Seals of (DIS)approval: television weathercasters debate the value of voluntary credentials.Abstract Television weathercasters may be the most prominent science communicators in our modern society, yet we know little about them from the traditional scholarly literature. This study analyzes one of the most contentious subjects among TV weathercasters: the perceived value of the two seal of approval programs. Results from this study reveal that TV weathercasters believe the seals measure on-air skill more than forecasting ability. The data also uncover a distinct split about the perceived value of the seals as well as alternate training for on-air weathercasters that some may not consider to be rigorous enough. 1. Introduction Television weathercasters play a prominent role in our society. When a large tornado outbreak While there is no single agreed upon definition, generally more than six tornadoes in a day in the same region is considered a tornado outbreak. A series of continuous or near continuous tornado outbreaks is a tornado outbreak sequence. occurred in Oklahoma City Oklahoma City (1990 pop. 444,719), state capital, and seat of Oklahoma co., central Okla., on the North Canadian River; inc. 1890. The state's largest city, it is an important livestock market, a wholesale, distribution, industrial, and financial center, and a farm in May 1999, TV weathercasters were credited with saving many lives (Henson 2002). The same was true in May 2003 when another violent system tore through the Kansas City Kansas City, two adjacent cities of the same name, one (1990 pop. 149,767), seat of Wyandotte co., NE Kansas (inc. 1859), the other (1990 pop. 435,146), Clay, Jackson, and Platte counties, NW Mo. (inc. 1850). metropolitan area. TV weathercasters were able to warn their audiences to seek cover well before the storm's fury struck and may well have saved lives (Barnhart 2003). Despite this tremendous potential impact, TV weathercasters have received little attention in the traditional scholarly literature. Only four academic studies related to TV weathercasting have been published in the past 50 years. Perhaps some of this neglect is rooted in the history of TV weather. One of the first television weathercasts utilized a cartoon character for the presentation. That may be one reason why scholars have not taken this profession seriously and why weathercasters take their own work so seriously. Perhaps in no other area of journalism does such a large disconnect disconnect - SCSI reconnect exist between academia and the profession. While consultant research abounds, most of it is proprietary and often not shared with the weathercasters themselves. Television weathercasting is an idiosyncratic id·i·o·syn·cra·sy n. pl. id·i·o·syn·cra·sies 1. A structural or behavioral characteristic peculiar to an individual or group. 2. A physiological or temperamental peculiarity. 3. profession. Being a good scientist is only part of the task and few non-TV meteorologists Atmospheric scientists
adj. scant·i·er, scant·i·est 1. Barely sufficient or adequate. 2. Insufficient, as in extent or degree. scant in swimsuits, and flashy, expensive graphic packages. 2. TV Weather History TV weather has vacillated between silly and serious at several points in the history of broadcasting Broadcasting around the World United States Defining exactly when broadcasting first began is difficult. Very early radio transmissions only carried the dots and dashes of wireless telegraphy. . At first, TV weather was often treated as a light diversion from the seriousness of the news (Henson 1990). WNBT-TV, an experimental station (later WNBC WNBC Wearing Nothing But Chainmail ) serving at best a few thousand viewers in New York City New York City: see New York, city. New York City City (pop., 2000: 8,008,278), southeastern New York, at the mouth of the Hudson River. The largest city in the U.S. , is often cited as having the first American First American may refer to:
n. A broadcast of weather conditions. [weather + (fore)cast.] weath (Monmonier 2000). On that broadcast a cartoon character named Woolly wool·ly also wool·y adj. wool·li·er also wool·i·er, wool·li·est also wool·i·est 1. a. Relating to, consisting of, or covered with wool. b. Resembling wool. 2. a. Lamb sang the forecast. Botany's "wrinkle-proof ties" sponsored this first weathercast, and perhaps, provided the first Rubicon for subsequent battles over how weather should be presented on television. After that light-hearted start, scientists began to dominate the profession. World War II had trained thousands of enlisted men in meteorology meteorology, branch of science that deals with the atmosphere of a planet, particularly that of the earth, the most important application of which is the analysis and prediction of weather. and dozens of those veterans showed up on local news programs in the late 1940s. Weather news was treated seriously with one news director remarking, "the first training