Printer Friendly

Consumer confidence and buying plans.

Consumer Confidence and Buying Plans

Based on surveys conducted by NFO Research, Inc.
Percentage of households = 100%

Business Employment Income Inflation Stock Prices

                                      2002             2003

All series seasonally adjusted    Nov.     Dec.     Jan.     Feb.

                                      Composite Series: Index
                                        Numbers, 1985=100

Consumer Confidence Index         84.9     80.7     78.8     64.8
   Present Situation              78.3     69.6     75.3     63.5
   Expectations                   89.3     88.1     81.1     65.7

                                        Appraisal of Present
                                         Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
   Good                           16.1     14.5     15.0     13.6
   Bad                            25.7     25.9     26.7     29.6
   Normal                         58.2     59.6     58.3     56.8
Employment
   Jobs plentiful                 14.2     12.3     14.5     11.4
   Jobs not so plentiful          58.5     58.0     56.6     58.6
   Jobs hard to get               27.3     29.7     28.9     30.0

                                         Expectations for Six
                                        Months Hence: Percent
Business Conditions
   Better                         20.3     21.1     17.7     14.9
   Worse                          11.3     11.0     14.0     19.1
   Same                           68.4     67.9     68.3     66.0
Employment
   More jobs                      15.4     15.4     14.2     12.4
   Fewer jobs                     18.8     20.2     21.2     28.5
   Same                           65.8     64.4     64.6     59.1
Income
   Increase                       19.4     19.6     18.4     16.0
   Decrease                        9.9     10.7     10.2     12.2
   Same                           70.7     69.7     71.4     71.8

                                         Plans to Buy Within
                                         Six Months: Percent
Automobile
   Yes                             6.8      7.7      6.8      6.9
   New                             2.8      3.3      3.0      2.8
   Used                            2.4      3.4      3.0      3.0
   Uncertain                       1.6      1.0      0.8      1.1
Home
   Yes                             3.1      3.2      3.6      3.8
   New                             0.8      1.0      1.2      1.0
   Lived in                        1.5      1.4      1.7      1.7
   Uncertain                       0.8      0.8      0.7      1.1
Major appliances
   Total plans                    28.6     28.4     28.2     27.5
   Refrigerator                    3.9      4.5      5.8      4.1
   Washing machine                 3.4      3.5      3.4      3.9
   TV Set                          6.7      7.5      6.3      6.1
   Vacuum Cleaner                  5.4      4.8      4.3      5.3
   Range                           3.0      3.0      3.3      2.7
   Clothes dryer                   3.4      3.4      3.1      3.5
   Air conditioner                 2.8      1.7      2.0      1.9
Carpet                             5.2      5.2      5.6      5.0

                                           Vacation Intended
                                           Within Six Months:
                                               Percent

Vacation Intended                          43.3              42.7
 Destination
   U.S.                                    34.7              35.5
   Foreign country                          9.1               8.7
Means of Travel
   Automobile                              23.7              23.8
   Airplane                                16.0              17.5
   Other                                    4.3               3.6

Not Seasonally
Adjusted

                                     Expectations for Twelve
                                      Months Hence: Percent

Inflation Rate
   Average                         4.1      4.4      4.4      4.8

Interest Rates
   Higher                         42.1     43.5     43.7     41.7
   Same                           35.8     38.9     39.9     38.4
   Lower                          22.1     17.6     16.4     19.9

Stock Prices
   Increase                       34.4     33.3     31.3     25.2
   Same                           35.3     34.9     34.6     32.6
   Decrease                       30.3     31.8     34.1     42.2

                                           2003

All series seasonally adjusted    Mar.     Apr.      May

                                  Composite Series: Index
                                    Numbers, 1985=100

Consumer Confidence Index         61.4     81.0     83.6
   Present Situation              61.4     75.2     67.3
   Expectations                   61.4     84.8     94.5

