The linchpin for growth: Union Heritage's Derek Batts relies on return on equity for portfolio performance. (Private Screening).Over the last two years, the Years, The the seven decades of Eleanor Pargiter’s life. [Br. Lit.: Benét, 1109] See : Time growth economy of the `90s has been replaced by a bear market that has gnashed its way through stocks and left investors reeling. Enthusiasm for the equity markets has slowed and company profits are sluggish at best. Through it all, institutional portfolio manager Derek Batts' view of stocks has remained steady. His aim has always been to find companies with growth that sells at a discount to the market. Batts says he starts weeding out the market by homing in on shares that sell at a price-to-earnings (P/E P/E See: Price/earnings ratio ) ratio between 20% and 30% below the industry's. To narrow the list further, he only focuses on companies that have a return on equity (ROE) that is favorable. With the S&P 500's ROE currently at a little more than 20%, the money manager believes companies with a ROE of at least 30% have the ability to outperform the market. As a measure of how well a company's management is putting resources to use to generate profits, ROE is something Batts says is a linchpin linch·pin or lynch·pin n. 1. A locking pin inserted in the end of a shaft, as in an axle, to prevent a wheel from slipping off. 2. to future growth. Batts is a 13-year veteran with the Detroit institutional management firm Union Heritage, a firm that supervises assets in excess of $150 million for institutional clients. Over the last five years, Union has solidly outshone the market. At the end of the third quarter, the firm logged an average annual return of -2.1% over the previous three years, far better than the S&P 500's average loss of 12.9%. Over the five-year period ending Sept. 30, 2002, Union's 3.3% average annual return beat the S&P 500's -1.6% return for the same period. Overall, Batts remains "cautiously optimistic op·ti·mist n. 1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome. 2. A believer in philosophical optimism. op " about the market. "If you look in the right places, there are good valued," he says. "You have to keep your sights on growth that is selling at a reasonable price, but there are a handful of stocks out there that fit the profile." For his Private Screening, Batts likes two pharmaceutical companies. First, Abbott Labs (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : ABT ABT About ABT Abteilung (German: Department) ABT Abbott Laboratories (stock symbol) ABT American Ballet Theatre ABT Associação Brasileira de Telemarketing ABT Abort ABT Availability Based Tariff ) boasts an ROE of 35%, thanks to a pipeline of best-selling best·sell·er also best seller n. A product, such as a book, that is among those sold in the largest numbers. best medications. Abbott's prostate treatment Flomax, and the company's anti-AIDS therapy Kaletra, should help fuel growth in the years ahead. Barr Laboratories (NYSE: BRL BRL In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Brazilian Real. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. ) makes its impact in generic drugs generic drug, a drug sold or prescribed under the nonproprietary name of its active ingredients or under a generally descriptive name rather than under a brand or trade name. and discount pharmaceuticals brought to market when the patents for mainstream pharmaceuticals expire. A tight reign on expenses, says Batts, has helped Barr keep its ROE hovering hov·er intr.v. hov·ered, hov·er·ing, hov·ers 1. To remain floating, suspended, or fluttering in the air: gulls hovering over the waves. 2. near 40%. Batts likes hometown automaker General Motors (NYSE: GM) although it's ROE is about the same as the broad market's. GM's low P/E of seven, as well as the stock's lofty 5% dividend yield caught Batts attention. The money manager also likes the prospects for Plantronics (NYSE: PLT PLT psittacosis-lymphogranuloma venereum-trachoma (group); see Chlamydia. PLT psittacosis-lymphogranuloma venereum-trachoma (group). ), an outfit that produces headsets for mobile telephones. He says consumers are likely to keep demand stoked stoked adj. Slang 1. Exhilarated or excited. 2. Being or feeling high or intoxicated, especially from a drug. for Plantronics' wares, and recent legislation restricting the use of mobile phones while driving will allow the company to offer hands-free devices as an alternative. Batts' final pick, National City Corp. (NYSE: NCC NCC See National Clearing Corporation (NCC). ), is a regional bank with roots in Ohio and branches in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. National has benefited from low interest rates and a booming mortgage market. Currently, it has a ROE of 20.1 with a dividend yield of 4.4%.
Derek Batts' Private Screening Picks
Company 12-18 Month P/E on Projected
Exchange Symbol Price * Price-Target 2003 Earnigs
Abbott Laboratories $42.94 $50 19.7
NYSE: ABT
Barr Laboratories 66.26 79 16.5
NYSE: BRL
General Motors 37.25 42 5.8
NYSE: GM
Plantronics 17.51 23 20.0
NYSE: PLT
National City 27.72 32 10.5
NYSE: NCC
Est. 5-Yr.
Company Annual EPS
Exchange Symbol Growth Rate Why Stock Will Outperform
Abbott Laboratories 12.5 Abbott's pipeline of high-profile
NYSE: ABT treatments is well stocked.
Barr Laboratories 23 The company's oeneric lineup should
NYSE: BRL work well to keep profits strong.
General Motors 5.9 GM's pension plan troubles are
NYSE: GM priced in the stock, while a 5%
yield provides good compensation
for investors.
Plantronics 13 Consumer and oovernment worries
NYSE: PLT over traditional cellular phone
handsets works in Plantronics'
favor.
National City 8.6 Low rates and strono demand for
NYSE: NCC mortgages has helped National sail
in 2002.
* AS OF DEC. 6, 2002
SOURCES: DEREK BATTS, UNION HERITAGE; MORNINGSTAR INC.; YAHOO! FINANCE;
ZACKS INVESTMENT RESEARCH
|
|
||||||||||||||||||

Printer friendly
Cite/link
Email
Feedback
Reader Opinion