Who's afraid of the Big Bad Wolf? The International Criminal Court as a weapon of asymmetric warfare.ABSTRACT The United States is engaged in a war on terror against enemies who wage "asymmetric war" through terrorism, media manipulation, and "law-fare"--exploiting judicial processes to achieve political or military objectives. This Article explores whether the fledgling International Criminal Court (ICC) could eventually be exploited by these groups as a tool of asymmetric "law-fare." It briefly traces the history of the ICC and recounts why the United States opposes the Court. Examining the methods of asymmetric war, the Authors then explore whether the ICC could be exploited by future asymmetric warriors. The Authors describe three asymmetric methods that could be used to exploit the Court: (1) misusing the Court's investigative processes, (2) filing questionable or fraudulent complaints, and (3) manipulating mass media. They then discuss three terrorist objectives that could be obtained through asymmetric tactics. The Authors conclude that, at its current stage, the Court does not pose a large threat from this exploitation. A future, more stable ICC, however, could pose a greater danger--especially if the United States ratifies the Rome Treaty.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
I. INTRODUCTION
II. THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT: HISTORY
AND CONTROVERSY
A. All Roads Lead to Rome
B. Conflict and Controversy: Objections
to the International Criminal Court
III. ASYMMETRIC WARFARE AND THE PRACTICE OF
"LAW-FARE".
A. Historical Underpinnings
B. Modern Asymmetric Warriors
C. Asymmetric Exploitation of Mass Media
D. The Practice of "Law-Fare".
IV. EXPLOITING THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL
COURT AS A WEAPON OF ASYMMETRIC "LAW-FARE".
A. Exploiting the Investigative Processes
of the International Criminal Court
1. The Broad Mandate of the International
Criminal Court
2. The Proprio Motu Power and the
Obligation to "Pre-Investigate".
3. The Dangerous Role of Non-Governmental
Organizations
B. Exploiting Questionable or Fraudulent Claims
of U.S. Violations
1. Investigating Questionable Claims of
U.S. War Crimes
2. Inventing Fraudulent Claims of U.S.
War Crimes
C. Exploiting the International Criminal
Court through Use of Mass Media
D. Asymmetric Objectives of Exploiting the
International Criminal Court
1. Creating Risk-Averse Policymakers
and Commanders
2. Diverting Resources from the War
on Terror
3. Splitting International Coalitions
V. CONCLUSION
I. INTRODUCTION The United States is fighting a global war on terror with battlefields in such distant lands as Afghanistan, Iraq, and the Philippines. (1) U.S. enemies in this war are not nation-states, but a network of terrorist groups; they seek to put "Satan's empire" (2) in decline by dividing the United States from the international community, destroying U.S. hegemony, and reducing the influence of U.S. social values. It is not on the conventional field of battle, however, that these enemies expect victory. Instead, through a campaign of intimidation and terror they hope to drive the United States into economic, political, and social recession. (3) They wage an asymmetric war. Asymmetric warfare--engaging a superior enemy by using alternative means to achieve political or military objectives--is not a new concept; some cite the Biblical story of David and Goliath as the classic example of such asymmetry. (4) Considering the military might of the modern U.S. Goliath, it is no surprise its enemies have turned to other methods--hijackings, suicide bombings, and computer network attacks--to catapult the stone that will bring down the world's only remaining superpower. But those who oppose the United States also seek non-violent means to advance their agenda. When possible, they will exploit both domestic and international judicial institutions to influence U.S. policy; this practice is known as "law-fare." (5) This Article explores whether the fledgling International Criminal Court (ICC) could eventually be used as a weapon of asymmetric "law-fare" against the United States. Part II briefly traces the history of the ICC and recounts the reasons the United States opposes the court. Part III examines the purpose and methods of asymmetric war, including past uses of "law-fare." Part IV discusses whether the ICC could be exploited in the future to cow the U.S. Goliath into a defensive posture and disrupt its war on terror. Is the ICC--or will it become--the "Big Bad Wolf?" (6) The Article concludes that this threat is unlikely in the court's early development; however, the ICC's evolving mechanisms may make it vulnerable to asymmetric exploitation in the future. II. THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT: HISTORY AND CONTROVERSY A. All Roads Lead to Rome Throughout the twentieth century the international community flirted time and again with the concept of a standing criminal court. At the conclusion of World War I, the victorious nations begrudgingly allowed Germany to prosecute its own nationals for war crimes. (7) The victors soon regretted that decision, however, as Germany conducted little more than show trials and nearly all violators went unpunished. (8) Between the two World Wars, the League of Nations contemplated an international criminal court, but that idea proved too bold as politics and the outbreak of World War II squandered the opportunity. (9) After the Treaty of Paris, the World War II victors applied the lessons learned from past mistakes; they established the Nuremburg Tribunal and the International Tribunal for the Far East. (10) Although met with accusations of "victor's justice," (11) the tribunals created a new paradigm of international criminal jurisprudence (12)--the accused were charged with crimes against peace, war crimes, and crimes against humanity. (13) These two tribunals constituted the first real efforts of the modern era to establish a valid and powerful international court. (14) But with the fall of the "Iron Curtain," the dream of a standing international court remained relatively undisturbed until the 1990s. (15) The eruption of ethnic conflict and slaughter in Rwanda and Yugoslavia during the 1990s starkly reminded the world of its need for an international criminal court. In response, the U.N. Security Council created two ad hoc tribunals: the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and the International Criminal Tribunal for Rwanda (ICTR). (16) Drawing upon precedents set forth in the Nuremburg and Far East Tribunals, the courts went to work--with great expense and many challenges. (17) And though the tribunals significantly contributed to international jurisprudence, (18) they also highlighted anew the need for a standing criminal court. (19) Meanwhile, the United States continued to advocate for the creation of the proposed ICC; (20) its support continued well into the Rome Conference. (21) But when the Conference convened in Rome on June 15, 1998, it quickly became apparent--thanks largely to the concerted efforts of numerous non-governmental organizations (NGOs) (22)--that the ICC would look far different than originally envisioned by the United States. (23) When it came time to vote (24) for establishment of the Court, the statute overwhelmingly passed: 120 States voted in favor, 21 States abstained, and 7 States (including the United States, Libya, China, and Iraq) voting against. (25) While partly defeated at the Rome Conference, the Clinton administration remained engaged in the development of the Court for the next two years, addressing many of its concerns. (26) The United States eventually signed the treaty on December 31, 2000; (27) however, on May 6, 2002--under the direction of President Bush--the United States formally notified the United Nations that it no longer intended to become a party to the Rome Statute. (28) This notification was negatively characterized by critics as an "unsigning" of the treaty, contrary to international law. (29) When the ICC began its "legal life" on July 1, 2002, the United States sat on the sidelines. (30) B. Conflict and Controversy: Objections to the International Criminal Court The United States justified its rejection of the Rome Statute on various grounds. (31) The United States objected to ICC jurisdiction over nationals of a non-party state, (32) contested the article that prohibited State Parties from making reservations to the Rome Treaty, (33) and disagreed with including the "crime of aggression" within the ICC's purview. (34) Moreover, the United States opposed the push to grant the ICC universal jurisdiction and remained unhappy with the compromise that established the principle of "complementarity," which allowed the Court to prosecute crimes over the objection of the relevant State Party in certain circumstances. (35) The United States believed complementarity would cede too much sovereignty to an international body. (36) Most significantly, the United States resisted the Chief Prosecutor's proprio motu (37) power, which gave him the ability to independently initiate investigations based on information from virtually any source, as long as he had the approval of the Court's Pre-Trial Chamber. (38) Policymakers worried that if the Office of the Prosecutor became politicized, the Court might be inundated with frivolous litigation. (39) The United States also feared that these politicized powers could be abused to the detriment of U.S. national interests, considering the unpopular world opinion of the U.S. military and accompanying anti-U.S. sentiment. (40) Supporters of the ICC provide persuasive academic rebuttals to these U.S. objections, arguing primarily that the Court's built-in procedural safeguards should soothe any U.S. fears. (41) But while there currently may be little to fear, none of these arguments can address U.S. concerns of a future situation arising under a more powerful ICC. Indeed, the "tenacious commitment" of some countries to the framework agreed upon at the Rome Conference may have been "driven by a desire to constrain the American behemoth" and control U.S. forces abroad. (42) In the end, only one result can fully satisfy the United States' desire--full immunity for U.S. military forces and their civilian leadership. (43) With forces deployed around the world in numbers exceeding 250,000, (44) the risk is deemed too great to the national security and safety of U.S. soldiers. (45) This same concern led Congress to pass the internationally unpopular (46) American Service-Members Protection Act (ASPA). (47) Thus, despite the long and difficult road to the ICC, the United States ultimately rejected the Rome Treaty due to fears that the Court could be misused to harm national interests. (48) In other words, policymakers were concerned about asymmetric tactics and the potential for adversaries of the United States to use the Court as a tool of "law-fare." III. ASYMMETRIC WARFARE AND THE PRACTICE OF "LAW-FARE" A. Historical Underpinnings Exploiting an enemy's weakness on the battlefield has always been a goal of superior militaries, from the time of Genghis Khan to today. (49) But discussion of asymmetric warfare usually focuses on the weaker adversary engaging the stronger by exploiting alternative means of achieving its objectives. (50) It is often associated with "unconventional war," where a warring party thinks and acts "in a manner that is not defensible with a conventional military force." (51) Some advantages to using asymmetric warfare include its efficiency (52) and its ability to be a "force multiplier." (53) In one notable example of asymmetric tactics, Hannibal used raids and threats in 218 B.C. to outlast an overwhelming force of Roman soldiers on the Italian peninsula, causing the Romans to employ such a large army that it almost bankrupted the Republic. (54) More recent examples include the eighteenth- and nineteenth-century Native American campaigns against British and U.S. troops, (55) the German use of submarine warfare in World War II to offset British sea supremacy, (56) and the Chechen insurgency against Russia in the 1990s. (57) Thus, ancient tactics have been brought into modern times to achieve political objectives. B. Modern Asymmetric Warriors For the United States in a post-September 11 world, the war on terror has redefined the importance of asymmetric warfare. (58) "[T]errorism has often been viewed as the weapon of the weak directed at a stronger adversary" (59)--an image Osama bin Laden has nurtured through his speeches. (60) Terrorism has become the method of choice to carry out asymmetric attacks, and it has been employed with some success. U.S. citizens fear and expect suicide bombings, hijackings, and assassinations at home and abroad. (61) Future "virtual" terror attacks on the U.S. economic system through computer viruses and hacking could severely hamper U.S. economic might. (62) Individual attacks on U.S. citizens abroad could chill international travel. And the decisive tool of terror--the use of weapons of mass destruction--could provide terrorists the ability to carry out devastation in the U.S. heartland, creating the ultimate domestic insecurity. As the head of the world's mightiest military, the U.S. Department of Defense began to plan for the menace of asymmetric warfare during the 1990s. (63) This official recognition of the threat came with the dawning of a new era--more U.S. inhabitants had died at the hands of asymmetric assaults in the 1980s and 1990s than in all conventional battles during that same period. (64) The attacks on September 11, 2001, dramatically demonstrated the devastating cost that Americans would pay if the United States did not address the new peril from contemporary asymmetric warfare. But, unlike the past, modern asymmetric warriors are typically not established nation-states; (65) they are "underdogs" who resort to the tactics of the weak to achieve their aims. (66) This new class of warrior consists of intergovernmental organizations, "transnational guerrilla and terrorists groups, multinational organizations ... and a rapidly growing number of nongovernmental organizations in a wide variety of functional areas." (67) These contemporary enemies "will no more seek to confront U.S. power on U.S. terms than David would have gone out against Goliath with a sword and a shield." (68) In this respect, the United States has become a "victim of its own success." (69) Its enemies have watched the conventional superiority of the U.S. military on the battlefield but have equally "witnessed the U.S. struggles with unconventional operations and warfare in Vietnam, Somalia, Beirut, Kosovo, in the Kobar Towers bombing, the USS Cole bombing, the attacks on the U.S. embassies in Nairobi and Dar-es Salaam, and the September 11, 2001 attacks...." (70) Indeed, the United States' reaction to some attacks may have reinforced the belief that asymmetric