Tech stock knockout: Anthony Johnson's technology-focused selections need an upgrade.In spite of what continues to be a slowdown in the technology sector, Anthony K. Johnson, CIO CIO: see American Federation of Labor and Congress of Industrial Organizations. (Chief Information Officer) The executive officer in charge of information processing in an organization. for the $4 billion Philadelphia Public Employee Retirement System, says he still has faith in the tech stocks that his investment management team believes have strong fundamentals and are undervalued Undervalued A stock or other security that is trading below its true value. Notes: The difficulty is knowing what the "true" value actually is. Analysts will usually recommend an undervalued stock with a strong buy rating. . Johnson continues to invest in the tech sector even though the exclusive portfolio of stocks he selected for BLACK ENTERPRISE was down 37.21% over the 52-week period from Aug. 27, 2003 to Aug. 25, 2004. By contrast, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 11% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. was up 9.1% over the same 52-week period. Defending his position, Johnson explains, "This was a portfolio created with a plan of long-term growth." He believes strongly that two of his four selections from last year will perform well over the next year, and he continues to commit Philadelphia PERS a. 1. Light blue; grayish blue; - a term applied to different shades at different periods. to a portfolio of 70% equities and 30% bonds, because "in the long run, stocks are going to add value." Johnson's first selection, Enterasys Networks Inc. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : ETS ETS Educational Testing Service (nonprofit private educational testing and measurement organization) ETS Emergency Telecommunications Service ETS Electronic Trading System ETS Engineering (&) Technical Services ), a designer and manufacturer of routers and switches for corporate networks, per formed dismally. Formerly known as Cabletron Systems, the $415 million firm's stuck fell 63.91% from $5.25 to $1.90. Johnson's team sold shares of the firm over the summer and he admits, "Clearly, it was not performing." LSI LSI: see integrated circuit. (Large Scale Integration) Between 3,000 and 100,000 transistors on a chip. See SSI, MSI, VLSI and ULSI. Logic Corp (NYSE: LSI) tumbled 54.58%, going from $11.36 to $5.16. This leading supplier of complex semiconductors and storage systems planned to spin off its storage operations through an IPO (Initial Public Offering) The first time a company offers shares of stock to the public. While not a computer term per se, many founders, employees and insiders of computer companies have found this acronym more exciting than any tech term they ever heard. in 2004, but postponed it because of unfavorable market conditions. Standard & Poor's has set a modest rebound target of $7. Although AVX Corp. (NYSE: AVX) slipped 1.82% from $12.10 to $11.88, Johnson maintains, "All expectations have been reel Now the semiconductor market is in a downturn--just a temporary depression but it should turn around very soon." Since the company manufactures electronic components and interconnect products for ceil phones, copiers, and hearing aids, as well as electrical devices for companies such as Nokia and Motorola, Johnson believes the firm still has solid prospects. "Their customers must make the products, so AVX is selling its merchandise despite the decrease in sales of many of their customers," says Johnson. He also points out that AVX is still the No. 2 firm in its market, which is why he says it's a "hold". And talk about a closeout. Johnson's final stock selection, Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BLI), took a big loss of 28.64%, going from $17.60 to $12.56. Nonetheless, Johnson stands by the company, expecting it to rebound to about $25 in the next 12 to 18 months. He reasons that the decision of the firm's handpicked management team to move away from the toy business and concentrate on closeout merchandise will add profitability. "Big Lots has a strong balance sheet. The fact that it is not performing well is actually due to the high price of gas," says Johnson. "If you look at same store sales Same Store Sales A statistic used in retail industry analysis. It compares sales of stores that have been open for a year or more. Notes: This statistic allows investors to determine what portion of new sales has come from sales growth and what portion from the opening of , volume is down because shoppers are driving out two far. However, store spending is up because once the consumer is in the store, spending is still strong and increasing. There will be another turnaround." [GRAPHICS OMITTED] |
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