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What's in store for '06? Don't get fooled again.


IT'S not easy being in the crystal ball business these days, what with blogs, chat rooms, talk radio and the New York Post The New York Post is the 13th-oldest newspaper published in the United States and the oldest to have been published continually as a daily.[3] Since 1976, it has been owned by Australian-born billionaire Rupert Murdoch's News Corporation and is one of the 10  all spitting out things that might happen, are expected to happen, should happen, and, in the case of the Republican enforcers in Congress, had better happen.

What's there left to say for New Year prognosticators like yours truly?

Well, plenty. As for 2005, it was a year of some top-notch predicting (highlights included correctly picking two Supreme Court vacancies, a near-abandonment of Social Security reform, Robert Iger becoming Disney's CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board.  and Phil Jackson returning to coaching), as well as breathtaking blunders (flat home prices, Martha Stewart getting engaged, USC An abbreviation for U.S. Code.  losing three games and James Hahn being re-elected). Oh, one other thing: I wrote that Jackson would return as coach of the New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
 Knicks. Ouch.

And so here we are with another roster of predictions. I only ask that you put away any sharp objects as I slip-slide my way toward 2006:

Mid-term Elections: Despite increasing calls for President Bush's impeachment impeachment, formal accusation issued by a legislature against a public official charged with crime or other serious misconduct. In a looser sense the term is sometimes applied also to the trial by the legislature that may follow. , Democrats will barely make a dent in the Republican control of the House because incumbents hold an overwhelming advantage over challengers. In the Senate, Democrats will gain three seats, cutting into GOP control of that chamber.

Bush Troubles: Criticism over the President's authorization to spy on citizens without court order will gain traction in the first half of the year, putting off most every Bush policy initiative as defense attorneys of suspected terrorists take their case to court.

Ah-nold! Ah-nold!: In the nation's most expensive gubernatorial contest in history, Arnold Schwarzenegger will be re-elected governor of California The Governor of California is the highest executive authority in the state government, whose responsibilities include making yearly "State of the State" addresses to the California State Legislature, submitting the budget, and ensuring that state laws are enforced. , besting Phil Angelides in a runaway--but only after Warren Beatty drops out as an independent.

Trojan Troubles: Forget about another national championship. With the loss of several key players to the NFL NFL
abbr.
National Football League

NFL (US) n abbr (= National Football League) → Fußball-Nationalliga
, including Matt Leinert and Reggie Bush, USC will drop three games and fall out of the top 10. UCLA UCLA University of California at Los Angeles
UCLA University Center for Learning Assistance (Illinois State University)
UCLA University of Carrollton, TX and Lower Addison, TX
 will lose four.

Satellite Worries: Howard Stem's much-anticipated arrival on satellite radio will draw fewer listeners than anticipated, leading to worries on Wall Street about whether the two major satellite companies have overextended overextended,
adj 1. the situation occurring when a prosthetic appliance is inadvertently constructed in such a way that part of the oral mucosa is injured by the appliance.
adj 2.
 themselves.

Not So Bright: Economists will be wrong again, as the economy grows much slower than expected. No recession, though, at least this year.

Big Bankruptcy: General Motors Corp., considered by many too big to fail, will fail--or at the least it will file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. Wall Street will hail the move as a way to get massive union concessions.

Grade-B Dodgers: It won't be another horrendous 71-91 season, but don't get your hopes up with Brett Tomko, Kenny Lofton, Nomar Garciaparra and Bill Mueller. Plan on 10 or so games above .500--and forget about the postseason.

L.A. Hoops: The Lakers will make it to the post-season; the Clippers won't.

IPod Viewing: It's not just a craze. All the major networks will be selling their programming on Apple's iTunes, and the movie studios will be shortening many of their older features to 60 minutes or less.

Turnaround Tales: After either being in bankruptcy or on the verge On the Verge (or The Geography of Yearning) is a play written by Eric Overmyer. It makes extensive use of esoteric language and pop culture references from the late nineteenth century to 1955.  of it, the major airlines will turn profitable in 2006 as lower fuel costs and fuller planes improve efficiency.

Housing Pause: Median home prices in L.A. will drop 2 percent--hardly the meltdown some had anticipated.

Market Rebound: A solid year for stocks, with the Dow finishing up 1,000 points ahead of its 2005 close. Tech issues will do especially well.

Oscar Picks: To little surprise, "Brokeback Mountain" will get the best picture nod. Other strong showings on Oscar night: "Capote" and "Good Night and Good Luck." Steven Spielberg's "Munich" will be shut out.

Paris Fizzles Samuel Beckett used the word "fizzles" to describe eight short prose pieces: For to end yet again, Still, He is barehead, Horn came always, Afar a Bird, I gave up before birth, Closed place, and Old earth. : At last, 2006 will see the world's Paris Hilton fixation running its course--thanks mostly to plummeting ratings for "The Simple Life."

Pretty Plates: Diners will tire of fussy meals that look like artwork. Here's to real food presented in real heaps.

Fully Released: A film will be released on DVD DVD: see digital versatile disc.
DVD
 in full digital video disc or digital versatile disc

Type of optical disc. The DVD represents the second generation of compact-disc (CD) technology.
 and at the movie house simultaneously--a daring step in Hollywood's efforts to loosen up their distribution channels. Too bad the movie will flop.

Eye on Katie: After months of speculation, Katie Couric will jump ship to CBS (Cell Broadcast Service) See cell broadcast.  and anchor that network's evening news--and by the end of the year, she will have the top-rated newscast.

Passing Fad: Those wristbands of various colors that are attached to various causes will be out. Good riddance, I say--if you want to support a worthy cause, write a check, don't flaunt your good-heartedness.

And Finally: We'll somehow find a way to muddle through 2006--just in time for Bing Crosby's crooning and more ridiculous predictions about the coming year.

This is Mark Lacter's last column as editor of the Business Journal. He will continue to work on a variety of projects for the paper, as well as write some commentaries. He can be heard every Tuesday morning at 6:55 and 9:55 on KPCC-FM (89.3).
COPYRIGHT 2006 CBJ, L.P.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2006, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Title Annotation:COMMENT
Author:Lacter, Mark
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Date:Jan 2, 2006
Words:825
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