a new man (sic) in our newsroom receives is learning to write the weather story" (Charnley 1948). These first shows bore little resemblance to the flashy, graphic-filled weathercasts of today, as most were "no-frills, dry, and pedantic pe·dan·tic adj. Characterized by a narrow, often ostentatious concern for book learning and formal rules: a pedantic attention to details. " (Henson 1990). The 1950s were television weather's wildest, most uninhibited uninhibited /un·in·hib·it·ed/ (un?in-hib´i-ted) free from usual constraints; not subject to normal inhibitory mechanisms. period. Since most data and forecasts were taken directly from the U.S. Weather Bureau, a variety of puppets, costumes, animals, and gimmicks were used to present forecasts in a more "entertaining" manner. It was in this time period that women first made forays into this exclusively male bastion. By 1955 women represented the majority of on-air TV weathercasters (Binkley 1999), but many women bore a special burden during television weather's gimmicky gim·mick n. 1. a. A device employed to cheat, deceive, or trick, especially a mechanism for the secret and dishonest control of gambling apparatus. b. An innovative or unusual mechanical contrivance; a gadget. phase--many of them were forced to play sex objects. A recent national online poll by Playboy Playboy monthly magazine renowned for nude photographs. [Am. Pop. Cult.: Misc.] See : Eroticism Magazine to choose the "sexiest" weathercaster indicates such trends may still continue for some women weathercasters today. The 1960s and 70s brought about rapid changes in TV weathercasting, most related to advances in technology leading to the use of satellite and radar images. At the same time "happy talk news" developed, encouraging more interaction and joviality Joviality See also Gaiety. Bob, Captain Tahitian jailor known for his easy going merriment with prisoners. [Am. Lit.: Omoo] Costigan, Captain J. Chesterfield jovial, good-humored man. [Br. Lit. among the news anchors. This was especially true for weathercasters who were once again expected to deliver a more lighthearted light·heart·ed adj. Not being burdened by trouble, worry, or care; happy and carefree. See Synonyms at glad1. light balance to the hard news of the day. Today's TV weathercasters may embody all of that history and more, as the job now demands expertise in graphics production. 3. The "Proper" TV Weather Forecast Professional organizations began extensive, and almost always controversial, programs to grant credibility to weathercasters who met their standards. The American Meteorological Society The American Meteorological Society (AMS) promotes the development and dissemination of information and education on the atmospheric and related oceanic and hydrologic sciences and the advancement of their professional applications. (AMS AMS - Andrew Message System ) began the first Seal of Approval program in 1957, and conferred it on those weathercasters who met the Society's guidelines for "completeness, clarity and professionalism." Speaking for the Society on the need for such credentials in a TV Guide column entitled "Weather is No Laughing Matter No Laughing Matter is an episode of U.S. Acres from the series Garfield and Friends. It was the 74th episode produced for the series, although it is listed as the 71st episode on the Garfield and Friends DVD. It originally aired on October 21, 1989. ," Francis Davis wrote:
If TV weathermen (sic) are going to pose as experts, we feel they
should be experts. We think many TV weathermen (sic) make a
caricature of what is essentially a serious and scientific
occupation, and help foster the notion that forecasters merely grab
forecasts out of a fishbowl.
The requirements for the first AMS seals (issued in 1959) were a written application and a film clip Noun 1. film clip - a strip of motion picture film used in a telecast photographic film, film - photographic material consisting of a base of celluloid covered with a photographic emulsion; used to make negatives or transparencies of one representative weathercast. Other AMS members were secretly recruited to observe weathercasts. The sample weathercasts were graded by an AMS committee and seals awarded to qualified applicants. As early as 1959, TV Guide observed that gimmicky weathercasting was on the wane. The following comment appeared in an editorial article ("An Improvement in TV Weather Forecasting weather forecasting Prediction of the weather through application of the principles of physics and meteorology. Weather forecasting predicts atmospheric phenomena and changes on the Earth's surface caused by atmospheric conditions (snow and ice cover, storm tides, floods, ") which appeared in the July 18, 1959 edition:
Television weathercasts have matured from off-the-cuff reading of
the official weather bureau reports by announcers or pretty girls to
serious interpretations by station meteorologists with official
weather training.
