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And What If The Military Really Was To Fall?

About two weeks before the presidential elections, the Egyptian scene seems nebulous, in a state of chaos in which mix black and white, right and wrong, true and false, justice and injustice - to such an extent that fears of a breakdown of the state have become quite serious among ordinary folk, people far from the centers of decision-making, from the ability to influence it, from appearances on satellite television or from speeches in great halls. Is there any doubt that all parties to the political game in Egypt have committed blatant mistakes, since the fall of the former regime and to this day, which have led the country to the situation it finds itself in today? The logical answer is yes, of course they have, which begs another question: has any political force, movement, party, coalition or sovereign party once admitted to having made a mistake, even unintentionally, and declared that it was examining the reasons for such a mistake and that it would work to avoid it in the future? The answer is definitely: no. Indeed, every party to the Egyptian political stage wants to convince us that it does what is right and never makes mistakes, and that all or some of the other parties are mistaken, are making mistakes and will make mistakes in the future. Similarly, every party suggests that the people are on its side, that it expresses their will, fulfills their wishes, obeys their orders, and seeks to achieve the goals of the Revolution alone, without the remaining parties. They all want to speak in Egypt's name, as if they were Egypt. The chant "Down, Down with the Rule of the Military" seems attractive to those who are passionate and refuse to be ruled by the army, those who have detected the mistakes committed by the Military Council in managing the country's affairs, those who have reservations on the performance of the members of the Council or even on the way they speak, those who are angry at the fact that people are falling dead or wounded at every clash or incident, those who harbor doubts over the intentions of the military, or those who consider that the members of the Military Council are after power, even if indirectly. Similarly, secular forces consider the behavior and the policies of the Military Council to have been behind the Islamists' crushing victory at the parliamentary elections, their own exclusion from the scene or the ability to influence it, and the repercussions that followed regarding the issue of the constitution. The fears of the Liberals that such an experience could be repeated in the presidential elections therefore remain justified. When they would chant "Down, Down with the Rule of the Military", the Islamists would oppose them, and in fact would often accuse them of working to overthrow the state. And then the time came when the Islamists chanted that same chant, after they had clashed with the military without admitting that they had been mistaken from the start. And why would they admit to their mistakes, when they had simply never seen any of the secular forces admit that they had made a mistake or a misestimation? In spite of this, none of the prominent figures of the Revolution, political forces or the elites ever asked themselves the question: what would come after the rule of the militaryC* if it was to fall? Indeed, the transitional period has reflected extreme political aberration and insistence by political forces on monopoly and on excluding others, to such an extent that agreeing on the formation of a committee that would take charge of drafting the constitution has become an unattainable dream!!! Will those same forces agree on how to transfer power to a civilian administration? Indeed, the experience of all these forces during the transitional period portends no good, and shows that the fall or departure of the military from power would be followed by immature behavior on the part of the forces active on the scene, and in fact the feeling prevails that a struggle for power would emerge and that certain forces would seek to replace the military!! Yesterday the People's Assembly (lower house of Parliament) resumed its sessions, after having suspended them for a week in protest of the Ganzouri government not having been dissolved. The behavior, words, speeches and deeds of the Members of Parliament appeared to reflect the state of Egypt on the eve of the presidential elections. Noteworthy is the fact that the Members and the Speaker of Parliament usually complain about the media addressing what takes place in its great hall, although the media only shows what is happening, most of which is cause for distressC* or for the kind of laughter that resembles weeping.

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Publication:Dar Al Hayat, International ed. (Beirut, Lebanon)
Geographic Code:7EGYP
Date:May 7, 2012
Previous Article:Egypt Pays The Price of Divorce Between The Military and The Muslim Brotherhood?
Next Article:Ayoon wa Azan (I Want a President,C* Who Will Lead the Entire Arab Nation).

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