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USAA Provides Investment Commentary on Market Trends.


SAN ANTONIO San Antonio (săn ăntō`nēō, əntōn`), city (1990 pop. 935,933), seat of Bexar co., S central Tex., at the source of the San Antonio River; inc. 1837.  -- USAA USAA United Services Automobile Association
USAA Urban Superintendents Association of America
USAA United States Achievement Academy
USAA United States Arbitration Act of 1925
USAA United States Axemen's Association
USAA United States Air-Table-Hockey Association
 Investment Management Company (IMCO In my considered opinion." See digispeak. ):

--September Market Insights(R) Newsletter Offers Insight Into Impact of Decelerating Earnings on U.S. Stocks; Quality Leadership in the Large Cap Market; Unexpected Economic Strength in Mexico Mexico, city, Mexico
Mexico or Mexico City, Span. Ciudad de México (Méjico), city (1990 pop. 8,236,960; 1991 met. area est. 20,899,000), central Mexico, capital and largest city of Mexico.
; and the Strong Recovery in Municipal Finance

Today USAA Investment Management Company (IMCO) released the following market commentary for September September: see month. , through the inaugural issue of the company's Market Insights(R) newsletter, which provides expert market analysis from USAA IMCO fund managers and analysts:
--  Earnings Should Be Positive Influence: One major issue
        weighing on stocks is the expected deceleration in corporate
        earnings over the next 12 months. To be sure, corporate
        earnings growth is set to slow from the strong recent pace.
        Coming out of a recession, profit growth typically spikes
        upward off a lower base and drives stock prices dramatically
        higher. Sustaining the momentum of earnings growth can be
        difficult as the recovery matures and the comparison is off a
        higher base. While decelerating earnings make investors
        nervous, remember that the stock market is always looking
        ahead. As long as solid earnings are expected, versus a rapid
        decline indicative of recession, earnings should be a positive
        influence on the market. (Source: Stuart Wester, CFA, vice
        president, Equity Investments, USAA Investment Management
        Company.)

    --  Take Stock In Quality: Following the complete domination by
        lower-quality stocks during the market rally of 2003,
        high-quality stocks are seriously undervalued within the U.S.
        large cap universe. Going back to 1980, we've found four
        instances where high-quality stocks were as undervalued as
        they are today, and as they subsequently reverted to the mean,
        their average return over the following two years was 17%
        higher than the S&P 500 Index.

        We define quality as stocks with low leverage (less than 50%),
        high profitability (return on equity above 10%), and stable
        profitability (less than 30% volatility). Of the 1,000 stocks
        that GMO screens today, roughly one third have high-quality
        characteristics. In addition to offering attractive relative
        performance potential moving forward, high-quality stocks may
        represent an important place to consider should the overall
        market head lower. The last time we saw a similar disparity
        was in late 1999. (Source: Robert Soucy, portfolio manager,
        USAA Income Stock Fund.)

    --  Mexico -- Competing With China, and Thriving: With so much
        being reported about problems Mexican companies have in
        competing on price with Asian firms, some have chosen to
        ignore the many positive economic and business trends in
        Mexico. These include a young population and pent-up consumer
        demand that have made local consumption contribute measurably
        to GDP growth. Further, moderate inflation and affordable
        mortgage financing have spurred residential construction
        activity, and foreign direct investment and portfolio flows
        have risen in response to the turnaround in local demand.
        There is good news on the export side as well. Although Mexico
        is competing with low-cost manufacturing in Asia, industrial
        production surged 4% year-over-year in April, driven mostly by
        the "maquiladora" sector on the U.S. border. The Mexican stock
        market has recently rebounded, and we expect good relative
        performance as the global economic recovery continues. We
        recently captured profits in the retail and cement industries
        when business activity exceeded consensus expectations.
        (Source: Carolyn Kedersha, portfolio manager, USAA Emerging
        Markets Fund.)

