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Research study confirms significant impact of climate change on agriculture.

ISLAMABAD -- A research study titled 'Impact of climate change on Agriculture in Pakistan' as conducted by Pakistan Institute of Development Economic (PIDE) has confirmed the significant impact of climate change on agriculture in the country.

The study says , extended diversity of agro-ecologies turns climatic conditions an important predictor of agriculture sector.

"Fertilizers exert a positive and statistically significant impact on agriculture production of the country. Irrespective of the controls, previous year/revenue enters statistically significant and impact is consistent across regions and alternative specifications implying that the use of agriculture inputs primarily determine farm income of the farmer indicating absence of credit market for farmers.

The study further pointed out that increase in long-run temperature normals have significant effect on agriculture that varies in direction as well as magnitude across seasons and regions. Increasing precipitation in all season affects the agriculture produce positively except that in spring (PMSR).

The deviation of temperature for Fall and Spring contribute positively especially in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa while that in Summer and Winter impact agriculture production negatively.

A significant non-linear impact of climatic variables is also observed. A significant variation, both in terms of direction of relation and significance level, is observed in behaviour of climate variables across the provinces when compared with full sample

This paper examines the impact of climate change and weather shocks on agriculture of Pakistan. This study finds evidence for significant impact of climatic variables on agriculture of the country. Warming is found harming the agriculture especially in warmer and rain-fed regions of the country.

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Publication:Balochistan Times (Baluchistan Province, Pakistan)
Geographic Code:9PAKI
Date:Oct 19, 2018
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