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Don't forget to back Memory for Guineas success; TRADING POST.

Byline: James Pyman

Nap of the day Memory 3.15 Newmarket Richard Hughes could not have been more bullish about the Richard Hannontrained Memory's chances of winning the Qipco 1,000 Guineas in yesterday's Racing Post column and we have learned in recent seasons that when the Hannon team talk up top horses their confidence is usually justified.

They were spot-on with their assessment of Paco Boy, who silenced the doubters with victories in the the 2009 Queen Anne and 2010 Lockinge, while last season Canford Cliffs was the subject of rave reviews just before the Irish 2,000 Guineas, which he won, heavily backed, by three lengths.

The fact Memory has been described by Hannon as his best ever chance of winning the 1,000 Guineas has to be viewed as a major positive, especially as Hughes appears to concur.

Memory showed signs of possessing the star quality required to win a Classic last season when she produced a devastating change of gear to win her first three races. She was arguably most impressive when coming from last to first and overcoming trouble in running to win the Group 2 Cherry Hinton on her third start.

It's hard to know what went wrong on Memory's final start in the Moyglare but the positive vibes coming out of the Hannon stable suggest we should draw a line through that effort.

Lay of the day Art History 5.35 Newmarket The progressive three-year-old is likely to start at a short price given that he's won his last three, with the latest success coming in a course and distance handicap 17 days ago that features Papal Bull, Bronze Cannon and Wigmore Hall on its roll of honour.

This is only Art History's fifth career start and with Mark Johnston excelling with three-year-old middle-distance performers, further improvement can be expected. However, there are reasons to believe that he may be vulnerable.

He had a fitness advantage over some of his rivals last time, including third Sergeant Ablett, who he reopposes on 4lb worse terms, so he will need to raise his game just to confirm the form. Sergeant Ablett is not his only serious rival, as Barney Rebel, Bridle Belle and Buthelezi are open to improvement.

Today's pointers The French are aiming to win the Qipco 1,000 Guineas (3.15 Newmarket) for the third time in four seasons, but if you fancy any of their three raiders, don't back them on the Tote. Frenchbased punters are able to back into the Tote pools and this resulted in last year's winner Special Duty, trained by Criquette Head-Maarek, returning a win Tote dividend of 5-2 when her SP was 9-2. With Moonlight Cloud already favourite with British bookmakers, a similarly poor Tote return looks likely.

Serena Brotherton is the first port of call for many in lady riders' races and she's an interesting booking for the George Baker-trained George Baker in the 7f handicap at Salisbury (5.15). Baker has figures of 1612 in races restricted to lady jockeys in the last three seasons, while Brotherton is one win from one ride for the trainer. Bajan Flash touched a low of 1.21 in running when second over 1m1f at Redcar last time but was headed near the line, so connections hope that coming back a furlong will allow him to go one better at Hamilton (4.50).

Yesterday 's highlights **Native Ruler came within a whisker of defying a 631-day absence in the Group 2 Qipco Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket, trading at 1.01 (pounds 15,000 matched) deep inside the final furlong, but Henry Cecil's five-year-old was headed on the line by Dandino who was matched at 1,000. The pair could lock horns in the Yorkshire Cup, and if Native Ruler improves for the outing he's entitled to turn the tables.

L'Ami Louis 1.50 Salisbury SP forecast 7-4 Henry Candy does well with sprinters and this Elusive City gelding showed plenty of pace on only his second start to finish third behind Commendable in a 7f Newmarket maiden 18 days ago. He should strip fitter now, while dropping back a furlong promises to suit. The Candy stable have won two of the last ten runnings of this race - with Penelewey (2003) and The Confessor (2010). Conclusion Has a progressive profile and, given Candy's strong record in this event and the fact his runners often come on a fair bit for their seasonal debuts, we can expect L'Ami Louis to prove hard to beat. At around the 7-4 he'd be a solid betting proposition.

Tell Dad 4.25 Newmarket SP forecast 11-8 Lack of experience possibly cost the Richard Hannon-trained two-year-old on his debut, when he was just touched off by the more streetwise Jack Who's He over the course and distance 18 days ago. He travelled better than the winner for much of the contest and traded at low of 1.08 in running, and should know more this time. Hannon is 28-92 with juveniles partnered by Richard Hughes second-time-out in the last three seasons. Conclusion Likely to offer more in the finish today, but a better-value alternative could be Chunky Diamond, who showed ability on his debut at Newbury. With nine going to post appeals as an each-way wager.
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Title Annotation:Sports
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:May 1, 2011
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