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West Nile virus infections projected from blood donor screening data, United States, 2003.


National blood donor screening for West Nile virus West Nile virus, microorganism and the infection resulting from it, which typically produces no symptoms or a flulike condition. The virus is a flavivirus and is related to a number of viruses that cause encephalitis.  (WNV WNV West Nile Virus
WNV World Net Visions
) RNA RNA: see nucleic acid.
RNA
 in full ribonucleic acid

One of the two main types of nucleic acid (the other being DNA), which functions in cellular protein synthesis in all living cells and replaces DNA as the carrier of genetic
 using minipool nucleic acid nucleic acid, any of a group of organic substances found in the chromosomes of living cells and viruses that play a central role in the storage and replication of hereditary information and in the expression of this information through protein synthesis.  amplification amplification /am·pli·fi·ca·tion/ (33000) (am?pli-fi-ka´shun) the process of making larger, such as the increase of an auditory stimulus, as a means of improving its perception.  testing (MP-NAT) was implemented in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area.  in July 2003. We compiled national NAT (Network Address Translation) An IETF standard that allows an organization to present itself to the Internet with far fewer IP addresses than there are nodes on its internal network.  yield data and performed WNV immunoglobulin M immunoglobulin M
n. Abbr. IgM
The class of antibodies found in circulating body fluids and the first antibodies to appear in response to an initial exposure to an antigen.
 (IgM) testing in 1 WNV-epidemic region (North Dakota North Dakota, state in the N central United States. It is bordered by Minnesota, across the Red River of the North (E), South Dakota (S), Montana (W), and the Canadian provinces of Saskatchewan and Manitoba (N). ). State-specific MP-NAT yield, antibody seroprevalence seroprevalence Immunology The proportion of a population that is seropositive–ie, has been exposed to a particular pathogen or immunogen; the seropositivity of a population is calculated as the number of individuals who produce a particular antibody divided , and the average time RNA is detectable by MP-NAT were used to estimate incident infections in 2003. WNV donor screening yielded 944 confirmed viremic donors. MP-NAT yield peaked in August with >0.5% of donations positive for WNV RNA in 4 states. Peak IgM seroprevalence for North Dakota was 5.2% in late September. The average time viremia viremia /vi·re·mia/ (vi-re´me-ah) the presence of viruses in the blood.

vi·re·mi·a
n.
The presence of viruses in the bloodstream.
 is detectable by MPNAT was 6.9 days (95% confidence interval confidence interval,
n a statistical device used to determine the range within which an acceptable datum would fall. Confidence intervals are usually expressed in percentages, typically 95% or 99%.
 [CI] 3.0-10.7). An estimated 735,000 (95% CI 322,000-1,147,000) infections occurred in 2003, with 256 (95% CI 112-401) infections per neuroinvasive case. In addition to preventing transfusion-transmitted WNV infection, donor screening can serve as a tool to monitor seasonal incidence in the general population.

**********

After its identification in New York City New York City: see New York, city.
New York City

City (pop., 2000: 8,008,278), southeastern New York, at the mouth of the Hudson River. The largest city in the U.S.
 in 1999, West Nile virus (WNV), a mosquitoborne flavivirus, emerged as a cause of neuroinvasive disease (meningitis meningitis (mĕnĭnjī`tĭs) or cerebrospinal meningitis (sĕr'əbrōspī`nəl), acute inflammation of the meninges, the membranes that cover and protect the brain and spinal cord. , encephalitis encephalitis (ĕnsĕf'əlī`təs), general term used to describe a diffuse inflammation of the brain and spinal cord, usually of viral origin, often transmitted by mosquitoes, in contrast to a bacterial infection of the meninges , and acute flaccid paralysis Flaccid paralysis
Paralysis characterized by limp, unresponsive muscles.

Mentioned in: Botulism

flaccid paralysis Neurology Paralysis characterized by complete loss of muscle tone and tendon reflexes. Cf Spastic paralysis.
) and febrile febrile /feb·rile/ (feb´ril) pertaining to or characterized by fever.

feb·rile
adj.
Of, relating to, or characterized by fever; feverish.
 illness in the United States (1-5). Since 2000, a national surveillance system, ArboNET, has monitored WNV activity in mosquitoes, horses, and other animals, as well as cases of febrile illness and neuroinvasive disease in humans (2). Seroprevalence studies after epidemics indicate that febrile illness develops in [approximately equal to] 20% of infected in·fect  
tr.v. in·fect·ed, in·fect·ing, in·fects
1. To contaminate with a pathogenic microorganism or agent.

2. To communicate a pathogen or disease to.

3. To invade and produce infection in.
 persons, while neuroinvasive disease develops in <1% (6, 7). On the basis of reported neuroinvasive cases and an estimated ratio of the number of infections to neuroinvasive tases, as of October 2004, a total of [approximately equal to] 1 million persons have been infected with WNV in the United States (2).

Evidence accumulated in 2002 that WNV could be transmitted by blood transfusion blood transfusion, transfer of blood from one person to another, or from one animal to another of the same species. Transfusions are performed to replace a substantial loss of blood and as supportive treatment in certain diseases and blood disorders. , culminating in 23 documented cases that year (8-10). In late 2002, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA FDA
abbr.
Food and Drug Administration


FDA,
n.pr See Food and Drug Administration.

FDA,
n.pr the abbreviation for the Food and Drug Administration.
), US blood collection organizations, and test manufacturers began an accelerated program to implement nucleic acid amplification testing (NAT) of blood donors for West Nile West Nile may refer to:
  • West Nile virus
  • West Nile region in Uganda
 viremia before the 2003 season (11,12). Assays were developed for use in a minipool-NAT format (i.e., samples of donations are pooled, and the pool is tested), similar to procedures now routinely used for blood screening for HIV-1 and hepatitis C virus
This page is for the virus. For the disease, see Hepatitis C.
The Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a small (50 nm in size), enveloped, single-stranded, positive sense RNA virus in the family Flaviviridae.
 (HCV HCV
abbr.
hepatitis C virus


HCV 1 Hepatitis C virus, see there 2. Human coronavirus. See Coronavirus.
) by NAT (13). In addition to minipool-NAT screening, several blood centers performed individual donation NAT screening in regions experiencing epidemic WNV activity to interdict interdict (ĭn`tərdĭkt), ecclesiastical censure notably used in the Roman Catholic Church, especially in the Middle Ages. When a parish, state, or nation is placed under the interdict no public church ceremony may take place, only certain  donations with low-level viremia that could be missed by minipool-NAT (14-18).

