Technically speaking.Chart analysis complements fundamental research Technical analysis is a scientific charting method developed by professional investors for the dual purpose of timing the stock market and predicting future price movements. Many individual investors use the historical data found on Internet Websites such as bigcharts.com.decision point, corn, and stockmaster.com to keep track of the stocks they own. Charting stocks, or technical analysis, is the basis on which professional and individual investors make sound decisions about portfolio additions and deletions. Patrick Lyons, a research analyst with NCM NCM National Corvette Museum (Bowling Green, Kentucky) NCM Nordic Council of Ministers NCM New California Media NCM Nomenclatura ComĂșn del Mercosur NCM Non-Commissioned Member (Canadian Military) Capital Management Group in Durham, North Carolina Durham is a city in the U.S. state of North Carolina. It is the county seat of Durham CountyGR6 and is the fourth-largest city in the state by population. , says technical analysis helps investors "take the emotion out of investing." Technical analysis differs from fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis takes into account certain factors, such as annual reports, dividends and earnings. Technical analysis, however, is driven purely by a comprehension of price patterns drawn from price activity on both a short- and long-term basis. Frank Barbera Jr., a member of the Market Technicians Association The Market Technicians Association (MTA) is a non-profit, professional organization of technical analysts in the United States. The MTA seeks to educate the financial community and public, increase the use of technical analysis, and maintain high standards of expertise and ethics , the organization which licenses technicians, says, "The price of a stock discounts everything else that is known about a company." Furthermore, he says, "Price patterns can alert investors to pending changes in direction." Barbera is so adamant about the importance of a stock's price that he says, "I will not call a company for an annual report unless I like the chart." Most technicians publish monthly newsletters and offer advice to their subscriber base through a weekly hotline service. Computer software has brought a wealth of information to the fingertips "Fingertips" is a 1963 number-one hit single recorded live by "Little" Stevie Wonder for Motown's Tamla label. Wonder's first hit single, "Fingertips" was the first live, non-studio recording to reach number-one on the Billboard Pop Singles chart in the United States. of the average investor and if the investor knows what to look for when viewing a chart, they can easily access and use information that previously was only available through a fee-based professional service. The purpose of technical analysis is to protect investors from buying stocks at an overvalued Overvalued A stock whose current price is not justified by the earnings outlook or price/earnings (P/E) ratio and thus, expected to drop in price. Overvaluation may result from an emotional buying spurt, which inflates the market price of the stock or from a deterioration in a level, or selling at an extremely undervalued Undervalued A stock or other security that is trading below its true value. Notes: The difficulty is knowing what the "true" value actually is. Analysts will usually recommend an undervalued stock with a strong buy rating. level. Jerry Favors, editor of the Jerry Favors Analysis Newsletter (www.jerry favors.com) and a frequent commentator on CNBC's business and financial news beats, admits that technical analysis takes quite some time to learn, but says "certain techniques can be learned to indicate for an investor whether the stock is going higher or lower." If the price of a stock is likely to decrease, it is said to be on a downtrend downtrend A series of price declines in a security or the general market. Many analysts feel that investors should avoid securities in a downtrend until the pattern is broken. Compare uptrend. , while a stock whose pattern shows a likely increase in price is said to be on an uptrend. Favors says further that technicians study both short- and long-term charts in order to identify price patterns and that monthly charts allow investors to see stocks at both high and low price levels. An uptrend indicates to the investor to go long on the stock while a downtrend instructs the investor to short the stock. Although technicians have created dozens of methods for charting stocks, the modes most used by technicians include the Dow Theory Dow Theory A theory which says the market is in an upward trend if one of its averages (industrial or transportation) advances above a previous important high, it is accompanied or followed by a similar advance in the other. , the McClellan Oscillator McClellan Oscillator A market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on the NYSE. It is primarily used for short and intermediate term trading. and the Elliott Wave. Well-respected analysts such as W.D. Gann, John Murphy and Stan Weinstein have all authored books on technical analysis and their work provides basic instruction in an area that is increasing piquing the interests of the modern individual investor. |
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