Schaeffer's Street Chatter Highlights the Following Stocks: Hewlett-Packard, General Electric, and TASER International.CINCINNATI -- Today's "Street Chatter" from Schaeffer's Investment Research focuses on: Hewlett-Packard (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :HPQ HPQ Hewlett-Packard Corporation (NYSE) HPQ High Priority Queue ), General Electric (NYSE:GE), and TASER International TASER International, Inc. (NASDAQ: TASR) is a developer, manufacturer, and distributor of less-lethal[1] electroshock guns in the United States. It is based at Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. It makes Tasers, the most common brand of electroshock gun. (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on :TASR TASR Tlacova Agentura Slovenskej Republiky (News Agency of the Slovak Republic) TASR Terminal Airport Surveillance Radar TASR Tactical Automated Situational Receiver TASR Telecommunication Assessment Survey Report ). "Street Chatter" is a report that analyzes three newsworthy stocks that are generating a lot of attention on Internet message boards. "Street Chatter" is published on www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link: www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRSC PRSC Partido Reformista Social Cristiano (Spanish: Social Christian Reformist Party) PRSC Post-Removal Site Control PRSC Program Resources Steering Council 11M&PAGE=1 . Street Chatter: Hewlett-Packard Hurd's herd, Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) stepped into the earnings spotlight yesterday afternoon, and onto the minds of the message boards today. In the fourth quarter, HPQ earned 51 cents per share Cents per share The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned. , excluding $1.57 billion in restructuring charges and other one-time items, besting the Street's estimate by five cents per share. The quarterly earnings were driven higher by strong sales of its personal computers, servers, and storage gear. As expected, this news was received warmly by the investing community, with HPQ shares increasing more than one percent. The only factor holding the shares in check would be peak open call interest at the 30 level. With November options expiring after the close today, I took open interest from December through February, where this strike has open interest of 86,571 contracts. Of course, this level will come under fire as the shares continue to gain along their 10-week moving average. This trendline has acted as support throughout HPQ's recent run. Further support will come from the equity's 10-month trendline as it challenges this options-related resistance. The shares have finished below this support once since December 2004. What's more, this trendline has completed a bullish crossover of its 20-month counterpart, which can be an indication of an impending im·pend intr.v. im·pend·ed, im·pend·ing, im·pends 1. To be about to occur: Her retirement is impending. 2. uptrend. Should any of these layers of resistance falter, the shares should find support from the 27.50 level, which is the site of peak front-month put open interest (64,601 shares). If this layer of support gives, the 25 level may step up as support, reversing its prior role as resistance. While HPQ has enjoyed a nice run of late, the options pits have seen pessimism grow. HPQ's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways ) checks in at 0.88, in the 38th percentile percentile, n the number in a frequency distribution below which a certain percentage of fees will fall. E.g., the ninetieth percentile is the number that divides the distribution of fees into the lower 90% and the upper 10%, or that fee level . No, this is not inherently bearish Bearish Words used to describe investor attitude. A bearish investor believes that a particular asset or the market as a whole will decline in value. bearish , but it is one of the highest readings taken during the past month. According to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. Zacks, one half of the 24 analysts covering HPQ rate it a "hold" or worse. This ratings configuration could have pushed the shares lower on an earnings disappointment, but the impressive results could move the bears to the bullish side. If this situation comes to fruition, the shares should see a bit of upside pressure. The lone caveat to HPQ is the general lack of short-covering support. It would take less than three days to cover the shorted shares, so today's good news has little chance of sparking a short-covering rally. However, this is the only downside I see to the shares. HPQ has spent the better part of this year outperforming its peers in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. (DJIA DJIA See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA). ). However, this solid performer is the subject of some pessimistic sentiment, resulting in a Schaeffer's Equity Scorecard rating of 7.0 out of a possible 10. This rating indicates that the shares may continue to gain as sideline money decides to join the game. Click the following link to see a Monthly Chart of HPQ Since January 2003 With 10-Month and 20-Month Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=14634 . General Electric This morning, General Electric (NYSE:GE) announced that it is going to jettison jettison (jĕt`əsən, –zən) [O.Fr.,=throwing], in maritime law, casting all or part of a ship's cargo overboard to lighten the vessel or to meet some danger, such as fire. a substantial portion of its Insurance Solutions reinsurance The contract made between an insurance company and a third party to protect the insurance company from losses. The contract provides for the third party to pay for the loss sustained by the insurance company