tactics are the only way to achieve victory: The 1983 guerilla attack in Lebanon that killed 241 U.S. service members led to the withdrawal of U.S. troops from the region. In 1993, Somali militiamen downed two U.S. helicopters and killed 18 American troops. Though the Somalis lost hundreds of their own in the battle, the stunning reports of dead Americans in a land of little strategic importance completely undercut political support for U.S. presence there. Soon after, the United States packed up and headed home. (71) Having learned from history, modern asymmetric warriors choose tactics they know can produce desired results. While "only the most desperate antagonists would rely solely on asymmetric methods," (72) these adversaries currently lack the ability to wage a conventional-style war against the United States. (73) Yet they must be careful--attacks that become Pearl Harbor equivalents may galvanize the political will of the U.S. public and turn international opinion against the terrorists' cause. These modern asymmetric warriors realize the need for other armaments to undermine the U.S. Goliath's political will to wage a long-term war on terror. Therefore, the arsenal of asymmetry contains two uniquely useful weapons: the "media war" and "law-fare." C. Asymmetric Exploitation of Mass Media Asymmetric warriors have learned to manipulate the pervasive and powerful tools of the modern mass media to create a dramatic psychological impact (74) on their opponents--a "media war." (75) This use of the media is a type of "psychological operation" that erodes an adversary's morale and creates a military advantage. (76) Through the skillful use of the global media, asymmetric warriors can bombard the public with the horrors of war on a daily basis. (77) For instance, terrorists purposely adopt a brutally violent style of warfare without rules that is quite different from that accepted in the United States and other open democracies. (78) They then exploit mass media to intimidate and threaten these societies. "[T]errorists now ... have the capability to intensify their psychological attacks on a mass audience in ways undreamed of by the most skillful and dedicated terrorists of the past." (79) These asymmetric warriors believe that a major superpower such as the United States can be defeated through embarrassment, extending the length of a conflict, and escalating the war "in ways that make it hard for the U.S. to counter-escalate." (80) The essence of this approach "is that the American public can be made weary of the costs of prolonged war, which will translate into an eventual political willingness to settle the conflict" on favorable terms. (81) This tactic is particularly effective in open societies where "the pain threshold of the population to endure casualties of any appreciable numbers may now be limited...." (82) Skillful use of the tools of mass media can bring the fears of terrorism and the losses of war into the average person's home. Additionally, mass media is an effective means of propaganda--using communication to influence the opinions or behavior of groups of people (83)--with a proven track record against the U.S. military. (84) The Vietnam War is frequently held up as a model for using propaganda to strike at the U.S. will to fight. (85) North Vietnam used mass media to severely undermine the moral appeal of the war to the United States. (86) Indeed, the term 'Vietnam redux" describes the vulnerability in "the political will of the American public to avoid casualties and quagmires." (87) As one former North Vietnamese commander said, "The conscience of America was part of its war-making capability, and we were turning that power in our favor. America lost because of its democracy; through dissent and protest it lost the ability to mobilize a will to win." (88) D. The Practice of "Law-Fare" This Article has thus far discussed physical uses of asymmetric warfare on the battlefield and the exploitation of those methods in mass media. In the contemporary world, however, another asymmetric tactic has emerged--the concept of "law-fare." This term refers to weaker foes employing judicial processes to challenge stronger nations and win advantages otherwise unattainable on the conventional battlefield: (89) In a nation such as ours, where citizens and rulers alike are subject to the rule of law, judicial processes may be a potent weapon indeed for a foreign state or a nonstate actor seeking redress. Under certain circumstances, even the president may be subject to civil process. The paradigmatic use of lawfare is a "decapitation strike" where, instead of using stealth aircraft with precision bombs, an enemy might use a personal lawsuit against the U.S. commander in Iraq to harass and distract him from his mission. Likewise, enemy partisans might, as the government argues, use legal processes to gather intelligence about U.S. military operations, exploiting the criminal discovery process for their own nefarious purposes. (90) This tactic is already occurring in countries like Colombia, where peasants may raise false charges in court against military leaders who are making progress against "kingpin rebels." (91) The strategy of misusing judicial processes to achieve unwarranted victories has existed in the business world since the dawn of the modern litigious society. (92) It may be more expensive for a business to litigate a frivolous tort lawsuit than to simply settle the case out of court. (93) In this way, some businesses have "paid off' undeserving plaintiffs to avoid the greater expense of litigating their "innocence" in a court of law. The concept of "law-fare" is not far removed from this practice; indeed, business has developed various "asymmetric cost models" to plan for these legal tactics. (94) Similarly, asymmetric warriors may use this model--when the threat of judicial processes is severe enough--to deter the U.S. Goliath or achieve some other victory. When combined with the power of mass media, even pseudo-judicial processes can bring about startling results. For instance, in May 1967, Nobel laureate Bertrand Russell began what became known as the "Russell Tribunal"--an independent investigation into the conduct of the United States in Vietnam. (95) North Vietnam had charged the United States with the systematic and intentional bombing of medical facilities, citing maps found on downed U.S. pilots that had specifically marked out these facilities. (96) In a stunning media victory for the North, the Russell Tribunal convicted "the U.S. of a war crime, and later went on with other charges to 'convict' on the charge of genocide for attempting to 'wipe out a whole people and imposing the Pax Americana on ... Vietnam.'" (97) This triumph of "law-fare" undermined the moral legitimacy of the United States in its intervention in Vietnam and helped erode the public will to carry on the fight in that faraway land. Furthermore, when judicial avenues are available to carry out these "law-fare" tactics, litigants will bring cases. For instance, consider the controversial and inconsistent use of universal jurisdiction laws for key international crimes, (98) which are currently on the books in over 120 countries. (99) Universal jurisdiction laws authorize a nation to prosecute "crimes committed outside the state's territory which are not linked to that state by the nationality of the suspect or of the victim or by harm to the state's own national interests." (100) Despite criticisms, supporters of these laws contend they are fully acceptable under international law and that there is little evidence these statutes will be hijacked by politically motivated prosecutions, (101) Whatever the merit of these laws, however, it is clear they attract litigants. When Belgium attempted to enforce its universal jurisdiction law in the mid-1990s, (102) the nation soon garnered over thirty high-profile cases against world leaders, including President George H.W. Bush and Israel's Ariel Sharon, for apparently political motives. (103) Eventually, many of these cases were dismissed by the Belgian Supreme Court, but not before capturing significant media attention. (104) Similarly, universal jurisdiction laws have attracted cases in Switzerland, Belgium, and Germany in response to the 2003 Iraq War. (105) If the ICC were available to adversaries of the United States, it is likely that these "litigants" would also make use of its judicial processes. In sum, history will judge whether the United States made the correct choice in rejecting the ICC. Given the long and arduous road that led to the ICC's creation, it is no surprise many nations resent the current U.S. hostility to the Court. Yet the United States now lives in a media-saturated world where asymmetric attacks--especially as employed by terrorists--have become a way of life. The tactics of asymmetry have evolved to exploit even judicial processes; the ICC is not immune. But it remains to be seen whether the Court will become the "Big Bad Wolf" feared by the United States. In other words, can the ICC be manipulated as a tool of asymmetric warfare? IV. EXPLOITING THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT AS A WEAPON OF ASYMMETRIC "LAW-FARE" The ICC is still in its infancy (106) with new judges and its first Chief Prosecutor. (107) As with most revolutionary institutions, the Court must survive an initial period of instability (108) before firmly establishing its permanence. If, however, it endures this preliminary time of trial--especially if the United States changes course and throws its full backing behind the court (109)--it will evolve into a formidable force. At that time, non-state actors seeking to use judicial institutions as a means of "law-fare" against the United States may find the ICC an attractive target to manipulate. Adversaries of the United States could potentially use three asymmetric tactics to exploit the ICC: (1) misusing the Court's investigative processes, (2) filing questionable or fraudulent complaints for the Court to investigate, and (3) employing mass media in ICC cases to intensify international pressure against the United States. Future asymmetric warriors could coordinate these tactics as part of a larger strategy to put the United States on the defensive and dampen its international war on terror. A. Exploiting the Investigative Processes of the International Criminal Court Those who oppose U.S. hegemony will find an attractive tool in the processes of the ICC, especially if the United States ratifies the Rome Treaty. (110) History has shown that complaints filed in foreign courts have had little impact on U.S. policymaking; these courts have no teeth. (111) But the ICC is unlike other global courts in both form and substance. Combined with the Chief Prosecutor's proprio motu power and the increasing influence of non-governmental organizations (NGOs), these differences make the ICC a more dangerous weapon of asymmetric "law-fare." 1. The Broad Mandate of the International Criminal Court A key difference between the ICC and other global courts is its broad mandate. For example, the ICTR and ICTY were created in response to events that had already occurred, which limited the jurisdiction of those courts to specified prior crimes. (112) In essence, the tribunals were an extension of the U.N. Security Council's Chapter VII powers, formed to maintain peace and security by delivering justice to particular regions. (113) Parties before the tribunals did not submit to their jurisdiction--it was imposed upon them. (114) Further, the United Nations created the tribunals with the benefit of hindsight, which allowed it to develop a narrow mandate for each court. (115) As a self-contained system with limited jurisdiction, neither tribunal could evolve into a Frankenstein-like creature that acted in ways its master did not intend. (116) The ICC, on the other hand, is a forward-looking, consent-based court (117) with few built-in restraints to keep its broad mandate in check. Unlike self-contained, finite tribunals, the ICC has broad future jurisdiction in the one hundred countries that have ratified the Rome Treaty (118) and yielded a portion of their sovereignty to the Court. With a bottomless pool of clients, the ICC is like a shop that is open for business but unsure which customer might walk through the door. (119) Moreover, the ICC does not suffer from the same limitations as other global courts. Foreign courts that rely on universal jurisdiction laws are limited by their lack of international support and political clout to enforce their decisions. (120) Similarly, even global courts such as the International Court of Justice (ICJ) have little enforcement power. (121) Domestic U.S. courts, on the other hand, possess the jurisdiction and power to carry out their decisions but view international law from a distinctly U.S. perspective--with the ultimate check of the U.S. Supreme Court to prevent anomalous results. (122) In the end, the ICC is an attractive tool for asymmetric "law-fare" because nations have empowered it with the legitimacy and jurisdiction to carry out its rulings. (123) Were the United States to ratify the Rome Statute, there would be no practical check on those decisions by U.S. judicial institutions. This makes the Court potentially dangerous. 