Schaeffer's Midday Options Update Features OfficeMax, Intel, Martha Stewart Omnimedia, Sprint Nextel, and EnCana.CINCINNATI -- Today's Schaeffer's Midday Options Update features OfficeMax (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :OMX OMX Office Max (stock symbol) ), Intel (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on :INTC INTC Intel (NASDAQ symbol) INTC Intercept INTC Interrupt Controller ), Martha Stewart <noinclude></noinclude> Martha Stewart (born Martha Helen Kostyra on August 3, 1941) is an American business magnate, author, editor and homemaking advocate. She is also a former stockbroker and fashion model. Omnimedia (NYSE:MSO (1) (Multiple System Operator) Typically refers to a cable TV organization that owns more than one cable system, but it may refer to an operator of only one system. ), Sprint Nextel Sprint Nextel Corporation (NYSE: S) is one of the largest telecommunications companies in the world. With 55 million subscribers, Sprint Nextel operates the third largest wireless telecommunications network in the United States (based on total wireless customers), behind (NYSE:S), and EnCana (NYSE:ECA ECA See: Export Credit Agency ). The Midday Options Update contains a brief commentary on the day's most notable activity and a table listing the most-active calls and puts for the day. The Midday Options Update is published every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU12M&PAGE=1 . Options Update: Not All Energy Stocks Are Created Equal The major market indices have rallied rather sharply as we head into the latter half of today's trading. Apparently, a Consumer Price Index (CPI (1) (Characters Per Inch) The measurement of the density of characters per inch on tape or paper. A printer's CPI button switches character pitch. (2) (Counts Per I ) that indicated that inflation was in check drove investors off the sidelines and into a buying mood. Furthermore, a pullback in crude-oil prices is adding to the mix, and has sent the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. to a fresh 4.5-year high. The Rubber-Band Man Snaps Back OfficeMax (NYSE:OMX) posted a fourth-quarter net loss of $43.1 million, or 62 cents per share Cents per share The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned. . Excluding special items, OMX would have earned $6 million, or seven cents per share. Sales fell to $2.5 billion from $2.7 billion a year earlier. Analysts were expecting a profit of seven cents per share on revenue of $2.4 billion. Shares of OMX were last seen higher by nearly seven percent. Sprint Falters at Earnings Blocks Sprint Nextel (NYSE:S) reported fourth-quarter earnings of $197 million, or seven cents per share. On an adjusted basis, the company earned $1.09 billion, or 33 cents per share. Revenue arrived at $11.3 billion for the quarter. Analysts were expecting a profit of 34 cents on revenue of $11.28 billion. S has shed nearly three percent on the news. Chips Aren't Down, But Intel Is While the PHLX PHLX See: Philadelphia Stock Exchange PHLX See Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX). Semiconductor Index continues to hold steady with a five-percent gain on the day, Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) has dropped more than two percent so far. Driving the chaplain of chips lower today is a downgrade by ThinkEquity to "sell" from "accumulate." The brokerage firm also lowered its price target to $16 to $26 per share. The downgrade was born of the brokerage's belief that INTC is building inventories, losing market share (particularly in servers), and could see a negative impact from pricing cuts. Martha, Martha, Martha! Martha Stewart Omnimedia (NYSE:MSO) joined the earnings fray and posted net income of $2.95 million for the fourth quarter. On an operating basis, profit rose to $2.5 million, or six cents per share. Revenue for the quarter rose 40 percent over the prior year to $84.5 million. The Street was expecting a profit of 15 cents per share on revenue of $83 million. On the news, MSO was last seen higher by more than seven percent. Most-Active Options Update At 1:22 p.m. eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA DJIA See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA). - 11,143.30) has added 0.67 percent. The S&P 500 Index (SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism. - 1,292.42) has risen 0.73 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite The Nasdaq Composite is a stock market index of all of the common stocks and similar securities (e.g. ADRs, tracking stocks, limited partnership interests) listed on the NASDAQ stock market, meaning that it has over 3,000 components. It is highly followed in the U.S. (COMP - 2,285.2) has jumped 0.98 percent. At 1:23 p.m. Eastern time, 2,603,203 calls have changed hands versus 1,699,858 puts, equaling a single-day put/call volume ratio of 0.65. The CBOE's equity put/call volume ratio weighed in at 0.66. EnCana According to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. Hoover's, EnCana (NYSE:ECA) is one of North America's largest independent gas and oil producers. The firm has proved reserves proved reserves The quantity of