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Serosurvey on household contacts of Marburg hemorrhagic fever patients.


The first major outbreak of Marburg hemorrhagic fever Noun 1. Marburg hemorrhagic fever - a viral disease of green monkeys caused by the Marburg virus; when transmitted to humans it causes serious or fatal illness
green monkey disease, Marburg disease
 (MHF MHF Mental Health Foundation (London, UK)
MHF Malaysian Hockey Federation
MHF Method Hiding Factor
MHF Medium High Frequency
MHF Major Hazards Facility
MHF Mixed Hydrazine Fuel
MHF Magnolia House of Furniture, Inc
) outside a laboratory environment occurred in the subdistrict of Watsa, Democratic Republic of Congo, from October 1998 to August 2000. We performed a serosurvey of household contacts of MHF patients to identify undetected cases, ascertain the frequency of asymptomatic a·symp·to·mat·ic
adj.
Exhibiting or producing no symptoms.


Asymptomatic
Persons who carry a disease and are usually capable of transmitting the disease but, who do not exhibit symptoms of the disease are said to be
 Marburg infection, and estimate secondary attack risk and postintervention reproduction number. Contacts were interviewed about their exposure and symptoms consistent with MHF. Blood samples were tested for anti-Marburg immunoglobulin G immunoglobulin G
n. Abbr. IgG
The most abundant class of antibodies found in blood serum and lymph and active against bacteria, fungi, viruses, and foreign particles. Immunoglobulin G antibodies trigger action of the complement system.
 (IgG). One hundred twenty-one (51%) of 237 identified contacts participated; 72 (60%) were not known to the health authorities. Two participating contacts were seropositive seropositive /se·ro·pos·i·tive/ (-poz´i-tiv) showing positive results on serological examination; showing a high level of antibody.

se·ro·pos·i·tive
adj.
 and reported becoming ill after the contact; no serologic se·rol·o·gy  
n. pl. se·rol·o·gies
1. The science that deals with the properties and reactions of serums, especially blood serum.

2.
 evidence for asymptomatic or mild Marburg infection was found. The secondary attack risk was 21%; the postintervention reproduction number was 0.9, consistent with an outbreak sustained by repeated primary transmission, rather than large-scale secondary transmission.

**********

Marburg hemorrhagic fever (MHF) is a rare disease caused by the Marburg filovirus Filovirus /Fi·lo·vi·rus/ (fi´lo-vi?rus) Marburg and Ebola viruses: a genus of viruses of the family Filoviridae that cause hemorrhagic fevers (Marburg virus disease, Ebola virus disease). ; it occurs in central, east, and southern Africa
This article concerns the region in Africa. For the present-day country in this region, see South Africa; for the former country, see South African Republic.
Southern Africa
. MHF is characterized by sudden onset of fever, headache, myalgia myalgia /my·al·gia/ (mi-al´jah) muscular pain.myal´gic

epidemic myalgia  see under pleurodynia.


my·al·gia
n.
, arthralgia arthralgia /ar·thral·gia/ (ahr-thral´jah) pain in a joint.

ar·thral·gia
n.
Severe pain in a joint. Also called arthrodynia.
, and frequently progresses to diarrhea and vomiting vomiting, ejection of food and other matter from the stomach through the mouth, often preceded by nausea. The process is initiated by stimulation of the vomiting center of the brain by nerve impulses from the gastrointestinal tract or other part of the body. , hemorrhagic diathesis hemorrhagic diathesis,
n an inherited predisposition to any one of a number of abnormalities characterized by excessive bleeding.

hemorrhagic diathesis Medtalk Bleeding–like crazy, like stuck pig
 (petechiae Petechiae
Tiny purple or red spots on the skin associated with endocarditis, resulting from hemorrhages under the skin's surface.

Mentioned in: Endocarditis, Hantavirus Infections, Hemorrhagic Fevers, Idiopathic Thrombocytopenic Purpura

, hematemesis hematemesis /he·ma·tem·e·sis/ (he?mah-tem´e-sis) the vomiting of blood.

he·ma·tem·e·sis
n.
The vomiting of blood.
, melena melena /me·le·na/ (me-le´nah) the passage of dark stools stained with altered blood.

me·le·na
n.
), and death (1). Case fatality In epidemiology, case fatality (CF) refers the rate of death among people who already have a condition. It is usually defined with a period of time, such as a 28-day CF or a 24-hour CF. It is usually measured as a decimal or as a percent.  reached 88% in a community outbreak in Uige, Angola (2). No vaccine or antiviral therapy This article is about the biomedical journal. For therapy with antiviral agents, see antiviral drug.

Antiviral Therapy is an academic journal published by International Medical Press, London, UK (a subsidiary of MediTech Media).
 is available; supportive treatment consists primarily of correcting fluid and electrolyte imbalances electrolyte imbalance Critical care A general term for a derangement of major electrolytes–Na+, K+, chloride; thus defined, EI is common; in practice, EIs are only of interest if they cause clinical disease . The putative Alleged; supposed; reputed.

A putative father is the individual who is alleged to be the father of an illegitimate child.

A putative marriage is one that has been contracted in Good Faith and pursuant to ignorance, by one or both parties, that certain
 diagnosis is established on clinical and epidemiologic ep·i·de·mi·ol·o·gy  
n.
The branch of medicine that deals with the study of the causes, distribution, and control of disease in populations.



[Medieval Latin epid
 grounds and confirmed by polymerase chain reaction polymerase chain reaction (pŏl`ĭmərās') (PCR), laboratory process in which a particular DNA segment from a mixture of DNA chains is rapidly replicated, producing a large, readily analyzed sample of a piece of DNA; the process is  (PCR PCR polymerase chain reaction.

PCR
abbr.
polymerase chain reaction


Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) 
), antigen-capture enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay
n.
ELISA.


Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA)
A diagnostic blood test used to screen patients for AIDS or other viruses.
 (ELISA ELISA (e-li´sah) Enzyme-Linked Immuno-Sorbent Assay; any enzyme immunoassay using an enzyme-labeled immunoreactant and an immunosorbent.

