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Paleoseismological evidence of Holocene activity of the Los Tollos Fault (Murcia, SE Spain): a lately formed Quaternary tectonic feature of the Eastern Betic Shear Zone.

1. Introduction

The NW-SE convergence between the Nubian and Eurasian plates in the western Mediterranean (4-5 mm/yr) (e.g., DeMets et al., 1990; McClusky et al. 2003; Serpelloni et al., 2007; Nocquet, 2012) produces a crustal deformation of the southeastern Iberian Peninsula where Late Neogene and Quaternary faulting activity is dominated by a large NE-SW left-lateral, strike-slip fault system known as the Eastern Betic Shear Zone (EBSZ) (De Larouziere et al., 1988; Silva et al., 1993) (Fig. 1). The EBSZ is a cortical structure (Banda and Ansorge, 1980) in NNE to NE direction with a sigmoidal trace that stretches for more than 450 km. It includes, from north to south, the Bajo Segura Fault (BSF), the Carrascoy Fault (CAF), the Alhama de Murcia Fault (AMF), the Palomares Fault (PF), and the Carboneras Fault (CF) (e.g. Bousquet, 1979; Silva et al., 1993).

Historically, several of the most destructive earthquakes in the Iberian Peninsula, reaching intensities up to [I.sub.EMS98] IX-X, have occurred in the area (IGN, 2013). These events have been related to the main faults belonging to the EBSZ: the 1518 AD Vera (VII-IX) earthquake to the PF (Silva et al., 2003; Garcia-Mayordomo, 2005), the 1522 AD Almeria (IX) event to the CF (Gracia et al., 2006; Reicherter and Hubscher, 2007), and the 1829 AD Torrevieja (IX-X) earthquake to the BSF (Alfaro et al., 2002, 2012; Garcia-Mayordomo and Martinez-Diaz, 2006; Perea et al., 2012). Recently, one of the most damaging earthquakes occurring during the instrumental period, the Lorca earthquake (11/05/2011, [M.sub.w] 5.2, [I.sub.EMS98] VII), has been related to the AMF (e.g.: Vissers and Meijninger, 2011; Martinez-Diaz et al., 2012a).

The Los Tollos Fault (LTF) is located close to densely populated villages (e.g. Alhama de Murcia, Totana, Fig. 2) and is less than 30 km away from the city of Murcia, with almost half a million inhabitants. This situation confers to the study of the seismogenic potential of the LTF considerable importance for the appropriate management of the local seismic hazard and risk. For this reason the aim of this work is to contribute new data to parameterize the paleoseismicity of this active fault in order to be included in future seismic hazard assessments of the region (Garcia-Mayordomo et al., 2007a,b,c). We have estimated the date of the last surface-rupture earthquake, the mean recurrence interval between maximum events, and the fault slip rate.

The LTF has been mapped previously as a normal fault dipping to the NW (Silva, 1994; Leyva Cabello et al., 2010). Furthermore, it has also been interpreted as the possible SW prolongation of the Carrascoy Fault (Insua-Arevalo et al., 2012). However, in this paper we show that the LTF is a left-lateral reverse fault, highly dipping to the SE with a strike and a style of deformation which differ from the Carrascoy Fault, suggesting an independent kinematic behaviour. Additionally, we show that the LTF has a remarkable Holocene activity, with the occurrence of at least two paleoearthquakes. Such a seismic activity disagrees with the subtle topographic expression of the fault when compared with the substantially faulted mountain fronts developed in the area, pointing out the recently formed character of the LTF (Middle Pleistocene) included in the broader EBSZ structure.

2. Geological setting

The LTF is located at the Eastern Betic Cordillera, within the Internal Zones of the cordillera (Fig. 1). The Betic Cordillera, together with the Moroccan Rif, forms the western end of the Mediterranean Alpine Orogen. The Internal Zones, also named Units of the Alboran Domain (Balanya and Garcia Duenas, 1987), are built up of a stack of tecto-sedimentary complexes (Nevado-Filabride, Alpujarride, and Malaguide) of Paleozoic, Mesozoic and Tertiary materials during the Paleogene that forms the Alpine Orogen (Egeler and Simon, 1969). The neotectonic period began 9 Ma at this eastern sector of the Betic Cordillera. This period is controlled by a compressive tectonic regime with a maximum horizontal shortening oriented NW-SE (Sanz de Galdeano, 1990) related to the convergence between the Eurasian and Nubian plates (Livermore and Smith, 1985; Dewey et al., 1989). Recent local GPS measurements from the CuaTeNeo network agree with a regional NNW-SSE shortening direction in the central and eastern Betics, but to the southeast of the LTF the GPS velocity vectors show a clockwise rotation to NNE-SSW (Khazaradze et al., 2008; Echeverria et al., 2011).

During the neotectonic period, the tectonic deformation of this sector of the cordillera has developed a large strike-slip tectonic corridor, affecting both basement rocks (Internal Zones) and Neogene and Quaternary deposits (Fig. 1). The EBSZ is a singular tectonic feature that controls the movement of the eastern crustal block of Campo de Cartagena towards the NE. Several Plio-Quaternary basins controlled by faults have been developed along the EBSZ (Silva et al., 1993).