The AMS seal process remains in effect today, although it too has gone through much change over the past 40 years. This has even included lawsuits filed by weathercasters denied the coveted cov·et v. cov·et·ed, cov·et·ing, cov·ets v.tr. 1. To feel blameworthy desire for (that which is another's). See Synonyms at envy. 2. To wish for longingly. See Synonyms at desire. seal. Since 1959, the AMS has certified more than 1,300 television weathercasters as well as 150 in radio (American Meteorological Society 2004). This is an average of almost 30 seals per year, with increasing numbers in recent years. In February 1982, the National Weather Association (NWA NWA Northwest Airlines (ICAO code) NWA Northwest Arkansas NWA National Wrestling Alliance NWA National Weather Association NWA National Works Agency (Jamaica) NWA Network Analyzer ) created an alternate credential for weathercasters. The NWA began in 1975 as a more informal organization than the AMS. Initially, its seal required no meteorology degree or written exam, which allowed more weathercasters to receive the seal. Since 1982, the NWA has awarded more than 822 seals (National Weather Association 2006), averaging more than 35 a year. Similar dramatic increases have occurred in recent years. Although the NWA seal does not have an educational requirement, it now requires passing a written exam, recertification recertification Recredentialing Graduate education A process in which a professional is periodically re-evaluated–eg, every 10 yrs by an accrediting body to assure continued provision of safe, high-quality health care , and training to keep the seal--something the current AMS seal does not require. However, the AMS is making sweeping changes to their seal program. Their new credential, "Certified Broadcast Meteorologist Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) is a rating for metorologists given by the American Meteorological Society. The CBM is given to "recognize broadcast and consulting meteorologists who have achieved a certain level of competency". (CBM CBM Commodore Business Machines CBM Coalbed Methane CBM Christoffel Blindenmission CBM Condition Based Maintenance CBM Confidence-Building Measures CBM Curriculum Based Measurement (education) CBM Cubic Meter )," requires an exam and professional development credits over a five-year period to maintain it. Current AMS sealholders will be able to retain their credential while being encouraged to upgrade to the new CBM. These latest changes to the AMS seal program mean that the major requirements for both seals will be strikingly similar in approach and evaluation. Despite these similarities, data from this research reveal that many TV weathercasters express wildly divergent attitudes about the two credentials. Acknowledging the need for a unique combination of skills to succeed as a modern TV weathercaster, alternative approaches to training are growing. This has served as another catalyst for debating the proper preparation for on-air TV weathercasters. These programs combine both the science of meteorology and communication skills for new degrees in broadcast meteorology. The largest such program began at Mississippi State University Mississippi State University, at Mississippi State, near Starkville; land-grant and state supported; coeducational; chartered 1878 as an agricultural and mechanical college, opened 1880. From 1932 to 1958 it was known as Mississippi State College. (MSU MSU Michigan State University MSU Mississippi State University MSU Montana State University MSU Minnesota State University MSU Morehead State University (Kentycky) MSU Montclair State University ) in 1987, and has more than 1500 graduates with an additional 300 students currently enrolled in the three-year program (Binkley 2003). This program utilizes lectures on DVD DVD: see digital versatile disc. DVD in full digital video disc or digital versatile disc Type of optical disc. The DVD represents the second generation of compact-disc (CD) technology. , interaction through the Internet for discussion and testing, as well as a seminar/workshop at the end of their program. This structure allows weathercasters to remain employed in their current job while continuing their training. News Management will often pay for this specialized schooling
4. Research Goals and Methods Because of this 50-year battle over how weather should be presented on TV, as well as new mixed degree options, this paper addresses four specific goals related to this intense internal debate: 1. Measure TV weathercaster's perceived value of the AMS seal of approval. 2. Measure TV weathercaster's perceived value of the NWA seal of approval. 3. Measure TV weathercaster's perceived value of an alternative degree option for on air forecasters at Mississippi State University. 