ELISA
n.
), immunoglobulin M immunoglobulin M
n. Abbr. IgM
The class of antibodies found in circulating body fluids and the first antibodies to appear in response to an initial exposure to an antigen.
 (IgM) ELISA, or virus isolation.

The reservoir animal species capable of surviving Marburg infection and sustaining the virus's lifecycle has not been discovered (3); thus, transmission patterns from the reservoir to humans are not known. Transmission between humans occurs through direct contact with symptomatic symptomatic /symp·to·mat·ic/ (simp?to-mat´ik)
1. pertaining to or of the nature of a symptom.

2. indicative (of a particular disease or disorder).

3.
 MHF patients or with their body fluids or remains (4). The risk for transmission of Marburg virus Marburg virus: see hemorrhagic fever.  is assumed to increase with the intensity of physical contact and the amount of body fluids shed, as shown for Ebola virus Ebola virus (ēbō`lə), a member of a family (Filovirus) of viruses that cause hemorrhagic fevers. The virus, named for the region in Congo (Kinshasa) where it was first identified in 1976, emerged from the rain forest, where it survives in  (5).

The first major community outbreak of MHF described (>150 putative cases, case fatality 83%) was in the mining village of Durba and the neighboring neigh·bor  
n.
1. One who lives near or next to another.

2. A person, place, or thing adjacent to or located near another.

3. A fellow human.

4. Used as a form of familiar address.

v.
 town, Watsa, in the northeast of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC DRC Democratic Republic of Congo
DRC Down (Stage) Right Center
DRC Director(ate) of Reserve Components
DRC Disability Rights Commission (United Kingdom) 
), in 1999. The outbreak probably started in October 1998, had several peaks alternating with latent periods latent period
n.
1. The period elapsing between the application of a stimulus and the obvious response, such as the contraction of a muscle.

2.
, and ended in August 2000, when the last confirmed MHF cases occurred (6). Primary cases were predominantly in orpailleurs (unofficial gold miners), while secondary cases were predominantly in household contacts and healthcare workers. Response activities similar to those for Ebola outbreaks were started in May 1999 with temporary assistance from expert teams. These measures included active and passive surveillance, follow-up of contacts, isolation of cases, barrier nursing, and safe burials (7).

The surveillance system likely did not identify all MHF cases because surveillance officers did not make sufficient efforts to approach families of primary case-patients, patients with mild cases were not referred to an experienced clinician clinician /cli·ni·cian/ (kli-nish´in) an expert clinical physician and teacher.

cli·ni·cian
n.
 for assessment (8), or contacts concealed symptoms compatible with MHF to avoid isolation. We carried out a serosurvey of household contacts to ascertain unidentified MHF cases and to estimate the secondary attack risk and postintervention reproduction number.

Methods

Study Area and Population

The epicenter ep·i·cen·ter  
n.
1. The point of the earth's surface directly above the focus of an earthquake.

2. A focal point: stood at the epicenter of the international crisis.
 of the 1998-2000 MHF outbreak, Durba, is 14 km from Watsa town, the administrative center of the subdistrict of Watsa. Watsa Subdistrict is located near the border with Uganda and Sudan. Watsa's health system was seriously compromised during the outbreak by economic decline and the ongoing war in eastern DRC.

Our survey was of lay persons, referred to as household contacts, whose contact with an MHF patient occurred during lay activities, such as nursing a patient (supporting, feeding, washing, and the like, whether at home or in health facilities), transporting a patient or body, or preparing a body for burial. Healthcare workers whose contact occurred during their professional duties were not eligible.

Cases of MHF were either laboratory confirmed (positive by PCR, antigen-capture ELISA, virus isolation, or a combination of IgG ELISA IgG ELISA,
n.pr a diagnostic test for identifying reactive substances that provoke delayed hypersensitivity of the immune system. A solid-phase immunoassay that uses enzymes to test for IgG subclass reactions.
, IgG indirect immunofluorescence Noun 1. indirect immunofluorescence - a method of using fluorescence microscopy to detect the presence of an antigen indirectly
fluorescence microscopy - light microscopy in which the specimen is irradiated at wavelengths that excite fluorochromes
 assay [IFA Immunofluorescent assay (IFA)
A blood test sometimes used to confirm ELISA results instead of using the Western blotting. In an IFA test, HIV antigen is mixed with a fluorescent compound and then with a sample of the patient's blood.
], and clinical and epidemiologic evidence [48 cases]) or epidemiologically linked (persons for whom laboratory confirmation was not attempted who had acute fever, hemorrhage hemorrhage (hĕm`ərĭj), escape of blood from the circulation (arteries, veins, capillaries) to the internal or external tissues. The term is usually applied to a loss of blood that is copious enough to threaten health or life. , and contact with a laboratory-confirmed patient [25 cases]). Forty-five cases were known from surveillance during the outbreak; we identified 28 retrospectively. Contacts of suspected case-patients whose conditions were not laboratory confirmed or epidemiologically linked as defined above were not eligible because their diagnosis lacked certainty.

We attempted to visit the households of all 73 MHF patients and to prepare a list of persons who had direct contact with the patient or his or her body fluids or remains. If contacts were temporarily absent, we undertook at least 2 repeat visits. If they had moved away, we tried to locate them at their new address, unless distance or lack of security (e.g., rebel activity, bandits) hindered us, in which case we interviewed former neighbors about the contacts' disease episodes in the 4 weeks after the patient's illness. We asked all contacts we met to give verbal informed consent; if they agreed, we interviewed them and took blood samples. This study was approved by the ethics committee ethics committee A multidisciplinary hospital body composed of a broad spectrum of personnel–eg, physicians, nurses, social workers, priests, and others, which addresses the moral and ethical issues within the hospital. See DNR, Institutional review board.  of the Antwerp Institute for Tropical Medicine tropical medicine, study, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of certain diseases prevalent in the tropics. The warmth and humidity of the tropics and the often unsanitary conditions under which so many people in those areas live contribute to the development and  and the representative of the Ministry of Health in Watsa.