when the company makes a payment on the original contract. division. Don't worry about the Insurance Solutions; it won't be left out in the cold. Swiss Re Swiss Re is the world’s largest reinsurer, now that it has acquired GE Insurance Solutions (Ligi 2006). Founded in 1863, Swiss Re now operates in more than 30 countries. General Electric owns 8.9% of the firm. is purchasing the group for $3.7 billion in cash and notes, $1.17 billion in assumed debt, and more than $3 billion in Swiss Re shares. Reportedly, GE is taking a loss of $2.8 billion on the sale, reflective of the decline in the book value of the Insurance Solutions unit, considered a goodwill write-off and taxes. Investors have generally applauded this deal, as the conglomerate has seen its stock rise more than two percent in today's trading action. What's more, this news has sent the shares through peak call open interest at the 35 strike for the December and January series. While resistance at the 35 level has been temporarily broken, let's not Let's Not is a science fiction short story by Isaac Asimov. It was first published in Boston University Graduate Journal in December 1954. It was written for no payment as a favour to the journal, and later appeared in the collection Buy Jupiter. get too excited here, the shares have yet to advance through the 36 level. The 36 level has rejected repeated advances by the shares dating back as far as 2004. It will take quite a push to get these shares through the 36 level. Furthermore, GE has generally underperformed its fellow DJIA members throughout the past year. Despite today's jump, I see struggles for this weak performer. Options players would more than likely agree with me as GE's SOIR of 1.07 rates in the 89th percentile. Notice that today's jump isn't gigantic? That is because GE enjoys little in the way of fuel for a short-covering rally. It would take less than two days to cover the shorted GE shares . . . so 35.75 (GE's intraday Intraday Another way of saying "within the day." Notes: This term is often used for the new highs and lows of a security. For example, "a new intraday high" means a security reached a new all-time high throughout the trading day, but then fell by closing. high thus far) may be the closest it gets to 36. Analysts would more than likely beg to differ with my classification of GE as a weak performer. According to Zacks, 85 percent of the analysts covering GE (17 of 20) rate it a "buy" or better. This overwhelming love leaves one way for the shares to go . . . down. Basically, I think today's rally may continue, but no further than 36. Will the shares be able to hold the 35 level? We shall see, it is the site of peak put open interest in the next two months' series. Click the following link to see a Weekly Chart of GE Since January 2003: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=14634 . TASER International What would a week of Street Chatter be if I didn't revisit one of my favorite My Favorite is an independent synthpop band from Long Island, New York. They released two CDs: Love at Absolute Zero and Happiest Days of Our Lives. My Favorite broke up on September 14, 2005, when singer Andrea Vaughn left the band. whipping boys, TASER International (NASDAQ:TASR)? After this past Tuesday's closing bell sounded, TASR announced that it will restate its first- and second-quarter earnings results in order to correct its accounting for legal fees and other professional expenses. The company reported that the correction will shift the expenses among the first three quarters of 2005, with expenses expected to increase in the first quarter and decrease in the second. The firm forecast that the restatements will cut its third-quarter expenses to $6.9 million from a previously forecast $7 million. Before this announcement, the shares were consolidating into their 10-day trendline. This announcement sent the shares below this trendline, which is now capping any advances. My guess is that TASR can't wait to sing a little Auld Lang Syne Auld Lang Syne closing song of New Year’s Eve. [Music: Leach, 91] See : Farewell when Father Time passes through, as the shares have been bullied lower by their 10-week and 20-week moving averages throughout 2005. Notice how the sparks of life shown by the shares were quickly extinguished by their 20-week trendlines? I don't expect this to stop any time soon. Again, I find that the options players agree with me, as TASR's SOIR checks in at 1.10, in the 83rd percentile. What's more, according to Zacks, only one analyst covers the shares. This pittance pit·tance n. 1. A meager monetary allowance, wage, or remuneration. 2. A very small amount: not a pittance of remorse. of coverage affords ample opportunity for the shares to be pushed lower by downgrades . . . of course, the inverse is always possible. The one area that would concern my inner TASR bear is short interest. TASR's shorted shares comprise nearly 29 percent of the company's total float, boosting the chance for a short-covering spurt. The fuel doesn't stop there, it would take nearly seven days to cover the shorted shares, which heightens the chance of a short-covering rally. Of course, it may take some extremely good news to spook the bears out of their pessimistic positions in order to start said short-covering rally. Click the following link to see a Weekly Chart of TASR Since November 2004 With 10-Week and 20-Week Moving Average: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=14634 . The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PRSC11M&PAGE=1 . About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com) Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method . |
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