Prof. William O. Beeman: Impeachment of Trump for Democrats is A Gamble.
Speaking in an exclusive interview with FNA, Professor Beeman said, "These people fear that their own Democratic voters will punish them for not impeaching."
He also said "for Democrats this process is a gamble".
William Orman Beeman is an American scholar whose specialty is the Middle East; he is a professor of anthropology at The University of Minnesota, where he is Chair of the Department of Anthropology. For many years he was Professor of Anthropology; Theatre, Speech and Dance; and East Asian Studies at Brown University.
Below is the full text of the interview:
Q: Following Trump's phone conversation with Ukrainian President, the impeachment of Trump has come under serious scrutiny. Trump's impeachment was to be postponed until after the 2020 US presidential election. Why did the Democrats activate Trump's impeachment plan?
A: The House of Representatives has not voted to hold impeachment hearings yet. The Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, has opened "impeachment investigations" through six House of Representatives committees. They have purposely not voted to open formal impeachment hearings to protect Democrats who were elected from districts that voted for President Trump, and who might be in danger in the 2020 elections from voters who favor Trump. However, many people expect that the impeachment hearings will be voted on soon, and that the President might be impeached before the end of November (the Thanksgiving Holiday)
Q: US Senate is said to be unlikely to get Trump removed from office. What could be the price of an unsuccessful impeachment of President Trump for the Democrats?
A: The House of Representatives impeaches a president or other government officials with a simple majority vote. The impeachment does not lead to removal. It is just a formal accusation. The Senate then tries the official, like a court, with the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court trying to hearings. After this trial, the Senate can remove him or her from office with a 2/3 majority vote. Impeachment of Trump (the formal accusation) is likely to succeed in the House of Representatives The removal of the president is likely to fail in the Senate, because Republicans are the majority in the Senate, and reaching a 2/3 majority (67 Senators) voting to remove the president is likely impossible.
Many Democrats feel that impeaching the President but not removing him from office is dangerous for them. They feel that if the Senate does not remove him, he will claim that he has been exonerated, and that the impeachment itself was a partisan effort on the part of Democrats and had no merit. Democrats feel that this will result in Trump being re-elected in 2020, and the loss of Democratic seats in both the Senate and the House of Representatives.
Other Democrats point out that Trump really has committed a crime, and if they don't impeach him, they will be supporting his criminal action. These people fear that their own Democratic voters will punish them for not impeaching.
So you see, this is a difficult political decision for Democrats. At present there is no clear outcome for the impeachment process.
Q: What are the odds for Trump's removal. Will his impeachment lead to his dismissal?
A: No, the impeachment is just a formal accusation--an indictment. The president can only be removed by a 2/3 vote in the Senate after the impeachment is approved.
Q: How will Trump's impeachment and its consequences affect the 2020 US presidential election?
A: Trump thinks that if he is impeached and not removed, it will help him with voters. Some Democrats agree. Other Democrats feel that the impeachment investigation itself will expose his crimes and make him less attractive to voters. So for Democrats this process is a gamble. Personally, I feel that Trump will not be removed from office, and may even be re-elected. A great deal will depend on which candidate Democrats choose to run against Trump.
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|Publication:||FARS News Agency|
|Date:||Oct 9, 2019|
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