minerals expected to be recoverable under current economic and operating conditions. The amount of proved reserves is important in valuing the stock of a company with significant holdings in natural resources. of 501 million barrels of oil and 10.5 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. ECA also has six gas storage facilities in Canada and the U.S. Yesterday, I focused on the Spyder Energy Select Fund (XLE XLE Xerox Linguistic Environment XLE Extra Limited Edition ) in this space, touting the benefits of a bullish stock or option investment strategy on the fund. Today, however, I have been handed an example of why playing an exchange traded fund Exchange Traded Fund Similar to an index mutual fund, these tracking stocks trade continuously. Two popular ETFs are the Standard and Poor's depositary receipt (SPDR) launched in 1993 and the NASDAQ-100 Index Tracking Stock (QQQ) which was launched in 1999. , or utilizing proven stock picking strategies is a must when dealing with today's market. While the XLE and the oil sector indices are doing quite well as a whole, an investor should not just willy-nilly pick stocks out of outperforming sectors for their portfolios. Natural gas and oil firm ECA is one example where loading your portfolio with equities from an outperforming sector could burn you in the end. Beginning with the technical rundown on ECA, the shares have recently run into a considerable rough patch on the charts. The stock was recently sharply rejected by its 20-day moving average, and has today pulled back below resistance at its 10-day trendline. In fact, the security has even broken below its 10-month moving average - a trendline that ECA has not closed beneath on a monthly basis since October 2003. There is a bit of hope, as the security is fast approaching key support in the round-number 40 area. When compared against its peers in the XLE, it is clear that ECA is the black sheep black sheep n. 1. A sheep with black fleece. 2. A member of a family or other group who is considered undesirable or disreputable. of the energy family. The shares have underperformed the XLE on a weekly relative-strength basis since September 2005. Furthermore, the stock has also languished against the S&P 500 Index on the same basis during the same period, placing ECA squarely in the realm of underperforming securities. You'd think that with this type of performance on a stock that is a member of a heavily panned sector would itself have some rather pessimistic sentiment levied against it; you would be wrong. Despite the wealth of sentiment piled against the energy sector as a whole, investors are rather taken with ECA. In the options pits, the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways ) of 0.39 indicates that calls more than double puts in the front three months of options. What's more, this ratio ranks below 67 percent of all those taken during the past year. Some rather heavy call option activity has placed ECA on our list today, which is in keeping with the overall bullish sentiment flowing from this short-term trading group. With ECA currently trading close to the 42 level, more than 9,800 calls have crossed the tape today at the deep-out-of-the-money April 60 strike. However, it is hard to tell (due to the bid/ask prices at the times of these trades) whether these contracts were purchased or sold. So, we will have to wait until tomorrow to see if this optimistic trend for the shares continues. In other sentiment areas, ECA is also struggling. While there is little positive price action to spur any short sellers to cover their positions, there is also a distinct lack of short sellers. In fact, the 2.9 million ECA shares sold short resides near its lows of the past four years and would take less than one day to cover. Finally, there is a spark from the Wall Street community. Zacks reports that five of the 11 covering analysts rate the shares a "hold," leaving room for potential upgrades should ECA manage to rebound from its current location. With the ever-present volatility in the energy market, it is hard to take a bearish position on even the worst-performing members of the sector. From our contrarian standpoint, ECA arrives as about the most bearish candidate for a short position in the energy sector. However, one day and a surge in oil and natural gas prices could change all of that. Furthermore, with support at the 40 level looming, and room for upgrades from the Street, ECA becomes an even more risky bearish bet. As such, our Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard has doled out a rather noncommittal rating of 4.0 out of 10. While ECA is probably one of the best candidates for a bearish play in energy, there are better plays in other sectors. Click the following link to see a Monthly Chart of ECA Since September 2003 With 10-Month Moving Average: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=15372 . The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU12M&PAGE=1 . About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com) Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method . |
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