Interviews

After establishing the identity of the contact and the relationship to the patient, we asked an open-ended question A closed-ended question is a form of question, which normally can be answered with a simple "yes/no" dichotomous question, a specific simple piece of information, or a selection from multiple choices (multiple-choice question), if one excludes such non-answer responses as dodging a  about the role the contact played during the patient's illness. We also asked closed-ended questions on whether the contact had touched, carried, or embraced the patient (and whether the patient at that point had diarrhea, vomiting, or bleeding) and whether the contact had touched the patient's clothes or linen (and whether these were soiled with stool, vomitus vomitus /vom·i·tus/ (vom´i-tus) [L.]
1. vomiting.

2. matter vomited.


vom·i·tus
n.
Vomited matter.



vomitus

1. vomiting.

2. vomited material.
, or blood). Since patients who died often had had diarrhea, vomiting, and bleeding in the final stages of disease, we also asked whether the contact had touched, carried, embraced, or washed the person after death. While field testing the questionnaire, we found that protective gear such as gloves was unavailable to lay persons; thus, all contacts were assumed to be unprotected. We asked about symptoms the contact had experienced during the 4 weeks after exposure; these symptoms (Table 1) correspond to the ones used during the epidemic to define a clinically suspected case.

Blood Sampling and Testing

After the interview, 5-10 mL venous blood venous blood
n. Abbr. v
Blood that has passed through the capillaries of various tissues other than the lungs, is found in the veins, in the right chambers of the heart, and in pulmonary arteries, and is usually dark red as a result of a
 was taken from contacts. After 12 to 24 hours, serum was separated from the blood clot blood clot
n.
A semisolid, gelatinous mass of coagulated blood that consists of red blood cells, white blood cells, and platelets in a fibrin network.
, refrigerated re·frig·er·ate  
tr.v. re·frig·er·at·ed, re·frig·er·at·ing, re·frig·er·ates
1. To cool or chill (a substance).

2. To preserve (food) by chilling.
 at [approximately equal to]4[degrees]C, and transported to the Uganda Virus Research Institute The Uganda Virus Research Institute (UVRI), located in Entebbe, Uganda, was established in 1936 as the Yellow Fever Research Institute by the Rockefeller Foundation.  (within 1 to 2 weeks). There it was frozen at -70[degrees]C and shipped on dry ice to the National Institute for Communicable Diseases communicable diseases, illnesses caused by microorganisms and transmitted from an infected person or animal to another person or animal. Some diseases are passed on by direct or indirect contact with infected persons or with their excretions. , Johannesburg. Serum was examined by ELISA and IFA and considered positive if anti-Marburg IgG was found in both tests.

Data Analysis

Data were entered with EpiInfo version 6.0 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), agency of the U.S. Public Health Service since 1973, with headquarters in Atlanta; it was established in 1946 as the Communicable Disease Center. , Atlanta, GA, USA), and analyzed with Stata version 8.2 software (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX, USA). Depending on symptoms associated with increased virus shedding virus shedding
n.
Excretion of virus from the infected host by any route.
 and on the intensity of the contact, level of exposure was categorized cat·e·go·rize  
tr.v. cat·e·go·rized, cat·e·go·riz·ing, cat·e·go·riz·es
To put into a category or categories; classify.



cat
. Low-level contact included any direct contact with a living case-patient without diarrhea, vomiting, or bleeding; or touching clothes or sheets not soiled with stool, vomitus, or blood. Medium-level contact was defined as touching a living case-patient with diarrhea, vomiting, or bleeding; touching clothes or sheets soiled with stool, vomitus, or blood; or touching remains. High-level contact included carrying or embracing a living patient who had diarrhea, vomiting, or bleeding; or carrying, embracing, or cleaning remains.

We established transmission chains and generations for all patients, taking into account work as a gold digger, exposure to other patients, incubation period incubation period
n.
1. See latent period.

2. See incubative stage.


Incubation period 
, and date of onset (M. Borchert, unpub, data). When a patient had been working as a gold digger and had been exposed to another patient, we gave priority to the confirmed human-to-human exposure over the possible primary exposure and classified these cases as nonprimary ones.

We calculated the secondary attack risk as the proportion of household contacts of primary case-patients who then became secondary case-patients themselves, including only primary case-patients whose contact list could be established fully and who did not share contacts with another case-patient; we used the analogous approach to estimate the tertiary attack risk. We computed the reproduction number ([R.sub.p]) as the product of the secondary attack risk and the average number of contacts per primary case-patient. As most cases in our survey had occurred after control measures were implemented, we consider this number to be the postintervention [R.sub.p], not the basic reproduction number In epidemiology, the basic reproduction number of an infection is the mean number of secondary cases a typical single infected case will cause in a population with no immunity to the disease in the absence of interventions to control the infection.  [R.sub.0].

Results

Completeness of Data

Household contacts of 73 MHF patients were eligible to participate in the survey. We completed contact lists for 48 patients (66%). For 7 patients, Watsa health authorities had listed some contacts during the epidemic. Because we could not meet these patients, their contacts, or others who could verify the list's completeness we likely missed some contacts. For 18 patients, no contacts had been listed by the health authorities. Since we did not speak to anyone who had witnessed the case during the epidemic, contacts have also probably been missed for these cases.

Existing surveillance records listed 141 contacts. For the 48 cases we could investigate fully, 96 additional contacts were found. Seventy-one of these were contacts of patients identified by surveillance during the outbreak. The total number of identified contacts therefore was 237 (141 + 96), relating to relating to relate prepconcernant

relating to relate prepbezüglich +gen, mit Bezug auf +acc 
 55 (48 + 7) of 73 cases.