The main basin within the EBSZ is known as the Guadalentin Depression. The Guadalentin Depression is an elongated NE-SW tectonic corridor drained by the Guadalentin River (also named Sangonera River) until it flows into the Segura River, to the east of the city of Murcia (Fig. 2). The basin has a complex infilling history with a transition from marine to continental environments during the Plio-Pleistocene (Leyva Cabello et al., 2010), reaching the Holocene as an endorheic basin at its southernmost part (South of Alhama de Murcia town) (Silva et al., 2008). The basin is sharply bounded by the uplifted Late Neogene deposits of the Lorca and Fortuna Basins and the Espuna Range (Internal Zones) to the northwest. The contact between these reliefs and the Guadalentin Depression is controlled by the Alhama de Murcia Fault (AMF) (Bousquet, 1979). The AMF dominates one of the major active range-fronts in the Eastern Betic Chain (Silva et al., 1993). It records important accumulated left-lateral slip (8 to 20 km) from the Messinian to the present (Weijermars, 1987; Silva et al., 1997), but also a significant tectonic uplift (0.04-0.35 mm/yr since Tortonian) (Martinez-Diaz et al., 2012b). Paleoseismological studies show Quaternary slip-rate between 0.08 and 0.5 mm/yr (Masana et al., 2004; Martinez-Diaz et al., 2012a; Ortuno et al., 2012).

[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]

The southeastern margin of the Guadalentin Depression presents two different sectors. On one hand, the northernmost sector is bounded by the remarkable relief of the Carrascoy Range (Fig. 2). The range consists of metamorphic materials from the Internal Zones (phyllites, quartzites, metabasites, sandstones, marbles) in addition to Neogene marine sediments. The Carrascoy Range presents an active range-front controlled by the Carrascoy Fault (CAF) that to the northeast connects to the Bajo Segura Fault (BSF) (Gauyau et al., 1977; Montenat et al., 1990; Silva et al., 1993), a pure reverse blind fault affecting Holocene deposits (Alfaro et al. 2002; Alfaro et al. 2012; Perea et al, 2012).

The CAF splits into two strands. The main relief is bounded by the North Carrascoy Fault, where the Internal Zones form the hanging wall of a south-dipping, high angle, left-lateral strike slip fault with reverse component (Silva, 1994; Sanz de Galdeano et al., 1998). This fault strand affects up to the Tortonian deposits. The other strand of the CAF is located to the north, named the Canaricos-Cuevas del Norte Fault, which offsets the Middle to Late Pleistocene alluvial fans coming from the range (Silva, 1994). The maximum uplift rate of the range is estimated in 0.2 mm/yr since the Upper Tortonian (Sanz de Galdeano et al., 1998), with a net slip-rate of 0.54 mm/yr for the CAF considering a rake of 20[degrees] (Garcia-Mayordomo and Alvarez-Gomez, 2006).

On the other hand, the southernmost sector of the margin of the Guadalentin Depression, is not bounded by any significant relief, but just by some smooth hills developed over Plio-Quatemary deposits. Such a subtle relief represents a morphotectonic gap between the fault-generated mountains controlled by the CAF and the Palomares Fault (PF), located southwards. The PF consists on a subvertical east dipping normal fault with sinistral strike-slip component affecting Lower-Middle Pleistocene deposits (Silva, 1994).

[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]

The LTF is located in this morphotectonic gap of the depression. Nevertheless, this gap isolates the Guadalentin basin from the Campo de Cartagena basin, highlighting a substantial relief.

3. Methodology

The study of the LTF has been addressed from different points of view. First, a detailed cartography (scale 1:10,000) has been made considering geological and geomorphological aspects. The cartography is based on previous geological maps, aerial photo interpretation, field survey and digital terrain model analysis. Stratigraphy is mainly based on works from Leyva Cabello et al. (2010) and Silva (1994). We have interpreted aerial photographs from different flights and orthophotos at different scales (>1:33,000) obtained during the last 70 years (1945, 1957, 2011 and 2012).

Subsequently, four suitable sites were selected for trenching along the LTF, according to the presence of modern materials that could be affected by the latest surface-rupture earthquakes (M > 6.0) related to the LTF. The trenches were dug perpendicular to the fault trace, with a length between 8 and 70 m, reaching 5 m of maximum depth. From north to south the trenches have been labelled as: Hueso, Acopios 1, Acopios 2, and Rio.

In order to date the units exposed in the trenches and define the seismic history of LTF, several representative samples were taken from different stratigraphic units. All the samples have been dated by AMS-radiocarbon technique at Beta Analytic Inc. The obtained radiocarbon age for every sample has been calibrated by Beta Analytic following the INTCAL09.

[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]

We have used three types of samples for dating: charred material, bulk sediment, and gastropod shells. In case of stratigraphic discrepancy between samples, we have considered as more representative those ages provided by charred material. This consideration is based, on one hand, on the fact that dating bulk sediment may involve contamination by humic acids leaked from pedogenic processes taking place in upper levels, giving anomalous younger dates. Also, bulk sediment may include ancient reworked materials, especially in this kind of environments with little transport, giving an anomalous older age. On the other hand, a systematically older radiocarbon date is observed from those samples from gastropod shells within a given unit (see data at Table 1). This divergence can be explained by the incorporation of "dead" [sup.14]C from carbonate rocks when gastropods built their shell (cf. Pigati et al., 2010). This effect is known as the "Limestone Problem" and can cause [sup.14]C ages from gastropods shells to be a few thousand years older than the actual time of deposition (Goodfriend and Stipp, 1983).

