Cervical length-fetal fibronectin combo doesn't predict prematurity.
ATLANTA -- The combination of cervical length and self-collected fetal fibronectin did not accurately predict preterm birth in a cohort of nulliparous women.
Although each measurement in itself had some predictive value, the best measure--cervical length measured by transvaginal ultrasound at 22-30 weeks' gestation - was only marginally clinically useful, identifying about 24% of those who had a preterm birth. The addition of fetal fibronectin added nothing to the predictive value of the cervical measurement, Dr. Michael Esplin reported at the annual Pregnancy Meeting sponsored by the Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine.
"Based on this study, we must conclude that the routine use of self-collected quantitative fetal fibronectin and transvaginal cervical length is not a viable way to screen for preterm birth in a nulliparous population," said Dr. Esplin of the University of Utah, Salt Lake City.
He reported the results of Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-be (nuMoM2b). The prospective study comprised more than 9,300 women. There were two parts to the investigational screening protocol: collection of a fetal fibronectin swab at three gestational time points and transvaginal ultrasound to measure cervical length at time of the second and third fibronectin measurement.
Mean age of the women was 27 years. All the women were carrying a singleton pregnancy. There were 471 spontaneous preterm live births. These were more likely to occur in the youngest and oldest women in the cohort. Preterm births were more common in women who smoked during pregnancy, those who had less than a high school education, and those with a prepregnancy history of diabetes.
At the second visit, cervical length of 25 mm or less identified 8% of those who went on to have a preterm birth, for a positive predictive value of 16% and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.61. At the third visit, cervical length of 25 mm or less identified 24% of women with preterm birth, for a positive predictive value of 15% and an area under the curve of 0.67.
Fetal fibronectin alone performed similarly. No matter what visit, and whether the cutoff was 10, 50, or 200 ng/mL, the AUC stayed between 0.51 and 0.54. The positive predictive values of these measurements ranged from 6% to 12%.
'All of these measures had a relatively low positive predictive value," Dr. Esplin said. 'And while that may be acceptable if the tests are very sensitive, these, in fact were not. Cervical length, for example, had only 7.9% sensitivity at visit 2 and 23% sensitivity at visit 3."
The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development sponsored the study. Dr. Esplin reported having no financial disclosures.
BY MICHELE G. SULLIVAN
AT THE PREGNANCY MEETING
Please note: Illustration(s) are not available due to copyright restrictions.
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|Author:||Sullivan, Michele G.|
|Publication:||OB GYN News|
|Date:||Apr 1, 2016|
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