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Horse Racing: Guineas winners will get you off to a flyer; FLAT TEN TO FOLLOW.

THE slight setback to Teofilo is an obvious worry, but provided he recovers quickly we could be in for a real treat this summer.

Not since the great Nijinsky has any colt won the 2,000 Guineas, Derby and St Leger, and if Jim Bolger's huge talent gets through the middle leg with his unbeaten record still intact, the build-up to the Leger will be something to behold. He looks the real deal and must be favourite to score the most points in this competition, so don't try to be clever by leaving him out.

If anything is going to beat Teofilo in the 2,000 Guineas, I think it will be the Paul Cole-trained Strategic Prince. He ran a great race to finish third in the Dewhurst on unsuitable ground, and if it comes up good or faster on May 5, he won't be far away.

It's important to include both Guineas winners to get us off to a flying start in the Ten to Follow, so by selecting Finsceal Beo and Sander Camillo, I reckon we've got the Stan James 1,000 Guineas well boxed off.

The former looked awesome when winning the Group 1 Prix Marcel Boussac, and defied a penalty to brush aside decent opposition in the Rockfel. If she's in the same form, I can't see anything having the game to beat her, with the possible exception of Sander Camillo, who returns in the Nell Gwyn today. Jeremy Noseda is raving about her, but she'll need the sun to keep shining between now and Guineas day.

The Vodafone Derby will more than likely be won by Teofilo, but I rate the Godolphin-owned Eastern Anthem a smart middle-distance prospect. He can win in Group company, and if he fails at Epsom I'm sure other big races - and that means big points - will come his way.

Henry Cecil has been away from the big time for too long, but Passage Of Time gives him a real chance of Classic glory. She showed plenty of class to win a Group 1 in France last season and at this stage deserves her place at the head of the Oaks market.

Of the older horses, St Leger winner Sixties Icon progressed throughout last season will win his share, as will last season's Gold Cup hero Yeats, who once again looks to have the staying division tucked up nicely in his pocket - he's in a different league from the rest.

Another Ballydoyle inmate, Dylan Thomas, ran out an impressive winner of the Irish Derby and went on to prove his versatility by nailing Ouija Board in the Irish Champion.

After a successful comeback, he's got loads of options and ought to win at least one Group 1; two would be nice.

The sprinting division was dominated by the likes of Les Arcs and Reverence last season, but I feel a new wave will take over. The Richard Hannon-trained Asset has been gelded since last season and, although best known for his exploits over 7f and 1m, I feel he has the potential to develop into a top-notch sprinter. He ran well to finish second in the Jersey last season, but he can better that by dropping down to 6f and is a Groupclass speedster waiting to happen.

The theory will be tested when he returns at Newmarket tomorrow.

The introduction of substitutions for the jumps Ten to Follow two years ago proved popular, and I expect a similar reaction now the Flat version has followed suit. Substituting the right horses will make all the difference and here's a scenario for you: Dutch Art will be popular early on, but if he flops in the 2,000 Guineas he might be ejected from plenty of lists. I can't see his winning at Newmarket, but he'd be on my shortlist for a transfer in, as he's going to be a much better sprinter and could score heavily later on.

MY TEN TO FOLLOW

Matt Williams, Trading Post

Ref no Horse

1038 Asset

1148 Dylan Thomas

1150 Eastern Anthem

1174 Finsceal Beo

1327 Passage Of Time

1374 Sander Camillo

1405 Sixties Icon

1424 Strategic Prince

1445 Teofilo

1494 Yeats

CAPTION(S):

Aidan O'Brien with Dylan Thomas, who should win at least one Group 1
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Title Annotation:Sports
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Apr 18, 2007
Words:710
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