Synthesis of blood donor screening data may provide an opportunity for public health surveillance in addition to ArboNET because of the large number of donations screened from a broad cross-section of the adult population. We report the combined results of WNV donor screening during the summer and fall of 2003 by America's Blood Centers (ABC ABC
 in full American Broadcasting Co.

Major U.S. television network. It began when the expanding national radio network NBC split into the separate Red and Blue networks in 1928.
) and the American Red Cross American Red Cross: see Red Cross.  (ARC), which together collect and test [approximately equal to] 95% of US donations. In addition, WNV IgM and IgG testing was performed on donor specimens from 1 WNV-epidemic region to determine the proportion of donors with measurable antibody responses to WNV during 2003. We used this proportion, along with the minipool-NAT data from that region, to determine the average time during which WNV RNA was detectable by minipool-NAT. This time was combined with the minipool-NAT donor screening data for each state and US Census data to estimate the proportion of WNV-infected persons (seasonal incidence) in each state and the total number of incident infections nationwide in 2003.

Methods

Overview of Approach

Since July 2003, all blood donations “Give blood” redirects here. For other uses, see Give blood (disambiguation).
Blood donation is a process by which a blood donor voluntarily has blood drawn for storage in a blood bank, generally for subsequent use in a blood transfusion.
 have been screened for WNV RNA by NAT. If we assume that blood donation and WNV infection are independent events, the proportion of blood donors infected by WNV in 2003 (seasonal incidence of WNV in the blood donor pool) is a function of NAT yield and the average length of time that WNV RNA is detectable after infection. By measuring IgM antibodies in North Dakota blood donors shortly after the epidemic, we estimated the seasonal incidence for that region. After adding NAT screening yield data from the same donor population, we then estimated the length of time that WNV RNA is detectable by NAT.

We combined the length of time that RNA is detectable by NAT with NAT screening yield data by state to estimate state-specific and national WNV seasonal incidence in the blood donor and general population. Finally, by dividing the estimated number of infections in the general population in 2003 by the number of neuroinvasive disease cases reported to the national WNV surveillance system (ArboNET), we estimated the ratio of WNV infections to neuroinvasive disease cases.

Blood Donor Screening

US blood donations are screened for WNV RNA by using NAT assays on pools of 6 to 16 donations or on individual samples in high-incidence regions. In 2003, [approximately equal to] 96% of the screening was conducted on pooled samples. Additionally, 2 blood collection organizations (ARC; Blood Systems) retrospectively performed individual donation NAT on cryopreserved plasma from 36,269 donations in 5 states with substantial epidemics to ascertain the proportion of low-level viremia missed by minipool-NAT and to assess, through recipient lookback, the infectivity infectivity

ability of an agent to infect.
 of units harboring low-level viremia (15,16). Viremic donations detected by individual donation NAT were included in this analysis to compile total NAT yield for 2003, but they were excluded from calculations used to project WNV infection in the general population for the following reasons: 1) inconsistent application of individual donation NAT screening around the country (15,16); 2) variable rate of detection of low-level viremia by individual donation NAT assays (18); and 3) fever and symptoms during the postseroconversion low-level viremia phase (unlike the asymptomatic a·symp·to·mat·ic
adj.
Exhibiting or producing no symptoms.


Asymptomatic
Persons who carry a disease and are usually capable of transmitting the disease but, who do not exhibit symptoms of the disease are said to be
 minipool yield phase), which would result in self-deferral from donation and bias our projections.

West Nile Viremia in US Blood Donors: Geographic and Temporal Distribution

We combined 2 large databases consisting of all donations and WNV-confirmed donations obtained by state from July 1 (when most blood centers implemented WNV NAT screening) to October 31, 2003. The first database was derived from 72 of the 74 independent blood centers that constitute ABC, which collect nearly 50% of US donations (14,19). Data elements included total number of donations, donor state of residence, and the minipool and individual donation NAT confirmatory status of all donations collected from July to October 2003. Similar data were obtained from the ARC national donor database, which constitutes 45% of the US supply (16). Donations were classified as confirmed WNV NAT-positive if the index donation was reactive by NAT and 1) positive for IgM or by an alternative NAT procedure or 2) follow-up samples from donors were reactive on a NAT assay or were IgM-positive. The dataset included the subset A group of commands or functions that do not include all the capabilities of the original specification. Software or hardware components designed for the subset will also work with the original.  of confirmed NAT-positive donations that were either originally detected by minipool-NAT, or had been detected by prospective individual donation NAT but were subsequently determined to be detectable by minipool-NAT (were reactive when retested at a 1:16 dilution using minipool-NAT). This extra testing ensured that seasonal incidence estimates were based on data obtained by using a comparably sensitive screening process across all regions of the United States and throughout the epidemic period epidemic period Epidemiology A timespan when the number of cases of a disease reported is greater than expected . The proportion of confirmed positive donations identified by minipool-NAT was determined by month for each state, and [approximately equal to] 95% confidence intervals (CIs) around these minipool-NAT yield estimates were computed (20). The Epi Map component (Environmental Systems Research Institute, Redlands, CA, USA) of EpiInfo version 3.3 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), agency of the U.S. Public Health Service since 1973, with headquarters in Atlanta; it was established in 1946 as the Communicable Disease Center.  [CDC See Control Data, century date change and Back Orifice.

CDC - Control Data Corporation
], Atlanta, GA, USA) was used to display results graphically.