4. Morphological expression of the LTF

The area where the LTF is located shows a subtle topographic expression when compared to the substantially faulted mountain fronts developed in the area. The fault trace extends even into the modern flat terrains of the eastern margin of the Guadalentin Depression (Fig. 2). In the northern sector of the LTF, adjacent to the Carrascoy Range, the fault trace delineates the NE-SW contact between Pliocene and Pleistocene deposits forming smooth hills and the recent Holocene filling of the depression (Leyva Cabello et al., 2010) (Figs. 3, 4). The Pliocene and Pleistocene deposits belong to the upthrown block. Pliocene units, made up of marls and conglomerates, crop out in the northernmost sector of the fault trace. The overlying Pleistocene units correspond to alluvial fans coming from the Carrascoy Range. These Pleistocene deposits include pebbles and boulders of phyllites and quartzites, with a characteristic presence of metabasites (porphyritic rock, outcropping in the Carrascoy Range), in a silty or sandy matrix. The deposits have a distribution of grain sizes and degree of roundness that fits a pattern of medium to distal alluvial fan facies typical of this type of sedimentary systems. Locally, these units exhibit a calcrete-crust with variable development. The youngest alluvial fans develop a depositional terrace pattern. The downthrown block of the fault records the transition from distal alluvial fan facies to the fluvial-palustrine environment of the Guadalentin Depression reaching up to Holocene times.

The morphological expression of the fault is clearer in the northern sector of the LTF in contrast with the southern one. The geomorphological signals of the fault become weaker in the southern sector where the fault trace reaches the deposits of the central part of the Guadalentin Depression. The fault trace has been identified by the analysis of aerial photographs dated from 1957 (Fig. 5). Here, the fault trace is detected by a subtle imprint in the drainage network. A straight linear creek drains a flat area following a NE-SW trend located at the prolongation of the trace of the fault that controls the aforementioned relief in the northern area. It can even be observed how the previous dendritic drainage network is captured by this straight channel. Nevertheless, nowadays almost the entire signal has disappeared because of the intense anthropic activity in the region. Only a lineament drawn by denser vegetation remains (Fig. 5c, 5d).

[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]

The southward prolongation of the LTF has been inferred from seismic reflection profiles performed along and across the depression (Martinez del Olmo et al., 2006). Surface field observation of the fault is precluded because of the intense agricultural activity in this area, the youth of the alluvial plain and fluvial-palustrine deposits, and the predominant strike-slip kinematics of the fault. Nevertheless, the point where the surface projection of the fault cuts the southern bank of the Guadalentin River coincides with an area concentrating intense fracturing and gravitational slides. Additionally, from this point to the SW, the Guadalentin river shows a conspicuous NE-SW straight trend for 5 km approx. This morphologic feature is known as La Alcanara, interpreted as a channel dug during the Roman times to connect Guadalentin and Sangonera rivers (Silva et al., 2008), suggesting that the builders took advantage of a previous topography that may be controlled by the fault. The length of the whole fault trace, considering the Alcanara channel, is 15 km.

5. Paleoseismic study of the LTF

5.1. Trenches Acopios 1 and Acopios 2

The trenches Acopios 1 (AT1) and Acopios 2 (AT2) were dug at a site where the original topography was completely modified due to a recent extraction of aggregates for the construction of a nearby road. Nevertheless, in the aerial photographs of 1957 the fault trace is clearly inferred to run along the foot of a couple of small hills, where a group of houses was originally located (the Guirao Houses, Fig. 4).

Within the walls of Acopios 1 and Acopios 2 a high angle (subvertical), south-dipping fault zone affecting alluvial fan deposits can be seen (Figs. 6, 7; a detailed description of the stratigraphic units can be seen in the legend of Fig. 6 which is common also to Fig. 7). The fault zone has a variable width between 1 and 2 m of shearing and deformation, with anastomosing fault planes and positive-flower structure, fitting the pattern of a strike slip fault (Woodcock and Fischer, 1986). Despite the loose material affected by the fault, 15[degrees]SW rake striae have been identified (Fig. 7, SW wall), giving a left-lateral displacement with the downthrown block to the northeast, consistent with the original topography of the area previous to the extraction of aggregates.

[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]

The fault affects two different units of alluvial fan deposits: units D and C, from younger to older. In Acopios 2 (Fig. 7) it can also be observed that the underlying substrate (Unit B) is made up of fluvial, well-rounded conglomerates, and greenish silty marls. These formations are interpreted as the transition from marine conditions to a fluvial environment occurring from the Pliocene to Early Pleistocene times (Leyva et al., 2010). This substrate, due to its plastic behaviour, is sheared along the fault zone mixed with the overlying levels reaching more than 2 m up above their original position, which provides an estimate of the accumulated vertical displacement of the fault.

