Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Avici Systems, Grupo Aeroportuario and Amylin Pharmaceuticals.CHICAGO -- Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Avici Systems (Nasdaq: AVCI), Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : ASR (Automatic Speech Recognition) Using voice recognition to replace keypad entry for telephone voice menus. Typically used to speak the digits 0 through 9 insted of keying them, ASR systems may be able to recognize a limited vocabulary. See voice recognition and AVSR. ) and Amylin Pharmaceuticals Amylin Pharmaceuticals is a biopharmaceutical company based in San Diego, CA, that was founded in 1987. Currently, Amylin produces two drugs, Symlin (pramlintide acetate) and Byetta (exenatide). Amylin also is working on producing a drug based on Leptin. , Inc. (Nasdaq: AMLN). See the latest posts to the Analyst Blog by visiting: http://at.zacks.com/?id=2673. Here are highlights from Friday's Analyst Blog: Slight Bump for Sell-Rated Avici Although strong end-of-life router sales are driving better-than-expected revenue, our long-term outlook for Avici Systems (Nasdaq: AVCI) remains unchanged. We believe Soapstone soapstone or steatite (stē`ətīt), metamorphic rock of which the characteristic and usually chief mineral is talc, but which also contains varying parts of chlorite, mica, tremolite, quartz, magnetite, and iron offers a unique product and are encouraged by its compatibility with Nortel and Extreme, however we expect revenues to ramp slowly. Six months from now, investors will likely be concerned about a lack of visibility into revenue growth from software. As such, we maintain a Sell rating on the shares with a slightly higher six-month price target of $7.50 to account for a higher cash balance. Third quarter results were actually below our expectations, but the company expects to make this up in the fourth quarter. Our price target looks out six months, at which point product revenue for router sales in 2007 will be irrelevant to the company's valuation. Once router sales are complete, the stock should begin to trade on its current cash position, plus the value of a call option for the Soapstone business. Grupo Aeroportuario Hits Oil Slick We are changing our current recommendation on Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S.A. de C.V. (NYSE: ASR) from Buy to Hold. Second quarter results were positive, with strong commercial revenues and positive passenger traffic. The outlook for the third quarter remains positive. The company has a long history of impressive results and strong cash flow. However, the continued appreciation in the price of oil in the last few weeks coupled with a less benign economic environment in the U.S. is a huge short-term concern. In fact, since the U.S. Federal Reserve began to cut interest rates some weeks ago, oil has been appreciating almost on a daily basis, now getting to US$90 per barrel. We believe the higher oil prices could undermine the end of the year tourist season Tourist Season is a novel written in 1986 by Carl Hiaasen. It is set in and around Miami, Florida. Bookjacket tagline The only trace of the first victim was his Shriner's fez washed up on the Miami beach. in Cancun and Cozumel. Finally, the less positive economic environment in the U.S. as a result of the sub-prime mortgage system crisis, may affect the Mexican economy in the following quarters since both economies have very strong ties. Amylin Upgraded to a Hold Amylin Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMLN) is engaged in the discovery, development and commercialization of potential drug candidates for the treatment of diabetes, obesity and Cardiovascular diseases Cardiovascular disease Disease that affects the heart and blood vessels. Mentioned in: Lipoproteins Test cardiovascular disease . The top-line is being driven by sales of two diabetes drugs, Byetta and Symlin. Sales of both drugs have disappointed over the past several quarters, but the Amylin story is tied to the success or failure of phase III Noun 1. phase III - a large clinical trial of a treatment or drug that in phase I and phase II has been shown to be efficacious with tolerable side effects; after successful conclusion of these clinical trials it will receive formal approval from the FDA potential blockbuster, exenatide LAR. Data on LAR is expected in the next month or so. At this time we are optimistic op·ti·mist n. 1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome. 2. A believer in philosophical optimism. op that the data will be positive, but the valuation on Amylin is not attractive. The stock is trading at 18x our 2011 EPS (Encapsulated PostScript) A PostScript file format used to transfer a graphic image between applications and platforms. EPS files contain PostScript code as well as an optional preview image in TIFF, WMF, PICT or EPSI, the latter being an ASCII-only format. estimate, well above the peer-group of 12x, and that estimate assumes LAR posts sales over $1 billion. The odds favor that LAR will demonstrate superiority to Byetta in this non-inferiority 30-week trial. We believe that has the potential to give the shares a pop upward towards $50. However, Amylin is an extremely expensive stock at this level, and even if we assume the most bullish forecast for LAR sales in 2011 north of $1 billion, we still only get to just over $2.50 in EPS. That puts the shares trading at 18x 2011 EPS. We would avoid the name. We are upgrading our rating on Amylin from Sell to Hold, and raising our price target to $50 per share. Despite our increase in rating, we still do not like the stock at this level for investors. The key reason for our upgrade is the impending im·pend intr.v. im·pend·ed, im·pend·ing, im·pends 1. To be about to occur: Her retirement is impending. 2. data on exenatide LAR. See the latest posts to the Analyst Blog by visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=2645. About Zacks Equity Research Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis Qualitative Analysis Securities analysis that uses subjective judgment based on nonquantifiable information, such as management expertise, industry cycles, strength of research and development, and labor relations. to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term. Continuous coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons. Zacks "Profit from the Pros" e-mail newsletter provides highlights of the latest analysis from Zacks Equity Research. Subscribe to Verb 1. subscribe to - receive or obtain regularly; "We take the Times every day" subscribe, take buy, purchase - obtain by purchase; acquire by means of a financial transaction; "The family purchased a new car"; "The conglomerate acquired a new company"; this free newsletter today by visiting http://at.zacks.com/?id=2674. About Zacks Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research Zacks Investment Research A firm that compiles earnings estimates and brokerage firm investment recommendations for thousands of publicly traded firms. , Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros. The performance of the Zacks Rank portfolios shown above for annual and year-to-date periods are the linked monthly total returns (price changes + dividends) of equal weighted hypothetical portfolios, consisting of those stocks with the indicated Zacks Rank, assuming monthly rebalancing Rebalancing The process of realigning the weightings of one's portfolio of assets. Notes: For example, if your portfolio's proportion of stock has grown too large for your intended assets weightings and risk tolerance, you might rebalance by selling some stock and putting and zero transaction costs Transaction Costs Costs incurred when buying or selling securities. These include brokers' commissions and spreads (the difference between the price the dealer paid for a security and the price they can sell it). . These are not the returns of actual portfolios. The hypothetical portfolios were created at the beginning of each month from Jan 1988 forward based on the values of the Zacks Rank available to Zacks' clients before the beginning of each month. The portfolios created monthly from 1988 through September 2006 exclude ADRS (A Departmental Reporting System) An IBM mainframe report writer. and are comprised of stocks that have the indicated Zacks Rank and were covered by at least two analysts at the time of the stocks inclusion in the portfolio. Starting in October 2006 and going forward, the portfolios are comprised of all stocks with the indicated Zacks Rank and do not exclude ADRs, which is more reflective of the list of stocks that customers will find on the Zacks web sites. 2007 returns are for the period of Jan 1 - Jun 30, 2007. These performance numbers have been audited from 1995 through 2003 by Autschuler Melovan, a division of American Express American Express (NYSE: AXP), sometimes known as "AmEx" or "Amex", is a diversified global financial services company, headquartered in New York City. The company is best known for its credit card, charge card and traveler's cheque businesses. Financial. |
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