Estimate of Days West Nile Viremia Is Detectable by Minipool-NAT

To use NAT screening data to estimate state-specific WNV seasonal incidences, we first derived an estimate for the average length of time that RNA is detectable by minipool-NAT after infection occurs (TMP-NAT). TMPNAT can be approximated if both the minipool-NAT screening yield and seasonal incidence of WNV are known (Appendices ap·pen·di·ces  
n.
A plural of appendix.
 1 and 2; available from http://www.bsrisf.org/ eid2006/appl.html and http://www.bsrisf.org/eid2006/ app2.html). The seasonal incidence was estimated by measuring the peak WNV IgM prevalence observed in a particular region [approximately equal to] 3 weeks after the end of the region's first epidemic (http://www. bsrisf.org/eid2006/appl.html). Serologic se·rol·o·gy  
n. pl. se·rol·o·gies
1. The science that deals with the properties and reactions of serums, especially blood serum.

2.
 data allowed us to evaluate both minipool-NAT yield and prevalence of IgM for each week from July to September 2003 and to identify peak IgM prevalence. The sum of the weekly minipool-NAT yield estimates divided by the peak IgM prevalence (our estimate of the 2003 seasonal incidence in North Dakota) was used to derive TMP-NAT (http://www.bsrisf.org/eid2006/app2.html). Approximate 95% CIs around peak IgM prevalence and TMPNAT were calculated by assuming normal distributions with variances approximated by Taylor series (21).

WNV Seasonal Incidence

We assumed that WNV infection dynamics are similar in blood donors and in the general population. The monthly WNV incidence in each state for each month from July through October was derived by multiplying the monthly minipool-NAT yield by the number of days in each month and dividing by the average period of time during which RNA is detectable (TMP-NAT) (Appendix 3; available from http://www.bsrisf.org/eid2006/app3.html). Each state-specific seasonal WNV incidence was calculated by summing the 4 monthly WNV incidence estimates. To estimate 2003 WNV infections nationwide, we multiplied each state-specific seasonal WNV incidence by the corresponding July 1, 2003, population estimate from the US Census Bureau Noun 1. Census Bureau - the bureau of the Commerce Department responsible for taking the census; provides demographic information and analyses about the population of the United States
Bureau of the Census
 (22) and then summed over all states. An [approximately equal to] 95% CI around the estimated 2003 WNV infections nationwide was calculated by assuming a normal distribution with variance approximated by Taylor series (21).

Proportion of West Nile Infections Resulting in Neuroinvasive Disease

We then calculated the ratio of the estimated number of WNV infections nationwide and the total neuroinvasive disease cases reported to CDC (23). The standard error (SE) of this ratio is dependent on the SE of the total neuroinvasive disease cases (assumed to be Poisson distributed), the SE of TMP-NAT, and the SEs of state-specific minipool-NAT yield estimates (assumed to be binomially distributed) and was approximated by a Taylor series (21). We did not estimate the proportion of infections resulting in West Nile-related febrile illness because it is considerably underreported to ArboNET.

Approvals for Research on Human Subjects

The Investigational New Drug protocols, which included donor consent for WNV NAT screening and follow-up testing, were reviewed and approved by multiple institutional review boards and FDA. Institutional review board approval of this study protocol, including compilation of a national NAT yield database and anonymous IgM and IgG testing (http://www.bsrisf.org/eid2006/appl. html), was obtained from the University of California, San Francisco Coordinates:   Committee for Human Research, and from Westat (Rockville, MD, USA).

Results

Overall, 944 confirmed West Nile viremic donors (0.02%) were identified by NAT screening among 4,585,573 donations from July 1 to October 31, 2003, at ARC and participating centers in ABC. These included 770 donations detected by minipool-NAT and 174 donations detected only as a result of prospective or retrospective individual donation NAT. The distribution of minipool-NAT and individual donation NAT yield by month is shown in Figure 1. Of the 191 viremic donations detected in July, only 2 were detected in the first week of July (both on July 6), and only 4 confirmed viremic donations were reported by ABC or ARC after October 31; thus, the July-October period composes virtually the entire 2003 epidemic. Geographically, the epidemic was most dramatic in the Central Plains states. The rate of WNV-infected donations exceeded 3 per 1,000 in Colorado in July and August and in 4 additional contiguous states in August (Figure 2).

[FIGURES 1-2 OMITTED]

North Dakota Data

As shown in Figure 3, minipool-NAT-confirmed positive donations were detected from July 13 to September 6, 2003, in the Bismarck and Minot regions of North Dakota, with minipool-NAT yield peaking at 1.4% (95% CI 0.4-2.3) in late August. IgM-confirmed positive donations were not observed in these same regions during the first 3 weeks of July but were detected toward the end of July. IgM prevalence gradually increased thereafter and reached a plateau around September 7; [approximately equal to] 5% of donations were positive for IgM during most of September. The peak IgM prevalence was observed the last week of September (5.2%, 95% CI 3.0-7.4) and was similar to the IgG prevalence observed 9 months later in June 2004 (5.3%, 95% CI 3.9%-6.7%), when IgM prevalence had declined to 1.2%. Thus, the peak IgM weekly prevalence was assumed to be a good estimate of the seasonal incidence in this region. The average length of time viremia is detectable by minipool-NAT, TMP-NAT, was estimated to be 6.9 days (95% CI 3.0-10.7).

[FIGURE 3 OMITTED] WNV Seasonal Incidence

The proportion of the population estimated to have become infected during 2003 in each state was 0%-4.9% (Figure 4A and Table). The highest proportions were observed in Nebraska (4.9%), Colorado (4.3%), North Dakota (4.1%), South Dakota South Dakota (dəkō`tə), state in the N central United States. It is bordered by North Dakota (N), Minnesota and Iowa (E), Nebraska (S), and Wyoming and Montana (W).  (4.0%), Wyoming (3.5%), and Kansas (2.1%). Nationally, 735,000 persons (95% CI 322,000-1,147,000) were estimated to have been infected in 2003 (Table). Figure 4B shows the distribution of these infections by state. The greatest number of infections were located in Colorado, Texas, Nebraska, Kansas, the Dakotas, and to a lesser extent the states in the Midwest and Northeast, which had only moderate seasonal incidence but have large populations.

