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Zacks Analyst Interview Highlights: Toll Brothers and Standard Pacific.


CHICAGO -- Zacks.com releases the latest Analyst Interview. Today's interview is with equity research analyst Mario Ricchio, who discusses Toll Brothers (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:TOL) and Standard Pacific (NYSE:SPF (1) (Stateful Packet Firewall) See stateful inspection.

(2) (Sender Policy Framework) An e-mail authentication system that verifies that the message came from an authorized mail server.
).

A synopsis A summary; a brief statement, less than the whole.

A synopsis is a condensation of something—for example, a synopsis of a trial record.
 of today's Analyst Interview is presented below. The full article can be read at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2678.

Are homebuilding companies beginning to proceed with caution with regard to the current housing market?

Yes they are. After record housing starts in January, the homebuilding industry reported a third consecutive month of slower construction activity in April. The homebuilders are finally responding to rising inventory levels and moderating demand with less supply. In April, housing starts fell 7% on a sequential basis and 11% on a y-o-y basis. More importantly, the latest data on permits suggests the homebuilders remain cautious for the seasonally strong spring and summer selling season. Building permits, an indicator of future construction, fell 8% on a y-o-y basis to 1.98 million units. Supply has fallen almost 240,000 units from January's data, in which housing permits reflected an annual pace of 2.22 million units.

Given continued high home inventory levels and moderating home demand, we believe permits are likely to fall for at least the next six months to bring supply back in balance with demand. Despite the decline in housing starts in March and April, the number of unsold homes at the end of March hit a record 3.19 million units. At the pace of current sales demand, it would take 5.5 months to eliminate the backlog of unsold homes--the longest period since 5.6 months in July of 1998. We expect the April figure to creep up Verb 1. creep up - advance stealthily or unnoticed; "Age creeps up on you"
sneak up

advance, march on, move on, progress, pass on, go on - move forward, also in the metaphorical sense; "Time marches on"
 to 5.7 months as demand weakens further.

Slower demand is affecting both low-end and high-end builders. Just recently, Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) warned that signed contracts for its homes fell 29% during the second quarter and home deliveries would be 200 units lower than the street expected. Also, Standard Pacific (NYSE:SPF) lowered its full-year earnings guidance in July thanks in part to a 41% decline in net new home orders for the first two months of the second quarter. Orders fell on the back of an increased cancellation rate and continued demand weakness in Southern California Southern California, also colloquially known as SoCal, is the southern portion of the U.S. state of California. Centered on the cities of Los Angeles and San Diego, Southern California is home to nearly 24 million people and is the nation's second most populated region,  and Northern California Northern California, sometimes referred to as NorCal, is the northern portion of the U.S. state of California. The region contains the San Francisco Bay Area, the state capital, Sacramento; as well as the substantial natural beauty of the redwood forests, the northern , Florida and Arizona.

Read the full interview at http://at.zacks.com/?id=2647.

About Zacks Equity Research

Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis Qualitative Analysis

Securities analysis that uses subjective judgment based on nonquantifiable information, such as management expertise, industry cycles, strength of research and development, and labor relations.
 to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.

Continuous coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons.

Zacks "Profit from the Pros" e-mail newsletter provides highlights of the latest analysis from Zacks Equity Research. Subscribe to Verb 1. subscribe to - receive or obtain regularly; "We take the Times every day"
subscribe, take

buy, purchase - obtain by purchase; acquire by means of a financial transaction; "The family purchased a new car"; "The conglomerate acquired a new company";
 this free newsletter today by visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=2679.

About Zacks

Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research Zacks Investment Research

A firm that compiles earnings estimates and brokerage firm investment recommendations for thousands of publicly traded firms.
, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform Outperform

An analyst recommendation meaning a stock is expected to do slightly better than the market return.

Notes:
Exact definitions vary by brokerage, but in general this rating is better than neutral and worse than buy or strong buy.
 the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros by going to http://at.zacks.com/?id=2648.

Zacks Investment Research is under common control with affiliated entities (including a broker-dealer and an investment adviser), which may engage in transactions involving the foregoing securities for the clients of such affiliates.

(a)The Zacks Performance Rank performance is the total return of equal weighted simulated portfolios consisting of those stocks with the indicated Zacks Rank net of fees. Results reflect the reinvestment Reinvestment

Using dividends, interest and capital gains earned in an investment or mutual fund to purchase additional shares or units, rather than receiving the distributions in cash.

1. In terms of stocks, it is the reinvestment of dividends to purchase additional shares.
 of dividends and other earnings. Simulated results do not represent actual trading and may not reflect the impact that economic and market factors might have had on decision-making if an adviser were actually managing a client's money.

(b)The S&P 500 Index ("S&P 500") is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500 large-company common stocks selected by Standard & Poor's. The S&P 500 includes the reinvestment of all dividends, no transaction costs Transaction Costs

Costs incurred when buying or selling securities. These include brokers' commissions and spreads (the difference between the price the dealer paid for a security and the price they can sell it).
, and represents the gross returns before management fees.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation solicitation

In criminal law, the act of asking, inducing, or directing someone to commit a crime. The person soliciting another becomes an accomplice to the crime. The term also refers to the act of obtaining bribes, as well as to the crime of a prostitute who offers sexual
 to buy or sell any security.
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No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jun 7, 2006
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