2. The Proprio Motu Power and the Obligation to "Pre-Investigate" One feature of the ICC differentiates it from every other court the United States has faced outside its borders--the proprio motu power of its Chief Prosecutor. (124) The construction of the ICC system makes it unlikely for the Chief Prosecutor to initiate a frivolous investigation, (125) especially in light of the many heinous violations that occur regularly throughout the world. But when a future claimant comes through the ICC door with a grievance against a U.S. official or military member, the completely independent (126) Chief Prosecutor will be compelled under a statutory duty to analyze the seriousness of the information received. (127) There will be no free passes for U.S. citizens, (128) and there lies the opportunity for asymmetric exploitation. The Chief Prosecutor has a duty to initiate an investigation into worthy allegations of war crimes (129) and crimes against humanity (130)--both of which have been levied against the United States in the past fifteen years. (131) When the Chief Prosecutor is given information of a potential violation, he "shall analyse the seriousness of the information received. For this purpose he may seek additional information from States, organs of the United Nations, intergovernmental or non-governmental organizations, or other reliable sources...." (132) This reality has been set out in the Chief Prosecutor's policy papers: In all cases the Office of the Prosecutor must first conduct an analysis of information in order to determine whether the statutory threshold to start an investigation is met: there must be "a reasonable basis to proceed".... Accordingly, the Office will analyse the seriousness of all communications received [from other sources], with the assistance of other information readily available to the Office. The extent of the analysis will be affected by the detail and substantive nature of the available information.... [T]he Prosecutor will gather and assess relevant information until such point as he is satisfied that there is, or is not, a reasonable basis to proceed. (133) The Chief Prosecutor has acknowledged that "in every case" he conducts a "preliminary examination" of all information he receives from individuals or NGOs. (134) In other words, those who have both "information" and an anti-U.S. agenda will always have the ear of a prosecutor who is obliged under the law to consider all allegations. In February 2006, the Chief Prosecutor gave the world its first glimpse of a potentially controversial preliminary investigation stemming from the proprio motu power. Having received over 240 communications regarding the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, the Chief Prosecutor posted a ten-page response explaining why his office had chosen not to initiate a formal investigation into the complaints. (135) As part of the preliminary investigation, the Chief Prosecutor contacted the "relevant States" to seek information from them, as well as seeking data from key NGOs. (136) While ultimately concluding that his office did not have jurisdiction with regard to "non-State Party" nationals (i.e., the United States), the Prosecutor did describe a thorough analytical process that his office conducted with regard to those nationals over which jurisdiction existed. (137) Although the Prosecutor found no evidence of genocide or the targeting of civilians--partly due to a lack of information--he did find a "reasonable basis" to believe willful killing and inhuman treatment of civilians had occurred. (138) The Prosecutor ultimately chose, however, not to initiate an investigation into these crimes due to "gravity" considerations under the Rome Statute, which seemed to require more victims than were present in this situation. (139) Further, unlike the broad discretion to dismiss claims brought under universal jurisdiction laws in countries such as Germany and Belgium, (140) the Chief Prosecutor does not have the luxury to ignore potential violations for political reasons. Instead, the Rome Statute provides an easily met criterion to trigger the Chief Prosecutor's obligation to initiate a formal investigation: he "shall ... initiate an investigation unless he or she determines that there is no reasonable basis to proceed under" the statute. (141) This text makes the initiation of investigations the default position except where "no reasonable basis" exists--a low standard indeed. (142) The statute gives the Chief Prosecutor an "out" based on three factors. (143) The third and most interesting factor allows the Chief Prosecutor to refuse to initiate an investigation where it is "not in the interests of justice"--another standardless test. (144) But it is doubtful that "justice" would be served by a prosecutor who determines that trying a U.S. military commander would be bad diplomacy or politically risky. (145) The Chief Prosecutor is not a statesman but an independent entity sworn to bring violators of serious international crimes to justice. Information against Americans will not be ignored. The proprio motu structure sets up a system that can be manipulated by future asymmetric warriors to produce the type of judicial meddling that will help achieve their objectives. Is there any doubt that an enemy of the United States could fashion a "reasonable" argument about potential U.S. violations? Examples abound where adversaries have manipulated facts and images to present a compelling image of the U.S. war machine gone astray. (146) How is the Chief Prosecutor to determine whether or not a military commander's decision to strike a target such as a mosque--allegedly used by terrorists as a hideout--was a valid target? Is it sufficient to find a destroyed mosque that is admittedly a target of U.S. weaponry? Must there be some evidence of wrongdoing beyond this? Will the Prosecutor be required to conduct preliminary interviews with commanders and witnesses? If so, what effect will this type of judicial meddling have on the United States' ability to wage its war on terror? Supporters of the Court often cite procedural safeguards that would thwart the efforts of a politicized Chief Prosecutor, implying that U.S. concerns are "much ado about nothing." (147) For instance, in exercising the proprio motu investigation power, the Chief Prosecutor must submit all supporting data that a crime has been committed to a Pre-Trial Chamber of the Court. (148) This chamber, composed of three judges of the Court, (149) must decide by majority vote whether it will authorize the investigation by finding a "reasonable basis" to proceed. (150) This standard, however, is as low for the judges as it is for the Chief Prosecutor. Supporters also cite the requirement that the Chief Prosecutor and judges be of high moral character and possess integrity. (151) Yet these same qualities--coupled with a view of international law that contradicts U.S. standards--could result in a bold and courageous ICC that reaches very different conclusions than U.S. courts. (152) Moreover, for the purposes of asymmetric warfare, the desired objective may be achieved even if the judges eventually decide not to authorize a formal investigation. (153) In the final analysis, the statutory obligation of the Chief Prosecutor to "pre-investigate" may be the aspect of the system most prone to abuse. 3. The Dangerous Role of Non-Governmental Organizations The United States strenuously objected to the proprio motu power of the Chief Prosecutor, especially the ability to use information from any source to initiate investigations into alleged war crimes. (154) Instead, the United States would prefer an ICC that relies on States Parties or the United Nations to initiate complaints, (155) which would make it less likely for questionable or politically-motivated investigations to be pursued. The major U.S. concern is that NGOs with an anti-U.S. agenda will have too much access and influence over the Court's investigative processes. (156) These NGOs may be sympathetic to the political plight of the "weak," who have resorted to terrorist measures, or they may simply share with these asymmetric warriors a common desire to reduce U.S. hegemony. As the Court set its course during its first three years in existence, it appears the U.S. concern about NGO access has been realized. Early in the process the Chief Prosecutor formed a special office to coordinate NGO access to the Court. (157) The role of NGOs in bringing "information" for the Chief Prosecutor to "analyse" has also been formalized; indeed, the Chief Prosecutor has encouraged NGOs to do some minor level of investigation prior to bringing complaints to him for the "pre-investigation" stage: It would not be reasonable to impose upon the senders of communications [NGOs] the burden of investigating for themselves or conducting an extensive inquiry for the purpose of sending detailed information to the Prosecutor. On the other hand, if the information is too broad and unspecific, it might be impossible for the Office to assess its value without launching a full investigation.... [T]he preferred basis for analysis is comparatively detailed and credible information. (158) While these processes are still in a developmental stage, the "key role" of NGOs in the normal process is now built into the institution of the Court itself. (159) The mechanisms are in place for future asymmetric warriors to exploit this NGO access. (160) A second U.S. concern is that individuals and NGOs--unlike nation-states--have no real incentive to show restraint in bringing complaints to the Chief Prosecutor. As a general rule, fellow nation-states are more cautious when dealing with diplomatically difficult cases, for fear of jeopardizing political alliances and world stability. It is unlikely, then, that States Parties would frequently raise questionable claims to the level of the ICC. (161) Several examples demonstrate this unwillingness. Consider the international response when Belgium attempted to enforce its universal jurisdiction law. (162) Prior to the dismissal of many cases brought under the statute, the small nation felt strong international pressure to reign in its judicial long-arm. (163) Eventually, Belgium agreed to modify its law, allowing questionable cases to be diverted to the accused nations. (164) Belgium has since shown restraint when dealing with new cases. In June 2003, a lawsuit was filed alleging war crimes in the 2003 invasion of Iraq, naming high-ranking officials including President George W. Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair. (165) In response, the United States threatened to suspend funding for a new NATO headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, and warned that officials would "shun" the country. (166) Under the modified law, the Belgian Cabinet referred the case to the United States and Britain to investigate. (167) A similar pattern of restraint occurred in Germany, which sought to avoid some of Belgium's missteps when passing its own universal jurisdiction law. (168) In November 2004--in the wake of the Abu Ghraib prison abuse scandal (169)--four Iraqis filed a German criminal complaint against U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and other U.S. officials. (170) The alleged victims claimed Germany's judiciary was a "last resort" because it was "clear the U.S. government is not willing to open an investigation into these allegations against these officials." (171) Three months later, the German prosecutor dismissed the complaint, allowing the United States to investigate the claim. (172) This was but one of many examples of German restraint--in the first three years after passage of the 2002 universal jurisdiction law, the German prosecutor's office dismissed twenty-six of these types of complaints, refusing to investigate. (173) On the other hand, there is virtually no incentive for NGOs to show restraint in raising cases to the Chief Prosecutor of the ICC. Indeed, the already high number of NGO communications to the ICC and the plethora of cases brought under universal jurisdiction laws indicate that individuals and NGOs will use a similar tactic against the United States at the ICC--once it is a stable bureaucracy (174)--if the United States were to consent to the Court's jurisdiction. These groups would have little to lose and everything to gain; their complaints could provide an opportunity to harness world attention through mass media and bring international scrutiny upon U.S. actions, even if the allegations are ultimately unsubstantiated. (175) An NGO's desire to promote its own reputation should provide some incentive to raise only the most legitimate complaints; yet, major NGOs such as Amnesty International (176) have frequently made allegations of human rights abuses against the United States without regard to the organization's credibility. (177) It recently branded the detention facilities at Guantanamo Bay a human rights failure by calling it "the gulag of our time." (178) In its annual report, the organization went on to accuse the United States of sanctioning interrogation techniques in violation of the Convention Against Torture. (179) Similarly, some Arab and Palestinian advocacy NGOs (180) are even more willing to make claims that will bring international media attention and potential investigation by the ICC. (181) In sum, the ICC is empowered with a broad mandate that sets it apart from any global court in history. One hundred nations of the world have entrusted it with a significant slice of national sovereignty and have empowered it to prosecute nationals of any state for crimes that occur any time in the indefinite future. (182) Its Chief Prosecutor has been given the duty to analyze information he receives from individuals and NGOs, and to initiate an investigation whenever there is a reasonable basis to believe a violation has occurred. (183) Finally, NGOs--some with clear anti-U.S. agendas--have unprecedented access (184) to the Chief Prosecutor's ear and little incentive to show restraint before raising complaints for his attention. This is a recipe for asymmetric warfare; the risk increases every day that the ICC grows in strength and stature. As part of a broad asymmetric strategy, adversaries of the United States could feed the Chief Prosecutor credible misinformation (i.e., exaggerated or false information) through the access given to NGOs by the Court. The chain of exploitation will have begun. B. Exploiting Questionable or Fraudulent Claims of U.S. Violations With the growing possibility that the processes of the ICC can be manipulated, three types of claims against the United States are possible: legitimate, exaggerated, or fraudulent. Clearly, the most compelling complaints that can be brought are those stemming from genuine U.S. violations of international law. The facts and moral high ground would merge in such a case to bring the most pressure to change U.S. policies. For supporters of the ICC, this scenario provides the strongest argument for the United States to ratify the treaty--the Court would provide a real check on the temptation of the United States to abuse its superpower status to achieve national objectives. Indeed, some have already accused the United States of doing exactly that in its present conduct of the war on terror. (185) But the potential for misuse is high. In warfare there will always be collateral damage--dead civilians and destroyed infrastructure are inevitable. In the famous words of General Tecumseh Sherman, "War is hell." (186) But adversaries of the United States are likely to take any opportunity to accuse the United States of committing war crimes, even where political and military leaders have made all necessary efforts to minimize such damage--an ideal asymmetric weapon. (187) 1. Investigating Questionable Claims of U.S. War Crimes U.S. officials do not fear genuine violations of international law; their true concern is that every tragedy of the U.S. war on terror will become the subject of a high-profile international criminal investigation. (188) The Chief Prosecutor also began "analyzing six situations ... located in four different continents" as well as a thorough analysis of over 240 complaints stemming from the 2003 Iraq War. (189) These statistics will only grow. The Chief Prosecutor's statutory duty to analyze all information--combined with increasing access by NGOs that have little incentive to show restraint--could be subverted to serve a future asymmetric cause. (190) Perhaps the greatest U.S. concern involves