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Horse Racing: THE STATS THAT MATTER; TRADING POST.

Byline: Matt Williams

Roger Ingram is top of the most unpopular list in racing - Signpost's Cold trainers. The Epsom handler has gone 143 days and 58 runners without a winner and saddles Double Valentine, arguably very well handicapped on his last two pieces of form at the track, in the 3.25 at Kempton.

75%

Jane Chapple-Hyam has won with three of her last four runners (75%) and is represented by Hero Heart in the opener (12.45) at Kempton, a course at which she boasts an impressive 26% strike-rate.

Simon Whitworth is the most inform jockey in England, having ridded three winners from his last nine rides. He gets the leg-up on Takitwo (2.20) and Patavium Prince (3.25) at Kempton.

Machinate is forecast as 6-1 third favourite for the 1.45 at Kempton, but he has never run within 15lb of his best form running righthanded.

Stephen Donohoe has gone 44 rides and 322 days without a winner at Kempton and gets only one chace (Cavallo Di Ferro, 1.45) to end that spell today.

pounds 30.92

The size of the Leopardstown fields may put some punters off, but favourite backers will have had a field day since 2004. Just over half (52%) of non-handicap hurdles have been won by the market leader for a level-stake profit of pounds 30.92, while the jolly's strike-rate in handicaps over fences and hurdles is 32% and gives a level-stake profit of pounds 33.40.

John Best's Hucking Hill is turning into a course specialist at Kempton. From ten starts he has finished in the first two five times (three wins) and goes again in the 2.55.

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John Best: Trains course specialist Hucking Hill
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Title Annotation:Sports
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Jan 13, 2008
Words:288
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