Schaeffer's Street Chatter Highlights the Following Stocks: Abercrombie & Fitch, El Paso, and Rambus.Business Editors CINCINNATI--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Feb. 18, 2004 Today's "Street Chatter" from Schaeffer's Investment Research focuses on: Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :ANF ANF antinuclear factor; see antinuclear antibodies (ANA), under antibody. ANF abbr. antinuclear factor ANF atrial natriuretic factor. ), El Paso El Paso (ĕl pă`sō), city (1990 pop. 515,342), seat of El Paso co., extreme W Tex., on the Rio Grande opposite Juárez, Mex.; inc. 1873. (NYSE:EP), and Rambus (Nasdaq:RMBS RMBS Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities RMBS Rambus, Inc. (NASDAQ stock symbol) RMBS Russian Mortgage-Backed Securities ). "Street Chatter" is a report that analyzes three stocks that are generating a lot of attention on Internet message boards. "Street Chatter" is published on www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/addinfo . Street Chatter: 1. Apparel retailer Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) reported fourth-quarter earnings last night of 96 cents per share Cents per share The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned. , a penny above Wall Street's consensus estimate and three cents beyond year-ago results. Total income reached $94.3 million for the reporting period. Total sales climbed 4.8 percent for ANF, but comparable-store sales results sagged by 11 percent. Looking to the near future, ANF officials say they are "comfortable" with first-quarter expectations of 26 cents per share. In other news, the company initiated a new cash dividend policy. The first payout will occur on March 30 to shareholders of record by March 9, and will total 12.5 cents per share. ANF has rallied nearly 10 percent today on above-average volume, hurdling above its 10-month moving average in the process. Today's rally is adding to the uptrend ANF has enjoyed since the beginning of 2004. On the sentiment front, short sellers may have been rudely awakened a·wak·en tr. & intr.v. a·wak·ened, a·wak·en·ing, a·wak·ens To awake; waken. See Usage Note at wake1. [Middle English awakenen, from Old English today after taking a sizeable bearish Bearish Words used to describe investor attitude. A bearish investor believes that a particular asset or the market as a whole will decline in value. bearish stake in ANF. During the last reporting period, the number of shorted ANF shares rose by 63 percent to 5.65 million, for a short-interest ratio short-interest ratio A ratio that is used for market analysis and is calculated by dividing short interest by average daily volume. Technicians use the short-interest ratio as a tool to determine market direction. of 2.54. On the options front, sentiment is mixed. Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways ) for ANF stands at 0.85, which ranks in the 46th annual percentile percentile, n the number in a frequency distribution below which a certain percentage of fees will fall. E.g., the ninetieth percentile is the number that divides the distribution of fees into the lower 90% and the upper 10%, or that fee level . Click the following link to see the Daily Chart of ANF Since November 2003 With 10-Day and 20-Day Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=9488 . 2. El Paso (NYSE:EP) is an oil and gas company, with the largest gas pipeline in the US and a total 60,000 miles of pipeline domestically and around the globe. The company also has today's worst-performing stock on the New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) World's largest marketplace for securities. The exchange began as an informal meeting of 24 men in 1792 on what is now Wall Street in New York City. in midday trading. Yesterday evening, the firm issued a revised proven reserves amount, which was lower by 35 percent following a review. This error will result in a $1 billion charge to the company. EP said that 2004 production would remain in line with current expectations, but Credit Lyonnais downgraded its rating on the stock nonetheless, reducing its designation to a "sell" from a "neutral." The stock has lost over 13 percent today on heavy volume but is clinging to support from its ascending 20-week moving average. This intermediate-term trendline has provided support to the shares for the past 10 months. EP options pits are active today, most notably at the March 8 put and the April 8 call. The January 2005 10 call and 7.5 put LEAPS positions are also attracting attention from the speculative crowd. Heading into today's activity, SOIR for EP weighed in at 0.83, which is higher than 75 percent of the past year's worth of readings. A study on Schaeffer's Sentiment PowerTools (http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/powertoolsobs) indicates that EP SOIR readings between 0.78 and 0.88 have preceded underperformance from the shares. Click the following link to see the Weekly Chart of EP Since November 2003 With 10-Week and 20-Week Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=9488 . 3. Rambus (Nasdaq:RMBS) has gotten a dramatic boost higher thanks to an announcement last night from the Federal Trade Commission. A Federal Judge with the FTC FTC See Federal Trade Commission (FTC). threw out a charge from the US government, alleging RMBS had attempted to monopolize mo·nop·o·lize tr.v. mo·nop·o·lized, mo·nop·o·liz·ing, mo·nop·o·liz·es 1. To acquire or maintain a monopoly of. 2. To dominate by excluding others: monopolized the conversation. the market for synchronous dynamic random access memory (storage) Synchronous Dynamic Random Access Memory - (SDRAM, Synchronous DRAM) A form of DRAM which adds a separate clock signal to the control signals. SDRAM chips can contain more complex state machines, allowing them to support "burst" access modes that clock out a series of chips through questionable behavior such as concealing patents more than a decade ago. RMBS has rallied 33 percent on this news, surging well above its 10-day and 20-day moving averages in the progress. The stock is now reaching toward its annual peak of 36.56, which was achieved in early January. SOIR for RMBS increased over the past two sessions, moving from a 41st percentile reading of 0.44 to its current reading of 0.55, higher than 94 percent of the past year's worth of data. Today, option players are honing in on the soon-to-expire February 35 and February 40 calls, while the May 35 call is seeing some action as well. Click the following link to see the Daily Chart of RMBS Since September 2003 With 10-Day and 20-Day Moving Averages: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=9488 . The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Midday Report, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/addinfo. About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com) Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com , is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method . |
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