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Schaeffer's Midday Options Update Features Abercrombie & Fitch, Caremark Rx, Guess, Stratasys, and Sprint Nextel.


CINCINNATI -- Today's Schaeffer's Midday Options Update features Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:ANF ANF antinuclear factor; see antinuclear antibodies (ANA), under antibody.

ANF
abbr.
antinuclear factor



ANF

atrial natriuretic factor.
), Caremark Rx The introduction to this article may be too long. Please help improve the introduction by moving some material from it into the body of the article according to the suggestions at  (NYSE:CMX CMX Corel Presentation Exchange (file extension)
CMX Cisco Mobile Exchange
CMX Cloaca Maxima (sewage system of ancient Rome; Finnish rock band)
CMX Crisis Management Exercise
), Guess (NYSE:GES GES GTN (Global Transportation Network) Exercise System
GES General Estimates System (NHTSA)
GES Ghana Education Service
GES Government Economic Service (UK) 
), Stratasys (NASDAQ NASDAQ
 in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations

U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on
:SSYS), and Sprint Nextel Sprint Nextel Corporation (NYSE: S) is one of the largest telecommunications companies in the world. With 55 million subscribers, Sprint Nextel operates the third largest wireless telecommunications network in the United States (based on total wireless customers), behind  (NYSE:S). The Midday Options Update contains a brief commentary on the day's most notable activity and a table listing the most-active calls and puts for the day. The Midday Options Update is published every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU12M&PAGE=1 .

Options Update: Trading Options on Sprint Nextel

Investors waited with bated bate 1  
tr.v. bat·ed, bat·ing, bates
1. To lessen the force or intensity of; moderate: "To his dying day he bated his breath a little when he told the story" 
 breath this morning, waiting to hear the latest Fed news from new committee Chairman Ben Bernanke. The new Chairman told Congress that more rate hikes "may" be needed as the threat of higher inflation persists. Bernanke continued to state that higher energy prices could still spill over Verb 1. spill over - overflow with a certain feeling; "The children bubbled over with joy"; "My boss was bubbling over with anger"
bubble over, overflow

seethe, boil - be in an agitated emotional state; "The customer was seething with anger"

2.
 into wider price inflation while the risk remains that "output could overshoot o·ver·shoot
n.
A change from steady state in response to a sudden change in some factor, as in electric potential or polarity when a cell or tissue is stimulated.
," which would put more upward pressure on prices. In reaction to this news, relieved investors have helped push the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average

The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange.
 to its highest level since June 2001.

In other news, the Empire State Manufacturing index increased to 20.3 in February from January's reading of 20.1. The pace of growth in February matches the average growth from the past several months. Economists were expecting a slip to 18.1 from the index. The American Petroleum Institute The American Petroleum Institute, commonly referred to as API, is the main U.S. trade association for the oil and natural gas industry, representing about 400 corporations involved in production, refinement, distribution, and many other aspects of the industry.  (API) announced an increase of 8.1 million barrels in the past week, bringing its total crude stockpile to 329 million barrels. The API also announced that distillates increased 1.1 million barrels and gasoline inventories increased 176,000 barrels. The Department of Energy reported an increase of 2.2 million barrels in crude.

Abercrumble

Yesterday, Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) posted "blow-out" fourth-quarter earnings, but the news wasn't so good today. The trendy teen retailer dropped more than three percent following a conference call late yesterday where ANF Chief Executive Mike Jeffries Mike Jeffries can refer to:
  • Mike Jeffries (soccer player), coach and player
  • Mike Jeffries (CEO)
 set a restrained tone, noting "After such an amazing year, we're faced with the challenge of improving what has become a hugely successful business." This morning analysts stated the belief that ANF is trying to lower investor expectations that it can continue to post 20-percent and 30-percent same-store sales results as it has in the past year.