                                   Appraisal of Present
                                    Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
   Good                           13.6     16.2     16.1
   Bad                            30.0     23.9     28.4
   Normal                         56.4     59.9     55.5
Employment
   Jobs plentiful                 11.4     13.0     12.3
   Jobs not so plentiful          56.3     57.6     54.8
   Jobs hard to get               32.3     29.4     32.9

                                    Expectations for Six
                                   Months Hence: Percent

Business Conditions
   Better                         13.0     18.9     22.8
   Worse                          20.0     12.3      9.6
   Same                           67.0     68.8     67.6
Employment
   More jobs                      10.8     16.4     17.9
   Fewer jobs                     26.5     20.9     17.8
   Same                           62.7     62.7     64.3
Income
   Increase                       15.8     17.2     17.1
   Decrease                       13.4     10.7      9.7
   Same                           70.8     72.1     73.2

                                    Plans to Buy Within
                                    Six Months: Percent

Automobile
   Yes                             6.6      6.0      7.7
   New                             3.0      2.8      3.7
   Used                            2.8      2.1      2.5
   Uncertain                       0.8      1.1      1.5
Home
   Yes                             3.2      3.4      3.8
   New                             0.9      1.3      1.1
   Lived in                        1.3      1.4      1.7
   Uncertain                       1.0      0.7      1.0
Major appliances
   Total plans                    28.2     29.7     31.6
   Refrigerator                    5.3      4.7      5.9
   Washing machine                 3.0      3.7      3.9
   TV Set                          6.7      7.0      7.3
   Vacuum Cleaner                  5.1      4.9      5.1
   Range                           3.1      3.1      3.8
   Clothes dryer                   3.2      4.1      3.6
   Air conditioner                 1.8      2.2      2.0
Carpet                             6.1      5.6      5.5

                                     Vacation Intended
                                     Within Six Months:
                                         Percent

Vacation Intended                          42.4
 Destination
   U.S.                                    37.0
   Foreign country                          7.1
Means of Travel
   Automobile                              24.7
   Airplane                                17.3
   Other                                    3.3

Not Seasonally
Adjusted

                                  Expectations for Twelve
                                    Months Hence: Percent

Inflation Rate
   Average                         5.0      4.5      4.1

Interest Rates
   Higher                         39.9     45.4     44.5
   Same                           38.0     35.9     40.8
   Lower                          22.1     18.7     14.7

Stock Prices
   Increase                       22.9     35.1     36.1
   Same                           30.5     32.7     38.7
   Decrease                       46.6     32.2     25.2

                                               2003

All series seasonally adjusted    June     July     Aug.     Sept.

                                      Composite Series: Index
                                        Numbers, 1985=100

Consumer Confidence Index         83.5     77.0     81.7      77.0
   Present Situation              64.2     63.0     62.0      59.7
   Expectations                   96.4     86.3     94.9      88.5

                                        Appraisal of Present
                                         Situation: Percent
Business Conditions
   Good                           14.9     16.5     15.9      16.2
   Bad                            28.1     30.2     31.0      29.5
   Normal                         57.0     53.3     53.1      54.3
Employment
   Jobs plentiful                 11.2     10.7     11.3       9.9
   Jobs not so plentiful          56.9     56.6     54.6      55.0
   Jobs hard to get               31.9     32.7     34.1      35.1

                                         Expectations for Six
                                        Months Hence: Percent

Business Conditions
   Better                         23.5     20.0     22.6      21.3
   Worse                           9.2     11.4     10.6      11.9
   Same                           67.3     68.6     66.8      66.8
Employment
   More jobs                      18.9     16.6     18.0      16.6
   Fewer jobs                     16.9     19.6     18.6      21.1
   Same                           64.2     63.8     63.4      62.3
Income
   Increase                       17.1     15.9     20.7      19.0
   Decrease                       10.4     11.3      9.5       9.7
   Same                           72.5     72.8     69.8      71.3