[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]

Reported WNV Neuroinvasive Disease Relative to Projected Infection Incidence

We compared the estimated proportion of the population infected with WNV to the proportion of WNV neuroinvasive disease cases reported to CDC for each state. Figure 5 shows that these proportions are highly correlated with one another. A total of 2,866 neuroinvasive WNV cases were reported nationally to CDC's ArboNET system in 2003 (Table). This total was compared to 735,000 persons nationally estimated to have been infected with WNV in 2003. Thus, an estimated 256 WNV incident infections occurred per reported neuroinvasive disease case (95% CI 112-401). An estimate of 353 infections per each reported neuroinvasive disease case (95% CI 190-516) was obtained by analyzing the North Dakota data separately, which had 94 reported neuroinvasive cases among an estimated 33,000 infections (5.2% peak IgM prevalence x the state population of 633,837).

[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]

Sensitivity Analyses

Two potential biases may have affected our estimated ratio of 256 WNV incident infections per reported neuroinvasive disease case. First, neuroinvasive cases may be underreported to ArboNET. A 20% underreporting of neuroinvasive cases to ArboNET alters the ratio to 205 WNV incident infections per reported neuroinvasive disease case (95% CI 90-320). Second, blood donors may underrepresent un·der·rep·re·sent  
tr.v. un·der·rep·re·sent·ed, un·der·rep·re·sent·ing, un·der·rep·re·sents
To imply or suggest a lower amount, quantity, quality, or degree of than is actually present:
 infections in the general population because prospective donors who are WNV-infected may self-defer or be deferred from donating. If the number of infections in the general population was underestimated by 20%, the ratio of WNV incident infections per reported neuroinvasive disease case would be 320 (95% CI 140-501).

Discussion

This project, which collected and analyzed WNV screening data for 95% of US blood donations during the 2003 epidemic, identified 944 viremic donations among 4.6 million donations screened from July 1 to October 31. The number of viremic donors identified in 2003 is a slight underestimate since viremic donors identified by participating ABC and ARC centers outside the study time frame and viremic donors identified at nonparticipating collection centers and the military blood program were not included. The ABC and ARC data indicate that [approximately equal to] 1,000 West Nile viremic donors were identified in the United States in 2003 by prospective NAT screening, and consequently [approximately equal to] 1,500 potentially infectious blood components were interdicted before transfusion Transfusion Definition

Transfusion is the process of transferring whole blood or blood components from one person (donor) to another (recipient).
 (24). This yield is particularly remarkable when compared with NAT screening for HIV-1 and HCV, which identified only 12 HIV HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus), either of two closely related retroviruses that invade T-helper lymphocytes and are responsible for AIDS. There are two types of HIV: HIV-1 and HIV-2. HIV-1 is responsible for the vast majority of AIDS in the United States.  and 170 HCV-infected antibody-negative donations among [approximately equal to] 39 million donations screened in the first 4 years of testing (13).

One goal of this project was to monitor the geographic and temporal distribution of WNV in the US blood donor population. We documented rates of viremic blood donors exceeding 3 per 1,000 donations in some states during the peak of the 2003 epidemic. The proportion of confirmed positive donations identified by minipool-NAT paralleled the neuroinvasive case reports in each state. Blood donor NAT screening data are useful for population surveillance because the testing has a rapid turnaround time (1) In batch processing, the time it takes to receive finished reports after submission of documents or files for processing. In an online environment, turnaround time is the same as response time. , infections are identified soon after WNV acquisition, many of these infections remain asymptomatic, and typically those in whom symptoms develop are identified before illness onset. Communication of WNV donor screening data from blood centers to state and county health departments thus augments national surveillance and facilitates more complete national reporting of human WNV infections to CDC's ArboNET program (24).

Our estimate of an average 6.9-day period of viremia detectable by minipool-NAT correlates well with the duration of viremia that was documented after intentional in·ten·tion·al  
adj.
1. Done deliberately; intended: an intentional slight. See Synonyms at voluntary.

2. Having to do with intention.
 WNV inoculation inoculation, in medicine, introduction of a preparation into the tissues or fluids of the body for the purpose of preventing or curing certain diseases. The preparation is usually a weakened culture of the agent causing the disease, as in vaccination against  of human cancer patients in the 1950s (25). In those studies, the duration of viremia (detected by intracerebral in·tra·cer·e·bral
adj.
Existing within the cerebrum.
 inoculation in mice, which is less sensitive than minipool-NAT) correlated with underlying disease severity and averaged 6.2 days in a subset of relatively healthy patients.

Our results have limitations. We assumed that WNV incidence in blood donors reflects incidence in the general population. Blood donors differ from the general population with respect to age; however, serologic surveys indicate that age is not associated with the likelihood of WNV infection acquisition but is associated with severity of disease (1,2,6,7). Some racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic so·ci·o·ec·o·nom·ic  
adj.
Of or involving both social and economic factors.


socioeconomic
Adjective

of or involving economic and social factors

Adj. 1.
 groups are also underrepresented un·der·rep·re·sent·ed  
adj.
Insufficiently or inadequately represented: the underrepresented minority groups, ignored by the government. 
 in the blood donor population. Because WNV is a mosquitoborne arbovirus arbovirus

Any of a large group of viruses that develop in arthropods (chiefly mosquitoes and ticks). The name derives from “arthropod-borne virus.” The spheroidal virus particle is encased in a fatty membrane and contains RNA; it causes no apparent harm to the
, incidence may vary among these demographic subgroups, which could bias extrapolations based on donor data. Moreover, potential donors with fever or headache are deferred from donation because the combined symptoms may indicate WNV infection; thus, blood donor screening data would underestimate infection incidence in the general population. However, we believe an underestimate is unlikely since the primary viremia phase of infection detected by minipool-NAT tends to precede development of WNV-related symptoms (1,10,26).