Going Above the Mark

Caremark Rx (NYSE:CMX) announced fourth-quarter, adjusted earnings of 55 cents per share Cents per share

The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned.
 this morning. These results matched the consensus estimate. CMX also posted revenue of $8.37 billion, outpacing the Street's expectation for $8.26 billion. The company noted that its results were helped by strong growth in generic dispensing rates. Turning an eye to the future, CMX forecast 2006 earnings of $2.25 to $2.30 per share with revenue growth between five and 10 percent.

Guess Who?

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) told Guess (NYSE:GES) President and Chief Operating Officer Chief Operating Officer (COO)

The officer of a firm responsible for day-to-day management, usually the president or an executive vice-president.
 Carlos Albernini that it may recommend a civil enforcement action against him. In a filing with the SEC, GES noted that the action would only be related to his actions at Footstar, Albernini's previous employer. In 2004, Footstar filed bankruptcy and the SEC announced last week that it may charge the firm over accounting issues. Albernini plans to submit a filing to persuade the SEC not to bring charges.

Through the Stratasysphere

Stratasys (NASDAQ:SSYS) added more than 20 percent this morning, after reporting fourth-quarter earnings of 30 cents per share. The Street set the bar for the company's earnings at 25 cents per share with revenue of $22.2 million (SSYS reported $22.2 million). SSYS then confirmed its 2006 forecast for earnings between $1.15 and $1.25 per share on revenue of $98 million to $102 million.

Most-Active Options Update

At 1:40 p.m. eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA DJIA

See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA).
 - 11,022.2) has dropped 0.05 percent. The S&P 500 Index (SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism.  - 1,275.36) has given back 0.01 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 2,267.1) gained 0.22 percent. At 1:42 p.m. Eastern time, 2,995,048 calls have changed hands versus 2,139,154 puts, equaling a single-day put/call volume ratio of 0.71. The CBOE's equity put/call volume ratio weighed in at 0.64.

Sprint Nextel Corporation

According to the company's website, Sprint Nextel (NYSE:S) will step into the earnings confessional next Wednesday to present fourth-quarter earnings. According to Zacks, the Street expects S to report earnings of 30 cents per share. The telecommunications giant's history holds a mixed bag of results. The past five times S reported earnings it missed three times (by an average of nearly 10 percent) and it beat expectations twice (by an average of 15 percent).

Today, S has seen a sizeable accumulation of call activity on its February 25 contract (SBE SBE - Microsoft Office Small Business Edition ). You may be asking yourself, what does this have to do with next week's earnings report? I have to answer truthfully, very little. Friday brings about February options expiration, which will eliminate the sizeable options-related resistance at the 25 level. With this barrier eliminated there is a chance that the shares will ascend past 25, but peak call open interest in March rests at the 25 level. The 25 level has acted as resistance since late 2000.

Adding to the resistance of the 25 level is S's 80-month moving average. This powerful moving average lurks overhead and has put an end to each of the shares' forays above the 25 level. The trendline is now working its way through the 25 region and is pointed lower.

S's long-term performance has certainly been nothing to write home about, but its short-term trend Short-term trend

Erratic price movements that last less than three weeks.
 is showing signs of improvement. The speculative options crowd seems to have taken notice of S's short-term performance as its Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio shows that optimism is on the rise. Unfortunately, there isn't much in the way of short-covering support for S. It would take less than four days to cover the 45 million shorted shares, which account for less than two percent of the company's total float. Basically, the equity can't count on a short-covering rally to push the shares through overhead resistance.

My greatest concern for S (other than its 80-month moving average) comes from analysts. According to Zacks, 13 of the 18 analysts covering S rate it a "buy" or better. This configuration leaves the door open for downgrades, which could push the shares lower still. Clearly, downgrades as a result of negative sentiment from analysts could impact the shares much more than upgrades.

Click the following link to see a Monthly Chart of S Since January 2002 With 80-Month Moving Average: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=15321 .

The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRMOU12M&PAGE=1 .

About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com)

Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method .
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Publication:Business Wire
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Feb 15, 2006
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