The inside scoop.Learn to interpret stock sales made by company insidersLast spring, shares of Waste Management Inc. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : WMI (Windows Management Instrumentation) A programming interface (API) in Windows that allows system and network devices to be configured and managed. WMI is based on WBEM, which stores all definitions in a CIM database. ) were coasting along in the $55 to $60 range, up solidly from a 52-week-low of $35. "Suddenly, in mid-May, there was a burst of insider selling at around $55? says Craig Columbus, research director for Primark, a financial services The examples and perspective in this article or section may not represent a worldwide view of the subject. Please [ improve this article] or discuss the issue on the talk page. firm in Scottsdale, Arizona Scottsdale (O'odham Vaṣai S-vaṣonĭ) is a city in Maricopa County, Arizona, United States, adjacent to Phoenix. Scottsdale has become internationally recognized as a premier and posh tourist destination, while maintaining its own identity and culture as " . "The extent of this selling was much greater than it had been in the previous 12 months." As it turned out, the sellers had an inside track Subsequent earnings reports were disappointing and the stock was trading below $24 by mid-August. Waste Management is now under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission for possible violations of securities law, including making misleading statements about earnings. The company is also facing several class-action lawsuits accusing it and its top officers of securities fraud. Although the Waste Management example is an extreme case, insiders such as directors, officers and key executives may be sending valuable signals when they sell their company's shares. After all, who knows more about what's in the near future for that company? Savvy investors can use insider selling data to their advantage. Here's how: * Screen stocks Screen stocks To analyze various stocks in search of stocks that meet predetermined criteria. For example, a simple value screen would sort all stocks by their price-to-book ratio and pick the stocks with the lowest ratios as candidates for the value portfolio. before investing. If you're thinking of buying a stock check to see if top officers are selling. Columbus says such data is available on the Internet at such sites as Yahoo! Finance (http://finance.yahoo.com) and AltaVista Finance (http://finance.av.com). "You should check insider selling at the companies whose stocks you own," says Bob Gabele, director of insider trading research at First Call/Thompson Financial in Rockville, Maryland Rockville is the county seat of Montgomery County, Maryland, United States. According to the 2006 census update, the city had a total population of 59,114, making it the second largest city in Maryland. . If such selling increases sharply, it might be a good time to sell, he says. * Sell your holdings. Insider selling can be a clear signal to sell a stock you own or to cut back on your position. * Hedge with options. You can buy a put option, giving you the right to sell shares you own at a set price, thus removing your downside risk Downside Risk An estimation of a security's potential to suffer a decline in price if the market conditions turn bad. Notes: You can think of this as an estimate of the amount that you could lose on a stock or other investment. in the stock. * Sell short. You can borrow shares and sell them short, hoping for future profits by repaying the loan with shares bought at a lower price. Columbus says this is a high-risk strategy. Here's a word of caution: not all insider sales are significant. Gabele notes that Bill Gates (person) Bill Gates - William Henry Gates III, Chief Executive Officer of Microsoft, which he co-founded in 1975 with Paul Allen. In 1994 Gates is a billionaire, worth $9.35b and Microsoft is worth about $27b. , chairman of Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT MSFT Microsoft (stock symbol) MSFT Movimento Sociale Fiamma Tricolore (Italy) MSFT Multi-Stage Fitness Test MSFT Master of Science in Family Therapy MSFT Macalester Students for Fair Trade ), sells millions of his company shares regularly, "but he owns nearly a billion shares so that's no big deal." Another main reason for selling: options expirations. Insiders will frequently exercise options and then sell the acquired shares. But here are some of the most crimson of red flags: * Selling from the top officers. Although all insider trades must be reported, sales by the president, the chief executive officer and the chief financial officer are the most telling. * Sales patterns. Insiders may sell a certain amount of shares per month in order to diversify their portfolio. An unprecedented spurt of selling may be noteworthy. * Recent stock performance. Selling an appreciated stock may be mere profit-taking but selling after a stock has fallen maybe a sign of more bad news to come. |
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