A patient whose case was fully investigated had, on average, 4.46 contacts; on this basis, one would expect 326 contacts for all 73 patients. The 237 identified contacts correspond to 73% of this expected number. A total of 143 contacts could be traced, and 124 consented to being interviewed and giving a blood sample, representing 52% of the 237 identified contacts and 38% of the 326 expected contacts. Three persons listed by surveillance denied any physical contact with the patient and were excluded from analysis. Therefore, results refer to 121 study participants.

Characteristics of Contacts

The median interval between the onset of the patient's disease and the contact's interview and blood sample collection was 24 months (range 11-48). Hall of the contacts were female, and three fourths were 15-49 years of age. Most contacts were family members (88%), while colleagues accounted for 11% (Table 2).

Half of the contacts held or carried a patient, a third red or washed a patient, and a tenth reported sharing a bed with a patient (Table 3). Exposure to a living patient was almost universal; three quarters of contacts had exposure to body fluids and excreta excreta /ex·cre·ta/ (eks-kret´ah) excretion (2).

ex·cre·ta
pl.n.
Waste matter, such as sweat or feces, discharged from the body.
. Forty-three percent of contacts had exposure to remains. The exposure level was low in 13%, medium in 19%, and high in 68% of contacts and did not differ between the sexes.

For 43 of the 50 contacts known to surveillance, we compared exposure reported in our survey with exposure documented by surveillance officers during the outbreak. For 88% of contacts, surveillance and study information agreed.

Two study participants were positive for anti--Marburg IgG: a 21-year-old brother and a 27-year-old male neighbor of MHF patients. Both contacts were highly exposed to their respective primary case-patients. These contacts were also, as unofficial gold miners, at risk for primary transmission themselves (6). The 21-year-old reported 6 general symptoms within 4 weeks after exposure, including fatigue, abdominal pain Abdominal pain can be one of the symptoms associated with transient disorders or serious disease. Making a definitive diagnosis of the cause of abdominal pain can be difficult, because many diseases can result in this symptom. Abdominal pain is a common problem. , nausea/vomiting, hiccoughs hic·cup also hic·cough  
n.
1.
a. A spasm of the diaphragm resulting in a rapid, involuntary inhalation that is stopped by the sudden closure of the glottis and accompanied by a sharp, distinctive sound.

b.
, chest pain, and difficulty breathing, but he did not fulfill the definition of a suspected case because he did not exhibit fever or bleeding. The 27-year-old reported a hemorrhagic fever hemorrhagic fever (hĕm'ərăj`ĭk), any of a group of viral diseases characterized by sudden onset, muscle and joint pain, fever, bleeding, and shock from loss of blood.  syndrome, including vomiting and coughing blood and bloody or black stool. Neither contact sought medical care. We consider them to be additional confirmed patients and classified them as Secondary cases because of the combination of high exposure and postexposure symptoms compatible with MHF. The 119 seronegative seronegative /se·ro·neg·a·tive/ (-neg´ah-tiv) showing negative results on serological examination; showing a lack of antibody.

se·ro·neg·a·tive
adj.
 contacts were considered nonpatients. Thus, the overall seroprevalence seroprevalence Immunology The proportion of a population that is seropositive–ie, has been exposed to a particular pathogen or immunogen; the seropositivity of a population is calculated as the number of individuals who produce a particular antibody divided  in our study population is 1.65% (95% confidence interval confidence interval,
n a statistical device used to determine the range within which an acceptable datum would fall. Confidence intervals are usually expressed in percentages, typically 95% or 99%.
 [CI] 0.2%-5.8%), the same as in the general population (1.64%) (6).

Although almost all contacts were seronegative, one third reported fever within 4 weeks of contact with a patient (Table 1), more than one half reported a general symptom (headache, fatigue, and loss of appetite loss of appetite Medtalk Anorexia, see there  most frequently), and 3.3% reported hemorrhage. Thirty-three (27%) contacts would have qualified as clinically suspected case-patients during the epidemic and should have been taken to an isolation ward for assessment by an experienced healthcare worker. This did not happen, and 23 of these persons were not even known by authorities to be contacts.

On the basis of surveillance records and interviews with family members, neighbors, or colleagues of the 113 eligible contacts we could not interview or obtain blood samples from, we identified 1 epidemiologically linked patient, 1 suspected MHF case-patient, and 13 noncases; for the 98 remaining contacts, information was insufficient to classify them. The total of MHF cases thus increased to 76 (50 laboratory-confirmed, 26 epidemiologically linked).

Secondary Attack Risk and Postintervention [R.sub.p]

Thirty-one of 76 cases were identified as primary, 21 as secondary, 15 as tertiary, and 5 as quaternary quaternary /qua·ter·nary/ (kwah´ter-nar?e)
1. fourth in order.

2. containing four elements or groups.


qua·ter·nar·y
adj.
1. Consisting of four; in fours.
. Four cases could not be classified. Eleven patients with secondary cases acquired their infection as a household contact and had only 1 patient with a fully investigated primary case as a possible source. These constituted the numerator numerator

the upper part of a fraction.


numerator relationship
see additive genetic relationship.


numerator Epidemiology The upper part of a fraction
 for the secondary attack risk and contributed to the denominator denominator

the bottom line of a fraction; the base population on which population rates such as birth and death rates are calculated.

denominator 
. Forty-two healthy contacts with only 1 patient with a fully investigated primary case as possible source also contributed to the denominator. The secondary attack risk was thus estimated as 21% (11/[11 + 42], 95% CI 11-34) for household contacts. Restricting the calculation to confirmed primary cases did not significantly change the secondary attack risk estimate. The average number of household contacts per fully investigated primary case was 4.46, so that [R.sub.p] for household contacts was estimated as 0.93. The tertiary attack risk (6/32 = 19%, CI 7-36) did not differ from the secondary one.

Discussion

Most of the 121 household and community contacts of MHF patients reported substantial unprotected exposure to Marburg virus through physical contact with patients, their body fluids, or remains. In addition to the secondary cases identified through surveillance, we found serologic evidence for Marburg infection in 2 persons and epidemiologic evidence in 1 person. For all 3 persons, substantial clinical disease after the exposure was reported. As most patients identified during the Watsa outbreak showed signs of disease (D.G. Bausch et al., unpub, data), we conclude that mild or asymptomatic Marburg infection, albeit possible (8), was a rare event.

