Schaeffer's Midday Options Update Features Texas Instruments, Microsoft, General Motors, Pfizer, Honeywell International.CINCINNATI -- Today's Schaeffer's Midday Options Update Features Texas Instruments See TI. (company) Texas Instruments - (TI) A US electronics company. A TI engineer, Jack Kilby invented the integrated circuit in 1958. Three TI employees left the company in 1982 to start Compaq. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange :TXN TXN Texas Instruments (stock symbol) TXN Transaction (databases) TXN Tunxi, China (Airport Code) TXN Tarxien (postal locality, Malta) ), Microsoft (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on :MSFT MSFT Microsoft (stock symbol) MSFT Movimento Sociale Fiamma Tricolore (Italy) MSFT Multi-Stage Fitness Test MSFT Master of Science in Family Therapy MSFT Macalester Students for Fair Trade ), General Motors (NYSE:GM), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE 1. (text, editor) PFE - Programmer's File Editor. 2. (language) PFE - Portable Forth Environment. ), and Honeywell International (NYSE:HON). The Midday Options Update contains a brief commentary on the day's most notable activity and a table listing the most active calls and puts for the day. The Midday Options Update is published every day at www.SchaeffersResearch.com - the home of Bernie Schaeffer and Schaeffer's Investment Research. For additional information about this report or to have it delivered to you free via email every day click on the following link. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB PROB Probable/Probably PROB Problem PROB People's Republic of Bangladesh 1M&PAGE=1 Schaeffer's Midday Options Update: Hang 'Em High with Texas Instruments It was a moderately mixed session today, with the Nasdaq Composite slouching slouch v. slouched, slouch·ing, slouch·es v.intr. 1. To sit, stand, or walk with an awkward, drooping, excessively relaxed posture. 2. To droop or hang carelessly, as a hat. v. lower as its brethren headed for higher ground. A bouquet of positive earnings data within the blue-chip sector and comments from Fed Chair Alan Greenspan Alan Greenspan Dr. Greenspan is Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Dr. Greenspan also serves as Chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Fed's principal monetary policymaking body. had the Dow soaring higher just before midday. While it is unlikely that you missed the numerous articles detailing Greenspan's comments, I feel that a quick recap is in order. The Fed Chair raised hopes for a more aggressive series of interest-rate hikes when he stated that the Fed would do all that is necessary to contain inflationary pressures in the economy. He also repeated the message that the interest rates would continue rising at a "measured" pace, in his address to the Senate Banking Committee late Tuesday, citing that there are greater risks to the economy from the current low-rate environment than from a transition to higher rates. Elsewhere on the market, it was all Dow all the time, with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) announcing that it would make a $32 billion special payout to investors. This payout arrives as a one time dividend of $3 per share and an increased quarterly dividend. The software giant also announced the initiation of a $30 billion stock buyback Stock buyback A corporation's purchase of its own outstanding stock, usually in order to raise the company's earnings per share. stock buyback See buyback. plan to take place over the next four years. The automotive sector rejoiced today, as Big Three member General Motors (NYSE: GM) posted a second quarter profit of $1.3 billion, or $2.36 per share. The results compare with last year's performance of $879 million, or $1.57 per share, and the Street's view of $2.24 per share. Revenue for the Dow component rose 7.1 percent over the prior quarter to $49.1 billion. GM also reiterated its 2004 earnings outlook. Rolling on with blue chips, Honeywell International (NYSE: HON) slipped into the earnings confessional to post second-quarter earnings of 42 cents per share Cents per share The amount of a mutual fund's dividend or capital gains distributions that a shareholder will receive for each share owned. , besting the consensus view for 38 cents. Meanwhile, J.P. Morgan Chase narrowed its second-quarter losses to $548 million, or 27 cents per share. Excluding items, earnings for the quarter rose to $1.81 billion, or 85 cents per share, slipping past the Street's expectations by two cents. Dow pharmaceuticals also sparkled in the earnings limelight today. Merck's second-quarter figure of $1.77 billion, or 79 cents per share, fell in step with both its results from last year and the consensus estimate. Looking forward, the company projected third-quarter earnings of 80-84 cents per share and full-year earnings of $3.11-$3.17 per share, also in line with current projections. Fellow drug giant Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) edged slightly higher today after releasing second-quarter earnings of $2.9 billion, or 38 cents per share. Excluding special items, earnings rose to 47 cents per share, matching the Street's view. However, the company warned that a more challenging business environment and lower-than-expected currency gains prompted it to lower its full-year guidance to $52.5-$53 billion from its prior estimate of $54 billion. At 2:28 p.m. eastern time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. (DJIA DJIA See Dow Jones Industrial Averager (DJIA). - 10152.3) is up 0.03 percent and the S&P 500 Index (SPX (Sequenced Packet EXchange) The transport layer protocol in the NetWare operating system. Similar to the TCP layer in TCP/IP, it ensures that the entire message arrives intact. SPX uses NetWare's IPX as its delivery mechanism. - 1104.28) is lower by 0.39 percent. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP - 1893.1) is down 1.25 percent. At 2:39 p.m. in the options pits, 2,236,208 calls and 1,425,418 puts traded for a composite put/call ratio across all five exchanges of 0.63. The CBOE CBOE See: Chicago Board Options Exchange CBOE See Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). put/call ratio for equity options weighed in at 0.63. Proving that you just can't escape the earnings tidal wave this week. Semiconductor concern Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN), our focus stock for midday's most-active options, reported a second-quarter profit of 25 cents per share just after yesterday's close. The results matched the Street's expectations, while the firm's third-quarter guidance of 26-29 cents per shares surrounded expectations for 28 cents per share. Sentiment coming into the report was relatively mixed. Yesterday's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR SOIR Schaeffer's Put/Call Open Interest Ratio SOIR Simultaneous Operations on Intersecting Runways ) stood at 0.93 in the 87th percentile of the past year's worth of readings. However, the SOIR plunged overnight to 0.84 (in the 68th percentile), and investors are snatching up calls on the security in today's session. TXN's August 22.50 call has seen more than 13,667 contracts cross the tape so far today on open interest of 30,234. While this might suggest that the SOIR could continue its recent nosedive nose·dive n. 1. A very steep dive of an aircraft. 2. A sudden, swift drop or plunge: Stock prices took a nosedive. Noun 1. , we will have to wait until tomorrow to see if today's activity will translate into new positions. Short sellers indicated a shift toward the bearish camp during the latest reporting period, increasing their positions by a hefty 26 percent. However, the resulting 21.9 million TXN shares sold short could be covered in a miniscule min·is·cule adj. Variant of minuscule. Adj. 1. miniscule - very small; "a minuscule kitchen"; "a minuscule amount of rain fell" minuscule 1.69 days and represents a paltry 1.28 percent of the stock's total float. Despite the potential shift over the past month, this relatively scant accumulation of bearish bets would offer up little to no support from a short-covering rally. Wall Street is stalwartly defending its bullish position, as Zacks reports that there are 18 "buys," eight "holds," and a mere three "sells" on the security. Any downgrades from this bunch could add to the stock's recent technical decline. Speaking of technicals, TXN has been a laggard since the beginning of the year, declining nearly 40 percent since setting a near-term high in January. Not only has the equity underperformed the SPX during this time frame, but TXN's relative-strength measure versus its peers in the struggling PHLX PHLX See: Philadelphia Stock Exchange PHLX See Philadelphia Stock Exchange (PHLX). Semiconductor Index has also been a veritable downward slope. Despite yesterday's positive earnings announcement, the security remains capped by its declining 10-day moving average. TXN is even in danger of closing its first month in below its 20-month trendline since July 2003. Long-term support lies beneath the shares at the round-number 20 level, but given the elevated levels of investor optimism on this underperformer, this level may not be enough to stem TXN's decline. Click the following link to see the Monthly Chart of TXN since June 2003 with 20-Month Moving Average: http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/wire?ID=10630. The best way to take advantage of the timely Schaeffer commentaries is to sign up to receive their free e-newsletters -- Opening View, Market Recap and Monday Morning Outlook. Click here to have the Schaeffer's commentaries delivered to you free via email every day. http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/redirect.aspx?CODE=PROB1M&PAGE=1 About Schaeffer's Investment Research (www.SchaeffersResearch.com) Schaeffer's Investment Research, founded by Bernie Schaeffer in 1981, is a financial information and trading resources company. It publishes Bernie Schaeffer's Option Advisor, the nation's leading options subscription newsletter. The firm's contrarian approach focuses on stocks with technical and fundamental trends that run counter to investor expectations. The firm's website, http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com, is recognized as one of the leading information sources for stock and options traders and was cited as the top options website by both Forbes and Barron's. Click here for more details about Schaeffer's trading methodology: http://www.SchaeffersResearch.com/method. |
|
||||||||||||

Printer friendly
Cite/link
Email
Feedback
Reader Opinion