the collateral damage that will inevitably result in any violent conflict due to the "fog of war." (191) Asymmetric warriors hiding themselves among the civilian population will often benefit from maximum collateral damage and its accompanying public outcry. (192) Even the bombing of valid targets could be exploited. For instance, in the 2001 coalition attacks in Afghanistan, Osama bin Laden charged the United States with a war crime based on the bombing of a mosque by a malfunctioning guided missile. (193) A classic example of asymmetrically exploiting the tragedy of collateral damage occurred during the 1991 Gulf War when the United States used precision guided munitions to destroy the Al Firdos bunker in Baghdad--a high-value target considered to be one of ten secondary leadership bunkers. (194) After the bombing, however, Iraqi sources claimed that hundreds of civilians had been killed in the attack, including over 100 children. (195) Unbeknownst to the United States, Iraq had housed the families of high-ranking civilians above the bunker either to provide them extra safety or to use as human shields. (196) Public outrage against the attack--and charges of war crimes--immediately followed. (197) The United States altered its bombing strategy after this incident to avoid such tragedies for the duration of the war, (198) but the damage could not be undone. Exploitation of this tragedy continued to be a tool of asymmetric "law-fare" as late as 2002 in a lawsuit filed under Belgium's universal jurisdiction laws. (199) Though collateral damage is inevitable, assessing its probability can be difficult. Even among coalition allies there is often disagreement about what constitutes appropriate targeting; such decisions become even more controversial when considering dual-use facilities, (200) such as the Al Firdos bunker. Moreover, incidents where the expected collateral damage exceeds military necessity could lead to actionable charges under the Rome Statute. (201) But are judges and prosecutors of the ICC--who are not required to possess a military background or expertise in application of the laws of war (202)--in the best position to evaluate these difficult determinations? If the United States were a party to the ICC, every tragedy of collateral damage could potentially result in allegations of crimes against high-ranking U.S. officials. (203) In practice, to avoid ICC jurisdiction and receive the protection of complementarity, (204) the United States would prudently conduct full investigations in every instance of civilian loss. These internal investigations would require interviews with high-level officials (potentially the Secretary of Defense and President) about their role in the attack decision, the intelligence available at the time, and the chain of command's operation during the incident. In many cases, critics would not be satisfied that the United States conducted a truly "impartial" investigation. (205) Additionally troubling is how the ICC may come to view itself. While ICTY cases are not binding on the ICC, in the Tadic Appeal on Jurisdiction the tribunal stated: It would be a travesty of law and a betrayal of the universal need for justice, should the concept of State sovereignty be allowed to be raised successfully against human rights. Borders should not be considered as a shield against the reach of the law and as a protection for those who trample underfoot the most elementary rights of humanity.... [When an] international tribunal such as the present one is created, it must be endowed with primacy over national courts. (206) While only dicta, this statement reflects a growing sentiment that international courts must have primacy over state sovereignty. In the future, when the ICC becomes a stable bureaucracy, it may raise enough political capital to confront the world's most sovereign nation--the United States. (207) Confronting the United States will be made easier by the fact that European prosecutors have already investigated potential U.S. war crimes. During NATO operations in Kosovo, Carla Del Ponte, (208) Chief Prosecutor for the ICTY, (209) "looked into complaints regarding NATO's bombing campaign in Yugoslavia. She met with individuals from the Russian Duma, various non-governmental agencies, and international legal experts to discuss NATO's actions in Kosovo." (210) This step came after human rights groups argued that investigation of potential NATO war crimes was "essential if the Hague tribunals were to be seen as impartial." (211) A similar process is occurring with investigations by the European Parliament and the Council of Europe into the possibility of secret U.S. prisons in Europe. (212) The ICC's Chief Prosecutor will experience similar political pressures to investigate questionable claims of war crimes allegedly committed by entities such as NATO or the United States. Unlike the ICTY's Prosecutor, however, the ICC's Chief Prosecutor has broad investigative obligations (213) and almost universal international support. (214) This institutional structure might create a global "Ken Starr" problem that could be exploited by modern asymmetric warriors to achieve their objectives. (215) 2. Inventing Fraudulent Claims of U.S. War Crimes While questionable claims may provide the opportunity to exploit the ICC, policymakers also fear a less frequent but more devastating asymmetric tactic: creating fraudulent claims of U.S. violations out of whole cloth. Adversaries of the United States could perpetrate this fraud on the ICC in two ways: (1) placing innocent civilians at high-priority targets to create heavy civilian casualties from U.S. attacks, and (2) committing war crimes while disguised as using troops in order to "frame" the United States, or both. Regarding the first possibility, consider again the Al Firdos bunker incident during the 1991 Persian Gulf War. (216) Out of malevolence or sheer stupidity, the Iraqis placed families of high-ranking military leaders in harms way in the upper floors of a bunker which was also a high-priority leadership target. (217) Its destruction--and accompanying civilian loss--resulted in both propaganda and legal opportunities. (218) In addition, modern adversaries are willing to use innocent civilians to raise the stakes on U.S. attacks. For instance, Libya "threatened to surround the reported site of an underground chemical plant with 'millions of Muslims' in order to ward off attacks." (219) Since modern terrorists have no regard for innocent human life, they would not hesitate to use this same tactic if an asymmetric gain could be achieved. Indeed, U.S. officials predict that future enemies will likely disperse "military assets into civilian areas in the hopes of causing collateral damage" that can be "trumpeted to the world media ... all in the hopes of dissuading attacks by compassionate Americans concerned for the fate of those who might be unintentionally killed." (220) Regarding the second possibility, the idea of "framing" the United States for war crimes will appeal to asymmetric adversaries, but only if they can achieve it successfully. This is no idle fear: during the 2003 invasion of Iraq, reports surfaced that U.S. military uniforms had been stolen; insurgents intended to use those uniforms to pose as U.S. military members and commit war atrocities. (221) These tactics have also been used in the past. Colombian kingpin rebels may have intimidated peasants to bring false claims against key military leaders. (222) Further, some believe Rwanda and Uganda used this tactic to garner world sympathy by feeding "the media and NGOs false stories on military operations and atrocities in Zaire." (223) Finally, one fictional account envisions a future U.S. defeat where an unscrupulous enemy detonates a nuclear weapon on his own soil during a conventional U.S. air strike to convince the world media that the United States has engaged in the most grievous of war crimes. (224) Consider this potential future scenario concerning the ICC. Terrorists posing as U.S. troops would commit war atrocities. These crimes would be witnessed by actual victims who may truly believe that the United States has carried out the offenses. Reports would surface, with the corresponding negative media publicity. When evidence of the crimes reached the ICC, the Chief Prosecutor would have no choice but to conduct an initial inquiry. The media attention and propaganda effort would intensify. Regardless of any U.S. investigation into the incident--which would likely find no evidence of U.S. involvement--the pressure on the ICC to formally investigate this "clear evidence" of U.S. atrocities would be overwhelming. A well-done "framing" of this sort could pose serious threats to international support of the U.S. war on terror. While this scenario is currently but a work of fiction, it is notable that after the dramatic attacks on September 11, 2001, the Pentagon quickly consulted Hollywood to help "dream up terrorist scenarios for the post-9/11 world." (225) Therefore, whether by exaggerating the tragedies of war or by creating fraudulent violations of international law, asymmetric warriors may be able to exploit the processes of the ICC. Whether such claims are eventually substantiated or not, the chain of events that these investigations--or even pre-investigations--will set in motion can help accomplish asymmetric objectives. (226) C. Exploiting the International Criminal Court through Use of Mass Media The practice of "media warfare" works hand-in-hand with the type of asymmetric exploitation of the ICC that could occur in the future. As the world's only remaining superpower, anti-U.S. sentiment is not difficult to stir, especially after the 2003 U.S.-led effort to oust Iraqi dictator, Saddam Hussein. There is little doubt that propaganda throughout the past forty years has fueled international anti-U.S, sentiment. "Among intellectuals and media of Western Europe and the third world, a strong anti-U.S. bias has been prevalent. There is a large and well prepared market for the worst possible stories about American military action." (227) This sets the stage for various asymmetric tactics. Those who oppose U.S. policies and actions have a built-in media audience for whom to conduct show trials in the fashion of the resoundingly successful Russell Tribunal during the Vietnam conflict. (228) For instance, a Japanese "International Criminal Tribunal for Iraq"--made up of a four-lawyer panel conducting a "people's tribunal" with no legal effect--found President Bush and Prime Minister Blair guilty of numerous war crimes. (229) These "show trials" have become common since the war on terror began. (230) But the mass media bedlam that has evolved since the Russell Tribunal of the 1960s makes this type of "show trial" more of a curiosity than a true media event today--such stories often get lost in the chaos. As with complaints filed under universal jurisdiction laws in countries such as Belgium and Germany, these legal feigns lack any real significance because they pose no real threat to the United States or its officials. (231) But imagine the media interest in a case that could potentially lead to the international criminal prosecution of U.S. military leaders or high-level political figures. (232) If the United States joins the ICC and consents to its jurisdiction, complaints lodged before the Court would pose a true threat--with the corresponding media circus. The Chief Prosecutor would conduct a "pre-investigation" according to his statutory duty, possibly even taking "written or oral testimony at the seat of the Court." (233) Failure to satisfy the Chief Prosecutor could result in a court order that the United States could not ignore as it has done with lesser courts. (234) The nation could even draw the ire of the ICC in the form of sanctions (235) if the United States were to impede the duties of a Court official. (236) Picture the inherent drama that would result if the United States chose to defy the ICC--the headline in USA Today might read: "United States Refuses to Obey World Court!" Indeed, such a turn of events could jeopardize the very legitimacy and survival of the Court. (237) As an asymmetric strategy, then, raising alleged grievances before the ICC might prove to be an effective means to challenge U.S. policy in the "court of mass media." It could result in the deterrence of U.S. action and the decline of U.S. prestige. Even now, critics of the United States have exploited mass media to take advantage of the unpopular U.S. opposition to the ICC. Those U.S. critics argue that by the United States' failure to participate in the Court, it no longer champions the cause of international justice. (238) In the world's eyes, U.S. actions have had a "corrosive effect" on diplomacy. (239) Fueling this fire, the United States' attempt to secure Article 98 agreements (240) with many countries (241) has led to a perception exploited in the world media that the United States is affirmatively acting to undermine the ICC. (242) Attempts to secure these controversial agreements have garnered negative media attention and contributed to the image of the U.S. "bully." (243) For example, President Alfredo Palacios of Ecuador, in refusing to sign an Article 98 agreement stated, "Absolutely nobody is going to make me cower." (244) Not surprisingly, the forces of NGOs have mobilized to monitor and comment in the media on U.S. efforts to secure Article 98 agreements, even influencing ICC State Parties to not sign them. (245) The current media campaign to soil the reputation of the United States as a champion of international rights may only be a prelude to the media symphony that can be conducted to asymmetrically harm U.S. interests, especially if the United States ratifies the Rome Treaty. (246) This concern has been affirmed by the Court's outreach to mass media by constructing a two-level "media centre" located adjacent to the ICC courtrooms at the Hague. (247) D. Asymmetric Objectives of Exploiting the International Criminal Court Future asymmetric warriors will use various methods to exploit the ICC, (248) but these techniques are not employed for their own sake. Instead, adversaries of the United States will coordinate these asymmetric tactics to achieve three main objectives to combat the war on terror: (1) creating risk-averse behavior by U.S. policymakers and military leaders, (2) diverting resources and attention from the primary mission of fighting terrorism, and (3) splitting up international coalitions that support the war on terror. 