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The not so heir apparent.


It is hard for anyone casually knowledgeable of politics to find fault in how U.S. Sen. John McCain For McCain's grandfather and father, see John S. McCain, Sr. and John S. McCain, Jr., respectively
John Sidney McCain III (born August 29, 1936 in Panama Canal Zone) is an American politician, war veteran, and currently the Republican Senior U.S. Senator from Arizona.
 is preparing for his presidential campaign next year.

Next to President George W. Bush, the Republican from Arizona is the biggest draw for any fund-raiser in the country. He has expanded his fund-raising reach drastically in the process, nearly ensuring that he will raise more money than his opponents.

[ILLUSTRATION OMITTED]

He has used some of this early money to lure top Bush-Cheney '04 staffers, hoping to create the image that he is the heir apparent heir apparent n. the person who is expected to receive a share of the estate of a family member if he/she lives longer, or is not specifically disinherited by will. (See: heir)  to the party's nomination, something that matters to Republicans.

He has traveled nonstop HP's brand name for its fault-tolerant servers, which range in size from four CPUs to 4,000 CPUs. The NonStop line was created by Tandem Computers, which was acquired by Compaq, which later became part of HP.  to early primary states like Iowa, New Hampshire New Hampshire, one of the New England states of the NE United States. It is bordered by Massachusetts (S), Vermont, with the Connecticut R. forming the boundary (W), the Canadian province of Quebec (NW), and Maine and a short strip of the Atlantic Ocean (E).  and especially South Carolina South Carolina, state of the SE United States. It is bordered by North Carolina (N), the Atlantic Ocean (SE), and Georgia (SW). Facts and Figures


Area, 31,055 sq mi (80,432 sq km). Pop. (2000) 4,012,012, a 15.
, a state that ended his campaign in 2004.

McCain has worked the perfect balance of "moderate leader" when it came to forming the Gang of 14 with the Supreme Court nominations and "always a conservative" when it came time for tax cuts and social issues.

While he has long been vilified for not being a Republican's Republican, he was the one who called for party leaders gathering in Memphis to write in Bush's name instead of his in a straw poll straw poll or vote
Noun

an unofficial poll or vote taken to find out the opinion of a group or the public on some issue

Noun 1.
. And even though Bush had an approval rating in the mid-30 percent range, McCain stood up for Bush on the immigration immigration, entrance of a person (an alien) into a new country for the purpose of establishing permanent residence. Motives for immigration, like those for migration generally, are often economic, although religious or political factors may be very important.  issue.

It's too bad that even after he has appeared to do everything perfectly, he still won't win the nomination. No matter how many times he visits Jerry Falwell's Liberty University, McCain has five major problems on his own road to the White House: Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, conservatives and his maverick title beginning to wear off.

Iowa

McCain's skipping Iowa in 2000 was seen as brilliant. He didn't have the money to compete in the very expensive staffing game of the caucuses, nor did he have the time. It also wasn't going to help him that only the most hard-core Republicans attend these caucuses.

This time around, even McCain knows there is no way he can skip Iowa. For anyone trying to show that he or she is a national candidate and the inevitable front-runner, no state can be skipped. After he visited Iowa in April several powerful social conservatives said they were less than impressed with him. McCain may be able to write-off these social conservatives in the Western part of the state, but unless he embraces ethanol he will have some problems. Simply put, McCain has no competitive advantage in Iowa.

New Hampshire

He must win here and win big.

His clobbering 18-point win over Bush in 2000 means he needs to replicate that performance to ever get past the state this time. In 2008 that may not be so easy, because he is competing with someone else who must win New Hampshire to stay viable: Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney This article or section contains information about one or more candidates in an upcoming or ongoing election.
Content may change as the election approaches.
.

With McCain and Romney staring at New Hampshire as a must win, the Granite State could be the place to watch other Republican candidates pounce on McCain, as they try to knock him out of the race early.

South Carolina

If McCain makes it from New Hampshire slightly bruised bruise  
v. bruised, bruis·ing, bruis·es

v.tr.
1.
a. To injure the underlying soft tissue or bone of (part of the body) without breaking the skin, as by a blow.

b.
, the media will quickly focus on South Carolina as his true test. He has visited this state often already and is expected to have the support of U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham Lindsey Olin Graham (born July 9, 1955) is an American politician from South Carolina. A member of the Republican Party, he is currently the senior United States Senator from that state. He serves on the Armed Services and Judiciary Committees.  and the strong veteran constituency.

But with a number of candidates from the South--U.S. Sens. George Allen George Allen may refer to:
  • George Allen (U.S. politician) (born 1952), former Republican United States Senator
  • George Allen (athlete), American college and professional football player
  • George Allen (football) (1918–1990), American football coach
 and Bill Frist and Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee--just a decent showing here could be enough. But since he is already perceived as the frontrunner, anything less than first will be noted.

Conservatives

During an appearance on "The Daily Show" Jon Stewart Not to be confused with John Stewart or John Stuart.

Jon Stewart (born Jonathan Stuart Leibowitz on November 28,1962) is an American comedian, satirist, actor, writer, and producer.
 asked McCain if he will "go off to Crazy Base World" to win over conservatives, McCain said "I am afraid I am".

No matter what McCain says, true conservatives may never see him as "one of us." Any pandering will be noted as near flip-flopping by the media that covers him incessantly.

Maverick Status

There is one thing about a fresh face: it's fresh. McCain has been complimented for his "refreshing candor", but when does this become stale?

Or as one 2008 presidential hopeful told me "no one can be the national maverick for eight years. At some point you no longer become the maverick, someone else does."
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Title Annotation:John McCain
Author:Pindell, James
Publication:Campaigns & Elections
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Jun 1, 2006
Words:724
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