Searching for sustained growth: Randell Cain Jr. puts his trust in stocks that outperform.As the U.S. economy attempts to recover from hurricane damage and economic doldrums, Randell Cain Jr. is playing it safe. As a principal and portfolio manager at Atlanta Life Investment Advisors, an institutional money management firm, Cain sees how investor concerns have been heightened by the stagnating effects of rising interest rates and higher energy prices, which have exhausted the operating expenses Operating expenses The amount paid for asset maintenance or the cost of doing business, excluding depreciation. Earnings are distributed after operating expenses are deducted. of many companies. And the devastating dev·as·tate tr.v. dev·as·tat·ed, dev·as·tat·ing, dev·as·tates 1. To lay waste; destroy. 2. To overwhelm; confound; stun: was devastated by the rude remark. effects of hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma haven't helped matters. Cain believes that, under the current circumstances, the best strategy is to identify individual stocks that can withstand a downturn on their own merits. He is targeting companies in the oil industry and the housing market--sectors that have been experiencing growth for some time and still have more room to grow. His goal is "to create portfolios that will give us a better-than-average chance at achieving out performance." Atlanta Life Investment Advisors manages $470 million for pension funds and institutional clients in the public and private sectors. Cain, who is responsible for the large-cap value strategy at Atlanta Life, says the economy will experience moderate growth over the next 12 to 18 months. He is betting that his five stock picks will capitalize on Cap´i`tal`ize on` v. t. 1. To turn (an opportunity) to one's advantage; to take advantage of (a situation); to profit from; as, to capitalize on an opponent's mistakes s>. that growth. His first selection is Marathon Oil Marathon Oil Corporation NYSE: MRO, based in Houston, Texas, is a worldwide oil and natural gas exploration and production company. Principal exploration activities are in the United States, Norway, Equatorial Guinea, Angola and Canada. Corp. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : MRO MRO In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Mauritanian Ouguiya. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. ), a firm that explores, produces, markets, and transports crude oil, natural gas, and petroleum products. "Marathon will benefit from the higher commodity price of oil as well as the continued restructuring of its financials," predicts Cain. Owens-Illinois Inc. (NYSE: OI) is a stock that has recently suffered from high production costs, but Cain thinks the setback is temporary. He sees Owens-Illinois, which manufactures glass containers and plastic packaging products, as a stock with long-term growth opportunities. "The company has a high percentage of costs that are associated with energy-related products, and earnings have been hit with a near-term setback," Cain explains. But "the company has challenges that we think will be mitigated over time, making the most recent pullback a good entry point." On the housing front, two companies are riding the wave of their sector's strength: Countrywide Financial Countrywide Financial Corporation (NYSE: CFC) is a diversified financial marketing and service holding company engaged primarily in residential mortgage banking and related businesses. Corp. (NYSE: CFC CFC See: Controlled foreign corporation ), which provides residential mortgage banking and related services, and NVR NVR Never NVR Network Video Recorder NVR Novgorod (Russia) NVR Naval Vessel Register (US Navy) NVR Nene Valley Railway (UK) NVR Non Volatile Residue NVR Non-Volatile RAM Inc. (AMEX AMEX See: American Stock Exchange : NVR), a home building and mortgage banking business. According to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. Cain, Countrywide continues to be one of the leading mortgage lenders in the country, keeping a high percentage of loans on its books. Cain says he likes NVR's shareholder-friendly policies, including its aggressive buying back of shares, which gives investors a higher return on equity. "Both Countrywide and NVR are benefiting from the continuing low mortgage rates, improving demographics, and positive business dynamics associated with land restrictions on local builders," Cain says. The final stock in Cain's portfolio is Altria Group “Philip Morris” redirects here. For the racecar driver, see Philip Morris (autoracer). Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE: MO) (previously named Philip Morris Companies Inc. Inc. (NYSE: MO), formerly known as Philip Morris Cos. Inc. The company manufactures and markets various consumer products, including cigarettes, snacks, beverages, and convenience meals. Cain says consumers in the U.S. and oversees will continue to purchase Altria's well-known products even in the face of tobacco litigation An action brought in court to enforce a particular right. The act or process of bringing a lawsuit in and of itself; a judicial contest; any dispute. When a person begins a civil lawsuit, the person enters into a process called litigation. issues, which have overshadowed the company's earnings. "The company has tremendous cash flow ability that supports its extremely attractive dividend yield," says Cain.
P/E on Est. 5-Yr.
Company 12-to- Projected Annual
(Exchange: 18-Month 2006 EPS
Symbol) Price * F- Target Earnings Growth Rate
Marathon $68.93 $100.00 8.8 8%
Oil Corp.
(NYSE: MRO)
Owens-Illinois $20.62 $30.00 13 11%
Inc.
(NYSE: OI)
Countrywide $32.98 $50.00 7.9 12%
financial Corp.
(NYSE: CFC)
NVR Inc. $889.95 $1,100.00 9.5 12%
(AMEX: NVR)
Altria $73.71 $100.00 14.4 8
Group Inc.
(NYSE: MO)
Company
(Exchange:
Symbol) Why Stock Will Outperform
Marathon Marathon will benefit from high oil prices,
Oil Corp. and its policy debt repayment.
(NYSE: MRO)
Owens-Illinois The company stock recently declined because
Inc. higher oil prices have hiked production costs.
(NYSE: 01)
Countrywide The company continues to benefit from a
financial Corp. robust housing market.
(NYSE: CFC)
NVR Inc. NVR will benefit from a robust housing
(AMEX: NVR) market.
Altria Sales from of its well-known products
Group Inc. worldwide are expected to continue
(NYSE: MO)
SOURCE: RANDELL CAIN, ATLANTA LIFE INVESTMENT ADVISORS
* AS OF SEPT. 30, 2005.
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