One fourth of the seronegative contacts reported symptoms within 4 weeks of exposure, which fulfilled the definition for a suspected case. This figure illustrates the difficulty in deciding whether to isolate patients on the basis of clinical and epidemiologic data alone. The risk for cross-contamination on the isolation ward, if persons are incorrectly hospitalized, and the risk for continued community transmission, if true cases are not isolated, show the necessity of having a laboratory diagnosis available within 1 or 2 days.

[FIGURE OMITTED]

Our secondary attack risk estimate of 21% is within the range reported for Ebola outbreaks for comparable types of contacts: Ebola-Zaire, Kikwit, 1995, household contacts 16% (5); Yambuku, 1976, close relatives, 20% (9); Ebola-Sudan, Nzara, 1979, family members with physical contact including nursing 31% (10) Our estimate is much higher than the 2.5% reported for Ebola-Sudan, Uganda, 2000 (11); however, the Ugandan estimate may have included persons who merely stayed in the same house as a patient without reporting physical contact. The secondary and tertiary attack risks in our study were found to be virtually identical, 21% and 19%, respectively; thus no evidence suggested that Marburg virus loses infectivity infectivity

ability of an agent to infect.
 by repeated passages through humans.

We found the postintervention reproduction number [R.sub.p] to be <1; after the implementation of control measures, secondary transmission was not sustainable in the community. This finding is consistent with our observations during the outbreak, whose prolonged pro·long  
tr.v. pro·longed, pro·long·ing, pro·longs
1. To lengthen in duration; protract.

2. To lengthen in extent.
 duration of almost 16 months after control measures were initiated in May 1999 was due to repeated primary transmission into the human population and not to sustained secondary transmission. The outbreak ended when the dominant location of primary transmission, the Gorumbwa gold mine, ceased to be accessible (D.G. Bausch et al., unpub, data). Our data do not allow computing computing - computer  the preintervention basic reproduction number [R.sub.0], so we cannot be certain how much of a difference the control measures made, but we think they had some effect.

The proportion of contacts (71/212) and the number of clinically suspected cases (33) missed by surveillance were high. Two of 3 retrospectively identified MHF patients were contacts of patients known to the health authorities. These contacts reported symptoms that qualified them as having suspected cases, but they were missed nevertheless. Given the importance of early recognition and isolation of MHF patients for outbreak control, this finding raises the question of how the Watsa health authorities could have been better supported in their surveillance activities. After Watsa's chief medical officer died from MHF in May 1999 (12), the post remained vacant for many months. We suggest that continuous support to the health zone by training and deploying a Congolese epidemiologist epidemiologist

an expert in epidemiology.
 might have been more cost-effective than the intermittent intermittent /in·ter·mit·tent/ (-mit´ent) marked by alternating periods of activity and inactivity.

in·ter·mit·tent
adj.
1. Stopping and starting at intervals.

2.
 support provided by experts from May 1999 to October 2000. This strategy would also have strengthened DRC's capacity to deal with future viral hemorrhagic fever Noun 1. viral hemorrhagic fever - a group of illnesses caused by a viral infection (usually restricted to a specific geographic area); fever and gastrointestinal symptoms are followed by capillary hemorrhage  outbreaks.

The survey's setting was characterized by high mobility because of the war and the flooding of the Gorumbwa gold mine, and we could not investigate all cases fully because of lack of available sources. For these reasons, we located at best half of all contacts and probably fewer. We could not make firm conclusions about those whom we could not interview or obtain blood from: a few may have contracted or even died from MHF. However, contacts for whom no information was available were no more likely to contract MHF than those we could study. In settings where families are isolated from their surroundings, a filovirus may wipe out a household, leaving no witness to report the event. In Durba and Watsa, where households are physically and socially close, such a tragedy is unlikely to have happened without anyone noticing, remembering, and reporting; we therefore believe that a substantial survival bias is unlikely.

The accuracy of reported exposure and symptoms may have had recall bias, given the average interval of 2 years between the patient's disease and the survey. When our data were compared with exposure information recorded by surveillance officers during the outbreak, agreement was satisfactory, however. Exposure patterns reflected traditional female and male roles in caring for diseased dis·eased
adj.
1. Affected with disease.

2. Unsound or disordered.
 relatives. Since no material gains were offered to newly identified patients Identified patient (IP)
The family member in whom the family's symptom has emerged or is most obvious.

Mentioned in: Family Therapy
, we did not provide incentives to over-report exposure or symptoms. Giving a blood sample is unpopular in the study setting; to avoid underreporting exposure and symptoms, study participants were informed before the interview that a blood sample would be requested, regardless of their answers to interview questions. Those who did not wish to be interviewed or provide a blood sample refused overtly. In summary, we believe the interview data are valid.

If anti--Marburg IgG antibodies were transitory TRANSITORY. That which lasts but a short time, as transitory facts that which may be laid in different places, as a transitory action.  after infection with Marburg virus, they might have fallen below detectable levels in the interval between exposure and blood collection. However, samples taken from 17 MHF survivors after 22 to 102 months of follow-up that were stored, transported, and analyzed in the same way as the samples of this survey showed that none became seronegative. These persons from the 1994 or 1998-2000 MHF outbreaks became seropositive during or shortly after disease and included 2 with mild Marburg disease Marburg disease

a severe, often fatal, viral hemorrhagic fever of humans first reported in Marburg, Germany, among laboratory workers exposed to African green monkeys. The virus is a member of the family Filoviridae.
 (M. Borchert, unpub, data). We conclude that Marburg antibodies persisted sufficiently to be detected in our sero-survey.

If some of our epidemiologically linked case-patients did not have MHF, this result could have diluted di·lute  
tr.v. di·lut·ed, di·lut·ing, di·lutes
1. To make thinner or less concentrated by adding a liquid such as water.

