New Market Research Report: Taiwan Infrastructure Report Q3 2016.
Continued export woes and the release of the soil liquefaction map will weigh on the outlook for Taiwan's construction sector. However, continued government investment in the transport and infrastructure sector will provide some support.
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
With the central bank in full monetary easing mode and a return to political stability in H216, we maintain our forecast for Taiwan's construction industry to grow by 1.8% y-o-y in 2016.
The release of the soil liquefaction map following a deadly 6.4 magnitude earthquake in February will present headwinds to the residential sector amid concerns over the structural integrity of the buildings.
We forecast the country's transport infrastructure sector to grow by 5.0% in 2016 due to continued government investment in the sector. With the new government affirming its commitment to developing the transport system, we believe the sector is set to maintain stable growth (averaging 3.3% over the next decade).
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While President Tsai Ing-wen's commitment to phase out nuclear by 2025 will likely gain the support of the population, we note that efforts to do so will face headwinds as it would require developing alternative sources of energy as well as increasing Taiwan's energy efficiency. With the country suffering from periodic electricity shortages from conventional sources, we maintain our expectations for the government to increase its investment in renewable energy and strengthen investment in coal and gas plants.
Challenging economic conditions will see the industry continue to grow at a slow pace in 2016 as the residential and non-residential sector faces continued headwinds. However, we expect growth to remain steady over the longer term (averaging 3.7% over the next decade).
A challenging housing market outlook has led Taiwan to maintain its 12th position in our latest Asia Pacific Risk Reward Index.
We see downside risks to the country's industry reward score over the coming quarters due to persistent export headwinds and considerably cooler cross-Strait ties.
The Taiwan Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.
BMI's Taiwan Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Taiwanese infrastructure and construction industry.
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|Date:||Jul 19, 2016|
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