Although projections of seasonal incidence estimates based on donor data have limitations, they represent a source of data independent from national disease reporting. Completeness of reporting of WNV neuroinvasive cases to ArboNET is unknown and likely varies among states. The ratio of total infections to neuroinvasive cases is also not precisely known, thus adding uncertainty to incidence data extrapolated from such cases. Using blood donor screening data, we project that [approximately equal to] 256 people are infected with WNV for each person in whom neuroinvasive disease develops (95% CI 112-401). This ratio is similar to that observed in a serologic survey in Romania, which estimated that 1 in 140-320 infections results in neuroinvasive disease (6). Previous estimates of the total number of persons infected in the United States are based on a serologic survey in New York City that indicated that 1in 140 infections (95% CI 61-217) results in neuroinvasive disease (2,7). Although CIs around the New York City estimate and our ratio overlap, the blood donor screening data suggest that previous projections may have underestimated the total number of persons infected. Similar analyses to determine the proportion of infections that result in febrile illness or other clinical manifestation man·i·fes·ta·tion
n.
An indication of the existence, reality, or presence of something, especially an illness.


manifestation
(man´ifestā´sh
 of WNV would be of interest. However, reporting of these illnesses to ArboNet is incomplete and highly variable by state and over time and hence not appropriate for this purpose. Follow-up studies of viremic donors have demonstrated that febrile syndromes develop in 20% to 30% of patients (26), consistent with reports from other studies (1-3).

Our approach of using NAT yield data to project WNV infections has advantages over serologic strategies. Performing large-scale, community-based serologic surveys to estimate infection incidence is prohibitively pro·hib·i·tive   also pro·hib·i·to·ry
adj.
1. Prohibiting; forbidding: took prohibitive measures.

2.
 expensive, is subject to participation bias, and can be biased by previous exposures to WNV or infections by other flaviviruses that cross-react on WNV IgM and IgG assays (9,27-31). Given the extent of recent WNV spread in the United States, interpretation of future serologic surveys will require determination of baseline prevalence before each epidemic year, evaluation of serial samples throughout the epidemic to accurately estimate infection incidence, or both.

In conclusion, our study demonstrates that in addition to preventing many transfusion-transmitted WNV infections, routine donor NAT screening has valuable public health applications, both as an early indicator of human epidemic activity regionally and as a surveillance tool to help monitor national infection incidence. In addition, this study highlights the value of establishing a national system for compiling blood donor data, which would enable ongoing and timely surveillance of WNV and other established and emerging infectious diseases An emerging infectious disease (EID) is an infectious disease whose incidence has increased in the past 20 years and threatens to increase in the near future. EIDs include diseases caused by a newly identified microorganism or newly identified strain of a known microorganism (e.g. .

Acknowledgments

We thank the staff at participating ARC and ABC and testing laboratories who assisted in generating and compiling study data; Jaye Brodsky and Ed Notari for compiling Red Cross yield data; Deborah Todd and Lou Katz for compiling ABC data; Brad Biggerstaff for his valuable insights concerning the derivation derivation, in grammar: see inflection.  and explanation of the statistical model used to estimate the proportion of the state and national populations infected with WNV; and Nelly nel·ly or nel·lie  
n. pl. nel·lies Offensive Slang
Used as a disparaging term for an effeminate homosexual man.



[Probably from the name Nelly, nickname for Helen.]
 Gefter, Simon Ng, Irina Walsh, Lubov Pitina, Jennifer Jones
for others with this name see Jennifer Jones (disambiguation)


Jennifer Jones (born as Phylis Lee Isley on March 2, 1919) is an Academy Award and Golden Globe-winning American actress.
, and Maria Moore for their contribution to the serologic analysis of samples from Bismarck and Minot, North Dakota
For other things named Minot see Minot (disambiguation).
Minot (IPA /'maɪ.nɑt/, listen  
.

This work was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute,
n.pr established in 1948, this division of the National Institutes of Health is responsible for research and education on cardiovascular, pulmonary, systemic diseases, and sleep disorders.
 (contracts N01-HB-47114, -97078, -97079, -97080, -97081, and -97082) through the Retrovirus retrovirus, type of RNA virus that, unlike other RNA viruses, reproduces by transcribing itself into DNA. An enzyme called reverse transcriptase allows a retrovirus's RNA to act as the template for this RNA-to-DNA transcription.  Epidemiology epidemiology, field of medicine concerned with the study of epidemics, outbreaks of disease that affect large numbers of people. Epidemiologists, using sophisticated statistical analyses, field investigations, and complex laboratory techniques, investigate the cause  Donor Study, and by the ARC and ABC. This support enabled compilation of state-specific and national NAT yield data, determination of seroprevalence in North Dakota, and development of models to estimate duration of viremia, seasonal incidence estimates and proportion of infections resulting in neuroinvasive disease.

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A segment of DNA or RNA that is complementary to a given DNA sequence and that is needed to initiate replication by DNA polymerase.
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n.
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n.
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(4.) Watson JT, Pertel PE, Jones RC, Siston AM, Paul WS, Austin CC, et al. Clinical characteristics and functional outcomes of West Nile fever West Nile fever West Nile meningoencephalitis Infectious disease An acute, mosquito-borne flaviviral infection endemic–rarely, epidemic–in the Near East, Africa, former Soviet Union, India Clinical After a 3-6 day incubation, children present with a . Ann Intern Med. 2004;141:360-5.

(5.) Gea-Banacloche J, Johnson RT, Bagic A, Butman JA, Murray PR, Agrawal AG. West Nile virus: pathogenesis pathogenesis /patho·gen·e·sis/ (path?ah-jen´e-sis) the development of morbid conditions or of disease; more specifically the cellular events and reactions and other pathologic mechanisms occurring in the development of disease.  and therapeutic options. Ann Intern Med. 2004;140:545-54.

(6.) Tsai TF, Popovici F, Cernescu C, Campbell GL, Nedelcu NI. West Nile encephalitis epidemic in southeastern Romania. Lancet lancet /lan·cet/ (lan´set) a small, pointed, two-edged surgical knife.

lan·cet
n.
. 1998;352:767-71.

(7.) Mostashari F, Bunning ML, Kitsutani PT, Singer DA, Nash D, Cooper MJ, et al. Epidemic West Nile encephalitis, New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
, 1999: results of a household-based seroepidemiological survey. Lancet. 2001;358:2614.

