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Singapore Develops Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning (RAHS) System to Anticipate Future Threats.

Addresses National Security Threats through Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning; System to be Unveiled at the International RAHS RAHS Royal Australian Historical Society
RAHS Roseville Area High School (Roseville, Minnesota)
RAHS Rio Americano High School
RAHS Regional Animal Health Service
RAHS Ramstein American High School (Ramstein, Germany) 
 Symposium March 19-20, 2007

WASHINGTON -- The Singapore government today introduced its Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning (RAHS) system, a strategic risk assessment and analysis tool, which aims to provide early alerts on potential threats to national security by developing a network that links various independent government agencies. Some of the latest technologies employed in the RAHS system allow for model-building, monitoring, weak signal detection and pattern analysis. The RAHS system was developed by Singapore's National Security Coordination Centre (NSCC See National Securities Clearing Corporation.


See National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC).
), in collaboration with The Arlington Institute, Cognitive Edge and Singapore government agencies Defence Science Technology Agency (DSTA DSTA Defence Science and Technology Agency (Singapore)
DSTA Dutch State Treasury Agency
DSTA Denver Security Traders Association
) and DSO See CSO.  National Laboratories. The system is slated to roll out in Singapore later this year.

Mr. Patrick Nathan, deputy director of the NSCS NSCS National Society of Collegiate Scholars
NSCS Naval Supply Corps School
NSCS Network Service Center System
NSCS National Security Council System (US DoD)
NSCS National SIGINT Communications Standard
NSCS North Star Community School
, Singapore Prime Minister's Office The Prime Minister's Office is a small department which provides advice to a Prime Minister in some countries:
  • Office of the Prime Minister (Canada)
  • British Prime Minister's Office
See also
  • Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet
 said, "Singapore is introducing an innovative approach to risk assessment and horizon scanning through the RAHS system. While it is still in the development stage, the aim is for RAHS to help leaders to anticipate future security threats and patterns through a networked government approach."

"One of the most remarkable aspects in human history is the continuity of strategic surprises and resulting shocks to nations," said John L. Petersen, founder and president of The Arlington Institute and concept architect for RAHS. "The cause of these shocks is almost always the inability of government to identify early indicators of change and share the information internally due to the inability to recognize subtle indicators that point to big events coupled with the rigid mindsets and structures within agencies. Through collaboration, RAHS will be able to detect signals and analyze potential threat patterns which otherwise would have gone unnoticed."

A working version of the RAHS system will be unveiled to invited practitioners, academics, technologists and futurists at the inaugural two-day International RAHS symposium to be held in Singapore March 19-20, 2007. Presenters from renowned companies and institutions around the globe, including the Institute for the Future, Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies, Stanford Research Institute Stanford Research Institute - Former name of SRI International. , British Aerospace, Hewlett Packard, IBM (International Business Machines Corporation, Armonk, NY, The world's largest computer company. IBM's product lines include the S/390 mainframes (zSeries), AS/400 midrange business systems (iSeries), RS/6000 workstations and servers (pSeries), Intel-based servers (xSeries) , Nokia and Siemens, will be on hand to share concepts, methods and technology behind risk assessment and horizon scanning. The symposium aims to seed new ideas and perspectives while encouraging collaboration and building awareness within the international community.

Dr. David Martin, founding CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board.  of M-CAM, Inc. said, "The implication of RAHS and its foresight into economic turning points in the horizon is tremendous. The largest challenge facing financial planners is how to make sense out of vast amounts of potentially unrelated data which only becomes useful when organized in a way to see unanticipated patterns emerge. Many financial institutions already conduct their own risk assessment. However, with a platform to share information - especially across markets -this could be a more robust method of economic risk assessment and horizon scanning in the future."

About the National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS)

About the Centre of Excellence for National Security (CENS CENS Censor
CENS Center for Embedded Networked Sensing (UCLA NSF)
CENS Censorship
CENS Centre d'Etudes Nucleaires de Seclay

About the Defence Science & Technology Agency (DSTA)

About DSO National Laboratories
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Mar 1, 2007
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