4. Identify differences in those perceptions and offer analyses on why such discrepancies occur. First described by Bloom (1964), this research approach focuses on the affective domain affective domain, n the area of learning involved in appreciation, interests, and attitudes. . That is, it measures attitudes and values TV weathercasters hold about this highly charged subject. The affective domain of knowledge is less tangible and more difficult to interpret and assess, but must be considered (Marsden 1976), especially with a controversial subject matter where the most illustrative il·lus·tra·tive adj. Acting or serving as an illustration. il·lus tra·tive·ly adv.Adj. 1. results may surface. [FIGURE 1 OMITTED] This study was based on a survey mailed to 445 randomly selected, local television weathercasters. The Broadcasting and Cable Yearbook was used to identify all network affiliates and independent stations in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. providing local newscasts. Then a rotating system of primetime/main anchor, morning/noon anchor, and weekend weather anchor was used to identify one person at each station to receive the survey. Once the position was selected, a personal phone call was made to the station to get the correct name and spelling of the person currently in that position. Then a survey specifically addressed to that person was mailed along with a cover letter identifying the investigator and the reasons for the inquiry. A total of 217 TV weathercasters responded to the survey for a response rate of 48.8%. This is considered a good response rate given that the survey was a onetime mailing and no postcard reminders were mailed out. No code numbers were used on the surveys to insure confidentiality and anonymity. The goal of a probability sample such as this one is a systematic selection procedure to represent the universe with a minimum of sampling error. Overall, this sample of weathercasters represents 127 markets in the U.S. and 47 of the U.S. 50 states (no responses from Wyoming, Alaska, or New Hampshire New Hampshire, one of the New England states of the NE United States. It is bordered by Massachusetts (S), Vermont, with the Connecticut R. forming the boundary (W), the Canadian province of Quebec (NW), and Maine and a short strip of the Atlantic Ocean (E). ). 5. Results and Discussion Given the internal debate about credentials, one of the most important variables used in this analysis was whether weathercasters had one, both, or neither of the two seals of approval. One hundred and eight of the 217 TV weathercasters said they had the AMS Seal of Approval--one hundred and nine did not, providing a nearly perfect 50/50 split. Fifty-seven TV weathercasters said they had the NWA Seal of Approval, 26 reported having both seals, and 77 said they had neither. The nearly 2:1 ratio of AMS sealholders to NWA sealholders in this sample (1.89) is nearly identical to the ratio of the total number of AMS sealholders to NWA seal-holders (1.73). Other important variables used in these analyses included gender, market size, newscast newscast Radio or television broadcast of news events. News gathering and broadcasting by the radio networks began in the mid-1930s and increased significantly during World War II. The television newscast began in 1948 with 15-minute programs that resembled movie newsreels. position, educational training and background, and experience. Market size was broken into four categories commonly used in broadcast news research: 22% of the sample was from the top 25 markets; 16% from markets 26-50; 32% from markets 51-100; and 30% from the smaller markets 101 and above. The smaller percentage of responses in markets 26-50 occurred because it was assumed that at least four stations in those sized markets were doing local news (as with the top 25). That did not turn out to be the case in many markets which resulted in a lower number of survey responses. Just over half of the sample (51%) said they were the main/prime time weather anchors; 25% were self-identified as primarily a weekend anchor; and 20% were responsible for the morning and noon weathercasts. The remaining four percent were identified as part-time weather anchors largely performing other reporting tasks in the newsroom. Just over half of the weathercasters (54%) said they had earned their highest degree in Meteorology/ Atmospheric Sciences, while 10% chose other sciences. This figure is nearly identical to a smaller survey of weathercasters conducted by Lazalier (1982), in which 52% were self-identified as meteorologists. Nearly a quarter of this sample (23%) reported Journalism/Mass Communications as their highest degree and 5% indicated a combination of journalism and science. A series of statistical analyses were used and are reported in the following tables to interpret the data. Some results are quickly intuitive, although never previously documented, while others reveal strong and perhaps surprising patterns among the various stakeholders Stakeholders All parties that have an interest, financial or otherwise, in a firm-stockholders, creditors, bondholders, employees, customers, management, the community, and the government. . Figure 1 shows the means to all six Likert-scale questions using seal of approval as an independent variable. The full questions are listed at the top of each of the Tables 3 through 8 asked weathercasters to respond on a five-point scale from strongly agree (5.0) to strongly disagree (1.0). Figure 1 provides a visual overview of the overall patterns of the subgroups of TV weathercasters to the six Likert-scale questions. Table 1 shows the actual means for each of the six questions--the higher the mean the stronger the agreement with the statement. Figure 1 and Table 1 show that overall TV weathercasters in this sample agreed most strongly that the seal of approval is most important to station management and to the audience. Those without either seal were less convinced of the seals' credibility to those constituents. As with all the other groups, the means for those two questions were still the highest among all six tested. In general, weathercasters also tended to agree more strongly that a seal of approval more accurately measures on-air skill rather than forecast ability. Those with just the AMS seal demonstrate dramatic differences