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The Challenges Of Terrorism - Iraq, Part 97 - Israel, Africa & The Kurds.

Israel has strategic interests and commercial alliances in most of Africa, from Egypt down to Kenya, and from that continent's Atlantic coast to the Red Sea. It has close links with big minorities such as the Kurds in the Greater Middle East (GME) and the Kurdish community's diaspora.

The most intriguing Israeli assets on the Red Sea, for example, are its military base on the most strategic isle in Eritrea's Dahlak Archipelago, and an advanced intelligence station run by Mossad in mountains near the border with South Sudan. In early 2013, Israel and South Sudan's government signed agreements with a number of Israeli oil companies (see omt18SudanS-Oct28-13). Competing with Israel on the African continent and the Red Sea is Iran's Safawi Shi'ite theocracy whose Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has bases in the northern Republic of Sudan (RoS) and other countries there and Tehran is throwing its weight behind efforts to save the Alawite/Safawi regime of President Bashar al-Assad in Syria.

More than 40m Kurds in the world - mainly in Iran, Iraq, Syria and Turkey - have been complaining about their being terrorised by these four host-states and have moved cautiously to their old dream of making Greater Kurdistan (GK) a reality. Some 600 delegates from over 40 Kurdish parties are coming for the first time to a Kurdistan National Congress for the project. It will be in Erbil, "temporary capital" of Iraq's Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), in late November 2013 - postponed twice, the last time from Sept. 15-17 because of Sept. 21 parliamentary elections in Iraqi Kurdistan. And powerful Jewish leaders say Israel will be among the first to back an independent Iraqi Kurdistan. The Erbil congress will focus on the San Remo rule (see Part 96 in sbme3KurdIsrSep23-13 & ood3KurdSanRemoSep2-13).

Islamic terrorism, meanwhile, is causing Iraq and Syria to be disintegrated. In two countries, having several ethnic and sectarian minorities as in the case of Iran and Turkey, terror emanates from racism and political Islam. Racism is a far more dangerous source of terror - particularly between Iran's Safawism and each of the Arabs, the Turks and the Kurds - while the Sunni-Shi'ite war can be stopped in a short time if the US plays its cards right and get Iran to sell Assad off at a certain price. That is not likely to be under Obama, whose weakness is being fully exploited by Assad and is RoS ally Umar al-Bashir (see news18SyrSudanOct28-13).

Like the Iranian Shi'ite theocracy's Supreme Guide Ali Khamenei, Assad and Bashir heed to the pragmatic advice of Machiavelli: "Invent enemies and then slay them in order to control your subjects". The virulently anti-Sunni rhetoric of Khamenei's Safawis, however, is more genocidal than Niccolo Machiavelli. Bashir in the RoS is not a Safawi because he is a Sunni Arab; but he is an ally of Khamenei's movement whose ideology cannot build a positive nation, though he is killing all his Sudanese critics in one way or another which is genocide - for which the ICC is determined to have him tried in The Hague (see gmt18Sudan-NS-WhoOct28-13). The same goes for the Sunni/Neo-Salafis of al-Qaeda and Egypt-born Muslim Brotherhood (MB).
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Publication:APS Diplomat Strategic Balance in the Middle East
Geographic Code:7IRAN
Date:Oct 28, 2013
Previous Article:The Jewish Kurds.
Next Article:Israel-Egypt Ties.

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