
Letter of credit 85
 * listed in order of frequency applied for.
 Population in the Metropolitan Statistical
Areas of Texas, 1980 and 1990
 Percentage
Metropolitan Statistical Area 1980 1990 change
Abilene 110,932 119,655 7.86
Amarillo 173,699 187,547 7.97
Austin 536,688 781,572 45.63
Beaumont-Port Arthur 375,497 361,226 -3.80
Brazoria 169,587 191,707 13.04
Brownsville-Harlingen 209,727 260,120 24.03
Bryan-College Station 93,588 121,862 30.21
Corpus Christi 326,228 349,894 7.25
Dallas 1,957,378 2,553,362 30.45
El Paso 479,899 591,610 23.28
Fort Worth-Arlington 973,138 1,332,053 36.88
Gaiveston-Texas City 195,940 217,399 10.95
Houston 2,735,766 3,301,937 20.70
Killeen-Temple 214,656 255,301 18.93
Laredo 99,258 133,239 34.24
Longview-Marshall 151,752 162,431 7.04
Lubbock 211,651 222,636 5.19
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 283,229 383,545 35.42
Midland 82,636 106,611 29.01
Odessa 115,374 118,934 3.09
San Angelo 84,784 98,458 16.13
San Antonio 1,071,954 1,302,099 21.47
Sherman-Denison 89,796 95,021 5.82
Texarkana 75,301 81,665 8.45
Tyler 128,366 151,309 17.87
Victoria 68,807 74,361 8.07
Waoo 170,755 189,123 10.76
Wichita Falls 121,082 122,378 1.07


Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1990 Census of Population and Housing (data are subject to revision); 1980 Census of Population and Housing.

Note: Graphics by the Bureau of Business Research staff. Figuration Omitted.
COPYRIGHT 1991 University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Business Research
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1991 Gale, Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.

Article Details
Printer friendly Cite/link Email Feedback
Author:Hadaway, Beverly L.
Publication:Texas Business Review
Date:Jun 1, 1991
Words:1477
Previous Article:Naturally colored cotton: a new niche in the Texas natural fibers industry.
Next Article:The Texas economy: the prospects for natural gas substitution.
Topics:

Terms of use | Copyright © 2017 Farlex, Inc. | Feedback | For webmasters