(8.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Provisional surveillance summary of the West Nile Virus epidemic--United States, January November 2002. MMWR MMWR Morbidity & Mortality Weekly Report Epidemiology A news bulletin published by the CDC, which provides epidemiologic data–eg, statistics on the incidence of AIDS, rabies, rubella, STDs and other communicable diseases, causes of mortality–eg,  Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2002;51:1129-33.

(9.) Biggerstaff BJ, Petersen LR. Estimated risk of West Nile virus transmission through blood transfusion during an epidemic in Queens, New York City. Transfusion. 2002;42:1019-26.

(10.) Pealer LN, Marfin AA, Petersen LR, Lanciotti RS, Page PL, Shamer SL, et al. for the West Nile Virus Transmission Investigation Team. Transmission of West Nile virus through blood transfusion in the United States in 2002. N Engl J Med. 2003;349:1236-45.

(11.) Dodd RY. Emerging infections, transfusion safety, and epidemiology. N Engl J Med. 2003;349:1205-6.

(12.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Update: detection of West Nile virus in blood donations--United States, 2003. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2003;52:916-9.

(13.) Stramer SL, Glynn SA, Kleinman SH, Strong DM, Caglioti S, Wright DJ, et al. for the NHLBI-REDS NAT Study Group. Detection of HIV1 and HCV infections among antibody-negative US blood donors by nucleic acid amplification testing. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:760-8.

(14.) Kleinman S, Glynn SA, Busch M, Todd D, Powell L, Pietrelli L, et al. for the NHLBI NHLBI,
n.pr See National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.
 Retrovirus Epidemiology Study (REDS). The 2003 West Nile virus United States epidemic: the America's Blood Centers experience. Transfusion. 2005;45:469-79.

(15.) Busch MP, Caglioti S, Robertson EF, McAuley JD, Tobler LH, Kamel H, et al. Screening the blood supply for West Nile virus RNA by nucleic acid amplification testing. N Engl J Med. 2005;353:460-7.

(16.) Stramer SL, Fang CT, Foster GA, Wagner AG, Brodsky JP, Dodd RY. West Nile virus among blood donors in the United States, 2003 and 2004. N Engl J Med. 2005;353:451-9.

(17.) Custer BS, Tomasulo PA, Murphy EL, Caglioti S, Harpool D, McEvoy P, et al. Triggers for switching from minipool testing by nucleic acid technology to individual donation nucleic acid testing for West Nile virus: analysis of 2003 data to inform 2004 decision making. Transfusion. 2004;44:1547-54.

(18.) Busch MP, Tobler LH, Saldanha J, Caglioti S, Shyamala V, Linnen JM, et al. Analytical and clinical sensitivity of West Nile virus RNA screening and supplemental assays available in 2003. Transfusion. 2005;45:492-9.

(19.) SAS Institute SAS Institute Inc., headquartered in Cary, North Carolina, USA, has been a major producer of software since it was founded in 1976 by Anthony Barr, James Goodnight, John Sall and Jane Helwig.  Inc. SAS (1) (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, www.sas.com) A software company that specializes in data warehousing and decision support software based on the SAS System. Founded in 1976, SAS is one of the world's largest privately held software companies. See SAS System.  proprietary software release 8.2. Cary (NC): The Institute; 2006.

(20.) Pratt JW, Gibbons Famous people named Gibbons include:
  • Beth Gibbons (born 1965), British singer
  • Billy Gibbons, guitarist for ZZ Top
  • Cedric Gibbons (1893–1960), American art director
  • Christopher Gibbons (1615 - 1676), English composer, son of Orlando
 JD. Concepts of nonparametric theory. New York: Springer-Verlag; 1981. p. 41-4.

(21.) Miller RG. Survival analysis. New York: John Wiley John Wiley may refer to:
  • John Wiley & Sons, publishing company
  • John C. Wiley, American ambassador
  • John D. Wiley, Chancellor of the University of Wisconsin-Madison
  • John M. Wiley (1846–1912), U.S.
 & Sons; 1981. p. 25-7.

(22.) US Census Bureau. State and county quickfacts. [cited 2004 Sep 24]. Available from http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd

(23.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Statistics, surveillance, and control: 2003 West Nile virus activity in the United States (reported as of May 21, 2004). [cited 2004 Sep 24]. Available from: http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvbid/westnile/surv&controlCaseCount0 3_detailed.htm

(24.) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Update: West Nile Virus screening of blood donations and transfusion-associated transmission--United States, 2003. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2004;53:281-4.

(25.) Southam CM, Moore AE. Induced virus infections in man by the Egypt isolates of West Nile virus. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 1954;3:19-50.

(26.) Orton SL, Stramer SL, Dodd RY. Self-reported symptoms associated with West Nile virus infection in RNA-positive blood donors. Transfusion. 2005;45:272-7.

(27.) Martin DA, Biggerstaff BJ, Allen B Johnson AJ, Lanciotti RS, Roehrig JT. Use of immunoglobulin M cross-reactions in differential diagnosis differential diagnosis
n.
Determination of which one of two or more diseases with similar symptoms is the one from which the patient is suffering. Also called differentiation.
 of human flaviviral encephalitis infections in the United States. Clin Diagn Lab Immunol. 2002;9:544-9.

(28.) Tardei G, Ruta S, Chitu V, Rossi C, Tsai TF, Cernescu C. Evaluation of immunoglobulin M (IgM) and IgG enzyme immunoassays in serologic diagnosis of West Nile virus infection. J Clin Microbiol. 2000;38:2232-9.

(29.) Roehrig JT, Nash D, Maldin B, Labowitz A, Martin DA, Lanciotti RS, et al. Persistence of virus-reactive serum immunoglobulin M antibody in confirmed West Nile virus encephalitis cases. Emerg Infect infect /in·fect/ (in-fekt´)
1. to invade and produce infection in.

2. to transmit a pathogen or disease to.


in·fect
v.
1.
 Dis. 2003;9:376-9.

