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Jardine expecting big run from The Gloaming.

Byline: Race analysis by Graeme Rodway REPORTING BY DAVID MILNES

A SINGLE-FIGURE draw is often favoured in sprints at Catterick and you would have made a profit by backing stalls one and two blind in 6f races at the track on ground described as good or faster since the start of 2016. However, that would not have been the case on softer going.

When conditions are softer than good the advantage swings towards the higher numbers and it is stalls ten and 11 which are most profitable. With the going described as soft, that has to be a concern for connections of likely favourite Vanitas, who is drawn in stall one.

Vanitas made a successful turf debut when landing a 13-runner handicap at

Pontefract last week and competes under a 6lb penalty. However, she has gone up only 4lb in the weights for that victory and would be carrying 2lb less if she had been competing off her new BHA mark.

Time Has Wings runs off a career-high BHA mark of 65 but the draw has worked out in her favour. She will race from stall ten and recorded her last win on good to soft going at Carlisle.

The form of her fifth on quick going in a 6f handicap at Thirsk last month has been franked by subsequent victories for the winner, third and sixth, and this softer ground is in her favour.

Ella Jo unseated her rider soon after the start but she had previously finished a good third in a fillies' maiden at this track on good to soft going and is another with a chance.

What they say David O'Meara, trainer of Vanitas She won well at Pontefract the other day but we're a bit concerned about the likely soft ground as she's only ever won on fast or the all-weather. Chris Richardson, racing manager to Cheveley Park Stud, owners of Credible She's a bit limited in terms of size and scope. She achieved plenty last year but we need to see a bit more from her here. Hopefully the first-time visor will make her concentrate. Karl Burke, trainer of Ella Jo I don't know what happened last time when she unseated after a furlong but she came back unscathed and has form around this track so we're hopeful.

David Barron, trainer of Time Has Wings and Annie Rose Time Has Wings should handle the ground as she won at Carlisle when there was some give in it. Annie Rose has to prove she goes on it as she's been running on the allweather.

Iain Jardine, trainer of The Gloaming She'll like the ease in the ground and has a decent draw so we're expecting her to run a big race.

Adrian Keatley, trainer of Mcgivern It's her first time in a handicap so the run will probably bring her on I'd imagine. She'll enjoy the ground.

Ben Haslam, trainer of Suntory Star She disappointed on her only previous run on soft at Carlisle but she may well have needed the run that day so we're not sure if that was a factor.

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Author:Race analysis by Graeme Rodway REPORTING BY DAVID MILNES
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Jul 7, 2021
Words:519
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