                                         Plans to Buy Within
                                         Six Months: Percent
Automobile
   Yes                             5.9      8.7      6.6       5.4
   New                             2.7      3.4      2.7       2.1
   Used                            2.3      4.0      3.2       2.2
   Uncertain                       0.9      1.3      0.7       1.1
Home
   Yes                             3.0      3.5      4.1       3.1
   New                             0.9      0.9      1.3       1.2
   Lived in                        1.5      1.7      1.5       1.2
   Uncertain                       0.6      0.9      1.3       0.7
Major appliances
   Total plans                    27.8     29.3     32.5      26.6
   Refrigerator                    3.8      4.0      4.9       5.0
   Washing machine                 3.3      4.1      4.7       3.1
   TV Set                          7.2      6.8      7.4       6.3
   Vacuum Cleaner                  4.4      5.5      5.6       5.0
   Range                           3.4      3.1      3.5       2.5
   Clothes dryer                   3.7      3.3      3.8       2.8
   Air conditioner                 2.0      2.5      2.6       1.9
Carpet                             4.9      6.3      5.6       4.8

                                           Vacation Intended
                                           Within Six Months:
                                               Percent

Vacation Intended                 41.8              43.4
 Destination
   U.S.                           36.2              36.3
   Foreign country                 7.2               8.6
Means of Travel
   Automobile                     24.9              23.9
   Airplane                       16.8              17.0
   Other                           3.2               4.2

Not Seasonally
Adjusted

                                      Expectations for Twelve
                                       Months Hence: Percent

Inflation Rate

   Average                         4.2      4.2      4.3       4.5

Interest Rates
   Higher                         42.1     39.9     57.7      60.0
   Same                           39.0     40.6     30.2      28.9
   Lower                          18.9     19.5     12.1      11.1

Stock Prices
   Increase                       43.2     39.3     39.7      42.1
   Same                           34.8     35.6     36.8      36.7
   Decrease                       22.0     25.1     23.5      21.2

                                            2003

All series seasonally adjusted       Oct.(r)     Nov.(p)

                                    Composite Series: Index
                                       Numbers, 1985=100

Consumer Confidence Index               81.7        91.7
   Present Situation                    67.0        80.1
   Expectations                         91.5        99.4

                                      Appraisal of Present
                                       Situation: Percent

Business Conditions
   Good                                 17.1        19.9
   Bad                                  28.1        24.0
   Normal                               54.8        56.1
Employment
   Jobs plentiful                       11.8        13.2
   Jobs not so plentiful                54.5        57.3
   Jobs hard to get                     33.7        29.5

                                      Expectations for Six
                                      Months Hence: Percent

Business Conditions
   Better                               23.5        24.1
   Worse                                11.0         7.1
   Same                                 65.5        68.8
Employment
   More jobs                            19.6        18.2
   Fewer jobs                           20.4        17.6
   Same                                 60.0        64.2
Income
   Increase                             16.9        19.0
   Decrease                             10.8         9.7
   Same                                 72.3        71.3

                                       Plans to Buy Within
                                       Six Months: Percent

Automobile
   Yes                                   6.6         5.6
   New                                   3.0         2.1
   Used                                  2.7         2.8
   Uncertain                             0.9         0.7
Home
   Yes                                   3.2         2.9
   New                                   1.0         0.5
   Lived in                              1.2         1.9
   Uncertain                             1.0         0.5
Major appliances
   Total plans                          26.7        27.7
   Refrigerator                          4.4         4.2
   Washing machine                       3.2         3.5
   TV Set                                7.0         7.0
   Vacuum Cleaner                        4.6         4.5
   Range                                 3.1         3.5
   Clothes dryer                         3.0         3.2
   Air conditioner                       1.4         1.8
Carpet                                   5.0         4.9

                                       Vacation Intended
                                       Within Six Months:
                                            Percent

Vacation Intended                       46.3
 Destination
   U.S.                                 38.3
   Foreign country                       8.9
Means of Travel
   Automobile                           25.8
   Airplane                             17.3
   Other                                 4.0

Not Seasonally
Adjusted

                                      Expectations for Twelve
                                       Months Hence: Percent

Inflation Rate

   Average                               4.5         4.3

Interest Rates
   Higher                               54.5        54.8
   Same                                 34.3        35.8
   Lower                                11.2         9.4

Stock Prices
   Increase                             42.2        44.9
   Same                                 37.5        38.0
   Decrease                             20.3        17.1

                                          2002              2003

All series seasonally adjusted        Nov.     Dec.     Jan.     Feb.

