Zacks.com Featured Expert Kevin Matras Highlights: Calgon Carbon, Dreamworks Animation and Insight Enterprises.CHICAGO -- Kevin Matras goes over the importance of screening and backtesting. Stocks in this week's article are Calgon Carbon Calgon Carbon Corporation is a Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania based company that offers products and services that remove contaminants and odors from liquids and gases. The company was originally formed as the Pittsburgh Coke & Chemical Company, which provided products that assisted with Corporation (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : CCC CCC A very speculative grade assigned to a debt obligation by a rating agency. Such a rating indicates default or considerable doubt that interest will be paid or principal repaid. Also called Caa. ), Dreamworks Animation (NYSE: DWA DWA DreamWorks Animation (stock symbol) DWA Domino Web Access DWA Desert Water Agency (US) DWA Data Warehouse Administrator DWA Designated Waiting Area DWA Dynamic Wavelength Allocation ) and Insight Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on : NSIT NSIT Networking Services and Information Technologies (University of Chicago) NSIT Nova Scotia Institute of Technology NSIT Not Safe In Taxis NSIT Netaji Subash Institute of Technology NSIT Network Systems and Information Technology ). Click here for the full story exclusively on Zacks.com: http://at.zacks.com/?id=109 Screen of the Week written by Kevin Matras of Zacks Investment Research Zacks Investment Research A firm that compiles earnings estimates and brokerage firm investment recommendations for thousands of publicly traded firms. : For this week's article, I'm starting at square one and going over the importance of screening in your investment decisions. But even more essential, I'm going to explain why backtesting is the most important step of all. Why Should I Use a Stock Screener Stock Screener A tool investors can use to filter stocks given certain criteria of their choice. Notes: By using a stock screening tool an investor is able to follow a strict set of criteria that he or she requires prior to investing in a company. ? There are over 10,000 stocks out there and you need a way to find the good ones. Other than buying the stocks that are talked about in the media or among friends, how else are you going to find stocks that meet certain fundamental characteristics? Most people do their own 'screening' one way or another. They may hear that a stock has a certain Growth Rate, or a certain P/E Ratio P/E ratio Current stock price divided by trailing annual earnings per share or expected annual earnings per share. Assume XYZ Co. sells for $25.50 per share and has earned $2.55 per share this year; $25.50 = 10 times $2.55. XYZ stock sells for ten times earnings. or Sales Surprise, for example. They then research stocks that meet this criteria. Well if you want to find stocks that meet certain criteria, you can find them quickly and easily with a stock screener. But, just because you narrow down 10,000 stocks to only a handful doesn't necessarily mean that you've picked the best stocks on the planet. But how will you know? Backtesting! Once you've created a screen, you can backtest and see how the screening strategy performed. In other words Adv. 1. in other words - otherwise stated; "in other words, we are broke" put differently , does your screen generally find stocks that go up once they've been identified? Or does your screen generally find stocks that get buried? With backtesting, you can see how successful your stock-picking strategy has performed in the past, so you'll have a better idea as to what your probability of success will be now and in the future. Keep in mind, a screening and backtesting program isn't a 'box of magic'. But it's a great way to see what works and what doesn't BEFORE you put your money at risk! Don't get me wrong, just because you have a great strategy for picking winning stocks, it isn't going to preclude you from ever having another loser. On the contrary, even some of the best strategies 'only' have win ratios of 70% or 80%. (NOT 100%.) But if your strategy picks winners far more often than losers, you can feel confident that your next pick will have a high probability of success. And don't be the guy who 'accidentally' gets into one or two good stocks and thinks he's the next Warren Buffett Warren Buffett Known as "the Oracle of Omaha," Buffett is Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway and arguably the greatest investor of all time. His wealth fluctuates with the performance of the market, but for the last few years he has been reported to be worth over $30 billion, making . If your stock account is important to you, test your stock-picking strategies to see if your method for finding winners is a repeatable one. And that's why someone should use a Screener and a Backtester. As usual, I'll close with a few new picks from some of my favorite My Favorite is an independent synthpop band from Long Island, New York. They released two CDs: Love at Absolute Zero and Happiest Days of Our Lives. My Favorite broke up on September 14, 2005, when singer Andrea Vaughn left the band. backtested screening strategies for the week of 9/18/07:
CCC Calgon Carbon Corp.
(from the Breakouts screen)
DWA Dreamworks Animation
(from the Filtered Zacks Rank screen)
NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc.
(from the Big Money screen)
Sign up now for your two-week free trial to the Research Wizard and take your stock screening to another level. And when you're done, backtest it to see if it works! And don't forget to check out the winning trading strategies In finance, a trading strategy (see also trading system) is a predefined set of rules to apply. Usually, this refers to a means used to replicate an option in order to give it an arbitrage free value in the sense that the cost of buying some financial assets to give the same that come loaded with the program. Know when to buy and when sell. It's all there: http://at.zacks.com/?id=111 Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. About Screen of the Week Zacks.com created the first and best screening system on the web earning the distinction as the "#1 site for screening stocks" by Money Magazine. But powerful screening tools is just the start. That is why Zacks created the Screen of the Week to highlight profitable stock picking strategies that investors can actively use. Each week, Zacks Profit from the Pros free email newsletter shares a new screening strategy. Learn more about it here http://at.zacks.com/?id=112 About Zacks Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros http://at.zacks.com/?id=113 Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates. Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation solicitation In criminal law, the act of asking, inducing, or directing someone to commit a crime. The person soliciting another becomes an accomplice to the crime. The term also refers to the act of obtaining bribes, as well as to the crime of a prostitute who offers sexual to buy or sell any security. |
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