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Q1'98 North American LCD Monitor Shipments and 8-Quarter LCD Monitor Supply, Demand, Cost, Price and Shipment Forecasts Revealed In New DisplaySearch/TFC.NET Report

ANAHEIM, Calif., May 18 /PRNewswire/ -- DisplaySearch, a leading flat panel display market research and consulting firm, has announced the immediate availability of the industry's first report tracking actual North American LCD monitor shipments -- the Quarterly Supply Vs Demand Study: LCD Monitors. Co-developed with channel market research specialist TFC.NET, the report reveals how many LCD monitors are being sold, through what channels, which sizes and models are most popular and the average price at each size weighted by volume. In addition to providing quarterly shipments by channel, size and supplier, the quarterly report also provides shipments by resolution, gray scale, display technology, wide viewing angle technology and total market value. The report also takes an exhaustive approach to forecasting worldwide demand, supply, cost, price and market value on a rolling 8-quarter basis. Three separate demand forecasts are provided taking cost-basis, price-basis and survey-basis approaches. The cost-basis approach leverages DisplaySearch's cost models, the price-basis approach leverages DisplaySearch's insight into future module prices and the survey approach polls monitor producers in the US, Asia and Europe. Future supply is determined through DisplaySearch's insight into future fab spending through surveys of equipment, materials and display producers. Available monitor supply is determined by subtracting notebook PC and other product demand as well as through a detailed 8-quarter LCD monitor module allotment forecast. On a rolling 8-quarter basis, the report also provides CRT shipments by size, CRT and TFT cost models, future TFT and CRT costs by size and TFT/CRT price ratios. Also provided are all planned and potential future fab projects over the next 8 quarters by substrate size, substrate starts, equipment PO dates, initial production date, full production dates, probabilities of investments, current and future yielded TFT capacity by company in 12.1" and 15" equivalents and industry capacity by substrate size. In addition, market based and cost-based 12.1", 13.3", 14.1", 15", 18" and 20" TFT LCD price forecasts are included in addition to forecasted demand by size, resolution, gray scale, technology, viewing angle technology and market value by technology and size.

The 60-page report features 81 figures and tables. According to DisplaySearch President Ross Young, "The industry has lacked a report on actual LCD monitor shipments and along with TFC.NET we are thrilled to fill the void. We have determined that NEC Technologies led the Q1'98 LCD monitor market with a 35% share on the strength of their 20" LCD 2000 and 14" LCD400V products. Viewsonic was second with a 17% share followed by Compaq and IBM at 12% and 11% respectively. Nine other LCD monitor suppliers were identified as having at least 1% market share. 14.x" LCD monitors accounted for 56% of shipments on a unit basis with NEC's 20" product accounting for the second highest number of shipments. The high percentage of 20" LCD monitor shipments indicates there is significant North American demand at the high end of the monitor market for LCDs and NEC, with the only monitor on the market larger than 16.1", is enjoying a dominant position. We expect LCD monitor shipments to accelerate from the second half of 1998 due to significant TFT LCD module price reductions. From Q2'98 to Q3'98, 14.1" - 18.1" TFT LCD module prices are expected to fall between 33% - 46% due to current excess TFT capacity and desire to reduce the excessive reliance on the notebook PC market. We expect LCD monitor shipments to increase more than 8-fold from Q1'98 to Q4'98. We are now forecasting LCD monitor shipments of 1.44 million units in 1998 and a supply-limited 3.9 million units in 1999 with a market value of $1.6 billion in 1998 and $3.5 billion in 1999."

DisplaySearch's Quarterly Supply Vs Demand Study: LCD Monitors is priced at $3,000 per year which includes 4 issues. The table of contents from the first issue can be seen at DisplaySearch's web site at DisplaySearch has over 200 customers in 16 countries. For more information on the Quarterly Supply Vs Demand Study: LCD Monitors, contact DisplaySearch at TEL - 512-329-9244; FAX - 512-347-0009; email - The report will also be on display at the SID show from May 19th - 21st in Anaheim at booth numbers 657 and 659.

SOURCE DisplaySearch
 -0- 05/18/98

/CONTACT: Ross Young of DisplaySearch, 512-329-9244, or fax, 512-347-0009, or

/Web site:

CO: DisplaySearch; TFC.NET ST: California, Texas IN: CPR MLM PUB SU: PDT

LB -- HSM043 -- 8456 05/18/98 08:04 EDT
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Publication:PR Newswire
Date:May 18, 1998
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