How stock markets can develop Africa: African stock exchanges are currently in their infant stages, but they should not give up. After all, both New York and the London Stock Exchanges took centuries to develop. (Na Market/Futures).
Companies raise their long-term finance through the issue of shares and loan stocks to members of the public and to institutional investors. The stock markets are therefore vital to firms wishing to raise long-term finance. Moreover, the stock markets offer the opportunity for equity (shares) or debt (loan stocks) holders to transfer their holdings from one investor to another.
Africa is a latecomer to the stock markers, but by 1995 there were stock markers in Botswana, Egypt, Ghana, Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya, Malawi, Mauritius, Morocco, Namibia, Nigeria, South Africa, Sudan, Swaziland, Tunisia, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
Egypt had the largest number of quoted companies (718) by 1995, whilst Zambia had the lowest number (18). But the world's best performing stock market in 1995 was Core d'Ivoire where the market price index rose by 140%.
The stock market is widely seen as an engine for economic growth. By channelling funds into African companies, stock markets can increase the volume of investment earmarked for harnessing the continent's economic potential.
A potential investor will not generally be prepared to take up issues of shares or loan stocks, unless the opportunity exists to liquidate his investments at any time. This investor will also be interested in whether his investment is efficiently priced. Market efficiency in the context of pricing implies that, at all times, all available information about a firm's prospects is fully and rationally reflected in that firm's security prices.
Despite the benefits of the capital markets, problems exist in many African countries. First, the stock markets are still in their infancy, and the infrastructure required to run an efficient stock market has only been partially introduced.
Second, the size of the African stock markets is very small. In 1995, Egypt and South Africa had 718 and 646 quoted companies respectively. On the other hand, Ghana, Botswana, Zambia and Swaziland had 18, 12, 8 and 4 quoted companies respectively.
While the New York and London Stock Exchanges, for example, channel huge amounts of capital to their home countries, smaller exchanges in Africa cannot.
In 1995, the total value of all the shares listed on all the African stock exchanges was $309 billion. Out of this, South Africa's share was $281 billion, leaving the rest of Africa with a total market capitalisation of only $28 billion. But we must not forget that both the New York and London Stock Exchanges took centuries to develop (in terms of New York, 200 years). So the Africans must not give up, despite the current teething problems.
Third, most of Africa's capital markets lack liquidity. Shareholders find it difficult to sell their shares as buyers are difficult to find. Added to this, is the time-consuming administrative procedures involved in purchasing and delivering shares.
Fourth, there is the problem of poverty. There has been a decline in savings in most parts of Africa. Between 1975 and 1984, sub-Saharan Africa's total savings was about 18% of the region's gross national product and the figure reduced to 11% between 1990 and 1997. In most African countries, the income of the average worker cannot even feed his or her family. You don't expect such a person to find money to invest on the stock market?
The fifth problem is inflation. Inflation has become one of the biggest problems facing many economies in Africa. High inflation leads to higher prices (including wages). It also squeezes corporate profits, which means that there are not enough profits for distribution as dividend (to shareholders). Similarly, inflation and currency depreciation increase the cost of living and lead labour unrest as workers demand wage increases.
Lastly, there is the debt problem in Africa -- so huge that funds that could have been used to develop the region's infrastructure or to reduce their citizens' tax burden are being used to pay off foreign debt.
What solutions are there? A number of suggestions are often discussed.
First, there is a call for the merger of African stock markets into larger regional ones to be based in Cote d'Ivoire (West Africa), Kenya (East Africa), South Africa (Southern Africa) and Egypt (North Africa). With increased numbers of listed companies and more funds for developing the regional infrastructure, these exchanges will attract greater interest from investors.
Second, there is the need for electronic trading. This will improve efficiency and liquidity as buyers and sellers will be matched automatically. In the UK, for example, a contract to buy or sell a share takes five working days (nominal accounts) or 10 working days (certificated shares) to settle.
Third, there is the need to speed up the privatisation of state-owned enterprises as this will foster the development of capital markets. But privatisation, which is the sale of state enterprises to the private sector, has becomes contentious issue in Africa.
Supporters of privatisation argue that it provides the government with a short-term source of revenue and also promotes competition and efficiency in the privatised companies. Nevertheless, opponents of privatisation argue that monopoly abuse is maintained by transferring socially-owned and accountable public monopolies into weakly regulated and less accountable private monopolies. To solve this problem, African countries embarking on privatisation could emulate the British example of appointing regulators for the various privatised industries.
Fourth, the remedies for inflation include controlled government expenditure. High money supply also needs to be checked to prevent economic instability. But, how many African governments have been successful at controlling their expenditures? What is needed in Africa is monetary stability which can be achieved through the establishment of a strongly independent central bank that can resist government demands for more (printed) money to finance budget deficits.
In conclusion, the two greatest challenges ahead are increased domestic participation and proper management of the African economies. Increased domestic participation will reduce the proportion of foreign ownership of African shares. And proper management of the economy will boost local and foreign confidence in stock market investment in Africa.
|Printer friendly Cite/link Email Feedback|
|Title Annotation:||economic development|
|Date:||Jan 1, 2001|
|Previous Article:||Police corruption: Shame on you the police, for discrediting a beautiful country like Kenya. (Opinion).|
|Next Article:||The inheritance of Sickle Cell Disease. (Medical Themes).|