1. Creating Risk-Averse Policymakers and Commanders The primary aim of future asymmetric "law-fare" attacks will be to deter the United States from "doing good" and aggressively fighting its war on terror. (249) Terrorist groups such as Al-Qaeda would relish the ability to cow the United States into a defensive posture or one of complete international isolation. (250) If these groups can prevent U.S. attacks against them by creating risk-averse decisionmakers, they will have gone far in neutralizing their primary threat. Risk-averse behavior begins with the fear of taking risks and exposing oneself to danger. With regard to the ICC, United States policymakers are most concerned about the danger to U.S. civilian and military leadership posed by investigations or prosecutions. (251) While testifying in favor of the ASPA, U.S. Ambassador John Bolton stated: Now let us be clear here. Our main concern under the Rome Statute should not be that the prosecutor will indict the occasional American soldier who contrary to his or her training and doctrine allegedly commits a war crime. Our main concern should be for the President ... and other senior leaders responsible for our defense and foreign policy. They are the real potential targets of the ICC's politically unaccountable prosecutor. (252) The mere possibility of an ICC investigation could curtail U.S. military and peacekeeping activities. (253) Military and civilian leaders may adopt stricter interpretations of proportionality, reducing the speed, mass, and dominance that have characterized U.S. military operations. Considering the relatively subjective nature of wartime decisions, the United States could choose to operate a conservative war-fighting plan for fear it will need to defend its decisions to a civilian court composed of members who may have very different perspectives on the parameters of proportionality. (254) Some might argue these operational constraints would be a positive development; however, history has shown that piecemeal efforts in warfare increase risks to all parties involved and are more harmful in the long run. (255) For instance, the slow buildup of NATO's air campaign in Kosovo may have contributed to the length of the war and resulting loss of life--an unintended consequence of proportionality. (256) Recent history provides examples of how asymmetric tactics can achieve a response from military and political leaders hoping to avoid negative media publicity. (257) During the 1991 Gulf War, the United States changed its targeting strategy after the Al Firdos bunker tragedy resulted in hundreds of civilian deaths. (258) After the massive civilian casualties, General Norman Schwarzkopf required all Baghdad targets to be personally approved by him; he also sharply limited attacks against other National Command Authorities. (259) Similar concerns led to military decisions during the December 1998 air strikes in Iraq, dubbed Operation Desert Fox. U.S. military commanders feared the media's use of images of the air strikes during the Muslim holy month of Ramadan and thus allowed only four days to strike key Iraqi targets; this mission was almost "undoable." (260) Moreover, when Belgium and other countries began to use universal jurisdiction laws, U.S. officials modified their diplomatic travel schedules to avoid those countries. (261) These examples reflect an underlying concern repeatedly raised by officials in the Clinton Administration: "The Rome Statute imposes a formal equality of law in the face of a radical inequality of exposure: [w]ith vastly larger military commitments than any other country, the United States is more likely to have soldiers deployed in conflicts that may give rise to war crimes charges." (262) This concern is well-founded: the Rome Statute expressly subjects military commanders and other "superiors" to criminal responsibility for crimes "committed by forces under his or her effective command and control." (263) It also holds soldiers criminally responsible for following "manifestly unlawful" orders, which include "orders to commit genocide or crimes against humanity" (264)--charges recently raised against the United States. (265) Human nature indicates that exposing military and political leaders to criminal liability will modify how they make decisions. While those who oppose war for any reason may applaud such a change, those who prey on the weak and divided would also rejoice, for they would have attained through legal processes that which they could not achieve on the battlefield. 2. Diverting Resources from the War on Terror Even where U.S. policymakers and commanders do not become risk-averse, asymmetric exploitation of the ICC could betray secrets, (266) waste resources, and distract leadership. Osama bin Laden himself has advocated these methods to bankrupt the United States in its war on terror. (267) Diverting resources could have a significant impact on military operations: It is foreseeable that groups opposed to all use of military force could tie up military resources and man hours by making allegations of war crimes, no matter how frivolous. United States policy makers may find themselves before the court having to defend United States actions in the use of force against blatantly aggressive nations. (268) A major concern from an asymmetric warfare standpoint is that commanders in the field would be forced to thoroughly investigate every civilian death or wayward bomb to avoid potential ICC jurisdiction. Though such investigations are unlikely to comfort the victims of collateral damage, they will disrupt the mission and raise costs. The very structure of the ICC inexorably leads to this result. (269) In an effort to limit the Court's jurisdiction and placate objections by the United States, (270) diplomats incorporated the principle of complementarity into the treaty. Complementarity would prevent the ICC from taking jurisdiction over a case that has been, or is being, investigated by a State Party, leaving national jurisdictions with primacy in prosecutions. (271) While promising in theory, this principle leads to undesired results when combined with the Chief Prosecutor's proprio motu power. (272) Under the Rome Statute, the Chief Prosecutor is obliged to inform any State when a formal investigation into an alleged violation has been opened. (273) This "heads up" provides the State an opportunity to start its own investigation, triggering the protection of complementarity--the Chief Prosecutor must defer to the State unless he is convinced the state is unwilling or unable to carry out an investigation or prosecution. (274) But pronouncements from the Chief Prosecutor have added to this obligation: the normal practice of his office is to inform the state in the "pre-investigation" phase (275) when he is "analyzing" information to determine whether to initiate an investigation: (276) [T]he Prosecutor will generally seek to alert the relevant State of the possibility of taking action itself very early in the process. For this reason, when the Office receives sufficiently detailed and credible information about alleged crimes, the Office will in general consult with and seek additional information from the States that would normally exercise jurisdiction, unless there is reason to believe that such consultations may prejudice the future conduct of an analysis or investigation or jeopardize the safety of persons. (277) This notice will, in practice, force the state to conduct an investigation to avoid jurisdiction, even where it believes it has acted properly. (278) In the end, the Chief Prosecutor will exercise substantial political influence over States Parties simply by raising the specter of an investigation. Any state that fails to conduct an "independent" or "impartial" investigation of the allegations would foolishly risk the Court's meddling, even where the case is still in its pre-investigation phase. The very conduct of these state-led investigations could create risk-averse behavior and divert the attention of both leaders and subordinates from accomplishing the anti-terror mission. For instance, to conduct a thorough and timely inquiry, an investigation should begin close in time to the incident. Subordinates and commanders alike will need to be questioned. Classified intelligence will need to be examined. Command and control issues will need to be explored. Each day, this will consume time from the busy schedules of personnel up and down the chain of command. Because the ICC is most interested in complaints against high-level officials, the President, Secretary of Defense, and other public figures may need to be interviewed about their thoughts, actions, and motivations for command decisions and policies. Furthermore, even if the state undertakes an investigation and determines no wrongdoing occurred, it runs the risk the Chief Prosecutor may determine the state was unwilling or unable to genuinely carry out the investigation. (279) No standards are set forth in the Statute to define what "unwilling" means, (280) although it is likely that over time the Court will develop its own standards and precedents for making this evaluation. (281) Faced with the uncertainty of how a Chief Prosecutor will view a case, (282) then, it is easy to foresee the United States investigating far more issues than it would normally deem necessary. In short, there is potential for inefficiency and distraction, which would play well into the overall strategies of asymmetric warriors. 3. Splitting International Coalitions To truly weaken efforts to win the war on terror, it is not enough for adversaries of the United States to frighten policymakers and distract commanders in the field. A major prong of an effective asymmetric strategy must be to isolate the United States from the rest of the international community and to split international coalitions. The United States relies on coalitions to carry out its war on terror; (283) yet, coalitions can be fragile. Some weaknesses of coalitions include "the political process by which the decision in Washington to use force is made after a period of intense and open debate," "the casualty aversion of coalition publics," and "the powerful role of the news media in magnifying fears and anxieties and in motivating U.S. actions." (284) Saddam Hussein demonstrated a classic method of asymmetric coalition-splitting when he masterfully divided the former Gulf-War coalition that had kept Iraq in check after it invaded Kuwait. (285) In the mid-1990s, Iraq began entering into lucrative international contracts with coalition partners such as France, Russia, and China. (286) The contracts would only take effect when international economic sanctions were lifted, giving these allies an incentive to disagree with the United States on the sanctions issue. (287) Iraq also alienated Arab nations from the coalition by pitting them against Israel; Iraq argued that there was a "double standard" that allowed Israel the possession of many nuclear weapons while denying an Arab nation such as Iraq even a single one. (288) When Iraq banned U.N. weapons inspections for a period of three months in 1997--almost provoking "coalition" military intervention--France, Russia, and China distanced themselves from the coalition and no Arab nation but Kuwait stood with the United States. (289) The United States was denied over-flight rights by some Arab nations, while others refused to allow the United States to use their bases as an origin of attack. (290) The danger never materialized, however, when Iraq backed away from the brink of war and allowed U.N. weapons inspections again in December 1997. (291) Modern asymmetrical warriors may attempt to use the ICC to drive a wedge between the United States and the international community. There is no doubt that terrorist groups seek to split the international coalition fighting the war on terror. Taking a page from Saddam Hussein's playbook, Osama bin Laden has been using this same tactic in an attempt to alienate Muslim nations from the United States. (292) Many U.S. allies have already joined the ICC and now have a vested interest in the Court's success. If the United States were to join the Court and then, for example, fail to comply with a request from the Chief Prosecutor, (293) intense international pressure may be levied attempt to force compliance. Moreover, even unsubstantiated ICC cases against U.S. officials may cause other nations to politically back away from coalitions, handing terrorists a major victory. For instance, if a coalition partner were to deny the United States access to its bases for specific operations in the war on terror, the mission could be seriously hampered. If asymmetric warriors can exploit the ICC to garner international opinion against the United States, they will have gone far in nullifying offensive operations in the war on terror. Sidetracked by coalition-preserving, the United States might take a more defensive posture and minimize potentially offending operations. More important, if nations deny the United States access to foreign bases, overfly rights, or use of their facilities to launch operations, the capability of the United States to conduct an effective war on terror will be impaired. V. CONCLUSION The ICC is currently a fledgling institution struggling for its own identity, legitimacy, and survival. If it endures, it will emerge from this time of trial as an emboldened institution, fully empowered by the consent of nation-states who have given up a portion of their national sovereignty to the Court--a potential "Big Bad Wolf." The Court's developing processes and policies have created a structure that can be asymmetrically exploited in the future, especially if the United States ratifies the Rome Treaty. NGOs are innumerable and each has its own political agenda; they will have formalized avenues of access to the Office of the Prosecutor, where they may present allegations against the United States with little restraint. The Chief Prosecutor's proprio motu power will require him to seriously analyze all allegations of U.S. war crimes--some potentially exaggerated or fraudulent. During a pre-investigation phase, the Chief Prosecutor will inform the United States of the claim, which will prompt a U.S. investigation to gain the protection of complementarity. Mass media will play havoc with such a scenario, broadcasting the complaints that expose high-level U.S. politicians and military leaders to jeopardy. For the United States--a nation at war against terrorism and the world's only superpower--misuse of the ICC could provide asymmetric warriors the sling with which David can slay Goliath. A nation built on law can be undone by law. Given these allegations, U.S. officials may cease to press the offensive and take a risk-averse posture that could ultimately jeopardize the national security of the United States. Even principled acts of war could be exploited through the processes of the ICC to force the diversion of precious resources in the battle against terror, split up international coalitions, and reduce the dominance of U.S. hegemony throughout the world. When deciding in the future whether to join the ICC, the United States must consider the potential for asymmetric warfare built into the Court's processes. Only then will it