The youngest deposits identified in both trenches, apart from the anthropic top level (unit G), are units F and E (F younger than E). These units, attending to their relationship with the fault ruptures, pre--and post-date the seismic events. In the northeastern wall of Acopios 1 (Fig. 6), Unit E is affected by the northernmost strands of the fault. This fault strand is tapped by unit F. According to this geometry Unit F post-dates a seismic event that affected up to Unit E. On the other hand, Unit E post-dates a previous seismic event that affected at least up to Unit D1 (southernmost strands of the fault). Nevertheless, we cannot discard that this rupture also affected Unit D2, as nowadays it has been removed by the aggregates extraction. In Acopios 2 (Fig. 7), the northeastern wall also shows that Unit E is affected by the northernmost strands of the fault. This fault strand is tapped by unit F. According to this geometry Unit F post-dates a seismic event that affected up to Unit E in the same way that occurred at AT1. At the southwestern wall of this trench, it can be observed again that Unit F is not affected by any seismic event (no fault strand ruptures it), thus post-dating the last one. It is interesting to mention that in AT1 the thickness of Unit E is located on the downthrown block, while in AT2 is on the upthrown block. This fact could be explained by a local change in the kinematics evidencing the strike-slip movement of the fault. Nevertheless, this fact could be also related to the erodability of Unit C2.

[FIGURE 6 OMITTED]

[FIGURE 7 OMITTED]

In order to understand the fault rupture history, we have considered several working hypothesis attending to the stratigraphic position of the samples and their calibrated radiocarbon ages (Table 1, Fig. 8). We have labelled them as preferred, possible, and unlikely. Our preferred working hypothesis (Fig. 8, solid line) takes into account the simple law of superposition (i.e.: the lower, the older). The samples along this solid line has been used as a reference age for constraining the date of seismic events. Observing the solid line (as well as the other working hypothesis lines), those samples out of the line to the right, and therefore anomalously younger, are interpreted as contaminated by recent pedogenic processes (by recent organic matter). On the contrary, those samples out of the line to the left, and therefore anomalously older, are interpreted either as reworked samples or in relation to the aforementioned "limestone problem" when radiocarbon dating is used in gastropod shells.

We consider as unlikely that working hypothesis which includes samples A1N-3 and A2.2, since that hypothesis would imply to discard the samples A2.1 and A2.7 interpreting them as contaminated by recent pedogenic processes. Such an interpretation is not very reliable regarding the depth where they were taken from.

The working hypothesis labelled as possible includes the maximum number of samples, which allow us to build also a stronger record. However, that would imply to interpret the sample A1N-6 as reworked, which is more difficult to justify since the nature of the dated material (organic sediment). Nevertheless, we consider this working hypothesis as possible.

We have identified the occurrence of at least two paleoseismic events. Unit F is the oldest unit without rupture, so it post-dates the last seismic event identified at Acopios 1 NE wall (A1NE) and Acopios 2 SW wall (A2SW) (Figs. 6, 7). Considering the age of the sample A1N-6 as representative of Unit E (preferred working hypothesis, solid line in Fig. 8), the youngest unit affected by the fault, we can estimate the occurrence of this event between 2,780 and 2,140 cal. yr BP. If we consider the age from sample A1N-7 as representative of Unit E (possible working hypothesis, dashed line in Fig. 8), then it could be possible to constrain the range between 2,350 and 2,140 cal. yr BP. This is the last event identified in these trenches related to the LTF. The previous one did not affect Unit E (A1NE and A2NE), so it had to occur before its deposition, and therefore, before 2,740 cal. yr BP. This penultimate event did affect Unit D1, but we have not found any evidence of rupturing Unit D2 without affecting Unit E, so the oldest date reference has to be that from Unit D1. Hence a penultimate event might occur in an interval between 9,000 and 2,740 cal. yr BP. The intense deformation affecting the underlying Units C and B may be the result of the summation of a number of older events.

[FIGURE 8 OMITTED]

[FIGURE 9 OMITTED]

Regarding to the distribution of the sedimentary units at both sides of the fault, the vertical offset can only be estimated for the last registered event by using the base of unit E. Unfortunately, the poor lateral continuity, the erosive base, the variable thickness or even the absence of this unit in some cases, together with the lateral movement of the fault, offer a wide range of values varying from 12 to more than 50 cm. We consider as a realistic value that one measured at the base of unit E on the northeastern wall of Acopios 1 trench (Fig. 6) giving a value of 12 [+ or -] 2 cm.

5.2. Hueso Trench

The Hueso trench is the northernmost one along the LTF trace (Fig. 3). In this area the fault controls a conspicuous relief front that shows a hard calcrete-crust developed over Pleistocene alluvial fan deposits dipping towards northwest. The trench was placed cutting through a small alluvial fan coming out from the relief.

In the Hueso trench walls two main sedimentary formations can be distinguished (a detailed description of the stratigraphic units can be seen in the legend of Fig. 9). The oldest one (units A to E), at the lower part to the SE, corresponds to the Pleistocene alluvial fan deposits in which the calcrete-crust was developed (unit B). The whole formation, up to unit E, dips to the northwest. The dip is higher (45[degrees]) towards the SE while decrease towards the NW. The overlying formation (units FSG, FS, and FG) lies unconformably. This younger formation is also an alluvial fan deposit belonging to the sediments located all along the downthrown block of the fault trace. It shows massive layering with generalized lateral facies variation and evidence of channel incision. In such an environment it is difficult to distinguish clearly the dip of the formation.

The trench was dug for more than 70 m and no fault plane was found (Fig. 9). However, this trench provides valuable information confirming the oblique strike-slip character of the fault. We interpret this part of the trace as a fault restraining bend (Fig. 3). The northwest dipping older formation, which includes the calcrete-crust, would form the northern limb of an open NE-SW anticline that accommodates the deformation of this fault relay.

