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Schaeffer's Daily Market Blog Features Anheuser-Busch, Eastman Kodak, Univision, U.S. Airways, and Microsoft.


CINCINNATI -- Among the stocks featured in the June 21 edition of Schaeffer's Market Blog are Anheuser-Busch (NYSE NYSE

See: New York Stock Exchange
:BUD), Eastman Kodak (NYSE:EK), Univision (NYSE:UVN UVN Ustredni Vojenska Nemocnice (Prague) ), U.S. Airways (NYSE:LCC (Leadless Chip Carrier, Leaded Chip Carrier) See leadless chip carrier, CLCC and PLCC.

1. LCC - Language for Conversational Computing. Written at CMU in the 1960's.
), and Microsoft (NASDAQ NASDAQ
 in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations

U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on
:MSFT MSFT Microsoft (stock symbol)
MSFT Movimento Sociale Fiamma Tricolore (Italy)
MSFT Multi-Stage Fitness Test
MSFT Master of Science in Family Therapy
MSFT Macalester Students for Fair Trade
). Schaeffer's Market Blog is just one of the many free market commentaries written every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. The Market Blog is written throughout every trading day by Schaeffer's financial analysts and traders. They are quick insights to the day's most notable market activity from an options perspective. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB PROB Probable/Probably
PROB Problem
PROB People's Republic of Bangladesh
12M&PAGE=1 .

Schaeffer's Market Blog for Wednesday, June 21, 2006:

Below are just a few of today's Market Blog entries. Click here to read all of today's Market Blog. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB1C&PAGE=1 .

9:47 AM BUD May Dabble dab·ble  
v. dab·bled, dab·bling, dab·bles

v.tr.
To splash or spatter with or as if with a liquid: "The moon hung over the harbor dabbling the waves with gold" 
 in Liquor

According to The Wall Street Journal, Anheuser-Busch (NYSE:BUD) is considering expanding its offerings out of the malted hops and barley realm and is looking into wine and spirits. The largest brewer in America stated that it may expand into the liquor industry if wine and spirits continue to eat away at its market share. According to the Journal, August Busch (BUD's president) stated that, "If this trend continues, we at Anheuser-Busch will have to re-evaluate our business model going forward in terms of expanding beyond beer and broadening our position within the total alcohol industry." These remarks were made earlier this month at a national gathering of state liquor administrators in Boston. According to the newspaper, beer has lost five percentage points of U.S. market share to wine and spirits since 1995.

Technically, the brewing behemoth behemoth (bē`hĭmŏth, bĭhē`–) [Heb.,=plural of beast], large, fanciful primeval monster, like Leviathan, evoking the hippopotamus mentioned in the Book of Job.  has found a bit of options-related support at the 45 level. Not only is this level the site of peak put open interest, but it is also a level of prior resistance. Oftentimes, past resistance will step in to provide support when given the chance, and that certainly appears to be happening here. The road higher isn't clear, BUD faces resistance from its 10-month and 20-month moving averages. If this resistance is overcome, the path higher becomes a bit more clear, but the 50 level stands as the major roadblock. This level turned the share away in 2000, and most recently acted as support from 2002 through 2004.

12:52 PM Kodak Puts Trading Actively

There has been some unusual option activity on Eastman Kodak (NYSE:EK) today. More than 11 times the average number of put options have traded on the equity with total volume around 12,000 contracts. Pessimism has surrounded this stock, and with the shares trading near the bottom of their trading range Trading Range

The spread between the high and low prices traded during a period of time.

Notes:
When a stock breaks through or falls below its trading range after several days of trading in a range, it usually means there is momentum (positive or negative) building.
, there could be the possibility of a modest move higher from current levels.

1:31 PM Univision Down and Up on Takeover News

Univision (NYSE:UVN) is sharply lower today after news that buyout bids for the company may not be as high as previously thought. After gapping down to around the $33.50 level, the stock has pushed higher throughout the session and is currently trading at $34.24. Whether or not the broader market rally has helped the stock is tough to say. Nevertheless, call option activity on the stock is quite heavy. Each of the past two sessions have seen call volume in excess of two times respective put volume. This could be smart money or over-optimism, but either way the situation surrounding the stock may remain quite volatile.

2:53 PM Huge Rally

Talk about an impressive rally; literally everything on my screen is green. Right now the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average

The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange.
 is up 150 points and the SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism.  is up 17 points. There were a few good earnings reports to spur the buying, but I think today the market is rallying simply because it wants to. Internals are great and volume is pretty decent as well (at least better than the past few days). Just about every sector is up several percent, but one that I like here is airlines. In fact, I wrote about this group yesterday and you can see why I like them. Looking at some of the names, U.S. Airways (NYSE:LCC) is up three percent, AMR (1) (Adaptive Multi-Rate) A variable rate speech codec selected by the 3GPP for the 3G evolution of the GSM cellphone system (WCDMA). Using the Algebraic CELP (ACELP) compression technology, AMR provides toll quality sound at transmission rates from 4.75 to 12.  Corp. (AMR) is up two percent, and Continental Airlines (CAL) is up over four percent.

3:15 PM Gold is Strong Again

One sector that is starting to look tempting to me is gold, as the metal closed up $11 to $591.50 an ounce. There's little doubt that this group has been hammered the past month, but the action the past week has been very bullish. Back on June 13th gold was down over $30 and on the 14th it was down some more, but on the 14th the PHLX PHLX

See: Philadelphia Stock Exchange


PHLX

See Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX).
 Gold and Silver Index (XAU XAU Gold Exchange Rate (ISO) ) was actually up a little bit - a sign of outperformance. Since then the XAU has done pretty well and today it's up about four percent, making a new two week high in the process. Looking at some of the names in the group, Newmont Mining (NEM) is up two percent, Goldcorp (GG) is up four percent and Glamis Gold (GLG GLG Geology
GLG Ganz Liebe Grüße (German)
GLG Grocery List Generator
GLG Glamis Gold Ltd (stock symbol)
GLG Goofy Little Grin
GLG Goodrich Landing Gear
) is up a massive nine percent.

3:25 PM Microsoft Calls Trade Actively

The Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) July 22.50 call (MSQ MSQ Maritime Safety Queensland (Queensland Transport, Australia)
MSQ Minnesota Satisfaction Questionnaire
MSQ Mental Status Questionnaire
MSQ Minsk, Belarus - Minsk (Airport Code) 
 GX) is trading briskly in the options pits today. After a dip as low as $21.45 on June 13, MSFT had recovered as far as $23.10 at last check, so this call option is slightly in the money. Before trading began today, open interest on this option stood at 100,522 contracts, and almost 21,000 contracts have traded so far today. I noticed three blocks larger than 1,000 contracts. The first traded just after 11:49 a.m. Eastern time on the CBOE CBOE

See: Chicago Board Options Exchange


CBOE

See Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).
. The other two crossed the tape just before 12:41 p.m. on the CBOE and the International Securities Exchange.

3:48 PM Morgan Stanley Gaps Higher on Second-Quarter Earnings

Morgan Stanley (MS) gapped higher this morning after the firm reported second-quarter results, with earnings of $1.96 billion, or $1.86 per share, compared to $928 million, or 86 cents per share Cents per share

The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned.
, in the second quarter a year ago. The stock established support at its 80-week moving average this week. If this support holds, any retreat to the 56 level might mark an interesting entry point.

For more information on these stocks or any stock in your portfolio, feel free to visit our Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard feature. Click here to read all of today's Market Blog: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB1C&PAGE=1 .

Take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries by signing up for their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB12M&PAGE=1 .

About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com)

Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method .
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Date:Jun 21, 2006
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