be able to plan to avoid this landmine. If the nation chooses to accept these risks for the cause of international justice, at least it will have done so with both eyes wide open. (1.) See President George W. Bush, Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the State of the Union (Feb. 7, 2005), in PUB. PAPERS, available at http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2005/02/print/20050202-11.html. (last visited Feb. 5, 2006) (explaining where U.S. troops are fighting the War on Terror). (2.) See Sheikh Usamah Bin-Muhammad Bin-Ladin, Fatwah Urging Jihad Against Americans, in AL-QUAS AS-'ARABI (London), Feb. 23, 1998, (providing the English translation of Osama Bin Laden's fatwah: "We also call on Muslim ulema, leaders, youths, and soldiers to launch raids on Satan's U.S. troops and the devil's supporters allying with them...."), available at http://www.ict.org.il/articles/ fatwah.htm (last visited 2/5/06). (3.) Osama bin Laden, Pre-recorded Speech Sent to and Televised by Al-Jazeera (Oct. 30, 2004), (threatening to bleed America "to the point of bankruptcy"), transcript available at Full transcript of bin Ladin's speech, Aljazeera.net, Nov. 1, 2004, http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/79C6AF22-98FB-4A1C-B21 F2BC36E87F61F.htm. (4.) See BRAD ROBERTS, INSTITUTE FOR DEFENSE ANALYSIS, ASYMMETRIC CONFLICT 2010, IDA Doe. D-2538, at 1 (2000) (using David and Goliath analogy). (5.) See infra notes 92-114 and accompanying text. (6.) See, e.g., JOSEPH JACOBS, ENGLISH FAIRY TALES AND MORE ENGLISH FAIRY TALES (Donald Haase ed., ABC-CLIO 2002) (1890). The "Big Bad Wolf" refers to an adaptation of Joseph Jacob's English fairy tale about "three little pigs" who are terrorized by a wolf who threatens to blow their houses down. Id. This Article explores whether the exploitation of the ICC would be a true threat to the United States or merely "huffing and puffing." See id. (7.) Nearly nine million people from thirty-two nations died during World War I. See HOWARD BALL, PROSECUTING WAR CRIMES AND GENOCIDE: THE TWENTIETH-CENTURY EXPERIENCE 17 (1999) (describing international experience in World War I that led to desire for a standing criminal court). After the War, the Allied victors pushed for prosecution of the Germans and Central Powers for their violations of the Hague Conventions of 1899 and 1907. Id. at 19. Due to practical considerations, the victorious nations allowed the Germans to prosecute their own accused. See Regina Horton, The Long Road to Hypocrisy: The United States and the International Criminal Court, 24 WHITTIER L. REV. 1041, 1044 (2003) (explaining that Germany refused to surrender any accused and how the United States rejected the idea of prosecuting Kaiser Wilhelm to avoid infringing on Germany's sovereignty); see also WILLIAM n. SCHABAS, AN INTRODUCTION TO THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT 3-4 (2001) (noting Germany never accepted military tribunals proposed by the Allies); Gerard E. O'Connor, Note, The Pursuit of Justice and Accountability: Why the United States Should Support the Establishment Of An International Criminal Court, 27 HOFSTRA L. REV. 927, 936 (1999) (explaining the need to stabilize the Weimar Republic). (8.) Of nearly 900 potential defendants, only twelve were tried, several were acquitted, and those found guilty were sentenced to modest terms of imprisonment. See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 4 ("The trials looked rather more like disciplinary proceedings of the German Army than any international reckoning."). (9.) See id. at 4-5 (noting failure of the League of Nations to get sufficient number of ratifying states); see also Horton, supra note 7, at 1044 (noting that after World War I the League established an advisory committee to create plans for a Permanent Court of International Justice); O'Connor, supra note 7, at 937 (discussing how World War II marked an end of such efforts). (10.) At the Nuremburg Tribunal, nineteen of twenty-two defendants were found guilty. See BALL, supra note 7, at 44-85. At the International Military Tribunal for the Far East, of the twenty-five defendants who were tried, all were found guilty and seven were sentenced to death by hanging. See id. See generally ARIEH J. KOCHAVI, PRELUDE TO NUREMBURG: ALLIED WAR CRIMES POLICY AND THE QUESTION OF PUNISHMENT (1998); REPORT OF ROBERT H. JACKSON, UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE TO THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MILITARY TRIALS (1949). (11.) BALL, supra note 7, at 49, 85 (noting also that "Nullem crimen et nulla poena sine lege" [No crime and no punishment without law] was the cry of defense counsel for Japanese and Nazi defendants); see also SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 6 (observing ex post facto criminalization threatened tribunals' legitimacy); O'Connor, supra note 7, at 941 (describing perception that the victorious Allies sat in judgment over defeated Germans and Japanese). (12.) These tribunals gave birth to the doctrines of command responsibility, individual criminal responsibility, and the rejection of the defenses of "state doctrine" and "superior orders." See O'Connor, supra note 7, at 942-43. (13.) See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 6 (explaining the court's jurisdiction is limited to three categories of crimes). (14.) O'Connor, supra note 7, at 941. (15.) See Horton, supra note 7, at 1046 (explaining how Cold War politics hindered efforts to establish a court). (16.) See U.N. SCOR, 48th Sess., 3217th mtg., U.N. Doc. S/Res/827 (1993) (creating the ICTY) [hereinafter ICTY Statute]; U.N. SCOR, 49th Sess., 3453d mtg., at 3, U.N. Doc S/Res/955 (1993) (creating the ICTR) [hereinafter ICTR Statute]. (17.) For example, the 2004-2005 budget of the ICTY was $298,226,300, see G.A. Res. 255, U.N. GAOR, 58th Sess., U.N. Doc A/RES/58/255 (2004), and the 2004-2005 budget for the ICTR was $235,324,200, see G.A. Res. 253, U.N. GAOR, 58th Sess., U.N. Doc A/RES/58/253 (2004); see also Horton, supra note 7, at 1049 (noting that it took time to establish the tribunals, to find a place to hold court, and to select judges and a prosecutor). (18.) See Horton, supra note 7, at 1050 (citing Richard J. Goldstone & Gary Jonathan Bass, Lessons from the International Criminal Tribunals, in THE UNITED STATES AND INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT: NATIONAL SECURITY AND INTERNATIONAL LAW 56 (Sarah B. Sewell & Carl Kaysen eds., 2000). (19.) See Horton, supra note 7, at 1046. Some might argue that the pending case of Iraqi dictator, Saddam Hussein, again highlights the need for such a court. Saddam Didn't Confess to Mass Killings: Lawyer, REUTERS, Sept. 8, 2005, available at http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/english/doc/2005-09/08/content_476200.htm (last visited Feb. 5, 2006). Saddam's defense team has questioned the ability to have a fair trial within Iraq. Id. Saddam's defense attorney, Khalil Dulaimi, has complained, "There is no chance of holding a just and honest trial in such an atmosphere...." Id. Meanwhile, Iraq's neighbor, Iran, is preparing its own charges against Saddam for fear that "Iraqi prosecutors had failed to lay sufficient charges against him...." Iran Slams Saddam Trial Plans as 'Insufficient,' THE DAILY STAR, Sept. 6, 2005, available at http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp? edition_ID=10&article_ID=18246&categ_id=2 (last visited Feb. 5, 2006). (20.) See John Seguin, Note, Denouncing the International Criminal Court: An Examination of U.S. Objections to the Rome Statute, 18 B.U. INT'L L.J. 85, 86-87 (2000) (recounting how the United States joined the worldwide call for the creation of a permanent international criminal court). The original vision for the ICC looked quite different from the court that emerged from the Rome Conference in 1998. See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 97. In a draft prepared in advance of the conference by the International Law Commission (ILC), the proposed statute denied the Chief Prosecutor the ability to initiate prosecution proprio motu. See id. The ILC conceived of the Court as "a facility available to States Parties to its Statute, and in certain cases to the Security Council who alone were empowered to initiate a case." Id. (citing Report of the International Law Commission on the Work of Its Forty-Sixth Session, 2 May-22 July 1994, U.N. GAOR, 49th Sess., Supp. No. 10, U.N. Doc. A/49/10 89-90 (1994)). (21.) See Seguin, supra note 20, at 87 ("Indeed, American support for the creation of an international criminal court continued throughout the drafting and revising process as the United States participated in the Preparatory Committee sessions."); see also David J. Scheffer, U.S. Policy and the International Criminal Court, 32 CORNELL INT'L L.J. 529, 531 (1999). The U.S. Delegation [at the Rome Conference] insisted that definitions of war crimes be drawn from customary international law and that they respect the requirements and intent of military objectives during combat. We had long sought a high threshold for the court's jurisdiction over war crimes, since individual soldiers often commit isolated war crimes that by themselves should not automatically trigger the massive machinery of the ICC. (22.) NGOs such as Amnesty International helped ensure that modifications such as the proprio motu power made it into the final version of the treaty. See Christopher Keith Hall, Challenges Ahead for the United Nations Preparatory Committee Drafting a Statute for a Permanent International Criminal Court AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL, At Index: IOR 40/03/96 (1996), http://web.amnesty.org/library/pdf/IOR400031996ENGLISH/$File/IOR4000396.pdf. During the drafting process at the Rome Conference, "like minded countries" and NGOs made the proprio motu prosecutor one of their battle cries. SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 97. But "[s]ome powerful States vigorously opposed the idea, fearful that the position might be occupied by an NGO-friendly litigator with an attitude." Id. See generally David Davenport, The New Diplomacy, POLICY REVIEW ONLINE (Dec. 2002 & Jan. 2003) (detailing role of NGOs and their efforts to shape ICC), www.policyreview.org/DEC02/davenport.html. (23.) Concerns arose on the part of the U.S. representatives regarding the role of the U.N. Security Council, the list of "core crimes" over which the Court would have jurisdiction, and the scope of jurisdiction over persons who were not nationals of State Parties. SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 17. In its final form, the Court emerged with jurisdiction over genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and the "crime of aggression." Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, July 17, 1998, art. 1, U.N. Doc. A/CONF.183/9* (1998), reprinted in 37 I.L.M. 999 (1998), corrected through May 8, 2000, by U.N. Doc. CN.177.2000.TREATIES-5 [hereinafter Rome Statute]. (24.) The United States exercised its procedural right that a vote should be taken rather than allowing adoption by consensus. See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 18. (25.) See Seguin, supra note 20, at 86-87. (26.) The United States took an active role in the preparatory commissions and in drafting the elements of crimes and procedures for operation of the Court. Marc Grossman, Under Secretary for Political Affairs, Remarks to the Center for Strategic and International Studies (May 6, 2002), http://www.state.gov/p/us/rm/9949.htm (last visited 2/5/06). (27.) In signing the treaty, President Clinton affirmed the United States' "strong support for international accountability and for bringing to justice perpetrators of genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity." Statement on the Rome Treaty on the International Criminal Court, 37 PUB. PAPERS 1 (Jan. 8, 2001). But he also reiterated that the United States was not abandoning its concerns about significant flaws in the treaty. Id. (28.) Diane F. Orentlicher, Unilateral Multilateralism: United States Policy Toward the International Criminal Court, 36 CORNELL INT'L L.J. 415, 422 (2004); see also Grossman, supra note 26 (stating that U.S. policymakers believed the Rome Statute undermined the role of the U.N. Security Council, created an unchecked prosecutorial system, and had flaws open for exploitation and politically motivated prosecutions). (29.) The United States did not literally "unsign" the treaty, but the European Union expressed its concern "that this unilateral action may have undesirable consequences on multilateral Treaty-making and generally on the rule of law in international relations." Orentlicher, supra note 28, at 422 (citing the declaration of the European Union). (30.) Id. at 415. (31.) President Clinton originally opposed the framework of the ICC on the basis that the Court might not operate in accordance with the Rome Statute. Id. at 420. Others have suggested that even after a war is won, the ICC could "defer reconciliation" by initiating a period of finger-pointing and the "blame game" that could "render a peace impossible." Michael L. Smidt, The International Criminal Court: An Effective Means of Deterrence?, 167 MIL. L. REV. 156, 186 (2001) (quoting Leila Sadat Wexler, The Proposed Permanent International Criminal Court: An Appraisal, 29 CORNELL INT'L L.J. 665, 672 (1996)). (32.) See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 61; see also Michael D. Mysak, Judging the Giant: An Examination of American Opposition to the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, 63 SASK. L. REV. 275, 278 (2000) (discussing U.S. opposition to Article 12(2) of the Rome Treaty); Seguin, supra note 20, at 98. But see Michael P. Scharf, ICC's Jurisdiction Over the Nationals of Non-Party States: A Critique of the U.S. Position, 64 LAW & CONTEMP. PROB. 67, 98 (2001) (arguing that the Rome Treaty does not bind non-parties but simply confirms individuals are subject to laws applicable in territories in which they travel). (33.) See Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 120 ("No reservations may be made to this Statute"); Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, May 23, 1969, art. 19(a), 1155 U.N.T.S. 331 (noting that a state has liberty to make reservations to a multilateral treaty unless all reservations are prohibited); Horton, supra note 7, at 1070. (34.) The "crime of aggression" has not yet been defined under the statute. See Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 5(2) ("The Court shall exercise jurisdiction over the crime of aggression once a provision is adopted in accordance with Articles 121 and 123 defining the crime and setting out the conditions under which the Court shall exercise jurisdiction with respect to this crime."); see also Seguin, supra note 20, at 97 (discussing opposition to the