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Diffusion Patterns of Egypt's Islamist Insurgency.

With the end of the Cold War, the global backdrop with which many conflicts were portrayed has been discarded. Once again, the regional characteristics of conflicts are assuming paramount importance. In regard to domestic insurgencies, much of the existing research focuses on transnational comparative studies. This study takes a different course, it provides insight into the geographic patterns of an insurgency at the national and sub-national scales. By studying the dynamics of insurgent unrest at varying scales, a better model can be developed in regard to conflict early warning and conflict resolution. This paper details the results of research focusing on Egypt's Islamist insurgency of the 1990s. It draws on a spatially-aggregated database of insurgency-related violent incidents to examine the spatial patterns of the insurgency at the provincial level for the entire Nile River system and at the district level for Upper Egypt. Although religious believes serve as the vehicle for expressing societal discontent, evidence suggests that a number of socioeconomic variables contributed to the outbreak of violence.
Chuck Fahrer
Department of Geography
University of South Carolina, Columbia
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Author:Fahrer, Chuck
Publication:Bulletin of the South Carolina Academy of Science
Article Type:Brief Article
Geographic Code:7EGYP
Date:Jan 1, 2001
Words:178
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