                                            Consumer Confidence
                                             Index, 1985 = 100

Age of Household Head
   Under 35                           90.5     98.3     89.5     78.5
   35-54                              85.2     80.1     81.3     65.1
   55 and over                        80.8     73.9     70.7     57.2

Household Income
   Under $15,000                      65.1     58.7     57.9     45.4
   $15,000-24,999                     72.3     62.1     60.8     57.7
   $25,000-34,999                     77.9     79.6     68.2     66.1
   $35,000-49,999                     87.3     85.2     83.4     60.9
   $50,000 and over                   96.1     93.2     92.0     74.7

                                                   2003

All series seasonally adjusted            Mar.     Apr.      May

                                           Consumer Confidence
                                            Index, 1985 = 100

Age of Household Head
   Under 35                               68.6     89.7     90.5
   35-54                                  62.0     80.3     85.6
   55 and over                            55.9     75.6     75.8

Household Income
   Under $15,000                          41.9     61.2     69.4
   $15,000-24,999                         52.5     68.0     68.0
   $25,000-34,999                         55.8     81.8     85.0
   $35,000-49,999                         65.0     78.2     82.3
   $50,000 and over                       71.5     91.3     92.7

                                                   2003

All series seasonally adjusted        June     July     Aug.     Sept.

                                            Consumer Confidence
                                             Index, 1985 = 100

Age of Household Head
   Under 35                           95.3     90.4     88.8      84.8
   35-54                              83.3     77.2     83.8      76.1
   55 and over                        77.3     69.8     74.5      73.6

Household Income
   Under $15,000                      59.9     52.0     52.7      51.8
   $15,000-24,999                     62.9     59.0     69.0      59.4
   $25,000-34,999                     83.5     72.4     75.5      76.2
   $35,000-49,999                     85.2     76.1     77.2      74.9
   $50,000 and over                   96.3     92.0     98.0      92.2

                                         2003                3 mos.
                                                            Percent
All series seasonally adjusted     Oct.(r)     Nov.(p)     Change (*)

                                      Consumer Confidence Index,
                                             1985 = 100
Age of Household Head
   Under 35                           88.8        96.7           -1.5
   35-54                              84.6        90.7            2.9
   55 and over                        74.6        89.0            7.1

Household Income
   Under $15,000                      61.7        65.1            8.5
   $15,000-24,999                     60.9        67.4           -1.7
   $25,000-34,999                     76.3        81.8            1.3
   $35,000-49,999                     87.7        98.2            9.4
   $50,000 and over                   93.1       107.3            2.2


(p)-preliminary (r)-revised

(*) Percent Change: Average of last three months shown as compared with preceding three months

Age and Income data have been adjusted far seasonal variations.
COPYRIGHT 2003 Conference Board, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2003, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

Article Details
Printer friendly Cite/link Email Feedback
Publication:Consumer Confidence Survey
Article Type:Illustration
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Dec 1, 2003
Words:2167
Previous Article:Consumer confidence makes further gains.
Next Article:Consumer confidence by region.
Topics:


Related Articles
Consumer Confidence softens.
Consumer Confidence declines.
The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index.
Consumer Confidence deteriorates sharply.
Consumer confidence survey.
Consumers confidence flat in March.
Consumer confidence rebounds.
Consumer Confidence falls in August.
Consumer confidence slips again.
Consumers end 2004 on a high note.

Terms of use | Privacy policy | Copyright © 2021 Farlex, Inc. | Feedback | For webmasters |