crime). (35.) See Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 17. The ICC was given the power to initiate investigations and prosecutions even where a State Party had decided not to prosecute one of its nationals--but only if the Court determined that the state was "unwilling or unable" to undertake an investigation or prosecution. See generally infra notes 258-67 and accompanying text (discussing ramifications of complementarity). (36.) See Seguin, supra note 20, at 92-93 (highlighting the U.S. argument). (37.) Proprio motu is a Latin phrase that literally means "by one's own motion." HUTCHINSON ENCYCLOPAEDIA (2000). In the context of the ICC, it refers to the Chief Prosecutor's ability to initiate an investigation on his own accord, with the approval of two Judges of the Court's Pre-Trial Chamber. See infra notes 120-43 and accompanying text (discussing ramifications of the power). (38.) Mysak, supra note 32, at 278 (discussing opposition). Originally, the Chief Prosecutor was to have no proprio motu power. See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 97. The broad powers included in the final version, however, required the Chief Prosecutor "to cover all facts and evidence relevant to an assessment of whether there is criminal responsibility under this Statute, and, in doing so, investigate incriminating and exonerating circumstances equally." Id. at 103 (citing Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 19(6)). (39.) Mysak, supra note 32, at 279. But see SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 99 (quoting Justice Louise Arbour, "In my experience based on the work of the two Tribunals to date, I believe that the real challenge posed to a Prosecutor is to choose from many meritorious complaints the appropriate ones for international intervention, rather than to weed out weak or frivolous ones."). (40.) Mysak, supra note 32, at 285-86; see also Seguin, supra note 20, at 94 (quoting the then-U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Bill Richardson: "We must not turn the International Criminal Court--or its Prosecutor--into a human rights ombudsman open to, and responsible for responding to, any and all complaints from any source."). During the Rome Conference, the United States declared that an independent prosecutor "not only offers little by way of advancing the mandate of the Court and the principles of prosecutorial independence and effectiveness, but also will make much more difficult the Prosecutor's central task of thoroughly and fairly investigating the most egregious of crimes." SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 97. (41.) See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 85; Remigius Chibueze, United States Objections to the International Criminal Court: A Paradox of "Operation Enduring Freedom", 9 ANN. SURV. INT'L & COMP. L. 19, 37 (2003) (contending that the U.S. fear is unfounded due to checks in the statute); Horton, supra note 7, at 1041; Mysak, supra note 32, at 286 (arguing that Americans have no grounded fear of politics taking over the Chief Prosecutor's office due to procedural safeguards); see also Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 1 (stating that ICC jurisdiction "shall be complementary to national criminal jurisdictions"). (42.) Orentlicher, supra note 28, at 427 (questioning motives of those who supported ICC). Constraining "the American behemoth" with the ICC may also have been a goal of our "allies"--the "like-minded states" at the Rome Conference--to give them greater political parity with the United States. Damir Arnaut, When in Rome...? The International Criminal Court and Avenues for U.S. Participation, 43 VA. J. INT'L L. 525, 535-37 (2003). (43.) David Scheffer, the Ambassador-at-Large during the ICC negotiations, has remarked: I spent many years seeking full immunity for our military forces and their civilian leadership in negotiations that quite frankly sometimes seemed the theater of the absurd. I was given nothing to offer--certainly not signature or ratification--in return for an absolutist carve-out that other governments, particularly our closest allies, found arrogant and hypocritical. David J. Scheffer, Fourteenth Waldemar A. Solf Lecture in International Law: A Negotiators Perspective on the International Criminal Court, 167 MIL. L. REV. 1, 7-8 (2001); see Alisha D. Telci, Note, The International Criminal Court: Is the United States Overlooking an Easier Way to Hold Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden Accountable for Their Actions?, 38 NEW ENG. L. REV. 451, 464 (noting that the national security strategy of the United States is to protect its citizens from ICC jurisdiction). (44.) As of January 2005, there were approximately 250,000 soldiers, sailors, airmen, Marines, and Coast Guardsmen deployed in support of combat, peacekeeping, and deterrence operations. GlobalSecurity.org, Where are the Legions? Global Deployments of U.S. Forces, http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/globaldeployments.htm (last visited 2/5/06) (compiling statistics on reputable website). (45.) Ambassador Scheffer has remarked, In the eight years of my deliberations in Washington on the International Criminal Court--beginning with the work of the International Law Commission in 1993 and 1994--I do not recall hearing any senior Defense Department official refer to the core purpose of the Court, namely to advance international justice and enforce the Law of Armed Conflict. Every single discussion was dominated by how the Court would impact the United States military. Scheffer, supra note 43, at 9. (46.) See Telci, supra note 43, at 472-73 (discussing how the American Service-Members Protection Act (ASPA) caused concern to U.S. allies). NGOs and the European Parliament also critiqued the ASPA isolationistic themes as harmful to U.S. interests. See id. at 474. (47.) In the Act's findings, Congress found, [U.S.] Armed forces operating overseas could be conceivably prosecuted by the international court even if the United States has not agreed to be bound by the treaty. Not only is this contrary to the most fundamental principles of treaty law, it could inhibit the ability of the United States to use its military to meet alliance obligations and participate in multinational operations. American Service-Members' Protection Act of 2002, [section] 5, Priv. L. No. 107-206m, 116 Stat. 820 (2002). For further discussion about ASPA, see Sasha Markovic, The Modern Version of the Shot Heard Round the World: America's Flawed Revolution Against the International Criminal Court and the Rest of the World, 51 CLEV. ST. L. REV. 263, 269-79 (2004). (48.) See Markovic, supra note 47, at 269. (49.) See STEVEN METZ & DOUGLAS V. JOHNSON II, ASYMMETRY AND U.S. MILITARY STRATEGY: DEFINITION, BACKGROUND, AND STRATEGIC CONCEPTS 2 (2001) (citing Genghis Khan's use of "superior mobility, operational speed, intelligence, synchronization, training, and morale to crush enemies in lightning campaigns"); see also William J. Hartman, Globalization and Asymmetrical Warfare 25 (Apr. 2002) (unpublished graduate thesis, No. AU/ACSC/053/2001-4, Air Command and Staff College) (on file with Authors) (citing frequent American military use of asymmetric tactics); Michael O'Halloran, A Kill is a Kill: Asymmetrically Attacking U.S. Airpower 6 (Jun. 1999) (unpublished graduate thesis, School of Advanced Airpower Studies) (on file with Authors) (noting that "underdogs" are not alone in using asymmetric warfare). (50.) See ROBERTS, supra note 4, at 1 (discussing asymmetric warfare). (51.) Hartman, supra note 49, at 25. (52.) DAVID L. GRANGE, RESERVE OFFICERS ASSOCIATION OF THE UNITED STATES, ASYMMETRIC WARFARE: OLD METHOD, NEW CONCERN 1 (2001) (noting that asymmetric warfare may be done "on the cheap" and is part of our enemies' "economy of force"). (53.) See Stephen Sloan, Terrorism and Asymmetry, in CHALLENGING THE UNITED STATES SYMMETRICALLY AND ASYMMETRICALLY: CAN AMERICA BE DEFEATED? 175 (Lloyd J. Matthews ed., 1998). (54.) See BRITTANICA CONCISE ENCYCLOPEDIA, Punic Wars (2005). (55.) Ike Skelton, America's Frontier Wars: Lessons for Asymmetric Conflicts, COMBINED ARMS CENTER MILITARY REV., Sept.-Oct. 2001, at 22 (discussing the 1763 Native American victory over Colonel Bouquet's forces marching to Fort Pitt during Pontiac's War). (56.) Steven Metz, Strategic Asymmetry, COMBINED ARMS CENTER MILITARY REV., July-Aug. 2001, at 23. (57.) Vincent J. Goulding, Jr., Back to the Future with Asymmetric Warfare, PARAMETERS, Winter 2000-2001, at 21, available at http://www.d-n-i.net/fcs/goulding_asymmetric.htm; see also GRANGE, supra note 52, at 1 (citing twentieth century examples like the airplane in World War I, panzer blitzkrieg in World War II, and the Strategic Defense Initiative "that helped end the nuclear arms race"). (58.) See GRANGE, supra note 52, at 1 ("Because no group or state can defeat the U.S. in conventional warfare, America's adversaries and potential adversaries are turning to asymmetric strategies."). (59.) Sloan, supra note 53, at 175. But see Metz, supra note 56, at 23-3 (noting that terrorism is "low-cost" but also "high-risk" because it "can generate a backlash against users or reinforce rather than erode a target's resolve"). (60.) See Yonat Shimron, Professor Compiles bin Laden Speeches, NEWS 4 OBSERVER (Raleigh, N.C.), Jul. 25, 2005, at B1 ("What [Professor] Lawrence finds at the core of bin Laden's carefully constructed persona is not a terrorist seeking a target, but a victim seeking redress. Bin Laden portrays the entire Muslim civilization as conquered, subdued and robbed of its resources by the West...."). (61.) Inciting fear in the United States is, in fact, one goal of terrorists. In a 2001 speech, Osama bin Laden cheered, "There is America, full of fear from its north to its south, from its west to its east. Thank God for that." See Text of Osama bin Laden's Taped Remarks, ASSOCIATED PRESS, Oct. 7, 2001. (62.) See Smidt, supra note 31, at 231 (discussing an example where the New York Stock Exchange is targeted by a "crippling computer network attack"). (63.) See Metz, supra note 56, at 23-3 (describing the origin of the term "asymmetric warfare" in Department of Defense literature beginning in 1995 and expanding through the 1990s); see also U.S. JOINT CHIEFS OF STAFF, JOINT VISION 2020, at 5 (2000) (noting that asymmetric attacks are "perhaps the most serious danger the United States faces in the immediate future"). (64.) Hartman, supra note 49, at 24-25. (65.) See Robert D. Steele, Information Peacekeeping: The Purest Form of War, in CHALLENGING THE UNITED STATES SYMMETRICALLY AND ASYMMETRICALLY: CAN AMERICA BE DEFEATED? 144 (Lloyd J. Matthews ed., 1998) (describing three "warrior classes" that the U.S. must confront today, including low-tech brutes, low-tech seers, and high-tech seers). (66.) See Sloan, supra note 53, at 173-74; see also Charles J. Dunlap, Jr., A Virtuous Warrior in a Savage World, 8 USAFA J. LEG. STUD. 71, 72 (1997-1998) ("For most potential adversaries, attacking the United States asymmetrically is the only reasonable warfighting strategy."). (67.) Sloan, supra note 53, at 179 (quoting Maurice A. East, The International System Perspective and Foreign Policy, in MAURICE A. EAST ET Air., WHY NATIONS ACT: THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVES IN COMPARATIVE FOREIGN POLICY STUDIES 143, 145 (1978)). (68.) O'Halloran, supra note 49, at 1 (quoting BRUCE W. BENNETT ET AL., NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INST., THEATER ANALYSIS AND MODELING IN AN ERA OF UNCERTAINTY: THE PRESENT AND FUTURE OF WARFARE xvii (1994)); see also Smidt, supra note 31, at 222 ("Future opponents of the United States are likely to use 'asymmetrical' warfare in order to attempt to defeat the United States and its allies."). (69.) John E. Rhodes, The US and the Changing Nature of Warfare, DEF. AND FOREIGN AFF. STRATEGIC POL'Y, Oct. 2001, at 11-12. (70.) Id. (71.) Mark Mazzetti et al., The Far Horizon, U.S. NEWS & WORLD REP., Oct. 8, 2001, at 12; see also Dunlap, supra note 66, at 72 (noting how barbaric treatment of one U.S. soldier "helped destroy the public support that the U.S. military needed to succeed in Somalia"). (72.) Metz, supra note 56, at 23-3. (73.) See Bennett, supra note 69, at xvi-xviii (discussing the challenges of limited resource adversaries with respect to a developed nation-state like the United States). (74.) Hartman, supra note 49, at 26 ("[A]symmetrical attacks seek to have a major psychological impact, an attack on one's will and ability to act or freedom of action."); see Metz, supra note 56, at 23-2 ("[They] seek a major psychological impact, such as shock or confusion, that affects an opponent's initiative, freedom of action or will."). (75.) See Phillip Hammond, The Media War on Terrorism, 1 J. CRIME, CONFLICT, & MEDIA 23 (2003) (discussing the role of mass media in the war on terror). (76.) Hartman, supra note 49, at 23-24 (quoting Napoleon Bonaparte, "In war the moral is to the material as three to one"). Another study noted, We tend to miscalculate the real ability of opponents to devise low-cost, low-tech methods to offset capabilities of technologically superior adversaries. Effective psychological operations, media manipulation, atrocities, genocide, and unrestricted assaults against civilians are familiar methods used by groups that employ widely available technology, but apply to its use a different set of values than those prevailing in the West. JOHN F. LEHMAN & HARVEY SICHERMAN, FOREIGN POLICY RESEARCH INST., AMERICA THE VULNERABLE: OUR MILITARY PROBLEMS AND HOW TO FIX THEM 220 (2002). (77.) See GRANGE, supra note 52 at 1. (78.) Colonel Dunlap refers to this as "neo-absolutist war" because this "war by any means" approach is "war without rules or scruples"--a different psychology than used by the U.S. warrior. Dunlap, supra note 66, at 74. (79.) Sloan, supra note 53, at 177. (80.) See ROBERTS, supra note 4, at 18. (81.) Id. This psychological impact is particularly important where an antagonist "sees its survival or vital interest at stake and the other is protecting or promoting less-than-vital interests" and when the other "can only sustain the will for a short war." Metz, supra note 56, at 23-4. (82.) Sloan, supra note 53, at 178; see also Dunlap, supra note 66, at 77 (noting the "growing aversion in both the electorate and in the uniformed ranks" toward any friendly casualties in war). But see ROBERTS, supra note 4, at 29 (noting that these perceived U.S. weaknesses may actually be pitfalls for the aggressor because Americans have shown a historical willingness to sustain large amounts of casualties where vital national interests are at stake). (83.) See LEE ANN FUJII, PAPER PREPARED FOR THE ANNUAL CONVENTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL STUDIES ASSOCIATION, NEW ORLEANS, LA, THE DIFFUSION OF A GENOCIDAL NORM IN RWANDA (2002); Internews, Media in Conflict, Case