from the other cohorts in several cases, and are explained in greater detail in subsequent tables. Table 2 shows the inter-correlations between the six items and measures association among the variables. Many of the correlations were significant. For instance, in Q29, those weathercasters who agreed that the AMS seal is an accurate measurement of forecast skill were also more likely to agree that the AMS seal is an accurate measurement of on-air skill (r = .178, f <.01). Those who agree that the AMS seal is an accurate measurement of on-air skill (Q31) also correlate with those who believe that the seal is important to station management (r = .329, f <.01). Statistical significance with a negative value also occurs in this category, providing the first hint that many AMS seal holders have a unique and disapproving dis·ap·prove v. dis·ap·proved, dis·ap·prov·ing, dis·ap·proves v.tr. 1. To have an unfavorable opinion of; condemn. 2. To refuse to approve; reject. v.intr. perception of alternate training for TV weathercasters--in this case, the value of the Mississippi State broadcast meteorology certificate (r = -1.66, f <.05). Those weathercasters who believe that the NWA seal of approval is an accurate measurement of forecast skill (Q30) show a positive correlation Noun 1. positive correlation - a correlation in which large values of one variable are associated with large values of the other and small with small; the correlation coefficient is between 0 and +1 direct correlation to the question, "the MSU certificate is appropriate preparation for a television weathercaster" (r = .421, f<.01). Overall, those weathercasts who believe a seal is important for audience credibility (Q32) also correlate with those who believe the seal is important for management credibility (r = .225, f <.05). The next level of analyses involved multivariate The use of multiple variables in a forecasting model. and univariate models. All post-hoc comparisons were completed using Tukey's Honestly Significantly Different Test (HSD HSD Human Services Department HSD High Speed Data HSD Hillsboro School District (Hillsboro, OR) HSD Hybrid Synergy Drive (Toyota/Lexus) HSD High School Diploma HSD Historical Society of Delaware ). Each of the six questions will be considered individually in this portion of the analysis and summary findings reported in the conclusions. Table 3 reports the mean scores for all four groups of sealholders in response to Q29. No statistical significance occurs among any of the sealholder groups (this is the only question in which that occurs) suggesting some uniformity among TV weathercasters regarding this issue. In general, weathercasters tend to disagree slightly from neutral that "The AMS seal of approval is an accurate measurement of a TV weathercaster's forecasting skill," (Q29). It should be noted that it was left up to the weathercasters themselves to define "forecasting" and "on-air" skill, which are subjective measurements as part of the affective domain. While NWA sealholders and those without either seal are less impressed with the AMS seal as a barometer of forecasting abilities, statistical significance is not exhibited by either. Even those holding both seals, or the AMS seal only, are still on the disagree side of neutral to this particular question. Table 4 reports the mean scores to Q30 which asked the same question about the NWA seal of approval. Responses to this question begin demonstrating distinct differences among TV weathercasters. The overall mean drops from 2.51 to 2.15, indicating that as a group, these weathercasters disagree more strongly that the NWA seal accurately evaluates forecasting skill. Those with only the AMS seal disagree most strongly (1.80). This association is significant with both NWA sealholders only as well as those weathercasters with both seals. This finding documents what is often iterated at AMS meetings by some sealholders who feel that their seal has more value than other options. Those weathercasters with both seals, however, rated the NWA seal on forecasting skill nearly identical to those with the NWA seal alone. Interestingly, those with just the NWA seal rated both the AMS and NWA seal comparably as measures of forecasting skill (2.33 vs. 2.43). Table 5 reports the findings to Q31 which asked respondents to evaluate the AMS seal as a measurement of on-air skill (vs. forecast skill in Q29). The overall mean rises above neutral, indicating that more weathercasters agree that the AMS seal measures on-air skill more than forecasting skill. But among weathercasters, the perception of this evaluation is sharply divided. Those with only the AMS seal and those with both seals agree most strongly with this statement and are statistically significant compared to the other two subgroups. Those weathercasters with only the NWA seal and those without either seal disagree that the AMS seal accurately measures on-air skill. Both means are only slightly higher than their respective scores about the AMS measuring forecast skill (Q29), while those with both seals and those with just the AMS seal agree much more strongly that their own seal more accurately measures on-air ability rather than forecasting acumen acumen Astuteness, perception, perspicacity . Because of space and time constraints In law, time constraints are placed on certain actions and filings in the interest of speedy justice, and additionally to prevent the evasion of the ends of justice by waiting until a matter is moot. , a similar follow-up question about the NWA seal measuring on-air skill was