5.3. Rio Trench

The Rio trench (RT) was dug across a subtle elongated depression related to the current drainage network of the area (Fig. 5), as can be also seen in the topographic profile of the trench log (Fig 10). The trench had a length of 17 m and a depth of 4 m; and it was dug in a NW-SE direction, perpendicular to the depression, and so to the surface-trace expression of the fault interpreted from aerial photography. The trench revealed a fairly horizontal sedimentary sequence disrupted by a topple landslide located in the central part. No evidence of unambiguous tectonic faulting was found in the trench.

[FIGURE 10 OMITTED]

The horizontal sedimentary sequence (units A, B, C and D) (a detailed description of the stratigraphic units can be seen in the legend of Fig. 10) can be observed at both ends of the trench. The three first units (A, B and C) correspond to distal facies of alluvial fan deposits. The fourth (Unit D), together with a fifth one (Unit E), are made up of sediments deposited in a lacustrine and fluvio-palustrine environment. Unit E can be observed on the central part of the wall trench, overlying Unit D on top of the topple landslide. This toppled block lies over Unit H, which together with Unit G filled up partially the rambla before the toppling. However, we cannot discard some piping and filling processes to explain any of these two units. Finally, the landslide mass is overlain by different loose, silty units (I, J and K) corresponding to different stages of the subsequent erosion and filling processes.

We interpret the distribution of the units to be the result of an external geodynamic process of slope failure or collapse involving an abrupt eroded channel, or even a piping process. Whatever the process, it must have been controlled by the previous presence of a weakness plane related to the LTF, regarding the straight linear pattern of the drainage network at this site (Fig. 5). Such a presence of a weakness plane implies the occurrence of a surface fault rupture affecting up to the uppermost sedimentary unit (Unit E). This unit formed the flat equilibrium surface by the time when the fault-rupture reached up to the ground surface, before the regional erosional episode. Subsequently, the drainage network incision evolved until the collapse of the "rambla" walls. The final unit distribution is completed by the subsequent sediment filling. Such an external process has obscured any signal of the fault plane which should be located in depth at the central part of the studied trench. Similar features can be observed 2 km to the SW, at the intersection of the fault with the right embankment of Guadalentin River, strongly suggesting that the fault trace controls the occurrence of sub-superficial erosive processes in these loose materials.

Regarding this interpretation, a seismic event with surface rupture related to the LTF in this site should have occurred after the deposition of unit E and before the onset of the erosion process. In order to date the occurrence of this seismic event, we have considered the radiocarbon dating obtained from a number of samples taken from units D, and G to K (Table 1; sample positions given in Fig. 10). Based on the sample collected in unit D, the youngest dated unit affected by the fault, we can estimate that the seismic event took place after 2,740 cal. yr BP. On the other hand, the subsequent erosion process can be dated from the samples taken from the filling deposits. These samples from J and K units range from 2,000 (R1.9, sediment) to 1,200 cal. yr BP for charred material sample, and 4,000 cal. yr BP for sediment, respectively. The latter value (4,000 cal. yr BP, RN2, sediment) is not consistent with the other ages; its older age is interpreted as reworked old sediment. We interpret that the erosion process occurred before 2,000-1,880 cal. yr BP (sample R1.9). This age is consistent with the date given for the beginning of the main fluvial incision at this sector of the Guadalentin basin in ~2,500 cal. yr BP (Calmel-Avila, 2002). Therefore, the earthquake should have taken place between 2,740 and 1,880 (or 2,500) cal. yr BP.

[FIGURE 11 OMITTED]

Unfortunately, no other seismic events can be identified in this trench. However, the sedimentary sequence of Rio trench seems to appear relatively higher at the SE side than at the NW side, particularly the bottom contact of unit B. Even though this effect could be explained just considering a natural slight depositional slope (ca. 1[degrees]), it may be also related to vertical offset due to almost pure strike-slip faulting.

6. Discussion

According to empirical Mw scaling relationships and considering a 15 km surface rupture length, the LTF may produce earthquakes with magnitude Mw 6.3-6.6 (sensu Stirling et al., 2013). Two events have been identified in AT1 and AT2, and one in the RT. Taking into account the time distribution of these events in each trench, constrained by the age of the involved stratigraphic units, we have identified two earthquakes related to this fault within the Holocene (Fig. 11).

The last event identified in AT1 and AT2 between 2,780 and 2,140 cal. yr BP is consistent with the event identified in RT which occurred after 2,740 cal. yr BP. This evidence supports the occurrence of the last earthquake (EQ 1) between 2,740 and 2,140 cal. yr BP. This range of time could be bounded between 2,740 and 2,500 cal. yr BP if we consider the age of the regional fluvial incision (Calmel-Avila, 2002). This is the last earthquake with surface rupture produced by the LTF which is consistent with the lack of large historical earthquakes records in the seismic catalogue for this area (Fig. 1).

For the occurrence of previous events we can only consider the interpretation from AT1 and AT2. At least, one previous event occurred between 9,000 and 2,740 cal. yr BP. This would be a penultimate earthquake (EQ 2). Finally, an older earthquake is inferred attending to the intense deformation observed at AT1 and AT2 affecting the underlying units (EQ 3).

