TURKEY - May 6 - Turkey's Gul Withdraws Candidacy.
Turkey's FM Abdullah Gul, withdraws his nomination for the
post of President after failing to win parliamentary backing. The
withdrawal came as centrist political parties began regrouping in a bid
to present a united front against the Islamist-rooted government in
forthcoming elections that are widely seen as the best way to resolve
deep divisions between the administration and the secular opposition.
Gul, whose nomination initiated Turkey's worst political crisis in
a decade, said there was no prospect of his being confirmed as President
by the bitterly divided parliament. The move is unlikely to bring an
immediate end to the crisis. But it could bring forward the general
election, which is due to be held by July 22. Gul's past
involvement in Islamist politics prompted a threat on April 27 from the
military to intervene to derail his Presial hopes. The military sees
itself as the guardian of secular constitution and has ousted four
elected governments in the past 50 years. Analysts said the next
President would either be appointed by the new parliament or be elected
by a popular vote. The government has begun the process of trying to
change the constitution to secure a directly elected President, though
such a move faces constitutional and political hurdles. Gul told the FT
on May 4 that he intended to be the candidate of the Justice and
Development party (AKP) if the post were to be filled through a popular
vote. But with the general election looming and a realignment of
political parties under way, the electoral outcome looks uncertain. Two
of Turkey's once-dominant but now shrunken centrist conservative
parties - Motherland and True Path - announced at the weekend that they
would merge under the banner of the Democrat party. The merger would
offer them a better chance of achieving the 10% share of the vote needed
to win representation in parliament. Turkey's political left,
dominated by the main opposition Republican People's party, may
also realign, although a majority of Turkish voters tend to opt for
rightwing parties. The aim of the realignment is to dilute the
parliamentary majority of the AKP, which has its roots in political
Islam. The party, which was formed in 2001 as an ostensibly moderate
successor to more radical Islamist movements, won a third of the vote in
2002 but got two thirds of parliament's 550 seats because of the
distortions caused by the 10% threshold. It still attracts a third of
voters, according to opinion polls. Gul's Presidential hopes
foundered because an opposition boycott meant fewer than 367 MPs were
present. The constitutional court ruled last week that a two-thirds
quorum was required, virtually guaranteeing that his nomination would
fail.
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