2. To lessen the force, strength, purity, or brilliance of, especially by admixture.
 the secondary attack risk. However, restricting the analysis to confirmed cases did not increase, but rather reduced, the secondary attack risk, albeit not significantly. We report the secondary attack risks on the basis of confirmed and epidemiologically linked cases, which is equally valid and more stable because of the larger number of observations.

Calculation of secondary attack risk and [R.sub.p] depends on determining the transmission generations correctly. We are confident that our data are of sufficient quality to allow this, but an inherent uncertainty exists regarding patients who worked as unofficial gold miners and reported substantial exposure to another patient. We think these persons could be classified as having secondary cases, given the confirmed secondary, but uncertain primary, exposure. In the unlikely event that these were all primary cases, the secondary attack risk would be reduced to 16%, which would not change our conclusions substantially.

Conclusion

We found that asymptomatic or very mild Marburg infection was a rare event in the Watsa outbreak. The postintervention reproduction number [R.sub.p] was <1, which suggests that the MHF outbreak in Watsa and Durba was sustained through repeated introduction of the virus into the human population and not through secondary spread. We showed that the identification and follow-up of contacts during the outbreak were incomplete and raised the question of how support for surveillance efforts in a health zone such as Watsa could be improved.

Acknowledgments

We thank the authorities, health workers, and volunteers of Watsa Health Zone, without whose support this study would have been impossible; the study participants for their trust and availability; Julius Lutwama for temporarily storing the samples and facilitating their shipment to Johannesburg; Oona Campbell and Nicole Best for editing the manuscript; and the anonymous reviewers for their useful comments.

This study was funded by Fonds voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek--Vlaanderen (1.5.188.01) and the Framework Agreement between the Belgian Directorate for Development Co-operation and the Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp.

References

(1.) World Health Organization. Marburg haemorrhagic fever Noun 1. haemorrhagic fever - a group of illnesses caused by a viral infection (usually restricted to a specific geographic area); fever and gastrointestinal symptoms are followed by capillary hemorrhage  fact sheet. [cited 2005 April 30]. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/disease/marburg/factsheet/en/index.html

(2.) World Health Organization. Marburg haemorrhagic Adj. 1. haemorrhagic - of or relating to a hemorrhage
hemorrhagic
 fever--update 25. [cited 2005 Sep 20]. Available from http://www.who.int/csr/don/ 2005_08_24/en/index.html

(3.) Monath TE Ecology of Marburg and Ebola viruses: speculations and directions for future research. J Infect infect /in·fect/ (in-fekt´)
1. to invade and produce infection in.

2. to transmit a pathogen or disease to.


in·fect
v.
1.
 Dis.1999;179(Suppl 1): S127-38.

(4.) Centers of Disease Control and Prevention. Marburg hemorrhagic fever. [cited 2005 Apr 30]. http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/dvrd/spb/ mnpages/dispages/marburg.htm

(5.) Dowell SE Mukunu R, Ksiazek TG, Khan AS, Rollin PE, Peters CJ, et al. Transmission of Ebola hemorrhagic fever Noun 1. Ebola hemorrhagic fever - a severe and often fatal disease in humans and nonhuman primates (monkeys and chimpanzees) caused by the Ebola virus; characterized by high fever and severe internal bleeding; can be spread from person to person; is largely limited to : a study of risk factors in family members, Kikwit, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1995. J Infect Dis. 1999;179(Suppl 1):S87-91.

(6.) Bausch DG, Borchert M, Grein T, Roth C, Swanepoel R, Libande ML, et al. Risk factors for Marburg hemorrhagic fever, Democratic Republic of the Congo. Emerg Infect Dis. 2003;9:1531-7.

(7.) Zeller H. Les lecons de l'epidemie a virus Marburg a Durba, Republique Democratique du Congo (1998-2000). Med Trop (Mars). 2000;60(Suppl 2):23-6.

(8.) Borchert M, Muyembe-Tamfum JJ, Colebunders R, Libande M, Sabue M, Van der Stuyft P. A cluster of Marburg virus disease Marburg virus disease
n.
An often fatal infection of humans by the Marburg virus that is characterized by severe fever, diarrhea, a maculopapular rash, and hemorrhaging.
, involving an infant. Trop Med Int Health. 2002;7:902-6.

(9.) World Health Organization/International Study Team. Ebola haemorrhagic fever in Zaire, 1976. Bull World Health Organ. 1978;56:271-93.

(10.) Baron RC, McCormick JB, Zubeir OA. Ebola virus disease in southern Sudan Southern Sudan is a region of Sudan, comprising ten of that country's provinces. The Sudanese government agreed to give autonomy to the region in the Comprehensive Peace Agreement[1] : hospital dissemination dissemination Medtalk The spread of a pernicious process–eg, CA, acute infection Oncology Metastasis, see there  and intrafamilial spread. Bull World Health Organ. 1983;61:997-1003.

(11.) Okware SI, Omaswa FG, Zaramba S, Opio A, Lutwama JJ, Kamugisha J, et al. An outbreak of Ebola in Uganda. Trop Med Int Health. 2002;7:1068-75.

(12.) Biot M. Tribute to Dr Katenga Bonzali. Trop Med Int Health. 2000;5:384.

Matthias Borchert, * Sabue Mulangu, ([dagger]) Robert Swanepoel, ([double dagger double dagger
n.
A reference mark () used in printing and writing. Also called diesis.

Noun 1.
]) Modeste Lifenya Libande, ([section]) Antoine Tshomba, ([paragraph]) Amayo Kulidri, ([section]) Jean-Jacques Muyembe-Tamfum, ([dagger]) and Patrick Van der Stuyft *

* Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium; ([dagger]) Institut de Recherche re·cher·ché  
adj.
1. Uncommon; rare.

