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Ten Year Trends: Rabah is tasty for starters; Local trainer Dunlop should improve his good record in the Gordon Stakes.

RABAH can give local trainer John Dunlop a flying start to the week in the Peugeot Gordon Stakes at Goodwood today.

In the absence of horses who ran in the Derby, there is no particularly strong trend here, but over the years it has been interesting to note how well Predominate Stakes winners have fared.

In the last ten years, both Minster Son and Warrshan completed the double, while St Mawes, also trained by Dunlop, was third in the Derby trial before his Gordon Stakes success.

Dunlop also triumphed back in 1987, so his recent record is as good as any here.

Hitman is worth his step up to Group company but he has no form over this trip, yet only one recent winner, Stylish Senor, had not yet raced over it and his win came in a farcical three-runner affair.

Stylish Senor and Stowaway are also the only winners who had not competed in either Listed or Group company.

The King George Grosvenor Casinos Stakes (3.20) is always run at a furious pace, and in recent years they have gone much too fast and the winners have always come from off the pace (trailblazing Lochsong being a notable exception).

Historically, three-year-olds have fared best but with older horses having taken four of the last five runnings there appears to be a shifting trend.

Only two winners had not at least been placed in Group- race sprints, but only two had previously won in such company that season.

During the Eighties, every winner seemed to have previously contested the King Stand's Stakes at Royal Ascot, but only three in the Nineties went for that contest.

Favouring those older runners who like to come off the pace, the most likely winner is Tedburrow, who has been running well in Listed and Group company all season.

The Chesterfield Cup Handicap (3.50) has favoured in- form handicappers of late with seven of the last ten having won their most recent start. Six winners had also already won in handicap company that term.

With just one winner having carried over 9st 5lb and only one shouldering less than 8st 3lb, those at the extremes of the handicap here can be discounted. Similarly, eight winners have been rated between 81 and 94.

The runner who fits all the above trends is Secret Spring who, like 1996 winner Grand Selection, came back to winning form in the City Industry Handicap at Kempton.

2.15: Peugeot Gordon Stakes (1m4f)

WINNER AGE & WEIGHT SP TRAINER JOCKEY BEST RUN

97 2 Stowaway 3 8-10 100-30F S bin Suroor K Darley 2nd Doncaster conditions stakes (1m2f)

96 230 St Mawes 3 8-10 12-1 J Dunlop K Darley 3rd Predominate Stakes (1m2f)

95 11333 Presenting 3 8-10 7-4F J Gosden L Dettori 3rd Derby (1m4f)

94 110 Broadway Flyer 3 8-13 11-2 J Hills M Hills won Chester Vase (1m4f)

93 1002 Right Win 3 8-10 3-1F R Hannon J Reid 2nd Churchill Stakes (1m4f)

92 0302 Bonny Scot 3 8-10 6-1 L Cumani L Dettori 3rd Lingfield Derby Trial (1m4f)

91 -22110 Stylish Senor 3 8-10 11-4 J Fanshawe G Duffield won Windsor graduation (1m2f)

90 -320 Karinga Bay 3 8-10 13-2 Denys Smith B Rouse 2nd Dante Stakes (1m2 1/2f)

89 -310 Warrshan 3 8-10 3-1sF M Stoute W R Swinburn won Predominate Stakes (1m2f)

88 -110 Minster Son 3 8-10 2-1F W Hern W Carson won Predominate Stakes (1m2f)

FAVOURITES: +pounds 4.08; SECOND FAVOURITES: -pounds 6.00

3.20: King George Stakes (5f)

WINNER AGE & WEIGHT SP TRAINER JOCKEY DRAW BEST RUN

97 14440 Averti 6 9-0 11-1 W Muir K Fallon 3 4th King's Stand Stakes (5f)

96 01100 Rambling Bear 3 8-10 10-1 M Blanshard R Cochrane 3 won Lingfield Listed (6f)

95 314311 Hever Golf Rose 4 9-5 10-1 T Naughton J Weaver 6 won Capannelle Gp 1 (6f)

94 -1110 Lochsong 6 9-7 10-11F I Balding L Dettori 2 won King's Stand Stakes (5f)

93 24431 Lochsong 5 8-11 13-8F I Balding L Dettori 15 won Trafalgar House Stakes (5f)

92 301211 Freddie Lloyd 3 9-0 5-1 N Callaghan J Reid 5 won Ballyogan Stakes (5f)

91 -24002 Title Roll 3 8-7 8-1 T Stack W Carson 12 2nd Tipperary Sprint (5f)

90 -10 Argentum 3 9-0 4-1F L Holt J Reid 7 won Kempton Stakes (5f)

89 -13212 Statoblest 3 8-8 11-1 L Cumani R Cochrane 6 won Epsom handicap (5f)

88 102221 Silver Fling 3 8-5 2-1F I Balding PatEddery 13 won Trafalgar House Stakes (5f)

WINNERS-RUNNERS: 3yo: 6-50; 4yo: 1-35; 5yo+: 3-47 FAVOURITES: +pounds 2.53; SECOND FAVOURITES: -pounds 10.00

3.50: Chesterfield Cup (1m2f)

WINNER AGE & WEIGHT OR SP TRAINER JOCKEY BEST RUN

97 3101 Danish Rhapsody 4 8-6 90 14-1 Lady Herries J Reid won Lingfield Limited stakes (1m2f)

96 40001 Grand Selection 4 8-3 81 12-1 M Bell M Fenton won Kempton handicap (1m2f)

95 -0 Silver Groom 5 7-11 65 6-1 R Akehurst M Henry 9th RHKJC Trophy (1m2f)

94 -302041 Desert Shot 4 8-13(4x) 104 12-1 M Stoute J Tate won Ascot Ladies' Stakes (1m)

93 0120 Rose Alto 5 8-13 89 25-1 J Fanshawe G Duffield won Chester handicap (1m2 1/2f)

92 324101 Knock Knock 7 9-0 88 9-2F I Balding R Cochrane won Sandringham Handicap (1m2f)

91 001 Ijtihaad 4 9-5 90 11-2 W Hern W Carson won Sandringham Handicap (1m2f)

90 401011 Song Of Sixpence 6 9-5 93 9-2 I Balding S Cauthen won Sandringham Handicap (1m2f)

89 -03 Pelorus 4 10-0 94 12-1 W Jarvis B Rouse 3rd Kempton Stakes (1m2f)

88 -13001 Apache 3 8-6 82 9-4F C Thornton J Bleasdale won Ripon handicap (1m2f)

WINNERS-RUNNERS: 3yo: 1-9; 4yo: 5-60; 5yo: 4-51 FAVOURITES: -pounds 1.25; SECOND FAVOURITES: -pounds 10.00
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Article Details
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Title Annotation:Sports
Author:Thake, Craig
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Jul 28, 1998
Words:967
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Next Article:Pricewise: Leader should be hard act to follow; Fortune's tactics can work again for York winner over new trip.


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