    --  State Governments Pass the Test: Less than a year ago, the
        business press was reporting on a crisis in municipal finance,
        using California as the leading example. But instead of
        heading toward catastrophe, state and local governments
        addressed their budget problems through cost cutting and some
        tax hikes. The recovering U.S. economy also boosted tax
        revenues. As a result, the projected $78.4 billion in
        collective state deficits when lawmakers began writing fiscal
        2004 budgets turned into an estimated $5 billion surplus near
        the end of the fiscal year. Those who fanned the fears
        overlooked balanced budget requirements, the ability to raise
        taxes or fees, and the near-zero default rate on essential
        service municipal bonds.

        Over the past five years, through July 30, 2004, the
        tax-equivalent annualized total return of the Lehman Municipal
        Bond Index is 9.74%, making it the best-performing asset class
        in Lehman's monthly survey of various stock and bond indexes.
        (Source: Bob Pariseau, portfolio manager, USAA Tax Exempt Long
        Term Fund.)


USAA is a highly competitive financial services The examples and perspective in this article or section may not represent a worldwide view of the subject.
Please [ improve this article] or discuss the issue on the talk page.
 company known for its financial strength and outstanding service to its members. USAA owns or manages assets of $79 billion, and provides insurance, banking, and investment products to more than 5 million members of the U.S. military and their families. Founded in 1922, USAA has 21,000 employees in its San Antonio headquarters and regional offices, and is widely recognized as one of the best places to work in America America [for Amerigo Vespucci], the lands of the Western Hemisphere—North America, Central (or Middle) America, and South America. The world map published in 1507 by Martin Waldseemüller is the first known cartographic use of the name. . USAA means United Services Automobile Association Automobile Association may refer to:
  • Australian Automobile Association in Australia.
  • Canadian Automobile Association in Canada.
  • Dominion Automobile Association in Canada.
  • Western India Automobile Association (WIAA) in India.
 and its subsidiaries and affiliates.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The S&P 500 Index is a well-known stock market index that includes common stocks of 500 companies from several industrial sectors representing a significant portion of the market value of all stocks publicly traded in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. . Most of these stocks are listed on the New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

World's largest marketplace for securities. The exchange began as an informal meeting of 24 men in 1792 on what is now Wall Street in New York City.
.

The broad-based broad-based

Of or relating to an index or average that provides a good representation of the overall market. The S&P 500 and NYSE Composite are generally regarded as broad-based stock indexes, while the popular Dow Jones Industrial Average is biased
 Lehman Brothers Municipal Bond Index Lehman Brothers Municipal Bond Index

A benchmark index that includes investment-grade, tax-exempt, and fixed-rate bonds with long-term maturities (greater than two years) selected from issues larger than $50 million.
 is an unmanaged index that tracks total return performance for the investment-grade investment-grade

Of, relating to, or being a bond suitable for purchase by institutions under the prudent man rule. Investment-grade is restricted to those bonds graded BBB and above by Standard & Poor's and graded Baa3 and above by Moody's.
, tax-exempt bond Tax-exempt bond

A bond usually issued by municipal, county, or state governments whose interest payments are not subject to federal and, in some cases, state and local income tax.


tax-exempt bond

See municipal bond.
 market.

This material is provided for informational purposes and is not intended to provide investment advice, nor is it an indicator of future performance. It should not be used as a primary basis for making investment decisions. You should always consider your own financial circumstances CIRCUMSTANCES, evidence. The particulars which accompany a fact.
     2. The facts proved are either possible or impossible, ordinary and probable, or extraordinary and improbable, recent or ancient; they may have happened near us, or afar off; they are public or
 and goals carefully before investing. The information is not a solicitation solicitation

In criminal law, the act of asking, inducing, or directing someone to commit a crime. The person soliciting another becomes an accomplice to the crime. The term also refers to the act of obtaining bribes, as well as to the crime of a prostitute who offers sexual
, an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation for any security.
COPYRIGHT 2004 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2004, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Sep 10, 2004
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