(30.) Prince HE, Hogrefe WR. Detection of West Nile Virus (WNV)-specific immunoglobulin M in a reference laboratory setting during the 2002 WNV season in the United States. Clin Diagn Lab Immunol. 2003;10:764-8.

(31.) Prince HE, Tobler LH, Lape-Nixon M, Foster GA, Stramer SL, Busch MP. Development and persistence of West Nile virus immunoglobulin M (IgM), IgA, and IgG during follow-up of viremic blood donors. J Clin Microbiol. 2005;43:4316-20.

Michael P. Busch Michael P. Busch is a physician specializing in blood-borne pathogens. He has developed screening tests to prevent HIV and West Nile Virus infections from blood transfusions[1]. , * ([dagger]) David J David J. Haskins (b. April 24, 1957, in Northampton, England) is a British alternative rock musician. He was the bassist for the seminal gothic rock band Bauhaus. Life and work . Wright, ([double dagger double dagger
n.
A reference mark () used in printing and writing. Also called diesis.

Noun 1.
]) Brian Custer, * Leslie H. Tobler, * Susan L. Stramer, ([section]) Steven H. Kleinman, * ([double dagger])([paragraph]) Harry E. Prince, (#) Celso Bianco, ** Gregory Foster, ([section]) Lyle R. Petersen, ([dagger] [dagger]) George Nemo, ([double dagger] [double dagger]) and Simone A. Glynn ([double dagger])

* Blood Systems Research Institute, San Francisco, California “San Francisco” redirects here. For other uses, see San Francisco (disambiguation).

The City and County of San Francisco (EN IPA: [sænfrənˈsɪskoʊ] 
, USA; ([dagger]) University of California, San Francisco, California, USA; ([double dagger]) Westat, Rockville, Maryland Rockville is the county seat of Montgomery County, Maryland, United States. According to the 2006 census update, the city had a total population of 59,114, making it the second largest city in Maryland. , USA; ([section]) American Red Cross National Testing and Reference Laboratories, Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA; ([paragraph]) University of British Columbia Locations
Vancouver
The Vancouver campus is located at Point Grey, a twenty-minute drive from downtown Vancouver. It is near several beaches and has views of the North Shore mountains. The 7.
, Victoria, British Columbia British Columbia, province (2001 pop. 3,907,738), 366,255 sq mi (948,600 sq km), including 6,976 sq mi (18,068 sq km) of water surface, W Canada. Geography
, Canada; (#) Focus Diagnostics, Cypress, California Cypress is a city located in southern California near the northern border of Orange County, California, United States. Though it is a suburb of Los Angeles, it has many resident industries. As of May 2005 estimates, the city population was 48,863. , USA; ** America's Blood Centers, Washington DC, USA; ([dagger] [dagger]) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Fort Collins, Colorado The City of Fort Collins, a home rule municipality situated on the Cache la Poudre River along the Colorado Front Range, is the county seat and most populous city in Larimer County, Colorado. , USA; and ([double dagger] [double dagger]) National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Maryland Bethesda is an urbanized, but unincorporated, area in southern Montgomery County, Maryland, just Northwest of Washington, D.C. It takes its name from a church located there, the Bethesda Presbyterian Church, built in 1820 and rebuilt in 1850, which in turn took its name from , USA

Dr Busch is director of Blood Systems Research Institute and vice-president for research and scientific programs for Blood Systems, a national network of blood centers and donor testing laboratories. He is also a professor of laboratory medicine at the University of California, San Francisco. His major research interests include the epidemiology, natural history, pathogenesis, and laboratory evaluation of transfusion-associated viral infections viral infection,
n an infection by a pathogenic virus. A virus acts on the cell nucleus, taking over the genetic material within the nucleus and replicating itself.
; and immunologic immunologic, immunological

emanating from or pertaining to immunology.


immunologic competence
see immunocompetence.

immunologic domains
 consequences of allogeneic allogeneic /al·lo·ge·ne·ic/ (-je-ne´ik)
1. having cell types that are antigenically distinct.

2. in transplantation biology, denoting individuals (or tissues) that are of the same species but antigenically
 transfusion, including development of microchimerism and tolerance.

Address for correspondence: Michael P. Busch, Blood Systems Research Institute, 270 Masonic Ave, San Francisco San Francisco (săn frănsĭs`kō), city (1990 pop. 723,959), coextensive with San Francisco co., W Calif., on the tip of a peninsula between the Pacific Ocean and San Francisco Bay, which are connected by the strait known as the Golden , CA 94118, USA; fax: 415-775-3859; email: mbusch@bloodsystems.org
Table. Estimated WNV seasonal incidence and related measures of WNV
infection for each state and entire United States, 2003 *

                            No. MP-NAT-
                        positive donations,    No. donations,
State                       4-mo period         4-mo period

Alabama                          3                 48,044
Alaska                           0                  8,444
Arizona                          2                 86,157
Arkansas                         1                 49,750
California                       2                394,470
Colorado                       157                 65,739
Connecticut                      1                 52,410
Delaware                         3                 19,853
District of Columbia             0                  3,055
Florida                          6                248,198
Georgia                          6                118,981
Hawaii                           0                 16,981
Idaho                            0                 23,204
Illinois                        15                236,926
Indiana                          4                111,090
Iowa                             6                 89,649
Kansas                          70                 59,673
Kentucky                         3                 68,674
Louisiana                        6                 56,284
Maine                            0                 24,968
Maryland                         7                 75,403
Massachusetts                    0                 65,914
Michigan                         7                174,776
Minnesota                       22                114,571
Mississippi                      6                 47,980
Missouri                         9                124,644
Montana                          8                 19,984
Nebraska                       161                 61,516
Nevada                           1                 32,651
New Hampshire                    0                 24,595
New Jersey                       9                 98,008
New Mexico                      10                 25,130
New York                        10                245,357
North Carolina                   1                146,807
North Dakota                    30                 13,971
Ohio                            13                214,819
Oklahoma                        23                 98,287
Oregon                           1                 72,337
Pennsylvania                    14                255,806
Rhode Island                     0                    580
South Carolina                   0                 70,369
South Dakota                    46                 20,430
Tennessee                        4                 88,532
Texas                           80                309,469
Utah                             0                 35,448
Vermont                          0                 16,616
Virginia                         1                 77,634
Washington                       0                 93,469
West Virginia                    1                 25,560
Wisconsin                        4                142,456
Wyoming                         17                  9,904