The identification of at least two earthquakes along the LTF and their time distribution, allows us to make a first estimation of the seismic recurrence interval (RI) (Fig. 11). A maximum RI results if we consider the occurrence of a single earthquake (EQ 2) between 9,000 and 2,740 cal. yr BP. The maximum RI reaches up to 6,860 years. If we assume a perfect characteristic earthquake model showing a constant periodic behaviour (cf. Scholz, 1992), this RI would imply the occurrence of the next earthquake (EQ 0) within the next ~4,700 years.

A minimum RI can be estimated taking into account that no earthquake has occurred since 2,140 cal. yr BP. Knowing that the reference-time for Present in radiocarbon dating is AD 1,950; the time elapsed since the last event (EQ1) is therefore ~2,200 years. This value can be taken as the minimum possible RI, as no major earthquake has yet occurred since the last one. A minimum value of 2,200 years for RI, assuming a perfect characteristic earthquake model, agrees the occurrence of a penultimate earthquake (EQ2) within the estimated range of time. However, we cannot confirm such a minimum RI solely from the data obtained in our trenches.

Intermediate credible values for RI can be estimated if we consider the occurrence of a third earthquake (EQ3) right before of the aforementioned range of occurrence for EQ2. Depending on the occurrence of EQ1, the RI varies between 3,130 and 3,250 years, bringing the occurrence of EQ0 within the next ~325 and ~700 years, respectively. These values of RI also imply the occurrence of three to four earthquakes within the Holocene. We could not identify unequivocally these possible earthquakes in our trenches but we cannot discard their occurrence within this period. The lack of record from these possible earthquakes in AT1 and AT2 could be explained by an erosional process that has removed the upper part of unit D2. On the other hand, the difference in height observed at the base of unit B at RT might be evidencing a coseismic vertical offset (Fig. 11).

A slip rate for the LTF can be estimated taking into account the RIs previously discussed, together with the minimum vertical displacement observed in the Acopios trenches (Table 2). A value of 12 [+ or -] 2 cm for the vertical displacement has been considered as representative. Such value provides a net displacement between 39 and 54 cm when considering a 15[degrees]SW rake from the striae measured in AT2. These values are very consistent with the average (33 cm) and maximum (47 cm) displacement obtained from Wells and Coppersmith (1994) empirical relationships based on surface rupture length (SRL = 15 km) (Table 2). Considering the four different RI discussed above, the complete set of possible net slip rate values would range from 0.06 to 0.25 mm/yr, being the range of 0.12 to 0.17 mm/yr our preferred estimation, and 0.15 mm/yr the mean.

The seismogenic parameters obtained here for the LTF (maximum magnitude, slip rate and recurrence interval) are fairly coherent with those obtained for other faults of the EBSZ (Table 3). Empirical estimation of the maximum magnitude of a fault is commonly derived from the length of the fault. It can be observed a consistency between this feature of the LTF and the other faults considering each of their segments. This observation might lead us to consider the LTF as a segment of a major structure together with the Carrascoy fault. However, it has been shown in on-going investigations (Martin-Banda et al., 2014) that the active front of the Carrascoy fault shows pure reverse faulting with a low angle dipping plane (Canaricos-Cuevas del Norte Fault, See Fig. 2), which does not fit the geometry and kinematics of the LTF. It can also be observed the lack of continuity between both fault traces. The activity of the LTF must be independent from the Carrascoy Fault, though both faults are related in the EBSZ context.

The values of slip rate for the LTF are consistent with the range of values from the other EBSZ faults. The recurrence interval of the LTF is also comparable with the rest of faults of the EBSZ, presenting the LTF one of the shortest ones. That would mean that the LTF has had a significant activity within the region. However, this situation disagrees with the subtle topographic expression of the fault if we compare it to the rest of the faults, which makes us to consider the LTF as a younger formed fault within the EBSZ. The beginning of the relative movement of the fault lifted up the southern block, what could have blocked the access to the Mediterranean Sea of the Guadalentin River through the Campo de Cartagena basin, producing an endorheic environment (Silva et al., 2008) on the northern downthrown block. Hence, the age of formation of the fault could be related with the onset of the endorheic conditions of the Guadalentin Depression after the blockage of the river flow to the SE at the end of the Middle Pleistocene (Silva, 1994).

7. Conclusions

The geomorphic and paleoseismological evidence described in this work point out the existence of a new Quaternary tectonic feature, the Los Tollos Fault (LTF), within the Eastern Betic Shear Zone (EBSZ). The LTF is a left lateral strike-slip fault affecting Holocene deposits. At least two earthquakes have been identified during the Holocene. The last one occurred between 2,740 and 2,140 cal. yr BP, and a previous one between 9,000 and 2,740 cal. yr BP. Regarding the time distribution of the identified earthquakes, a recurrence interval in the range of 2,200 to 6,860 years has been estimated. We have calculated a net offset between 39 and 54 cm, which is consistent with the empirical relationships of Wells and Coppersmith (1994). These values provide a range of possible net slip rate from 0.06 to 0.25 mm/yr, being our preferred estimation in the range 0.12-0.17 mm/yr. We have estimated a total fault length of 15 km, capable to generate a potential maximum magnitude earthquake between Mw 6.3-6.6.

The Los Tollos Fault should be considered in future seismic hazard assessments in the region due to its close location to densely populated villages and to downtown Murcia, the largest city of the region with almost half a million inhabitants.

http://dx.doi.org/10.5209/rev_JIGE.2015.v41.n3.49948

Acknowledgments

This work forms part of the research activities carried out in the FASEGEO Project (CGL2009-09726) funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation. The authors greatly appreciate the carefully revision of Hector Perea and Ivan Martin Rojas that lead to an improved version of the manuscript.

