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Surveys of gas prices designed to track both trends and cents.


What's the real cost of an average gallon of gasoline gasoline or petrol, light, volatile mixture of hydrocarbons for use in the internal-combustion engine and as an organic solvent, obtained primarily by fractional distillation and "cracking" of petroleum, but also obtained from natural gas, by  in Los Angeles Los Angeles (lôs ăn`jələs, lŏs, ăn`jəlēz'), city (1990 pop. 3,485,398), seat of Los Angeles co., S Calif.; inc. 1850. ? It all depends on whom you ask.

Last week, the Automobile Club of Southern California The Automobile Club of Southern California was founded December 13, 1900 in Los Angeles as one of the nation's first motor clubs dedicated to improving roads, proposing traffic laws and improvement of overall driving conditions.  pegged the average price of self-service regular in the Los Angeles/Long Beach area at $2.350, while the U.S. Department of Energy reported the L.A.-area price at $2.344. A whisker-thin difference to be sure, but at a time when weekly gasoline surveys are getting as much attention as movie box office grosses, those small deviations can add up.

There is no one price for gasoline, of course. What motorists pay depends on market forces that sometimes involve a single neighborhood or intersection. That explains why the price that gets published each week in the newspaper is often different than what the local dealer is charging.

"What our survey shows is that prices are volatile," said Jeff Spring, a spokesman for the Automobile Club of Southern California. "That's why we do a month-to-month overview and offer a rundown Rundown

A summary of the amount and prices of a serial bond issue that is still available for purchase.


rundown

A list of available bonds in a municipal issue of serial bonds.
 of (prices in) various cities."

The Automobile Club, which releases its data each Thursday, gathers its information by tracking actual sales made using credit cards. It does not track individual gas stations.

"We're talking about data from 75,000 to 100,000 gas stations," said Fred Rozell, retail price director for the Oil Price Information Service, the Lakewood, N.J.-based company that supplies the automobile association Automobile Association may refer to:
  • Australian Automobile Association in Australia.
  • Canadian Automobile Association in Canada.
  • Dominion Automobile Association in Canada.
  • Western India Automobile Association (WIAA) in India.
 with its price data. "We're not relying on gas stations to report their figures. We have a relationship with Fleet Credit Card Services The software support for PC Cards. PC Card applications talk to Card Services. See PC Card. . We buy the information from them."

While the auto club's data come from a sample of stations and does not take into account transactions paid for by debit cards debit card, card that allows the cost of goods or services that are purchased to be deducted directly from the purchaser's checking account. They can also be used at automated teller machines for withdrawing cash from the user's checking account.  or cash, the government's information is culled from a nationwide weekly phone survey conducted by 30 part-time workers at a total cost of $2,000 a week.

"It's one of the greatest bargains in government spending Government spending or government expenditure consists of government purchases, which can be financed by seigniorage, taxes, or government borrowing. It is considered to be one of the major components of gross domestic product. ," said Jake Boumazian, an economist for the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration, which issues gas price summaries each Monday.

The agency's goal is to be accurate within one cent per gallon because federal agencies use the figures as a base for reimbursement Reimbursement

Payment made to someone for out-of-pocket expenses has incurred.
 of fuel expenses for civil and military contactors.

"Being off would cost millions," Boumazian said. "It's important that we can spot trends and that we know if the price is going to jump."

Another frequently quoted source for gasoline prices, the Lundberg Survey Inc., is geared more toward paying customers. Although Publisher Trilby Lundberg frequently appears on television and radio news programs to offer her take on gasoline pricing trends, the bulk of the information gathered by the Camarillo-based company is sold to subscribers.

Lundberg officials did not return calls, but in its promotional literature, the company says its findings are based on surveys of some 8,000 gas stations nationwide.

Whatever the variations in methodology, those who rely on the data said the primary purpose of price watching is to identify trends.

"It used to be that even one cent off would influence consumers shopping for a bargain, but that is no longer the case," said James MacDonald The name James MacDonald may refer to
  • James MacDonald (pastor), founder of Harvest Bible Chapel and Harvest Bible Fellowship
  • James MacDonald (trade unionist), Secretary of the London Trades Council
  • James "Kilby" Macdonald, Canadian NHL hockey player
, an industry consultant and former oil company executive. "You look at all these prices they put out and they are usually awfully close; so what the beck difference does it make? What matters is whether the prices are going up or down."

While each organization's price-tracking tends to advance their findings as the definitive source, a precise measurement can be elusive.

"There are always going to be differences between the numbers you see reported for the nation or for any region," said John Cogan, an energy information specialist at the EIA (Electronic Industries Alliance, Arlington, VA, www.eia.org) A membership organization founded in 1924 as the Radio Manufacturing Association. It sets standards for consumer products and electronic components. . "The challenge is to be the one that comes closest to the hypothetical Hypothetical is an adjective, meaning of or pertaining to a hypothesis. See:
  • Hypothesis
  • Hypothetical
  • Hypothetical (album)
 truth. In reality, all the different numbers from the different sources really just help you spot trends."

Compiling these prices is often more akin to opinion polling than calculating baseball batting averages batting average
n. Baseball
A measure of a batter's performance obtained by dividing the total of base hits by the number of times at bat, not including walks.

Noun 1.
.

"People may ask: Why can't these sources be in agreement?" said Bournazian. "Everyone is using a different sampling universe, so the numbers could reflect a statistical bias. The gas stations surveyed may be in more urban areas or near highways where the prices tend to be a bit higher."

How They Measure

Reporting services differ in their approaches.

ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION

* Headquarters:Washington, D.C.

* Frequency of reports: Weekly

* Methodology: Uses statistical sampling gathered by 30-person phone bank in Burlington, Vt.

AUTOMOBILE CLUB OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

* Headquarters: Los Angeles

* Frequency of reports: Weekly

* Methodology: Employs outside company, the Oil Price Information Survey, which in turn has a data collecting agreement with credit card company Fleet Services Fleet is a motorway service station on the M3 near Basingstoke. It is owned by Welcome Break. It was originally built in a Scandinavian style and in 1992 won "Loo of the Year". , using information included on credit card statements.

LUNDBERG SURVEY

* Headquarters: Camarillo

* Frequency of reports: Bi-monthly

* Methodology: Company says it conducts phone polls of 8,000 gas stations across the country
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Article Details
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Title Annotation:Up Front
Comment:Surveys of gas prices designed to track both trends and cents.(Up Front)
Author:Stewawrt, Al
Publication:Los Angeles Business Journal
Geographic Code:1U9CA
Date:Jun 14, 2004
Words:808
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