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The worst is over for hotel industry, says report for Grubb & Ellis' Hospitality Services Group.


NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--June 4, 1995--Actions by hotel owners are finally resolving the problem of over-supply in the hotel industry, which caused the most dramatic recession to hit this investment sector in recent history, says a study for the Hospitality Services Group of the nationwide commercial real estate firm Grubb & Ellis.

The study was issued by Grubb & Ellis consultant John Allen John Allen may refer to:

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 at the 17th Annual International Hospitality Industry Investment Conference, June 4-6, sponsored by New York University New York University, mainly in New York City; coeducational; chartered 1831, opened 1832 as the Univ. of the City of New York, renamed 1896. It comprises 13 schools and colleges, maintaining 4 main centers (including the Medical Center) in the city, as well as the .

In the report, Allen states that record-level hotel foreclosures and bankruptcies in the 1988-93 period were, surprisingly, not solely caused by a three-part history of REIT-inspired building in the 1970s, savings and loan savings and loan n. a banking and lending institution, chartered either by a state or the Federal government. Savings and loans only make loans secured by real property from deposits, upon which they pay interest slightly higher than that paid by most banks.  deregulation Deregulation

The reduction or elimination of government power in a particular industry, usually enacted to create more competition within the industry.

Notes:
Traditional areas that have been deregulated are the telephone and airline industries.
 havoc in the 1980s and the 1986 Tax Reform Act.

``A glut glut pronounced as rut, slut Vox populi An excess of a service or skilled labor in a particular area. See Physician glut.  of money was the culprit that did the industry in,'' Allen says in his report. During the '70s and '80s, ``there was amazingly little softening of occupancy levels or average daily rates'' in light of ``the effects that the three disasters might have suggested.''

Today, the industry is poised for recovery because of ``aggressive operating cost cutting, debt restructuring Debt Restructuring

A method used by companies with outstanding debt obligations to alter the terms of the debt agreements in order to achieve some advantage.

Notes:
, foreclosures with later resales at make-sense prices, no debt or less debt and lower interest costs for those who got in before the Federal Reserve rate hikes in 1994.''

The 10-part report comprises Grubb & Ellis' quarterly newsletter, Investor Outlook.

In the study, Allen also examines:

o Why some real estate investors A real estate investor is someone who actively or passively invests in real estate. An active investor may buy a property, make repairs and/or improvements to the property, and sell it later for a profit.  profit and others don't, such as

over-concern for whether the market has peaked. o Some actions investors can take -- such as discounting the prior

year's earnings by at least two percent and carrying the

discount forward -- in response to research by Holiday Inns and

others which strongly indicates that every hotel's most

profitable life cycle is inevitably short. o Four economic indicators Economic indicators

The key statistics of the economy that reveal the direction the economy is heading in; for example, the unemployment rate and the inflation rate.
 that can help investors reduce risks

that apparently stem from forces beyond one's vision. o Near- and longer-term prospects for hotel financing, including

increased availability of financing for acquisitions and

renovation near term and, long term, for new construction. o Some significant changes that are making hotels more investor

friendly; ``a large portion of any manager's fee is now tilted

towards an incentive fee based on how much they increase the

NOI NOI Net Operating Income
NOI Notice of Intent
NOI Nation of Islam
NOI Notice of Inquiry
NOI Neuro Orthopaedic Institute
NOI New Organizing Institute
NOI Notice of Interest
NOI No Offense Intended
NOI National Olympiad in Informatics
,'' Allen observes.

The report's key sections are:

o Background Information, including investor concerns and an

evaluation of the Holiday Inn study o A classification system for the principal hotel types. o Supply and Demand Considerations o Capital Sources o Management and Management Concerns o Value Indicators o Opportunities: Today and Tomorrow, and Trends and Conclusions

Copies of the study are available by calling 714/937-0881. Also note that five additional market/industry analyses are currently available and post-conference commentary will be released.

CONTACT: Din & Pangrazio, Inc.

Judith Ladniak, 312/807-3601

or

Grubb & Ellis

Thad Seligman, 310/820-7722
COPYRIGHT 1995 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1995, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jun 4, 1995
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