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J.M. Insua-Arevalo (1) *, J. Garcia-Mayordomo (2), A. Salazar (2), E. Rodriguez-Escudero (3), R. Martin-Banda (1,2), J.A. Alvarez-Gomez (1), C. Canora (4), J.J. Martinez-Diaz (1,5)

(1) Department of Geodynamics, Faculty of Geological Sciences, Complutense University of Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain.

(2) Instituto Geologico y Minero de Espana (IGME), c. Rios Rosas, 23. 28003 Madrid, Spain.

(3) Department of Geology, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, 28049 Madrid, Spain.

(4) Instituto Superior Tecnico de Lisboa, Departamento de Sismologia, Av. Rovisco Pais 1, 1049-001 Lisboa, Portugal

(5) Geosciences Institute IGEO (UCM, CSIC), c. Jose Antonio Novais, 12, 28040 Madrid, Spain.

e-mail addresses: insuarev@ucm.es (J.M.I-A.*Corresponding author), julian.garcia@igme.es (J.G-M.), a.salazar@igme.es (A.S.), emilio. rodriguez@uam.es (E.R-E.) raqueliensse@hotmail.com (R.M-B.), jaalvare@ucm.es (J.A.A-G.), ccanora@ucm.es (C.C.), jmdiaz@ucm.es (J.J.M-D.)

Received: 24 September 2015 / Accepted: 20 November 2015 / Available online: 20 December 2015
Table 1.-AMS-radiocarbon dated samples. All the samples were dated by
Beta Analytic Inc. The calendar calibrated ages are calculated by Beta
Analytic from the conventional radiocarbon age and listed as two
standard deviation calibrated results with a 95% confidence. Different
intervals for calibrated ages represent different possible brackets of
age. (BC: before Christ, AD: Anno Domini, BP: before Present).

SAMPLE   TRENCH      WALL   UNIT   DATED MATERIAL     CONVENTIONAL AGE

A1N-4    Acopios 1   NE     D2     organic sediment   2,420 +/- 30 BP

A1.30    Acopios 1   NE     E      snail shell        10,240 +/- 40 BP

A1N-3    Acopios 1   SW     D2     organic sediment   13,980 +/- 60 BP

A1N-6    Acopios 1   SW     E      organic sediment   2,650 +/- 30 BP

A1N-7    Acopios 1   SW     E      organic sediment   2,300 +/- 30 BP

A1.3     Acopios 1   SW     F      charred material   1,790 +/- 30 BP

A2.6     Acopios 2   NE     D1     snail shell        > 43,500 BP

A2.7     Acopios 2   NE     D1     organic sediment   11,460 +/- 50 BP
                                   filling snail
                                   shell

A2.2     Acopios 2   SW     D1     organic sediment   22,170 +/- 90 BP
                                   filling snail
                                   shell

A2.1     Acopios 2   SW     D1     organic sediment   7,980 +/- 40 BP
                                   filling snail
                                   shell

A2.3     Acopios 2   SW     F      organic sediment   2,210 +/- 30 BP

R1.23    Rio         NE     D      charred material   2,530 +/- 30 BP

RN-1     Rio         SW     A      organic sediment   3,580 +/- 30 BP

RN-4     Rio         SW     A      organic sediment   10,020 +/- 50 BP

R1.21    Rio         SW     A      organic sediment   6,380 +/- 40 BP
                                   filling snail
                                   shell

R1.21    Rio         SW     A      snail shell        11,050+/- 50 BP

R1.20    Rio         SW     H      charred material   190 +/- 30 BP

R1.4     Rio         SW     I-2    charred material   1,190 +/- 30 BP

R1.9     Rio         SW     J      organic sediment   2,000 +/- 30 BP

R1.24    Rio         SW     K      charred material   1,250 +/- 30 BP

RN-2     Rio         SW     K      organic sediment   4,060 +/- 30 BP

SAMPLE   2 SIGMA CALIBRATION (95% confidence)

A1N-4    Cal BC 740 to 690 (Cal BP 2,690 to 2,640)
         Cal BC 660 to 650 (Cal BP 2,610 to 2,600)
         Cal BC 550 to 400 (Cal BP 2,500 to 2,350)

A1.30    Cal BC 10,140 to 9,870 (Cal BP 12,090 to 11,820)

A1N-3    Cal BC 15,170 to 14,960 (Cal BP 17,120 to 16,910)

A1N-6    Cal BC 840 to 790 (Cal BP 2,780 to 2,740)

A1N-7    Cal BC 400 to 360 (Cal BP 2,350 to 2,310)
         Cal BC 270 to 260 (Cal BP 2,220 to 2,210)
A1.3     Cal AD 130 to 260 (Cal BP 1,820 to 1,690)
         Cal AD 280 to 330 (Cal BP 1,670 to 1,620)

A2.6

A2.7     Cal BC 11,440 to 11,310 (Cal BP 13,400 to 13,260)

A2.2     Cal BC 24,910 to 24,310 (Cal BP 26,860 to 26,260)

A2.1     Cal BC 7,050 to 6,700 (Cal BP 9,000 to 8,650)

