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THE EDGE.

Byline: Killer angles on today's racing with Graeme Rodway

This is Rae Guest's strike-rate (4-8) in 3yo handicaps at Beverley in the last five seasons. He saddles Archduchess (5.00) VVMISSISSIPPI 7.50 Yarmouth This five-year-old has won only once from 16 starts but went close in a couple of hot 6f Doncaster handicaps last year, including when beaten a nose off only 1lb lower at that course in June.

David Barron's gelding has yet to reach that level in five outings since, but shaped as if he could soon return to form when fifth on his reappearance at Doncaster last month.

He built on that when fourth at Newcastle last time and the third, Kimberella, has since franked the form by running away with a competitive Class 2 handicap at Chester on Saturday.

This Class 3 contest represents a significant ease in grade for Mississippi and a big run is surely on the cards for a yard that has a decent record with sprinters on ground (good) that should prove ideal.

VVWILLIAM Haggas has an impressive record in three-year-old handicaps at Bath (3.15) The Newmarket trainer has a 50 per cent strike-rate (3-6) in handicaps confined to the Classic generation at this course in the last five seasons. It looks significant Haggas sends the promising Jacob's Pillow to Bath for his handicap debut in this 51/2f contest.

The lightly raced gelding has gone off at 11-8 or shorter for all four of his starts and became a shade disappointing last season when recording form figures of 232.

However, he looked an improved performer when fitted with a hood for the first time at Yarmouth last month, landing a competitive 6f maiden comfortably by a length.

Jacob's Pillow recorded a big career-best RPR that day and the form has been franked by the second and third, who have both won since. The distant sixth and seventh have also gone close subsequently and the form looks solid.

A 5lb rise makes life tougher, but Nathan Alison's 5lb claim offsets that and the jockey has an impressive 43 per cent strikerate (3-7) when teaming up with Haggas this season for a PS1 level-stake profit of PS15.75.

The trainer has a 39 per cent strike-rate (22-56) with handicap debutants in the last year for a PS1 level-stake profit of PS38.60 and, with the hood removed, Jacob's Pillow might be capable of finding the progress required to upset likely hotpot Speed Hawk.

VVPENHILL looks sure to appreciate ease in class 8.10 Thirsk This three-year-old showed only minor promise in three maidens last season and was well beaten in a handicap on his reappearance at Beverley.

However, he may have been in need of that first run of the campaign and made good progress when landing a 1m2f handicap at Nottingham on his next start in April off a mark 12lb lower than today's.

James Bethell's gelding improved again when upped to 1m4f at York in May and travelled powerfully - traded at a low of 3 in running from an SP of 16-1 - before coming home second behind useful prospect Adventure Seeker.

Penhill went up 5lb for that and couldn't get competitive when dropped to 1m2f at the course last time when he finished a disappointing fourth. But that 0-95 Class 3 contest was a far stronger race than this 0-80 Class 4 and the return to 1m4f is in his favour.

He is worth another chance to confirm earlier promise now dropped 1lb and with today's likely fast conditions looking set to suit.

'He's yet to reach that level in five starts since but shaped as if he'd soon return to form at Doncaster last month'
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Title Annotation:Sport
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Geographic Code:4EUUK
Date:Jul 15, 2014
Words:617
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