World explorer: portfolio manager Marcus L. Smith has a method to selecting stocks from around the globe.Dow crosses 14,000." "Nasdaq hits six-year high." "Lately it would be hard to say that the headlines from Wall Street could look much better, so why would you look abroad for investments? Well, the numbers tell the story. Over time, stock markets outside off the U.S. have done quite well and, in some instances, have outdistanced results here. Witness that, as a rough barometer, for the last five years investors in large blend domestic equity funds have pocketed an average annualized annualized Of or relating to a variable that has been mathematically converted to a yearly rate. Inflation and interest rates are generally annualized since it is on this basis that these two variables are ordinarily stated and compared. return of 12%, while investors in international large blend funds Blend Fund A mutual fund composed of various asset classes (such as stocks, bonds and money market securities), allowing investors to diversify their holdings by owning just a single fund. Also called "hybrid funds". have enjoyed returns of 18%. Whatever your outlook on the U.S. market, Marcus L. Smith, a portfolio manager with MFS Investment Management MFS Investment Management, formerly Massachusetts Financial Services, is a Boston, Massachusetts-based financial services firm. In its publicity, MFS claims to have invented the mutual fund. The current chair of the company is Robert Pozen. , says overseas stocks are a good counterbalance to the ups and downs ups and downs pl.n. Alternating periods of good and bad fortune or spirits. ups and downs Noun, pl alternating periods of good and bad luck or high and low spirits of the domestic market. In fact, even with domestic large blend funds up 8.7% this year, comparable international funds were up 13.3%. There's also a compelling reason to look abroad now. Indications are that the U.S. market may continue trailing major overseas exchanges. That's a concern that the weakness of the dollar in currency markets will only reinforce. Smith, a 13-year veteran with the Boston-based investment firm, cut his teeth as an analyst both stateside state·side adj. 1. Of or in the continental United States. 2. Alaska Of or in the 48 contiguous states of the United States. adv. Informal 1. and in London for eight years. He currently works in the firm's Singapore office, where he manages $17.2 billion in institutional assets and was appointed co-manager of the $1.5 billion USAA USAA United Services Automobile Association USAA Urban Superintendents Association of America USAA United States Achievement Academy USAA United States Arbitration Act of 1925 USAA United States Axemen's Association USAA United States Air-Table-Hockey Association International Fund (USIFX), which carries a four-star rating from Morningstar. In your view, what are the most compelling reasons for individual investors to look abroad? That's simple. The rest of the world has been on a roll vis-a-vis markets here. Global holdings have outpaced domestic ones for each of the past seven years. The winning streak Noun 1. winning streak - a streak of wins streak, run - an unbroken series of events; "had a streak of bad luck"; "Nicklaus had a run of birdies" could continue for quite a while. For one, the economies of giant Asian markets--India and China--are booming. Finally, GDP GDP (guanosine diphosphate): see guanine. per capita [Latin, By the heads or polls.] A term used in the Descent and Distribution of the estate of one who dies without a will. It means to share and share alike according to the number of individuals. is $4,000 in China and $1,000 in India, figures we know will grow considerably as households in both countries begin to lift consumption in line with increasing incomes. The second reason to look abroad is valuation, shares trade at a discount as measured by price-to-earnings multiples. The fact is that investors can buy more growth at a bit cheaper price, particularly in Europe at this time. What are your favorite picks currently? Our portfolio's largest holding is Nestle SA (OTC OTC See: Over-the-counter. OTC See over-the-counter market (OTC). : NSRGY), the well known Swiss food company. We like it for a couple of reasons: Its business generates a large cash flow that gives it a host of options to pursue. Recently, the company has been using the money to buy back stock, something that's quite good for shareholders. Nestle's revenues are growing in the 6% to 8% range thanks to new innovative products. A good example is Gerber, the baby food line Nestle bought in the U.S. Gerber's a great addition because demand is growing and the company is introducing organic and salt-free products to seize upon new trends in the marketplace. Meanwhile, management at Nestle has been busy restructuring to shrink its overall cost base. We look for the company to grow earnings about 15% annually over the next three or so years. What's your next largest holding? Roche Holding AG (OTC: RHHBY), the Swiss pharmaceutical company, is our second biggest position. One key point with the company is its development of cancer-fighting compounds including Avastin. Avastin was originally a colon cancer colon cancer, cancer of any part of the colon (often called the large intestine). Colon cancer is the second most common cancer diagnosed in the United States. product but has also proven effective in treating pancreatic pancreatic /pan·cre·at·ic/ (pan?kre-at´ik) pertaining to the pancreas. pancreatic pertaining to the pancreas. See also pancreatitis, diabetes mellitus, cystic pancreatic duct. and breast cancers as well. Thanks to products like these. Roche has a good entry point with a lucrative market--cancer specialists--and has not been affected by tougher FDA FDA abbr. Food and Drug Administration FDA, n.pr See Food and Drug Administration. FDA, n.pr the abbreviation for the Food and Drug Administration. guidelines as other peer group members have. Roche is growing earnings at 17% to 20% a year and has a price-to-earnings multiple of 17 by our calculations, which we find attractive alongside its peers. Our thinking is that the company has been unfairly discounted because of the pharmaceutical group's troubles with cholesterol and pain medicines. Another drug company is on your list? We also like GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK GSK GlaxoSmithKline plc (pharmaceutical company) GSK Glycogen Synthase Kinase GSK Gruppentraining Sozialer Kompetenzen (Germany) GSK Greenland Shark (FAO fish species code) ), a British pharmaceutical company. The stock is very inexpensive and the market has overreacted to problems with its diabetes drug Avandia, which suffered from reports that patients taking it may be at higher risk for heart attacks. It's similar to the way investors punished Merck by overplaying issues with Vioxx in 2004. Glaxo is now trading at 13 times its estimated 2008 earnings. It's on track to grow revenues 3% to 4% annually and profits 7% to 10% a year over the next 36 months. For real-time updates of the Stock Picks column, visit www.blackrenterprise.com/investing.
Smiths Picks
Price 52-week
price range
2007 2007
Company (Ticker) Low High Est. EPS P/E Ratio
GlaxoSmithKline $52.64 $51 $60 $3.89 13.6
plc (GSK)
Nestle (NSRGY) $100.90 $78 $101 $5.46 18.5
Roche Holding $90.50 $84 $98 $4.53 20.0
AG (RHHBY)
Company (Ticker) Comment
GlaxoSmithKline Investors have oversold shares of the British drug
plc (GSK) company because of problems with its diabetes drug.
Nestle (NSRGY) Swiss food giant expected to grow earnings at about
15% annually over the next 3 years.
Roche Holding Shares of the Swiss pharmaceutical company have
AG (RHHBY) been unfairly punished by problems in the sector.
DATA AS OF 7/12/07
SOURCE: BLOOMBERG.COM
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