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Lucky has top-four finish in sights.

SPREAD BETTING

Lucky Dance 2.35 Newbury Buy on index at 4 The seven-year-old is well suited by a straight mile, as he proved when springing a surprise (sent off 33-1) in a competitive Newmarket Class 2 handicap last October, and this galloping track should play to his strengths.

He goes well in big fields and according to Racing Post Ratings he's started the season on a high, as he posted a career- best figure of 98 when fifth behind Manassas - 5lb better off with that rival today - in the Lincoln consolation race at Doncaster 21 days ago, and there could be more to come.

That run has to go down as a decent effort, particularly as the ground, described as good to firm, may have been a shade too lively for him - he was outpaced at halfway but stayed on really well in the closing stages.

There looked to be a little more juice in the ground at Newbury yesterday, and any further rain would be in his favour, while, given that he needs plenty of driving, the booking of Seb Sanders has to be viewed as a positive.

The runners came down the centre of the track yesterday, so he looks well-drawn in stall ten, and with conditions in his favour a top-four finish is realistic for this underrated performer which is why he makes plenty of appeal to buyers at 4..

2.35 Newbury Sporting (50:30:20:10) 8-11 Charm School, 7-9 Manassas, 6-9 Muwatheeq, Zaahid, Huzzah, 5-7 Mia's Boy, Flipando, 4-6 Extraterrestrial, Spectait, Benandonner, Majuro, 3-5 Cordell, Fanjura, Jaser, Arabian Spirit, 2-4 Proponent, Whistledownwind, Boscage, Slugger O'Toole, Lucky Dance, 1-3 Alrazi, European Dream, Cobo Bay, Medici Pearl.

3.25 Ayr Sporting (100:70:50:30:20:10:5) 25-28 Chief Dan George, 23-26 Tricky Trickster, Nine De Sivola, 19-22 West End Rocker, Merigo, 15-18 That's Rhythm, 14-17 Gone To Lunch, 13-16 Sound Accord, Out The Black, Hello Bud, Chiaro, 12-15 According To John, 11-14 Dear Villez, Brooklyn Brownie, 10-13 Coe, 9-12 Sea Diva, 8-11 King Barry, 7-9 Arteea, Native Coral, L'Aventure, Le Toscan..

BETTING REPORT Fair poser for punters WHEN you get a horse unshipping its rider and running loose before the start, television pundits are often quick to ask whether it should be allowed to take its chance.

Well, we had an incident before the start of the first race at Newbury yesterday, when the Paul Cole-trained State Fair got rid of Jamie Spencer, and he drifted from about 15 when the pair were separated on Betfair to a pre-race high of 42. I am sure if you asked most punters if they would like to cancel their bet, should the horse start, the answer would be an overwhelming yes.

Still, common sense rarely prevails when it comes to punters' interests.

For the record, Spencer gave State Fair a good and sensible ride, producing him to hold every chance in the closing stages before the lack of experience told.

Although the debutant finished unplaced, he has ability and will win races this season.

High matched at 370 THE Barry Hills-trained High Heeled stormed into the Oaks picture after she quickened in the style of a smart filly to beat some highly regarded colts (runner-up Four Winds was matched at an in-running low of 1.25) at Newbury. She was available to back at 30 for the Epsom Classic on Betfair last night, but has been matched at a high of 370..
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Title Annotation:Sports
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Apr 18, 2009
Words:577
Previous Article:Chief can boss Ayr field off handy mark; POST TRADING.
Next Article:THE STATS THAT MATTER.


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