Better still to come from Bintalwaadi; BEN HUTTON ON WEDNESDAY.
THE best race of the day in Britain is the EBF Paul Kelleway Memorial Classified Stakes at Lingfield (4.30), a 1m contest on Polytrack that contains the best bet of the day in the shape of course-anddistance winner Bintalwaadi. This 0-90 is basically a level-weights affair, except that Layline receives a 9lb weight-for-age allowance and Bintalwaadi gets the same, plus another 3lb fillies' allowance on top.
The Ed Dunlop-trained selection has a mark of 89, which is the joint-highest in the race, so if we take the official ratings and the weight-for-age scale as an accurate guide, Bintalwaadi is the most attractively weighted runner in the ten-strong line-up, thanks to the 3lb she receives from the geldings.
While this is a plus, the main reason for supporting Bintalwaadi is that she has the potential to be much better than her current rating, while the same cannot be said for the majority of her rivals.
Two exceptions are the unexposed duo of Clockmaker and Layline, and they look to be the main dangers, although Layline needs to improve significantly on his seasonal reappearance and is not difficult to discard given the strong claims of the other two.
Clockmaker impressed when scoring by three lengths off a mark of 81 over 1m at Kempton last time, and there is likely to be more to come, but the horses he beat were all exposed handicappers and there is a case to be made for Bintalwaadi's second at Nottingham being a much better performance.
Decorative was the winner that day, and she looks capable of making her mark in Listed or Group company next time, so it was to Bintalwaadi's credit that she got within a length and a three-quarters in receipt of 3lb.
You only have to look at the horses in behind on that occasion to appreciate what a hot handicap it was. There were a further six lengths back to the third home Subtefuge, and she had won a decent handicap at Warwick prior to that. Gunner Lindley was fourth, beaten a near-identical distance to when he was sixth to Balducci in the Silver Bowl at Haydock, and fifth-placed Colepeper was defeated by a far greater margin than in other fair handicaps this season.
Bintalwaadi raced off 84 at Nottingham, and the form looks to be so strong that she still appeals as being well handicapped off 5lb higher, especially as a three-year-old who has raced just three times and is still progressing.
It would be no surprise to see Bintalwaadi and Clockmaker pulling well clear to fight out the finish, and the filly is fancied to come out on top as her form is the most appealing and she looks to have the greater scope for improvement.
One scenario that could favour Clockmaker would be if Tadhg O'Shea, who rides the selection, got involved in a battle for the lead with Den's Gift and Samarinda, as Bintalwaadi has tried to make all on her last two starts. But it is unlikely that she needs to lead and O'Shea will hopefully position her just behind the pace.
First Service is a much more speculative bet in the Leonard Curtis Handicap at Kempton (8.50). He showed enough over 1m there last time to suggest he can run well over 7f at what will hopefully be a big price on his return to the track.
Based on his ready 7f Wolverhampton maiden win on his final outing for Roger Charlton last season, a mark of 67 is a feasible one. And after finishing last on his first start for Michael Attwater, last month's seventh was much more like it.
That was off a mark of 69, and having been slowly away, the four-year-old raced very wide and travelled smoothly into the straight before being beaten six and a half lengths.
He possibly didn't see out the trip and paid the price for covering so much extra ground, so granted a more conventional passage this evening we should see an improved performance that will hopefully see him in the shake-up.
Today's bets Bintalwaadi 4.30 Lingfield 2pts win First Service 8.50 Kempton 1pt win
Ed Dunlop: has a well-handicapped filly on his hands in Bintalwaadi
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|Publication:||The Racing Post (London, England)|
|Date:||Jul 14, 2010|
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