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Big race trends: Partners In Jazz has ideal draw to hit right note in Ripon sprint Polar Way can prove his liking for ease in the ground.

Stan James Online Hungerford Stakes

2.50 Newbury

Dead-heat in 1994, so 11 winners under analysis

Key trends

- Won earlier in the season, 11 out of 11 winners

- Adjusted Racing Post Rating of at least 124, 10/11

- Aged four or five, 9/11

- Distance winner, 9/11

- From the first three in the betting, 9/11

Other factors

Of five winners who had contested a Group 1 contest, one had won and three had been placed.

Seven winners were drawn in stalls four, five or six.

Six winners had won a Listed or Group race over this trip. The two three-year-olds to win had finished in the first two in a Guineas. The three runners to have carried a 5lb penalty have finished 134.

Verdict

The five-year-old Just James, whose record in seven-furlong Group races reads 121, is taken to concede weight all round.

Stan James Geoffrey Freer Stakes

3.25 Newbury

Key trends

- Won/recorded best RPR over at least 1m4f, 10/10

- From the first three in the betting, 9/10

- Won or placed in Group 1 or 2 company, 9/10

- Adjusted RPR of at least 127, 7/10

Other factor

Five of the last six winners aged at least five.

Verdict

Mubtaker is head and shoulders above the others on form and should win the race for the third time.

William Hill Great St Wilfrid Handicap

3.15 Ripon

Key trends

- Aged three or four, 7/10

- Top-four finish last time, 8/10

- Carried at least 8st 8lb, 6/10

- Won at Class C level or higher, 7/10

Other factors

Six winners have been drawn 17 or higher, and the other four seven or lower. The last mid-stall winner was in 1992.

Only one winner had contested the Stewards' Cup (eighth at Goodwood). Six of the beaten favourites had finished second in either the Wokingham, Stewards' Cup or International Handicap.

Verdict

If recent history is repeated, those drawn in the middle may as well stay at home. It could be worth chancing Partners In Jazz, a three-year-old from stall one who goes well in soft ground.
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Article Details
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Title Annotation:Sports
Publication:The Racing Post (London, England)
Date:Aug 14, 2004
Words:352
Previous Article:Topspeed: Country Reel can lead rivals a merry dance over longer trip.
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