Total                          770              4,585,573

                           Estimated WNV             Midyear
                        seasonal incidence,        population
State                       % (95% CI)         estimate ([dagger])

Alabama                  0.12 (0.00-0.27)           4,500,752
Alaska                   0.00 (0.00-0.00)             648,818
Arizona                  0.04 (0.00-0.10)           5,580,811
Arkansas                 0.04 (0.00-0.12)           2,725,714
California               0.01 (0.00-0.02)          35,484,453
Colorado                 4.33 (1.83-0.83)           4,550,688
Connecticut              0.03 (0.00-0.10)           3,483,372
Delaware                 0.28 (0.00-0.63)             817,491
District of Columbia     0.00 (0.00-0.00)             563,384
Florida                  0.05 (0.00-0.09)          17,019,068
Georgia                  0.09 (0.00-0.18)           8,684,715
Hawaii                   0.00 (0.00-0.00)           1,257,608
Idaho                    0.00 (0.00-0.00)           1,366,332
Illinois                 0.11 (0.03-0.20)          12,653,544
Indiana                  0.06 (0.00-0.14)           6,195,643
Iowa                     0.12 (0.00-0.23)           2,944,062
Kansas                   2.13 (0.85-3.42)           2,723,507
Kentucky                 0.08 (0.00-0.18)           4,117,827
Louisiana                0.19 (0.00-0.38)           4,496,334
Maine                    0.00 (0.00-0.00)           1,305,728
Maryland                 0.17 (0.01-0.33)           5,508,909
Massachusetts            0.00 (0.00-0.00)           6,433,422
Michigan                 0.07 (0.01-0.14)          10,079,985
Minnesota                0.35 (0.11-0.59)           5,059,375
Mississippi              0.23 (0.01-0.45)           2,881,281
Missouri                 0.13 (0.02-0.24)           5,704,484
Montana                  0.76 (0.08-1.43)             917,621
Nebraska                 4.87 (2.06-7.68)           1,739,291
Nevada                   0.06 (0.00-0.17)           2,241,154
New Hampshire            0.00 (0.00-0.00)           1,287,687
New Jersey               0.17 (0.02-0.31)           8,638,396
New Mexico               0.73 (0.12-1.34)           1,874,614
New York                 0.07 (0.01-0.13)          19,190,115
North Carolina           0.01 (0.00-0.04)           8,407,248
North Dakota             4.14 (1.40-0.88)             633,837
Ohio                     0.11 (0.02-0.19)          11,435,798
Oklahoma                 0.43 (0.13-0.73)           3,511,532
Oregon                   0.03 (0.00-0.08)           3,559,596
Pennsylvania             0.10 (0.02-0.17)          12,365,455
Rhode Island             0.00 (0.00-0.00)           1,076,164
South Carolina           0.00 (0.00-0.00)           4,147,152
South Dakota             4.02 (1.50-6.54)             764,309
Tennessee                0.08 (0.00-0.17)           5,841,748
Texas                    0.48 (0.19-0.77)          22,118,509
Utah                     0.00 (0.00-0.00)           2,351,467
Vermont                  0.00 (0.00-0.00)             619,107
Virginia                 0.02 (0.00-0.07)           7,386,330
Washington               0.00 (0.00-0.00)           6,131,445
West Virginia            0.07 (0.00-0.23)           1,810,354
Wisconsin                0.05 (0.00-0.11)           5,472,299
Wyoming                  3.48 (0.94-6.02)             501,242

Total                    0.25 (0.11-0.39)         290,809,777

                                                     Neuroinvasive
                            Estimated no.           cases reported to
State                         infections          CDC ([double dagger])

Alabama                          5,336                        25
Alaska                            0                            0
Arizona                          2,291                         7
Arkansas                         1,050                        23
California                       3,231                         2
Colorado                       197,028                       621
Connecticut                      1,121                        12
Delaware                         2,268                        12
District of Columbia              0                            3
Florida                          7,677                        61
Georgia                          7,803                        27
Hawaii                            0                            0
Idaho                             0                            0
Illinois                        14,399                        30
Indiana                          3,944                        15
Iowa                             3,476                        81
Kansas                          58,136                        89
Kentucky                         3,298                        11
Louisiana                        8,649                       101
Maine                             0                           12
Maryland                         9,418                        49
Massachusetts                     0                           12
Michigan                         7,122                        14
Minnesota                       17,589                        48
Mississippi                      6,548                        34
Missouri                         7,342                        39
Montana                          6,956                        75
Nebraska                        84,648                       194
Nevada                           1,267                         2
New Hampshire                     0                            2
New Jersey                      14,269                        21
New Mexico                      13,701                        74
New York                        13,774                        57
North Carolina                   1,087                        16
North Dakota                    26,264                        94
Ohio                            12,112                        84
Oklahoma                        15,196                        56
Oregon                             966                         0
Pennsylvania                    12,010                       145
Rhode Island                      0                            5
South Carolina                    0                            3
South Dakota                    30,716                       151
Tennessee                        4,797                        21
Texas                          106,013                       431
Utah                              0                            0
Vermont                           0                            0
Virginia                         1,623                        19
Washington                        0                            0
West Virginia                    1,342                         1
Wisconsin                        2,863                         7
Wyoming                         17,439                        92

Total                          735,000                     2,866
                              (322,000-
                        1,147,000) ([section])

* WNV, West Nile virus; MP-NAT, minipool-nucleic acid amplification
testing; CI, confidence intervals.

([dagger]) US Census Bureau (22).

([double dagger]) Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(23).

([section]) Confidence interval.
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Title Annotation:RESEARCH
Author:Glynn, Simone A.
Publication:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Mar 1, 2006
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