Waldfogel.
Theory predicts that in markets with increasing returns the number
of differentiated products -- and resulting consumer satisfaction --
grow with market size. Waldfogel documents this phenomenon for 246 U.S.
radio markets. By a mechanism that he terms "preference
externalities," an increase in the size of the market brings
additional products that are valued by others with similar tastes.
Waldfogel examines preference externalities between black and white and
between Hispanic and non-Hispanic radio listeners, as well as among
listeners of different age groups. His findings are striking. Within
groups, preference externalities are large and positive, but across
groups they are small and possibly negative. For example, entry of
black-targeted stations and black listening share will increase with the
black population, but they are unaffected (or possibly reduced) by the
size of the white population. Consequently, small groups receive less
variety from the market. Forces that increase the size of the market,
suc h as emerging satellite and Internet technologies, thus may increase
the satisfaction of individuals whose preferences do not match those of
their fellow local residents.
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