2. Exquisite; choice.

3. Overrefined; forced.

4. Pretentious; overblown.
 Biomedicale, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo; ([double dagger]) National Institute for Communicable Diseases, Johannesburg, South Africa South Africa, Afrikaans Suid-Afrika, officially Republic of South Africa, republic (2005 est. pop. 44,344,000), 471,442 sq mi (1,221,037 sq km), S Africa. ; ([section]) Ministry of Health, Democratic Republic of Congo; and ([paragraph] Hopital General de Kilo-Moto, Watsa, Democratic Republic of Congo

Dr Borchert is a medical epidemiologist with the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. His interests include the control and investigation of viral hemorrhagic fevers.

Address for correspondence: Matthias Borchert, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Infectious Diseases infectious diseases: see communicable diseases.  Epidemiology epidemiology, field of medicine concerned with the study of epidemics, outbreaks of disease that affect large numbers of people. Epidemiologists, using sophisticated statistical analyses, field investigations, and complex laboratory techniques, investigate the cause  Unit, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK; fax: 44-20-7637-4314; email: matthias.borchert@lshtm.ac.uk
Table 1. Symptoms in 121 household and community contacts within 4
weeks after exposure to a Marburg hemorrhagic fever patient, Watsa
Subdistrict, Democratic Republic of Congo, 2002

                                              No.              No.
                                          seronegative    seropositive,
Symptoms                                  (%), n = 119        n = 2

Fever                                      37 (31.1)            1
General symptoms
  Headache                                 55 (46.2)            1
  Fatigue                                  45 (37.8)            2
  Loss of appetite                         39 (32.8)            1
  Joint pain                               33 (27.7)            1
  Muscle pain                              26 (21.9)            1
  Back pain                                24 (20.2)            1
  Abdominal pain                           23 (19.3)            2
  Chest pain                               14 (11.8)            2
  Nausea, vomiting                         10 (8.4)             2
  Diarrhea                                 11 (9.2)             1
  Dyspnea                                   8 (6.7)             2
  Sore throat                               8 (6.7)             1
  Hiccough                                  3 (2.5)             2
  Any general symptom                      68 (57.1)            2
Hemorrhage
  Nose bleed                                2 (1.7)             0
  Bloody/black stool                        1 (0.8)             1
  Coughing blood                            1 (0.8)             1
  Bloody vomit                                 0                1
  Vaginal bleeding                          1 (0.8)             0
  Any hemorrhage                            3 (2.5)             1
Combinations
  Fever + [greater than or equal to] 3
    general symptoms                       32 (26.9)            1
  Fever + hemorrhage                        2 (1.7)             1
  Clinically suspect case *                32 (26.9)            1

Total                                     119 (100.0)           2

Symptoms                                  Total (%), N = 121

Fever                                         38 (31.4)
General symptoms
  Headache                                    56 (46.3)
  Fatigue                                     47 (38.8)
  Loss of appetite                            40 (33.6)
  Joint pain                                  34 (28.1)
  Muscle pain                                 27 (22.3)
  Back pain                                   25 (20.7)
  Abdominal pain                              25 (20.7)
  Chest pain                                  16 (13.2)
  Nausea, vomiting                            12 (9.9)
  Diarrhea                                    12 (9.9)
  Dyspnea                                     10 (8.3)
  Sore throat                                  9 (7.4)
  Hiccough                                     5 (4.1)
  Any general symptom                         70 (57.9)
Hemorrhage
  Nose bleed                                   2 (1.7)
  Bloody/black stool                           2 (1.7)
  Coughing blood                               2 (1.7)
  Bloody vomit                                 1 (0.8)
  Vaginal bleeding                             1 (0.8)
  Any hemorrhage                               4 (3.3)
Combinations
  Fever + [greater than or equal to] 3
    general symptoms                          33 (27.3)
  Fever + hemorrhage                           3 (2.5)
  Clinically suspect case *                   33 (27.3)

Total                                        121 (100.0)

* Fever + [greater than or equal to] 3 general symptoms or fever +
hemorrhage.

Table 2. Characteristics of 121 household or community contacts of
Marburg hemorrhagic fever patients, Watsa Subdistrict, Democratic
Republic of Congo, 2002

                                       No. male (%),   No. female (%),
Characteristics                           n = 63           n = 58

Age (y)
  [less than or equal to] 4              2 (3.5)              0
  5-14                                   3 (5.2)           5 (7.9)
  15-29                                 24 (41.4)         35 (55.6)
  30-44                                 20 (34.5)         11 (17.5)
  [greater than or equal to] 45          9 (15.5)         12 (19.1)
Residence
  Durba                                 38 (65.5)         47 (74.6)
  Watsa town                             9 (15.5)          7 (11.1)
  Other village in Watsa Health Zone     8 (13.8)          5 (7.9)
  Outside Watsa Health Zone              3 (5.2)           4 (6.4)
Profession *
  Housewife                                  0            29 (46.0)
  Unofficial gold miner                 23 (39.7)             0
  Pupil/student                          6 (10.3)          9 (14.3)
  Farmer                                 7 (12.1)          7 (11.1)
  Trader                                 2 (3.5)          11 (17.5)
  Health worker                          2 (3.5)           2 (3.2)
  Other or none                         16 (27.6)          2 (3.2)
Relationship
  Spouse                                 3 (5.2)          12 (19.5)
  Same generation as case (brother,
    sister, brother- or sister-in-
    law, cousin)                        24 (41.4)         18 (28.6)
  Subsequent generation (son/
    daughter, nephew or niece)          13 (22.4)         13 (20.6)
  Preceding generation (father or
    mother, uncle or aunt)               7 (12.1)         16 (25.4)
  Colleague                             10 (17.2)          3 (4.8)
  Other                                  1 (1.7)           1 (1.6)

Total                                    63 (100)         58 (100)

                                       Total (%),
Characteristics                          N = 121

Age (y)
  [less than or equal to] 4               2 (1.7)
  5-14                                    8 (6.6)
  15-29                                  59 (48.8)
  30-44                                  31 (25.6)
  [greater than or equal to] 45          21 (17.4)
Residence
  Durba                                  85 (70.3)
  Watsa town                             16 (13.2)
  Other village in Watsa Health Zone     13 (10.7)
  Outside Watsa Health Zone               7 (5.8)
Profession *
  Housewife                              29 (24.0)
  Unofficial gold miner                  23 (19.1)
  Pupil/student                          15 (12.4)
  Farmer                                 14 (11.6)
  Trader                                 13 (10.7)
  Health worker                           4 (3.3)
  Other or none                          18 (14.9)
Relationship
  Spouse                                 15 (12.4)
  Same generation as case (brother,
    sister, brother- or sister-in-
    law, cousin)                         42 (34.7)
  Subsequent generation (son/
    daughter, nephew or niece)           26 (21.5)
  Preceding generation (father or
    mother, uncle or aunt)               23 (19.0)
  Colleague                              13 (10.7)
  Other                                   2 (3.3)

Total                                   121 (100)

* N = 116 because of missing data.