dropped from the survey. Future research may provide further illumination on this aspect of the NWA seal, although subsequent responses to this survey already illustrate a pattern. Table 6 shows that the overall mean jumps dramatically to this question which indicates a strong agreement among weathercasters regarding the importance of the seal to their audience. Weathercasters tend to believe that a seal enhances their credibility to the audience. This is especially true for those with just the NWA seal. That relationship is statistically significant with all other groups, including those with just the AMS seal. This is the first instance in which NWA sealholders move to the agree side of neutral in response to a survey question. In this case, they believe most strongly that the seal adds credibility for the audience. The mean for those with just an AMS seal is nearly a full point lower on a five-point scale. Not surprisingly, those without either seal are least convinced in their attitude that a seal matters to the audience. This group's relationship is also statistically significant with all other groups. Table 7 reports the findings to the follow-up question regarding the seals' perceived value to station management. Overall, weathercasters agree most strongly to this question (x= 3.74), indicating their belief that possessing a seal matters most to news management. As suggested in some of the advertisements for weathercasters, some news directors indeed express a proclivity pro·cliv·i·ty n. pl. pro·cliv·i·ties A natural propensity or inclination; predisposition. See Synonyms at predilection. [Latin pr for a seal (especially the AMS seal for reasons that are as yet unknown). It is interesting to note the nearly full-point drop of NWA sealholders from this question on importance of the seal to management (3.8) versus the audience (4.67). Perhaps these weathercasters are reflecting news directors' preference for the AMS seal noted in many advertisements for weathercasters, or the longer history of the AMS seal making it more familiar to many news managers. However, the nearly 20% drop in agreement suggests that many weathercasters with only the NWA seal feel their management regards their seal less highly than does the audience. Understanding why news managers seek out the AMS seal from their weathercasters would help complement this data and would be a logical next step. Those without either seal tend to be less convinced of the importance of such a credential to their management. Their mean is statistically significant to all other subgroups. Even so, their mean for this question is their highest of all six measured in this survey. Weathercasters clearly believe the seal matters to news management. Finding out exactly what news manager's value about the seals will help clarify the importance of these on-air credentials. Finally, Table 8 reports weathercaster responses to Q 34, "A broadcast meteorology certificate from a program such as Mississippi State University is appropriate preparation for a TV weathercaster." The mean value drops into the "disagree" side of neutral once again. Those with only the AMS seal most strongly disagree that such a program is adequate preparation for TV weathercasters. That group is statistically significant to all other groups. This follows the pattern first reported in Table 2 with the only negative correlation Noun 1. negative correlation - a correlation in which large values of one variable are associated with small values of the other; the correlation coefficient is between 0 and -1 indirect correlation found in the data. This may reflect the old guard in the AMS who earned their seal in Verb 1. seal in - close with or as if with a tight seal; "This vacuum pack locks in the flavor!" lock in confine - prevent from leaving or from being removed the traditional manner--with a meteorology degree from one of the respected university programs earned under older, more restrictive guidelines. For these traditionalists among AMS sealholders, the data show a consistent pattern which reveals that for them, possessing that seal is the only true measure of a TV weathercaster's abilities, and that "alternative" programs are not rigorous enough. Those with only the NWA seal have the highest agreement to Q34. Similarly, this group is statistically significant with all other groups. This finding may not be a surprise given that for many MSU graduates, the NWA seal was their only option for many years, and that the NWA helped launch the Mississippi State program in 1987. Currently, the AMS seal process also accepts the program from the MSU program for its seal. These data may finally quantify what many TV weathercasters have noted anecdotally for years. What is striking is the polarized A one-way direction of a signal or the molecules within a material pointing in one direction. opinions of those with just the NWA seal and those with just the AMS seal. Those with both seals, although the smallest group in number, tend to reflect a more moderate position. As the number of TV weathercasters with both seals continues to increase, this would be another interesting avenue for longitudinal study longitudinal study a chronological study in epidemiology which attempts to establish a relationship between an antecedent cause and a subsequent effect. See also cohort study. . 