Study: Rwanda (2003), http://www.internews.org/mediainconflict/mic_rwanda.html (both sources outlining how a private Rwandan radio station conducted a media propaganda program over a period of years that "was used to set the scene for the mass killing that later erupted" in the Rwanda genocidal tragedy in 1994). (84.) See O'Halloran, supra note 49, at 11-12 (citing instances such as Vietnam). (85.) Id. (86.) O'Halloran, supra note 49, at 13. (87.) See ROBERTS, supra note 4, at S-3. (88.) Dunlap, supra note 66, at 72 (quoting How North Vietnam Won the War, WALL ST. J., Aug. 3, 1995, at A8). (89.) See Phillip Carter, Legal Combat: Are Enemies Waging War in Our Courts?, SLATE, Apr. 4, 2005. (90.) Id. (arguing for the United States to join the ICC). Mr. Carter goes on to argue that we should "embrace lawfare, for it is vastly preferable to the bloody, expensive, and destructive forms of warfare that ravaged the world in the 20th century." Id. Mr. Carter does not take into account, however, the reality that "lawfare" will be only one tactic used by a ruthless enemy who will also employ the most heinous violence to achieve its political and military aims. (91.) Mary A. O'Grady, What About Colombia's Terrorists?, WALL ST. J., Oct. 5, 2001, at A17 (arguing that Colombian terrorists have successfully waged a media war that has turned attention on reforming Colombia's military rather than fighting ruthless internal terrorist groups). (92.) See Linda S. Mullenix, The Future of Tort Reform: Possible Lessons from the World Trade Center Victim Compensation Fund, 53 EMORY L.J. 1315, 1323 (2004) ("[T]he current tort litigation system inspires, induces, and rewards baseless, meritless lawsuits: lawsuits that should never should be brought or, if filed, ought to be dismissed before litigation progresses."). (93.) Id. (94.) Chris Guthrie, Framing Frivolous Litigation: A Psychological Theory, 67 U. CHI. L. REV. 163, 172-73 (2000) (describing various asymmetric cost models to explain frivolous litigation). According to one model, frivolous litigation persists because the defendant must incur the cost of responding to plaintiffs frivolous complaint.... [A] rational plaintiff will file a frivolous complaint because he assumes he will be able to recover a settlement from the rational defendant up to the amount of the defendant's cost of responding. Id. (95.) O'Halloran, supra note 49, at 13. (96.) Id. at 13-14. (97.) Id. at 14 (quoting Guenter Lewy, Deception and Revolutionary Warfare in Vietnam, in DECEPTION OPERATIONS: STUDIES IN THE EAST-WEST CONTEXT 171, 181 (David A. Charters & Maurice A.J. Tugwell eds., 1990)). (98.) Universal Jurisdiction--quasi delicta juris gentium applies to a limited number of crimes for which any State, even absent a personal or territorial link to the offence, is entitled to try the offender. In customary international law, these crimes are piracy, the slave trade, and traffic in children and women. SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 60. "The application of universal jurisdiction is also widely recognized for genocide, crimes against humanity and war crimes, that is, for the core crimes of the Rome Statute." Id. (99.) Press Release, Amnesty International, AI News Service, Rwanda: Belgian Court Judgment is a Great Step in the Fight Against Impunity (June 8, 2001) (counting countries with some form of universal jurisdiction law), http://web.amnesty.org/library/Index/ENGAFR470012001?open&of=ENG-RWA. (100.) Legal Memorandum from Amnesty International, Universal Jurisdiction: The Duty of States to Enact and Enforce Legislation 4 (2001) [hereinafter Amnesty International Memorandum], available at http://web.amnesty.org/pages/legal_ memorandum. (101.) See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 61 ("It is true that, in practice, universal jurisdiction is rarely exercised by States, and many would probably prefer not to be pushed into matters that in the past, for diplomatic, or other reasons, they have sought to avoid."). Supporters arguing in favor of universal jurisdiction laws note that sometimes the territorial state that has clear jurisdiction fails to act for various reasons: (1) the legal system may have collapsed, (2) lack of resources or security prevents prosecution in the legal system, (3) lack of political will to bring the case, or (4) the prevention of the case by executive authorities. See Amnesty International Memorandum, supra note 100. (102.) See Belgium: Act Concerning the Punishment of Grave Breaches of International Humanitarian Law, Feb. 10, 1999, 38 I.L.M. 918, 920 (recognizing "universal competence for the Belgian courts to deal with" numerous international war crimes). (103.) "The Court also faced criminal complaints against Cuban President Fidel Castro, Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, former DRC foreign minister Abuldaye Yerodia, former Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani, and others." Steven R. Ratner, Editorial Comment: Belgium's War Crimes Statute: A Postmortem, 97 AM. J. INT'L. L., 888-90 (2003). "For some targets of criminal complaints, the evidence was, at least to this writer, extremely flimsy, underlying Verhofstadt's claim the motives were strictly political." Id. at 892; see Chandra Lekha Sriram, Revolutions in Accountability: New Approaches to Past Abuses, 19 AM. U. INT'L L. REV. 301, 370 (2003). [I]nconsistent standards give states the scope to vex and harass their political opponents. Fear of such politically motivated cases is already a primary ground offered by the United States for remaining outside of the ICC, and has also been raised in objection to the use of universal jurisdiction, most notably by Henry Kissinger. (104.) See Belgium Nixes War-Crimes Charges Against Bush, Powell, Cheney, Sharon, ASSOCIATED PRESS, Sept. 25, 2003 (noting that the Belgian Supreme Court found that Belgium "no longer has a legal basis to charge" the defendants). (105.) See War Crimes Charges Filed in Switzerland Against Bush, Blair, AGENCE FRANCE PRESSE, May 3, 2003. (106.) Within its first year, the Office of the Prosecutor grew "tenfold" from a staff of four to forty-one members. See Luis Moreno-Ocampo, Prosecutor, Address to the Third Session of the Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, the Hague (Sept. 6, 2004) [hereinafter Hague Address]. (107.) On June 16, 2003, Mr. Luis Moreno-Ocampo began his term as the Chief Prosecutor to the ICC. See Biography/Curriculum Vitae of Dr. Luis Moreno-Ocampo, www.icc-cpi.int/otp/otp_bio.html (last visited Feb. 20, 2006). Hailing from Argentina with a broad background in prosecuting military commanders for human rights abuses, Mr. Moreno-Ocampo has an impressive record, although he does not have a personal background in the military. See id. (108.) For instance, as of September 2005, the Chief Prosecutor has acknowledged opening investigations in only three cases: one in Darfur, Sudan (referred by the U.N. Security Council); one in Uganda; and one in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with one other referral being considered in the Central African Republic. See Situations and Cases, www.icc-cpi.int/cases.html. Moreover, the very existence of the Court is in jeopardy due to an aggressive campaign by the United States to negotiate bilateral "Article 98" to avoid ICC jurisdiction. See Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 98. The Court may not proceed with a request for surrender which would require the requested State to act inconsistently with its obligations under international agreements pursuant to which the consent of a sending State is required to surrender a person of that State to the Court, unless the court can first obtain the cooperation of the sending State for the giving of consent for the surrender. See generally Orentlicher, supra note 28, at 425 (arguing that U.S. Article 98 agreements violate the spirit of the treaty); Chet J. Tan, Jr., The Proliferation of Bilateral Non-Surrender Agreements Among Non-Ratifiers of the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, 19 AM. U. INTL. L. REV. 1115 (2004) (discussing how the United States is undermining the Court). (109.) The Rome Statute requires that all parties to the treaty "accept[] the jurisdiction of the Court." Rome Statute, supra note 23, art. 12(1). Moreover, a State Party has a duty to cooperate with the Court in numerous matters. See id. arts. 86 (general obligation to cooperate), 87 (general requests for cooperation), & 93 (other cooperation). (110.) Even without ratifying the Rome Treaty, the United States may be in some jeopardy. As Professor Scharf argues: [T]he refusal of the United States to become a party would not bar the ICC from issuing an indictment charging American citizens with war crimes or crimes against humanity..... Such an indictment by an international judicial body could obviously do serious damage to American foreign policy, even if there was no prospect that the accused would ever actually face trial. Scharf, supra note 32, at 69. (111.) See infra notes 108-19, 157-67 and accompanying text (discussing impact of foreign courts). (112.) See U.N. SCOR, 49th Sess., 3453rd mtg. arts. 1-4, 7, U.N. Doc. S/Res/955 (1994) [ICTR Statute]; U.N. SCOR, 48th Sess. 3217th mtg. at 2, U.N. Doc. S/Res/827 (1993) (setting forth the tribunals' competence, jurisdictional crimes, and limitations) [ICTY Statute]. (113.) See Peggy E. Rancilio, From Nuremberg to Rome: Establishing an International Criminal Court and the Need for U.S. Participation, 78 U. DET. MERCY L. REV. 299, 318 (2001) (discussing the ICTR); David Tolbert, The Evolving Architecture of International Law: The International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia: Unforeseen Successes and Foreseeable Shortcomings, 26 FLETCHER F. WORLD AFF. 7, 9 (2002) (discussing the ICTY). (114.) Rancilio, supra note 113, at 318-19 (noting the U.N. Security Council-imposed jurisdiction); Tolbert, supra note 113, at 7, 9 (same); see also At a Glance: Hague Tribunal (BBC television broadcast June 10, 2005). The jurisdiction granted to the ICTY has "primacy over national prosecutions" and has even taken on an independent judicial nature that sets it above its creator, the U.N. Security Council, by allowing it to decide questions related to its own jurisdiction. Jose E. Alvarez, Nuremberg Revisited: The Tadic Case, 7 EUR. J. INT'L L. 245 (1996) (citing decisions by Trial and Appellate Chambers of ICTY). (115.) The ICTY's territorial jurisdiction is confined to crimes committed on its territory subsequent to 1991; the ICTR's territorial and personal jurisdiction is limited to crimes committed in Rwanda or by Rwandan nationals in neighboring countries during 1994. See SCHABAS, supra note 7, at 54. (116.) Despite its constraints, the ICTY sustained criticism for the perceived "political prosecution" of Slobodan Milosevic, the former President of Serbia. See Steven Erlanger, Yugoslav Chief Says Milosevic Shouldn't Be Sent to The Hague, N.Y. TIMES, Apr. 3, 2001. After Milosevic surrendered for war crime charges, his successor expressed concern at extraditing him to the Hague: "Mr. Milosevic should be brought to trial on war crimes charges, too--but before domestic courts." Id.; see Jack Snyder & Leslie Vinjamuri, Trials and Errors: Principle and Pragmatism in Strategies of International Justice, 28 INT'L SECURITY, Winter 2003-2004, at 21-22 (citing a nationwide survey indicating Serbians felt Mr. Milosevic's eventual trial at the Hague was "unjust"); Anthony Deutsch, Milosevic Challenges Legality of UN Tribunal, ASSOCIATED PRESS, Aug. 24, 2001 (noting the local perception that the ICTY is a "marionette court" of NATO). (117.) As one commentator noted: The ICC has the formal authority to adjudge the actions of high state officials as criminal and to send them to jail, no matter how lofty the accused's position or undisputed the legality of those acts under domestic law. While the International Criminal Tribunals for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY) and Rwanda (ICTR) also possess this authority, those institutions operate directly under the control of the United Nations Security Council and within narrow territorial limits. The ICC, by contrast, is largely independent of the Council and vests the power to investigate and prosecute the politically sensitive crimes within its broad territorial sweep in a single individual.... Allison Marston Danner, Enhancing the Legitimacy and Accountability of Prosecutorial Discretion at the International Criminal Court, 97 AM. J. INT'L. L. 510 (2003). (118.) See CICC, State Signatures and Ratification Chart, http://www.iccnow.org/countryinfo/worldsigsandratifications.html (listing States that have ratified or signed the Rome Treaty). (119.) See generally Gary T. Dempsey, Reasonable Doubt: The Case Against the Proposed International Criminal Court, Cato Policy Analysis No. 311 (July 16, 1998) (arguing ICC's jurisdiction could become a "Leviathan"), http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa-311.pdf. (120.) See supra notes 101-07 and accompanying text (discussing universal jurisdiction laws); see also infra notes 166-75 and accompanying text (discussing problems with enforcing these laws). (121.) Set up to hear grievances between nation-states, the ICJ's judgments can only be enforced by an aggrieved party who appeals to the U.N. Security Council which may, if it deems necessary, make recommendations or decide upon measures to give effect to the judgment. See U.N CHARTER art. 94, para. 2; see also Orentlicher, supra note 28, at 415. When the United States accepted the ICJ's jurisdiction in 1946, it did so with reservations. See WILLIAM R. SLOMANSON, FUNDAMENTAL PERSPECTIVES ON INTERNATIONAL LAW 408-09 (4th ed. 2003). In 1986, during the bitter case of Nicaragua v. United States, the United States withdrew its acceptance of the Court's jurisdiction, in violation of its promise to provide a minimum notice of six months prior to any withdrawal. See id. The Court did not recognize the withdrawal and decided the merits of the case. See id. In response, the United States terminated its general acceptance of ICJ compulsory jurisdiction. See id. at 409; see also Nicar. v. U.S., 1986 I.C.J. 98 (June 27). Many nations, including the United States, routinely fail to abide by the Court's final judgments. See Colter Paulson, Compliance with Final Judgments of the International Court of Justice since 1987, 98 AM. J. INT'L. L. 434, 434-37 (2004) (noting some non-compliance but no direct state defiance to the ICJ); see also Eric A. Posner & John C. Yoo, Judicial Independence in International Tribunals, 93 CAL. L. REV. 1, 37 (2005) (noting 40% state compliance in compulsory jurisdiction cases, 60% compliance for treaty disputes, and 85.7% compliance when jurisdiction comes from special agreement) (citing Tom Ginsburg & Richard H. McAdams, Adjudicating in Anarchy: An Expressive T |
