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Racing: Minor penalty swings trial in favour of Faasel; BIG-RACE TRENDS.

Byline: Craig Thake

Commhoist Logistics Champion Hurdle Trial

1.40 Haydock

Key trends

Winner of a Class 1 or 2 hurdle, eight winners in past nine runnings

Adjusted Racing Post Rating of at least 155, 8/9

Finished first or second last time out, 8/9

Had a top-four finish in a Grade 1 hurdle, 6/9

Penalised, 7/9

From the first two in the market, 6/9

Other factors

Record of horses carrying penalties: maximum penalty, two winners from 12' minor penalties, five from 14. Non-penalised runners, two from 30. Three winners ran in the Fighting Fifth, in which they had finished 212, and two in the Bula Hurdle (52).

Verdict

An intriguing contest in which two from Britain's small Champion Hurdle challenge go to post. A solid case can be made for either Arcalis or Faasel, and it's the latter who gets the vote, thanks to the superior record of horses carrying the minor penalty.

Peter Marsh Limited Handicap Chase

2.10 Haydock

Key trends

Started no bigger than 8-1, 9/9

Had won a Class 1 or 2 chase, 8/9 (exception had won such a race over hurdles)

Carried no more than 11st 1lb, 7/9

Course winner, 7/9

Ran between 8 and 15 times over fences, 6/9

Won over at least three miles, 7/9

Other factors

The past seven winners were rated between 137 and 150. There have been only two successful secondseason chasers.

Three recent winners had contested the Rowland Meyrick, in which they finished P3F, and three had run well (464) in the Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup.

Verdict

Jodami won this off a mark of 169 carrying 11st 10lb, but that was on fast ground, and it will be a major surprise if Kingscliff can defy such a burden in today's testing conditions. Mud-loving course specialist Lord Transcend found himself in a similar position to Kingscliff last time out, but will find his task much easier today. He is only being asked to carry 10st 5lb, so a repeat of last year's victory looks on the cards.

6-1 Totesport Classic Chase winner Eurotrek was pinpointed by Big-race Trends (Craig Thake) last Saturday
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Title Annotation:Sports
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Jan 21, 2006
Words:363
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