Table 3. Type and level of exposure of 121 household and community
contacts of Marburg hemorrhagic fever patients, Watsa Subdistrict,
Democratic Republic of Congo, 2002

                                                        No. male (%),
Exposure                                                   n = 63

Role played for the living patient
  Held or carried                                        33 (56.9)
  Fed                                                    14 (24.1)
  Washed                                                 14 (24.1)
  Washed patient's clothes                                4 (6.9)
  Made patient drink                                      6 (10.3)
  Shared bed                                              4 (6.9)
  Give medical care                                       6 (10.3)
Contact with living patient
  Touched with hands                                     54 (93.1)
  Touched a patient with diarrhea, vomiting,             40 (69.0)
  bleeding
  Carried, embraced, or shared bed                       42 (72.4)
  Carried, embraced or shared bed when patient had       31 (53.5)
  diarrhea, vomiting, bleeding
  Touched object like clothes or sheets with hand        33 (56.9)
  Touched objects when soiled with stool, vomit,         24 (41.4)
  blood
  Any physical contact with living patient or object     54 (93.1)
  Any physical contact with patient or object, with      41 (70.7)
  putative exposure to stool, vomit, blood
Contact with remains of patient
  Touched with hands                                     27 (46.6)
  Carried or embraced                                    18 (31.0)
  Cleaned                                                 9 (15.5)
  Any physical contact                                   27 (46.6)
Level of exposure
  Low level of physical contact *                         9 (15.5)
  Medium level of physical contact ([dagger])            10 (17.2)
  High level of physical contact ([double dagger])       39 (67.2)

Total                                                    58 (100.0)

                                                        No. female (%),
Exposure                                                    n = 58

Role played for the living patient
  Held or carried                                         31 (49.2)
  Fed                                                     24 (38.1)
  Washed                                                  24 (38.1)
  Washed patient's clothes                                19 (30.2)
  Made patient drink                                      16 (25.4)
  Shared bed                                               8 (12.7)
  Give medical care                                        5 (7.9)
Contact with living patient
  Touched with hands                                      58 (92.1)
  Touched a patient with diarrhea, vomiting,              44 (69.8)
  bleeding
  Carried, embraced, or shared bed                        44 (69.8)
  Carried, embraced or shared bed when patient had        37 (58.7)
  diarrhea, vomiting, bleeding
  Touched object like clothes or sheets with hand         43 (68.3)
  Touched objects when soiled with stool, vomit,          36 (57.1)
  blood
  Any physical contact with living patient or object      59 (93.7)
  Any physical contact with patient or object, with       49 (77.8)
  putative exposure to stool, vomit, blood
Contact with remains of patient
  Touched with hands                                      25 (39.7)
  Carried or embraced                                     17 (27.0)
  Cleaned                                                  7 (11.1)
  Any physical contact                                    25 (39.7)
Level of exposure
  Low level of physical contact *                          7 (11.1)
  Medium level of physical contact ([dagger])             13 (20.6)
  High level of physical contact ([double dagger])        43 (68.3)

Total                                                     63 (100.0)

                                                        Total (%),
Exposure                                                  N = 121

Role played for the living patient
  Held or carried                                        64 (52.9)
  Fed                                                    38 (31.4)
  Washed                                                 38 (31.4)
  Washed patient's clothes                               23 (19.0)
  Made patient drink                                     22 (18.2)
  Shared bed                                             12 (9.9)
  Give medical care                                      11 (9.1)
Contact with living patient
  Touched with hands                                    112 (92.6)
  Touched a patient with diarrhea, vomiting,             84 (69.4)
  bleeding
  Carried, embraced, or shared bed                       86 (71.1)
  Carried, embraced or shared bed when patient had       68 (56.2)
  diarrhea, vomiting, bleeding
  Touched object like clothes or sheets with hand        76 (62.8)
  Touched objects when soiled with stool, vomit,         60 (49.6)
  blood
  Any physical contact with living patient or object    113 (93.4)
  Any physical contact with patient or object, with      90 (74.4)
  putative exposure to stool, vomit, blood
Contact with remains of patient
  Touched with hands                                     52 (42.9)
  Carried or embraced                                    35 (38.9)
  Cleaned                                                16 (13.2)
  Any physical contact                                   52 (43.0)
Level of exposure
  Low level of physical contact *                        16 (13.2)
  Medium level of physical contact ([dagger])            23 (19.0)
  High level of physical contact ([double dagger])       82 (67.8)

Total                                                   121 (100.0)

* Low, any direct contact with living patient who did not have
diarrhea, vomiting, or bleeding; touching clothes or sheets not soiled
with stool, vomit, or blood.

([dagger]) Medium, touching living patient who had diarrhea, vomiting,
or bleeding; touching clothes or sheets soiled with stool, vomit, or
blood; touching remains.

([double dagger]) High, carrying or embracing living patient who had
diarrhea, vomiting, or bleeding; carrying, embracing, or cleaning
remains.
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Title Annotation:RESEARCH
Author:Van der Stuyft, Patrick
Publication:Emerging Infectious Diseases
Geographic Code:6ZAIR
Date:Mar 1, 2006
Words:5526
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