Slowdown in Salem's growth means downturn in share price.SALEM Communications Salem Communications (NASDAQ: SALM) is a media company specializing in religious and conservative talk radio which operates in the United States, with 99 U.S. commercial radio stations (pending acquisitions) that are primarily concentrated in the nation's biggest markets, Corp. has been impressing Wall Street for years with double-digit revenue growth fueled by acquisitions and its domination of the Christian/family radio market. Weighed down by startup costs from recent acquisitions and with no election-year political advertising to bolster revenues as in 2004, Salem reported fourth quarter results in line with expectations, but with executives providing only modest guidance for the coming year. Wall Street is accustomed to setting the bar high for the Camarillo-based broadcaster. On March 8, it sent share prices plunging 6 percent to a 32-week low, closing at $13.11. Shares, which have fallen 37 percent over the past 12 months, were trading at $13.51 on March 14. Salem is a growing presence in conservative talk radio, and has a distinctive revenue source at its Christian teaching/talk stations, which sell blocks of airtime air·time n. 1. The time during which a radio or television station is broadcasting. Also called airspace. 2. The time at which a radio or television program is broadcast. to ministers for sermons and Bible lessons. It's a steady source of revenue, with 90 percent of 2005 purchasers renewing for this year. "Block" programming, which accounts for 28 percent of total net broadcasting revenues, rose 5 percent on a same-station basis in the quarter, but is expected to become a smaller percentage of revenue over time. Salem is converting many of its acquisitions to formats such as conservative news/talk and contemporary Christian music Contemporary Christian Music (or CCM; also by its religious neutral term Inspirational music) is a genre of popular music which is lyrically focused on matters concerned with the Christian faith. that have a more volatile revenue base. Salem's guidance "will likely outperform Outperform An analyst recommendation meaning a stock is expected to do slightly better than the market return. Notes: Exact definitions vary by brokerage, but in general this rating is better than neutral and worse than buy or strong buy. (the) industry, but hardly implies the type of growth investors had come to expect of Salem until late 2005, when broader secular trends secular trend The relatively consistent movement of a variable over a long period. A stock in a secular uptrend is an indicator that the security has experienced an extended period of rising prices. , and perhaps a greater reliance on spot vs. "block" revenues, began to impact," David Bank, an analyst for RBC Capital Markets RBC Capital Markets is the corporate and investment banking division of Royal Bank of Canada ("RBC"). Broker dealers Depending on the jurisdiction, the division uses different broker dealer subsidiaries of RBC:
Salem has grown rapidly. It now owns, or is in the process of buying, 104 radio stations, including 66 stations in 24 of the top 25 markets. That compares to the 59 stations it controlled in late 1999. Its youngest format, conservative news/talk, has been a main growth driver, posting 24 percent revenue growth in the quarter. In the Los Angeles Los Angeles (lôs ăn`jələs, lŏs, ăn`jəlēz'), city (1990 pop. 3,485,398), seat of Los Angeles co., S Calif.; inc. 1850. market, the company has four stations reflecting all three formats. News/talk KRLA-AM (870) has the highest Arbitron ratings in the local group, with a 0.8 share of listeners ages 12 years and older. The company also owns Christian music Christian music is music that is written to express either personal or a communal belief regarding the Christian life, as well as (in terms of contemporary music) to give a Christian alternative to main stream secular music. station KFSH-FM (95.9), and teaching/talk KKLA-FM (99.5). KXMX-AM (1190), is a multi-cultural station that sells programming blocks for news and inspirational programming in Korean, Vietnamese and other languages. The company has built up its Salem Radio Network, which syndicates talk, news and music programming to approximately 1,900 affiliates, and Salem Radio Representatives, a national radio advertising sales force. Through acquisition, the company also has become a publisher of Christian music and teaching content. Despite a net debt of $320.7 million, the company is considered to have a strong balance sheet and on March 2 announced a $25 million increase in its stock repurchase Stock repurchase A firm's repurchase of outstanding shares of its common stock. program, since the $25 million program approved in 2004 was nearly complete. The lack of political advertising was a contributing factor for lower fourth-quarter profits. Salem earned $3.3 million, or 13 cents a share, in the quarter, down from $3.7 million, or 14 cents, in 2004. Revenues were $54.5 million, up 5 percent from $51.7 million a year earlier. For the year, net income was up for the company, coming in at $12.7 million, or 49 cents a share, on revenues of $211 million. That compares to 2004 profits of $7.3 million, or 29 cents, on revenue of $195 million. Capital expenditures, largely from acquisition-related expenses grew 25 percent from 2004 to $22.3 million. Salem still outperformed the industry, which saw a 3 percent decline in revenues in the quarter, according to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. the Radio Advertising Bureau The Radio Advertising Bureau (RAB) is the sales and marketing arm of the Radio industry with nearly 7,000 members, including almost 6,000 stations in the U.S., and over 1,000 associate members in networks, representative firms, sales and international organizations. . Its same-station revenues outperformed the overall market by more than 400 basis points, notes analyst Victor Miller, who covers the company for Bear Stearns The Bear Stearns Companies, Inc. (NYSE: BSC) is the parent company of Bear, Stearns & Co. Inc., one of the largest global investment banks and securities trading and brokerage firms in the world. . For 2006, the company expects capital expenditures of about $16 million. The company anticipates same-station national block programming to increase by about 5 percent in 2006. "Looking further into 2006 and longer term, we are optimistic op·ti·mist n. 1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome. 2. A believer in philosophical optimism. op ," said Chief Executive Edward Atsinger. "Nearly half of our radio stations are in a start-up or early development stage and we are focused on developing these stations to maturity." Salem Communications Corp. (SALM) Stock Prices YEAR (Dec. 31) 2005 2004 Revenue (millions) $211.8 $196.9 Total Expenses (millions) 168.2 156.9 Operating Income (millions) 43.7 38.7 Net Income (millions) 12.7 7.3 Earnings Per Share $0.49 0.29 Quarterly Net Income (millions) SUMMARY Business: Christian/Family broadcaster Headquarters: Camarillo CEO: Edward Atsinger Market Cap: $343.6 million Dividend Yield: 0.0% Total Liabilities: $396.8 million P/E Ratio: 27.6 Long-Term Debt: $326.7 million |
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