6. Conclusions and Recommendations TV weather is the primary reason viewers choose a local news product, yet we know surprisingly little about TV weathercasters from the traditional scholarly literature. Proprietary consultant research is abundant, but much of that is not shared with individual weathercasters themselves, let alone disseminated to the larger community. This study sheds light on the often intense internal debate among TV weathercasters over voluntary credentials. This dispute often manifests itself at professional meetings, spilling out into industry forums such as the online publication, Shoptalk shop·talk n. 1. Talk or conversation concerning one's work or business. 2. The jargon used in a specific business or field. . TV weathercasters, who perform the delicate dance between science and journalism more visibly than any other group in our society, are strongly opinionated o·pin·ion·at·ed adj. Holding stubbornly and often unreasonably to one's own opinions. [Probably from obsolete opinionate : opinion + -ate1. and sharply divided about how they should be identified and acknowledged for their expertise. Overall, these data show that TV weathercasters believe seals recognize on-air skill more than forecasting ability. The data also reveal that most TV weathercasters believe strongly that seals matter most first to news management, and then to the audience. Those without either seal of approval are less impressed in nearly every case, but show the same kind of pattern--believing seals measure on-air ability over forecast skill and matter most to management and the audience. But the data also reveal surprisingly strong attitudes about the seals, especially by those who hold either the AMS seal or the NWA seal, often in diametric di·a·met·ri·cal also di·a·met·ric adj. 1. Of, relating to, or along a diameter. 2. Exactly opposite; contrary. di opposition to each other. An obvious next step is to independently measure news directors' beliefs and understandings about the seals, as well as audience responses to the seals. While many news directors request seals of approval in advertisements for vacancies, do they perceive differences between the two seals, and if so, is it in the same ways that weathercasters do? Do news directors and weathercasters agree regarding value the seal more as a measurement of on-air skill, or do news directors believe it is more a stamp of approval for forecasting ability? According to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. the director of the Mississippi State program, only 10% of news directors would be able to distinguish between the two current seals (Binkley 2003), an assessment shared by the Executive Director of the AMS (Ron McPherson 2004 personal communication). Measuring news director attitudes may provide useful insights. Correspondingly, does a seal, displayed for only seconds on the screen during a newscast amidst so much other video clutter, clue the audience that a particular weathercaster has been approved, and is, therefore, more credible? Does the audience choose a local weathercaster because of a seal of approval? It's been more than thirty years since the last scholarly study measured the impact of seals on ratings (Beebe 1970; Booker 1962). So many aspects of broadcasting and science have changed in that time that follow-up investigations may refute re·fute tr.v. re·fut·ed, re·fut·ing, re·futes 1. To prove to be false or erroneous; overthrow by argument or proof: refute testimony. 2. or substantiate To establish the existence or truth of a particular fact through the use of competent evidence; to verify. For example, an Eyewitness might be called by a party to a lawsuit to substantiate that party's testimony. such a finding today. Both of these proposed studies are part of a larger research agenda this author plans to complete in the near future that will help triangulate See triangulation. our understanding of the importance of these on-air credentials. Author Dr. Kris Wilson There are a few sports players with the name Kris Wilson,
As of Fall 2007, the university has 21,352 students, 13,989 of these are situated in the main Flagstaff campus<ref name="Enrollment" />. . He now teaches journalism at Emory University Emory University (ĕm`ərē), near Atlanta, Ga.; coeducational; United Methodist; chartered as Emory College 1836, opened 1837 at Oxford. It became Emory Univ. in 1915 and in 1919 moved to Atlanta. and was previously an assistant professor at the University of Texas at Austin “University of Texas” redirects here. For other system schools, see University of Texas System. The University of Texas at Austin (often referred to as The University of Texas, UT Austin, UT, or Texas , University of Kansas The University of Kansas (often referred to as KU or just Kansas) is an institution of higher learning in Lawrence, Kansas. The main campus resides atop Mount Oread. and the University of Alaska-Fairbanks. Corresponding author's address: Dr. Kristopher Wilson, Journalism Program, Emory University, 537 Kilgo Circle South, Atlanta, GA 30322. E-mail: kwilson@emory.edu References American Meteorological Society, 2004: Seal of Approval Program for Radio & Television. [Available online at http://www.ametsoc.org/amscert/approv.html]. Barnhart, A., "Television Coverage of Storms May Have Saved Lives," Kansas City Star, May 5, 2003. Beebe, R., 1970: TV weathercaster ratings: professional vs. nonprofessional non·pro·fes·sion·al n. One who is not a professional. non pro·fes . Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51, 399-401.Binkley, M., 1999: Television weathercaster. Encyclopedia of Television News, Michael Murphy Michael Murphy may refer to:
______, 2003: "Weather News: Sensational Journalism or Scientific Reports?" Presentation to the Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication The Association for Education in Journalism and Mass Communication, or AEJMC, is a major international membership organization for academics in the field, offering regional and national conferences and refereed publications. , Kansas City. Bloom, B., 1964: Handbook on Formative and Summative Adj. 1. summative - of or relating to a summation or produced by summation summational additive - characterized or produced by addition; "an additive process" Evaluation of Student Learning. New York New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of : McGraw-Hill, 800 pp. Booker, R.D, 1962: A comparison of program ratings of professional and nonprofessional weathercasters. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 43, 223-228. Charnley, M., 1948: News by Radio. New York: Macmillian, 403 pp. Davis, F.,: "Weather is No Laughing Matter." TV Guide, 23 July 1955; 10. Henson, B., 1990: Television Weathercasting: A History. Jefferson, North Carolina Jefferson is a town in Ashe County, North Carolina, United States. The population was 1,422 at the 2000 census. It is the county seat of Ashe CountyGR6. : McFarland & Company, 193 pp. Henson, R., 2002: Billion-dollar twister. Sci. Amer., 11, (1), 32-39. Lazalier, J., 1982: A report on the results of a television weather survey. Natl. Wea. Dig., 7 (3), 5-10. Marsden, W.E., 1976: Evaluating the Geography Curriculum. Edinburgh, U.K.: Oliver and Boyd, 324 pp. Monmonier, M., 2000: Air Apparent: How Meteorologists Learned to Map, Predict, and Dramatize dram·a·tize v. dram·a·tized, dram·a·tiz·ing, dram·a·tiz·es v.tr. 1. To adapt (a literary work) for dramatic presentation, as in a theater or on television or radio. 2. the Weather. Chicago: University of Chicago Press The University of Chicago Press is the largest university press in the United States. It is operated by the University of Chicago and publishes a wide variety of academic titles, including The Chicago Manual of Style, dozens of academic journals, including , 310 pp. National Weather Association, 2006: NWA Broadcaster's Seal of Approval Information. [Available online at: http://www.nwas.org/seal.html]. Kristopher Wilson Emory Journalism Program Emory University Atlanta, Georgia
Table 1. Actual means for each of the six questions--the higher the mean
the stronger the agreement with the statement
Q29 Q30 Q31
AMS NWA AMS
Seal/ Seal/ Seal/
Forecast Forecast On-Air
Skill Skill Skill
Both Seals 2.54 2.46 3.69
AMS Seal Only 2.57 1.80 3.72
NWA Seal Only 2.33 2.43 2.50
No Seal 2.46 2.20 2.46
Q32 Q34
Seal Q33 MSU
Important Seal Certificate
for Audience Important Appropriate
Credibility to Management Preparation
Both Seals 4.19 4.31 3.31
AMS Seal Only 3.75 4.20 2.20
NWA Seal Only 4.67 3.80 3.90
No Seal 3.06 3.16 3.09
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
Table 2. Intercorrelations between the six terms, measuring association
among the variables.
AMS NWA AMS Seal
Seal/ Seal/ Seal/ Important
Forecast Forecast On-Air for Audience
Correlations Skill Skill Skill Credibility
AMS Seal/ 1
Forecast Skill
NWA Seal/ .604* 1
Forecast Skill
AMS Seal/ .178* 0.02 1
On-Air Skill
Seal Important 0.029 0.021 0.402 1
for Audience
Credibility
Seal Important 0.061 -0.022 0.33** 0.421*
to Management
MSU Certificate 0.123 .421* -0.166 -0.133
Appropriate
Preparation
MSU
Seal Certificate
Important Appropriate
Correlations to Management Preparation
AMS Seal/
Forecast Skill
NWA Seal/
Forecast Skill
AMS Seal/
On-Air Skill
Seal Important
for Audience
Credibility
Seal Important 1
to Management
MSU Certificate -0.06 1
Appropriate
Preparation
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed)
* Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed)
Table 3. Mean scores for all four groups of sealholders in response to
Q29. The AMS Seal of Approval is an accurate measurement of a TV
weathercaster's forecasting skill.
Subset 1
NWA Seal Only (30) 2.33
Neither Seal (69) 2.46
Both Seals (26) 2.54
AMS Seal Only (75) 2.57
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
Table 4. Mean scores to Q30. The NWA Seal of Approval is an accurate
measurement of a TV weathercaster's forecasting skill.
Subset 1 Subset 2
AMS Seal Only (75) 1.80
Neither Seal (69) 2.20 2.20
NWA Seal Only (30) 2.43
Both Seals (26) 2.46
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
Table 5. Findings to Q31. The AMS Seal of Approval is an accurate
measurement of a TV weathercaster's on-air skill.
Subset 1 Subset 2
Neither Seal (69) 2.46
NWA Seal Only (30) 2.50
Both Seals (26) 3.69
AMS Seal Only (75) 3.72
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
Table 6. Findings to Q32. A Seal of Approval is important for audience
credibility.
Subset 1 Subset 2 Subset 3
Neither Seal (69) 3.06
AMS Seal Only (75) 3.75
Both Seals (26) 4.19
NWA Seal Only (30) 4.67
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
Table 7. Findings to Q33. A Seal of Approval is important to my station
management.
Subset 1 Subset 2
Neither Seal (69) 3.16
NWA Seal Only (30) 3.80
AMS Seal Only (75) 4.20
Both Seals (26) 4.31
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
Table 8. Findings to Q34. A broadcast meteorology certificate from a
program such as Mississippi State University is appropriate preparation
for a TV weathercaster.
Subset 1 Subset 2 Subset 3
AMS Seal Only (75) 2.20
Neither Seal (69) 3.09
Both Seals (26) 3.31 3.31
NWA Seal Only (30) 3.90
Means for groups in homogeneous subsets are displayed.
Legend: 1.0 = Strongly Disagree 3.0 = Neutral 5.0 = Strongly Agree
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