A2.3     Cal BC 380 to 200 (Cal BP 2,330 to 2,140)

R1.23    Cal BC 790 to 730 (Cal BP 2,740 to 2,680)
         Cal BC 690 to 660 (Cal BP 2,640 to 2,610)
         Cal BC 650 to 540 (Cal BP 2,600 to 2,490)

RN-1     Cal BC 2,020 to 1,990 (Cal BP 3970 to 3940)
         Cal BC 1,980 to 1,880 (Cal BP 3,930 to 3,830)

RN-4     Cal BC 9,810 to 9,320 (Cal BP 11,760 to 11,270)

R1.21    Cal BC 5,470 to 5,300 (Cal BP 7,420 to 7,250)

R1.21    Cal BC 11,140 to 10,820 (Cal BP 13,090 to 12,770)

R1.20    Cal AD 1,650 to 1,690 (Cal BP 300 to 260)
         Cal AD 1,730 to 1,810 (Cal BP 220 to 140)
         Cal AD 1,920 to post 1,950 (Cal BP 30 to post 1,950)

R1.4     Cal AD 730 to 740 (Cal BP 1,220 to 1,210)
         Cal AD 770 to 900 (Cal BP 1,180 to 1,060)
         Cal AD 920 to 940 (Cal BP 1,030 to 1,010)

R1.9     Cal BC 50 Cal AD 70 (Cal BP 2000 to 1880)

R1.24    Cal AD 680 to 830 (Cal BP 1,270 to 1,120)
         Cal AD 840 to 870 (Cal BP 1,110 to 1,080)

RN-2     Cal BC 2,830 to 2,820 (Cal BP 4,780 to 4,770)
         Cal BC 2,660 to 2,640 (Cal BP 4,610 to 4,590)
         Cal BC 2,640 to 2,560 (Cal BP 4,590 to 4,510)
         Cal BC 2,560 to 2,550 (Cal BP 4,500 to 4,500)
         Cal BC 2,540 to 2,490 (Cal BP 4,490 to 4,440)

Table 2.-Slip rate of the LTF calculated for different recurrence
intervals (RI) and displacements considering a 15[degrees] rake striae
on a vertical fault plane, and from Wells and Coppersmith (1994)
empirical relationships of average and maximum displacement on surface
rupture length (SRL = 15 km). Preferred values defining a range are
shown in bold. referred maximum and minimum values are shown
underlined.

           DISPLACEMENT PER EVENT (cm)

                                Acopios 1 trench

                      Minimum                         Maximum

Slip      vertical   horizontal   net     vertical   horizontal   net
Rate
(mm/yr)

RI           10         37.7      38.6       14         52.2      54.1
(years)

2,200       0.05        0.17      0.18      0.06        0.24      0.25
3,130       0.03        0.12      0.12#     0.04        0.17      0.17#
3,250       0.03        0.12      0.12#     0.04        0.16      0.17#
6,860       0.02        0.05      0.06#     0.02        0.08      0.08

          Empirical relationship
               (SRL=15 km)

                  W&C94

Slip       Average      Maximum
Rate
(mm/yr)   net displ.   net displ.

RI            33           47
(years)

2,200        0.15         0.21
3,130        0.11         0.15
3,250        0.1          0.15
6,860        0.05         0.07

Note: Preferred values defining a range are indicated with #.

Table 3.-Seismogenic parameters of the faults and fault segments
forming the EBSZ.

                              Maximum     Slip Rate     Recurrence
FAULT / SEGMENTS              Magnitude   (mm/yr)       Interval (yrs)

Bajo Segura Fault (1)         6.9-7.1     0.20-0.40     7,434-13,973
   Guardamar                  6.6-6.8     0.12-0.31     8,716-21,495
   Benejuzar                  6.6-6.7     0.16-0.41     6,496-16,020
   Hurchillo                  6.6-6.8     0.23-0.61     4,446-10,963
Carrascoy Fault (2)           6.6-6.8     0.54          6,000-10,000

Los Tollos Fault (*)          6.3-6.7     0.12-0.17     ~3,200
                                          (0.06-0.25)   (2,220-6,860)

Alhama de Murcia Fautl (2,3)
   Alhama-Alcantarilla        6.2-6.8     0.03-0.07     13,000-35,000
   Totana-Alhama              5.6-6.2     ?             [greater than
                                                          or equal to]
                                                          10,000
   Lorca-Totana               6.5-6.7     0.30          2,000-5,000
   Gonar-Lorca                6.9-7.1     0.50          7,000-10,000

Palomares Fault (2)
   S. Almenara-S Hinojar      6.0-6.5     0.05          [greater than
                                                          or equal to]
                                                          10,000
   Carboneras-S. Almenara     6.2-6.3     0.04          10,000-30,000

Carboneras Fault (2)          7.1-7.7     1.10          13,500
   North                      6.6-7.2     0.04          ?
   South

(1) Alfaro et al. (2012); (2) QAFI database (IGME, 2012);
Garcia-Mayordomo et al. (2012); (3) Martinez-Diaz et al. (2012b), (*)
in this work.
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Title Annotation:texto en ingles
Author:Insua-Arevalo, J.M.; Garcia-Mayordomo, J.; Salazar, A.; Rodriguez-Escudero, E.; Martin-Banda, R.; Al
Publication:Journal of Iberian Geology
Date:Dec 1, 2015
Words:9326
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